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Buy the Dip? The stock market just did THIS!One of my must trusted signals for false breakout opportunities just triggered in the stock market on both the Nasdaq NASDAQ:QQQ and S$P 500 AMEX:SPY . If you are a regular viewer of my content you have seen me talk about this setup before as it is one of my most trusted fundamental strategies of my trading. Win or lose THIS signal we got on the Russia/Ukraine FUD is going to go down as a textbook example I will use to teach the setup for months and years to come! I am super excited to share with my viewers in real time!
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by norok
7
short term buy on oilwaiting for the oullback to finish to look for an entry. May enter before market closes or after it opens around 6pm. going for about 150 pips to (8.oo to see if it will break this pervious resistance. Russia has not begun backing down from Ukriane. they bombed Kharkiv, Ukrainian. Dozens were killed and hundreds wounded. ALso there is a possibility that oil will be pulled out of storage. U.S. storage is already the lowest its been since 2002. Supply fears causes oil to go up, they will have a decision by today or tomorrow.
TVC:USOILLong
by UnknownUnicorn11654040
1
short term buy on gold volatile marketLooking for entry possible after market opens back up, waiting on brief pull back. Russia bombed kharkiv, Ukraine. dozens were killed and hundreds were wounded. Gold is a safe haven asset so if investors see fear in the market their money is put in gold, Russia not backing down will cause it to soar. OPEC+ is making a decision by tomorrow to release oil from storage. Our supply is the lowest its been since 2002. supply shortage scares also makes gold go up. Depending on your daily goal, I am going for 1,000 pips at 1909. I will watch and see if it goes back to second tp
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by UnknownUnicorn11654040
BITCOIN THE WARRIORDue to the confliction between Ukraine and Russia , I decided to look back in to the history , and see what happened to Bitcoin , Gold and SPX when we had war or confliction. Here is the list of the wars that I mentioned in the chart : ( I understand of the ongoing wars and some other I did not mentioned ! ) 1 . Iran shoots down US drone aircraft 2 . Iranian General Assassinated 3 . Operation Martyr Soleimani 4 . Nagorno-Karabakh war 5 . Tigray War 6 . Fall of Kabul According to my studies all of the war news has been bullish for the 3 assets ! (Except for one time for gold on Tigray War which can be ignored. ) Just to be said , this would be far different if we get in to a world war ! The question is : in case of starting a war between Russia and Ukraine , what would happen to cryptocurrencies ? As a technical analyst , we always look backward and see what happened in history , then we get some information and that's where analysis starts ! So , we can say BTC and Gold are safe assets during the war , and also SPX ( focus on arms stock! they are to sell weapons ! ) Its just the same for fuel carriers and oil! Be aware , this is not financial advise , It's just a study of what happened in the history and there is no guarantee for now.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Penhan
3
Rare Arbitrage Play in the Works? Possible insane melt up?TTF Futures are currently at 115, and to get the US MMbtu equivalent of 31-33$, and they peaked at around 60-63$ US Natural gas equivalent ( For reference those are BOE of nearly 300-330$). Around December of last year the US Started to export Natural gas in the highest amounts in a long time to take advantage of the higher prices and to help europe keep its lights on. Price difference alone may not trigger the arbitrage, but rather possible sanctions. We already had the NordStream 2 pipeline cancelled, and eithe Russia might trigger a cancellation of the first Nordstream 1 pipeline as well as supplying of oil and gas to countries that sanctioned it OR the Western Europe/Nato powers might do it. No doubt that oil would have a melt up situation. But natural gas to could have a huge melt up far more then oil as with no gas available in europe they would be forced to use us gas, and this could get rid of the insane spread. If Russia turns of its pipeline, we could see europe gas prices rocket to 200-400$ if all gas is turned off ( 1200-2400$ BOE ). These prices are obviously quite crazy, so it would make no sense for europeans to buy their local gas when America can supply for far less If all of europe does this " save money hack " however buy the law of arbitrage the spreads would largely diminish over time.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by NuancesofTrading
1
Seasonality In Commodities As The Spring of 2022 ApproachesCommodities can be seasonal assets. Fuel and nutritional requirements tend to reflect the weather conditions during the times of the year that are cold and when the weather warms. As February ends and March arrives this week, the old saying that March comes in like a lion and goes out like a lamb. The oldest written reference to the “lion/lamb” proverb comes from English author Thomas Fuller, who included it in a 1732 volume of proverbs, “wise sentences, and witty sayings, ancient and modern.” It then passed to many farmer’s almanacs, but the saying is likely much older than the 18th-century reference. The end of winter- Heating fuel demand declines The beginning of spring- The driving season in gasoline and injection season in natural gas The start of the 2022 crop year The 2022 grilling season is on the horizon The three reasons 2022 may not be a typical year for seasonality As the weather warms over the coming weeks, the supply/demand equations for a host of commodities will shift. While seasonality offers opportunities to traders and speculators in the futures markets, prices tend to adjust far before the seasons change each year. Moreover, in 2022, the economic and geopolitical landscapes suggest that traditional seasonality could go out the window. The end of winter- Heating fuel demand declines In a typical year, the end of the winter season is when futures markets are already reflecting spring pricing. As March begins this week, refiners tend to produce less heating oil, and the natural gas demand remains high, but the markets see the light at the end of the peak-season tunnel. A monthly chart of the heating oil crack spread, a proxy for other distillates, including diesel and jet fuels, often weakens in March. While distillates are year-round fuels, heating oil production usually declines in March anticipating a decline in heating oil demand. Historically, natural gas tends to reflect the prospects for milder weather during the spring months in March. Natural gas reached annual lows in February, March, and April in 2012, 2016, 2017, and 2021. The beginning of spring- The driving season in gasoline and injection season in natural gas The spring and summer seasons are when people tend to put more mileage on their cars as the weather improves. Gasoline demand tends to increase at the end of the winter as refiners shift from distillate to gasoline refining. The monthly chart shows that gasoline processing spreads often move higher and peak during the spring and early summer months. Each year, the natural gas market moves from the withdrawal to the injection season during March. As production begins to flow into storage across the US, the supply-demand equation shifts, and prices tend to decline. In June 2020, natural gas fell to the lowest price in twenty-five years at $1.432 per MMBtu at the end of the second quarter. The start of the 2022 crop year As the snow melts across the fertile US plains and other crop-producing countries in the northern hemisphere, farmers begin to plant the new crops in March and April. The early spring marks the time when uncertainty about supplies peaks as the weather during the growing season is the primary factor in crop production each year. Grain and oilseed prices tend to rise during the spring and early summer as Mother Nature determines the weather conditions that determine the agricultural products that feed the world. The monthly chart of CBOT soybean futures shows that prices often move to annual highs during the spring and summer months. Uncertainty over the corn crop often pushes prices to highs during the spring and summer each year. Wheat prices display the same seasonal pattern. Wheat is the primary ingredient in bread, a critical source of nutrition for nearly eight billion people. The beginning of the crop season is when supply concerns start to increase as prices become as fickle as the weather over the coming months. The fear of drought or floods is always a key concern as the seeds go into the ground. The 2022 grilling season is on the horizon Each year, the US grilling season lasts from late May and the Memorial Day weekend through early September and the Labor Day weekend. As barbecues come out of storage across the US and family and friends gather outside, the demand for animal protein tends to rise. Futures markets tend to move higher as animal protein producers deliver cattle and hogs to processing plants in the spring to meet the increased summer requirements. Cattle and hog futures prices tend to move higher as the grilling season approaches and hit seasonal lows as it ends. Live cattle futures often display seasonal strength in the spring and summer and weakness during the fall and winter months. The monthly chart shows that feeder cattle futures tend to display seasonal strength during the grilling season. Lean hog futures display the same seasonal trading pattern in many years. The three reasons 2022 may not be a typical year for seasonality While seasonality is a critical factor for energy and agricultural commodities, 2022 is anything but an ordinary year in markets across all asset classes. At least three factors could cause markets to exacerbate or ignore seasonality over the coming months: Inflation is at the highest level in over four decades, causing prices of all goods and services to rise. Commodity prices continue to trend higher, despite the Fed’s plans to increase interest rates. The central bank remains far behind the inflationary curve, which is likely to continue the bullish trend. Russia is a leading commodity producer, supplying Europe and the world with metals, minerals, energy, and agricultural products. The Russian invasion into Ukraine led to significant sanctions, which could cause embargos, and supply chain bottlenecks, causing price distortions as availabilities decline. Markets reflect the economic and geopolitical landscapes. We have not experienced the current level of uncertainty in decades. The technical trend in most commodity markets remain higher, and the trends are always your best friends. Seasonality is likely to take a backseat in the current landscape. Market participants should expect the unexpected over the coming weeks and months as price variance is likely to remain elevated. Approach all markets with a clear plan for risk and rewards and stick to that plan. Never allow a short-term risk position to become a long-term investment because the price moves contrary to expectations. Seasonal factors are always critical in all raw material markets, but in 2022, inflation and geopolitical tensions are trumping the weather as the winter comes to an end. -- Trading advice given in this communication, if any, is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that we believe are reliable. The author does not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects the author’s good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice the author provides will result in profitable trades. There is risk of loss in all futures and options trading. Any investment involves substantial risks, including, but not limited to, pricing volatility, inadequate liquidity, and the potential complete loss of principal. This article does not in any way constitute an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any investment, security, or commodity discussed herein, or any security in any jurisdiction in which such an offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.
NYMEX:NG1!Education
by Andy_Hecht
2
BITCOIN ANALYSIS - WHEN WILL THE CORRECTION END?From the Chart Above we have The 360 Daily Moving Average(Blue) along with some horizontal support zones and a logarithmic growth curve. Taking a look at the 360 MA, after each bullrun, the moment price closed below it, we retraced at least 50% from the breaking point. Important to note we only closed below the 360MA when the bullrun ended and had touched resistance of the logarithmic curve. Also note that we didn't cross back above till price touched the support region of the logarithmic curve. However, we didn't touch resistance this time but closed below the 360 MA already, tho we got close enough imo. If we were to have a 50%+ retracement from the breaking point, we have a target in the region of $24-20k per bitcoin for a bottom scenario. From the Date ranges in the chart, we can also expect the bottom around April Onwards. Zooming in to current Price Action, Bitcoin managed to break the $40,000 level however, still not convincing enough. Watch for a break of the White Horizontal line and close above @$40750 before flipping bias. If you agree pls share your thoughts in the comments and leave a like. Feedback is appreciated.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by RektMyMom
2
ARKK possibly worth a swing for relief rallyJust tossing this one out there: Cathie Wood's ARKK Innovation ETF is within 1% of completing a round-trip to its pre-pandemic highs. It's also at the bottom of a fairly major parallel channel that it's been forming since February last year. In purely technical terms, it looks poised for a bounce. This is not a long-term hold, especially with Tesla as the top holding. Valuations remain high, and Tesla is being investigated by the SEC. I also wouldn't use call options to play this. The options premiums are super expensive. I'm just thinking buy a few shares for a technical bounce, and maybe sell at the 20-day EMA. Counterintuitively, the Russia-Ukraine crisis is a possible catalyst for a bounce. Forecasters seem to think that conflict in Ukraine will make the Fed more dovish this year, with fewer rate hikes than previously expected. $ARKK has been super sensitive to interest rate expectations, so it might be bullish for the ETF if rate expectations ease a bit. One nice thing about this trade: since we're so close to channel bottom, you can put a stop loss right beneath the channel.
AMEX:ARKKLong
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
2
Bitcoin sharp move to 51K?Bitcoin is forming a pattern of head and shoulders I see BULLISH HD+ ( Bullish Positive Hidden Divergence ) in Weekly and Monthly timeframes. About one day remaining to close monthly candle and its forming Doji Unusual news was afected on market and its time to have uptrend to 51K a d then move down again. This upward trend can be a bit sharp and if you want to open long position i prefer to save some of your profit in specified resistances. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... Sadegh Ahmadi: @SDQ_Crypto 27.Feb.22 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
Long
by SDQ_Crypto
9
BTC/USD by CryptoTradersWWGood morning, It's vital to look at what BTC is doing before selecting which trades to take for the rest of the week. The price is been hovering between $37K and $40K on a regular basis. We have strong resistance at $39K if we see a run up. A CME gap, Fibonacci resistance, and Daily Naked point of control can all be found here. If we see Longs start to open near this level and then decline, we can expect more downside. <----------------------------> ☑️ Follow, Comment & Like ☑️ Create a civil and healty discuss in the comments and share with me your thoughts Thanks and Happy Trading!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CryptoTradersWW
How to trade in times of war. What if WWIII begins.In this chart you can visualize how the Dow Jones performed during WWII. The Dow experienced high volatility during WWII. Its lowest point (-29%) was reached on april 1942. But, surprisingly, the Dow gained 33% in the period between the beginning (September 1, 1949) and the end of the WWII (May 7, 1945). Source: United States Holocaust Memorial Museum. “WORLD WAR II TIMELINE.” Holocaust Encyclopedia. encyclopedia.ushmm.org
DJ:DJI
by Reynaldo_Villafuerte_Aguilar
3
Gazprom (GAZ) time to buy?First of all, a dutiful thought to the victims in Ukraine, solidarity with their families and we hope that the situation will be resolved as soon as possible. The situation in Russia is very tense, the economy risks a serious collapse due to the repercussions that sanctions could have on many sectors. However, there are also some opportunities that I consider very interesting, one of which is Gazprom, which distributes the majority of gas to the major European countries, first of all Germany and Italy. It has already been made clear that the sanctions, intended as the exclusion of Russia from the swift, will not affect the supply of gas, which is simply indispensable for a Europe which depends, in fact, on Russia. Since the end of 2004 Gazprom has been the only supplier to Bosnia and Herzegovina, Estonia, Finland, Macedonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova and Slovakia, as well as supplying 97% of the gas from Bulgaria, 89% from Hungary, 86% of the Poland, almost three quarters of that of the Czech Republic, 67% of Turkey, 65% of Austria, about 40% of Romania, 36% of Germany, 27% of Italy and 25% of France . The collapse of the gas giant's share is therefore clearly a panic selling created by the war, as well as for Yandex (the Russian google), Aeroflot (the first Russian airline), and Sberbank. But, for the banking system I have several doubts, even if I think it is wise to enter if it were to approach 1.5 € per share, (SBNC on the Frankfurt stock exchange), as regards Gazprom I believe that the increase in value in the long period. As often happens to me, I divided my entry into 2 tranches, and I will only buy at a heavy discount, but the possibilities of making a 400% are all there, it remains to be seen in how long. Obviously, as I always say in the disclaimer, mine is not financial advice, I speak only in a personal capacity and no one should invest money that they are not willing to lose. Because what I'm talking about here is a very risky situation, Even more interesting is the situation of Yandex, which I will reserve for another article. The coming week could be decisive, the meeting between Russia and Ukraine in Belarus could lead to an agreement, as we all hope, or not, in the second case I will wait a little longer for any developments in the conflict. One thing to consider is also the exchange factor: the ruble is at historic lows and an appreciation of these shares is highly likely that it will also be accompanied by a recovery of the ruble, which could make the investment even more profitable. Happy trading Lazy Bull DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor nor a CPA . These posts, videos, and any other contents are for educational and entertainment purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. While it is possible to minimize risk, your investments are solely your responsibility. It is imperative that you conduct your own research. I am merely sharing my opinion with no guarantee of gains or losses on investments.
GLong
by LazyBull5
Russian government and corporate bonds about to default.Before the war Russian reserves amounted to 630 billion USD, a conservative estimate puts them to this date @ around 500 billion USD. Every day that the war lingers on, costs russias coffers 15 to 20 billion USD. This is not considering the additional sanctions and exclusion from the banking system slapped on Russia this weekend. Following the debacle of the Russian army in the Kharkiv region and the complete surrender of their troops in this region, Putin ordered to ramp up the use of heavy equipment and to send more troops and equipment to try and conquer the city. This will considerably increase the cost of the war for Russia. Also, this debacle is likely to trigger a wave of cancellations of orders for Russian military hardware, which has proven its self ineffective, specially after the downing of a SU35 (Russias top fighter jet) by a Ukranian SU22. Russia, home to 140 million needs 200 billion USD to ensure the population doesn't starve. At this rate, they will reach this threshold within 10 days, absent of a victory. Also, must be noted that a political victory is now impossible for Russia which was its primary objective for starting this war. Tomorrow the markets will open and within a few days the future of Russia will be decided by its ability to raise cash. The charts suggest these are out of the window and hedge funds may be placing their bets on a total Russian default.
RUS:RGBI
by csmottola71
1
GOLD GOING BACK INTO THE 1900S? Gold was also triggered by supply fears along with Natural gas and oil. This fear was caused from sanctions being placed on Russia and Russia invading Ukraine. Gold rose to the price of $1974. Not far from its pervious high $2075 back in august of 2020. When there is fear in the market gold is often used as a safe haven asset. Investors will put their money into gold making market manipulation. Commodities also thrive off of fear. Gold has been in a steady uptrend since January 28th of this year. So far it has been respecting the up trend. Gold made a correction after reaching $1974, retracing to 1878. The wicked off the trend line, and a bullish doji formed indicating bulls are coming back. A bullish divergence has also formed on 15 minute time frame and higher time frames such as 2hr. I see gold going to retest the 1944 area. If it breaks through pervious resistance prices such as, $1910, and $1925 With the was with Russia and Ukraine unknowingly coming to an end, US inflation at 40 year highs, stocks being down can drive investors to place more money in gold
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by UnknownUnicorn11654040
3