Russell2000
S&P 5,000,000The talk of the town is the Market is overdue for a plummet!
Fun fact: This has been the narrative for the last decade as far as I am aware.
It's more likely that the major indicies will continue grinding up or even go sideways a bit.
This chart certainly appears to signal "euphoria". It looks overextended, parabolic, intimidating, right?
Now if we press the reality button labeled "log" it will adjust the chart based on percentage change. Then like magic, we can adjust the visual scale and BOOM, it's all gone. Of course the ideal chart to use lies somewhere in the middle. But when looking at a long term chart with large numbers, always use log scale. (Try it on Bitcoin)
What are we even worried about?
Suppose we do get a sell off. Let's measure out the damage from the Global Financial Crisis. We find more number magic with the percentage gains going up are far greater than while going down.
What about the looming Solvency Crisis?
"What if's" are not going to make anyone money unless you're the one selling click bait articles. But there is a way to trade this and still feel safe. Here are the conditions...
Put on a 1 Hour chart, buy dips, sell rallies. Each short term rally is about $50-$100 on the S&P500 and the benefit of short term trades under the conditions below helps steer clear of "crisis" danger.
1. (Daily) MACD is above zero
2. (Daily) EMA is acting as support
3. (1 Hour) RSI dips to bottom channel
There you have it. Feel free to stay on the sidelines with Peter Schiff and Steve Van Metere but this is my strategy for trading micro ES futures up until September 2021.
Will post active trades below.
Trading is risky. Don't do it.
Hard to analyze W/ high volatility in 2021 !Symmetrical Triangle: A symmetrical triangle is
composed of a diagonal falling upper trendline and
a diagonally rising lower trendline. As the price
moves toward the apex, it will inevitably breach
the upper trendline for a breakout and uptrend on
rising prices or breach the lower trendline forming
a breakdown and downtrend with falling prices.
$IWM Going to send it.Symmetrical triangle with a large consolidation base. All VWAPs and EMA clouds are under and supporting price. Current price is starting to emerge out of volume profile as well. Should be a good rally although macros like these tend to be multi-month holds at a minimum to play out well.
Russell 2000, break out 2ed day.Symmetrical Triangle: A symmetrical triangle is
composed of a diagonal falling upper trendline and
a diagonally rising lower trendline. As the price
moves toward the apex, it will inevitably breach
the upper trendline for a breakout and uptrend on
rising prices or breach the lower trendline forming
a breakdown and downtrend with falling prices.
RUSSEL LONGWe have bounced off the 200 EMA on the daily chart. We are at support of the 34 ema on the weekly chart. We have had a long period of consolidation now. Corrections can happen with time or price. This has been a correction of time. The candle lows have been making higher lows and have been forming hammers on the daily chart. The higher lows on the daily chart combined with the support of the EMA’s is what makes me bullish. We also have a symmetrical triangle formation on the daily chart which we broke out of and retested intraday today. The S&P and NASDAQ have had huge run ups and some of the money may be rotating out of those indexes into the Russel. BTC is breaking out and looking to retest all time highs. If it starts making new all time highs I expect there to be an easier environment for the Russel to rise. The stop is below the low of the consolidation. If we break that I am no longer bullish and will have to re-evaluate. I would try and take an entry off a smaller time frame with a much higher stop to increase the RR on the trade. Another way to go about this is waiting for the Russel to start trending higher and confirming the analysis and then buying the first large enough pull back. Waiting for this will allow for confirmation of the trade idea and give a better RR as well.
Support and Resistance level for Major indexes!In these charts, you can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days!
S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 are trading at the resistance level, and Dow Jones and Russell 2000 are trading in a consolidation zone!
In my view, tomorrow is a very critical day because of the Retail Sale Data!
If Retail Sale Data, are lower than expected, today's gains will be washed away easily!
Keep it in mind..!