Russell2000
RTY - Russell2000 main s/r zones analysisHello traders,
Description of the analysis:
E-MINI RUSSELL 2000 INDEX FUTURES ( RTY ) support zones ideal for timing long positions (gray). A possible correction could provide a shopping opportunity in interesting volume zones. It is definitely worth following further developments. The thickness of the support zone reflects the importance of this zone. Red lines are fair prices by volume .
About me:
Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF ). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume , expected volatility , advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPX index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e-mini futures (NQ, ES, RTY). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fund (over $4.000.000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades.
Jacob
Markets enter the consolidation phase: Russell2000 still bullishI perceive Russell2000 as being in a still bullish phase, however, it might need more time to settle. Today we might see mild pressure to the upside with light volume. Remember, today is a short day for CME. US Stock exchanges are closed.
Another short term hedge opportunity #stocks After the huge run in the Russell I am using the index futures to hedge against long equity exposure in the portfolio. I am not bearish on the market on an intermediate term (weekly) basis but in the short term I think its a prudent time to protect against any potential volatility spike or profit taking in the market especially going into a long weekend. My stop will be above yesterdays high and if the hedge works, price should be heading back into the range (rectangle) from last week
Russell 2000 Index, Weekly Daily Chart Analysis For Jan 4, 2021Technical Analysis and Outlook
The small-cap Russell 2000 was the big star this week with a decent 5.9% gain. The index on its way to Key Res $2,112 , and our Inner Index Rally $2,140 respectively, also, Outer Index Rally $2,180. The short term downside support is tapped at Mean Sup $1,950 providing an excellent ball out buying opportunity. To continue the rest of the market story, see the 'Weekly Market Review & Analysis For January 4, 2021" at the usual site.
How much more of a spread can there be?Since the lows in March the Russell 2000 index has out preformed the SP500 by almost 40%! It is even up over 20% from the range highs in October. It has been a truly historic run but is now a good time to hedge or take profits? We are long equities broadly but have been hedging into the new year to preserve gains. You can never lose by protecting yourself. The Russell might be the best instrument to use give its huge outperformance. Yes financials and other key sectors in the index have been strong and yes their strength may continue but nothing moves in a straight line forever.
IWM Bullish LongIWM is an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) which follows the Russell 2000 Small Cap Stock Index. I purchased call options (just regular, no spread) Strike 200 expiring Jan 2022 because I belive IWM has shown consistent bull market uptrend since November, and consistently uses the 10 Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as Support. IWM has shown better consistency, in my opinion, than SPY (ETF following S&P 500), and while QQQ (ETF that follows the Nasdaq 100 index) has outperformed most other major indexes in the past few years, IWM's lower prices made it more attractive to me. The growth may be slower than some other indexes; but as my first trading teacher stated, "You don't go broke making money." This may be a boring strategy, but I believe it will still be a profitable one. My stop loss plan is set below the 20 Day EMA. The yellow dotted line is the approximate price per share of stock when I purchased my calls earlier today.
I am not certified or licensed by any individual or institution to give financial or investment advice. I consider myself to be an amateur investor and trader.
IWM, Russell 2000 retracement?The Measured move of this triangle has been reached. I had a good strangle trade on IWM with calls/puts purchased before election. Strangles are terrific strategies when you know a big move is coming and the leverage of options can 5-10x or more in these type of moves. I'm now hoping for a pivot down in the market.. it could be mild- I don't know. We could melt up until end of 2022 but I'll be patient for retracements.
FISHY moves in the STOCKMARKETHey tradomaniacs,
Current markets mood is harder to indentify as we see the same cashflow like we`ve seen with the first vaccine-wave this year.
Comparing RUSSELL 2000 and SPX500 it looks like we see a flow out of big companies into the small-cap-section.
This is very weird as the small businesses were those who suffered the most during the COVID-Lockdown in the USA.
Does the market expect a BOOM of these companies with the upcoming vaccine?
There is one fact:
More than 50% of these companies listed in RUSSELL are not making any profit 👉 They are the "zombies" of the market who are only able to survive due to financial injections by the central bank.
These odd moves are forcing me to trade a bit less as I don`t think that institutional traders are willing to buy stocks of companies that only just able to buoy up.
Sell off coming soon?
LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me.
Any questions? PM me. :-)
November 15 Market Update | Technical, Fundamental, NewsDescription:
An analysis for the week ahead.
Points of Interest:
Four-Day Balance, $3,580 Spike Base, $3,506.25 Excess Low, Friday’s Late Rally Away From Value.
Technical:
Broad-market equity indices ended the week mixed with S&P 500 closing at a new all-time high.
During Last Week’s Action: Alongside the unwind of election hedges and news that a vaccine developed by Pfizer Inc (NYSE: PFE) and BioNTech SE (Nasdaq: BNTX) was effective in preventing cases of the COVID-19 coronavirus, market participants showed increased confidence in their exploration of higher prices.
Going back, last week started off with a clear break and acceptance above the $3,500 high-volume area, which suggested initiative buyers were firmly in control. Index futures pared gains after Monday’s end-of-day spike liquidation, balancing for the remainder of the week.
Given Friday’s end-of-day rally, away from value, the week ended just above the balance area, providing a clear trading framework for the week that follows. Therefore, if participants were to continue their initiative activity and spend time outside of the balance area, then it's likely the market will continue higher. Otherwise, the potential exists for a failed break, which may precede re-entry into the prior balance area, and further range-bound, responsive trade.
Fundamental:
In a commentary, BlackRock discussed investing after the U.S. election and suggested more of the same market trends. bit.ly
“Joe Biden’s victory in the presidential race likely ushers in a near-term market environment dominated by low rates, a hunt for yield and growth stocks. A Democratic takeover of the Senate looks unlikely, which would constrain the Biden administration’s ability to implement large-scale fiscal stimulus and public investment, tax, healthcare and climate related legislation.”
Additionally, BlackRock cautioned investors to pay attention to economic data from the euro area and U.S., as well as watch for the government’s response to the resurgence of COVID-19 coronavirus cases which may pressure the pending recovery.
Key Events:
Monday: Fed Clarida Speech, Fed Daly Speech.
Tuesday: Retail Sales MoM, Industrial Production MoM and YoY, Business Inventories MoM, NAHB Housing Market Index, Fed Bostic Speech, Fed Daly Speech, Fed Williams Speech, Foreign Bond Investment, Overall Net Capital Flows.
Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, Building Permits MoM, Housing Starts MoM, Fed Evans Speech, EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change, EIA Distillate Stocks Change, Fed Williams Speech, Fed Bullard Speech, Fed Bostic Speech.
Thursday: Continuing Jobless Claims, Initial Jobless Claims, Fed Mester Speech, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, CB Leading Index MoM, Existing Home Sales MoM, Fed Mester Speech.
Recent News:
Negative 2021 outlook as pandemic fallout weighs on economies. bit.ly
Pfizer Inc (NYSE: PFE) COVID-19 vaccine data is credit positive. bit.ly
Resurgent COVID-19 threatens corporate credit’s improved trend. bit.ly
Eurozone consumer prices likely to slide for the month of October. bit.ly
Joe Biden’s clean energy platform is very heavy on clean transport. bit.ly
US banks’ tightening of underwriting standards slows, but remains. bit.ly
IEA says oil demand will not get a vaccine boost until later in 2021. reut.rs
Sour China-Australia ties hit talks over a liquefied natural gas deal. reut.rs
Joe Biden’s path back to an Iran nuclear deal won’t be easy or fast. bloom.bg
A COVID vaccine would boost the global economy, but not at once. on.wsj.com
Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ: GOOGL) delivers internet with light beam. bit.ly
Monthly Funding Recap: Unicorns are born, funding holding steady. bit.ly
The IPO pipeline looks robust and these companies could go public. bit.ly
Dalio suggested markets are at a special moment with China's rise. bloom.bg
Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE: WFC) executives charged by the SEC. reut.rs
Ford Motor Co (NYSE: F) considers making its own EV batteries. reut.rs
U.S. consumer sentiment ebbs; producer prices maintain their rise. reut.rs
Insurers face questions on ability to cover claims after a Fed report. reut.rs
Key Metrics:
Sentiment: 55.8% Bullish, 19.3% Neutral, 24.9% Bearish as of 11/11/2020. bit.ly
Gamma Exposure: (Trending Neutral) 6,032,392,989 as of 11/13/2020. bit.ly
Dark Pool Index: (Trending Neutral) 43.1% as of 11/13/2020. bit.ly
Disclaimer:
This is a page where I look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. If questions, concerns, or suggestions, feel free to comment. I think everyone can improve, especially me.
In no way should this post be construed as investment advice.