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ARKK possibly worth a swing for relief rallyJust tossing this one out there: Cathie Wood's ARKK Innovation ETF is within 1% of completing a round-trip to its pre-pandemic highs. It's also at the bottom of a fairly major parallel channel that it's been forming since February last year. In purely technical terms, it looks poised for a bounce. This is not a long-term hold, especially with Tesla as the top holding. Valuations remain high, and Tesla is being investigated by the SEC. I also wouldn't use call options to play this. The options premiums are super expensive. I'm just thinking buy a few shares for a technical bounce, and maybe sell at the 20-day EMA. Counterintuitively, the Russia-Ukraine crisis is a possible catalyst for a bounce. Forecasters seem to think that conflict in Ukraine will make the Fed more dovish this year, with fewer rate hikes than previously expected. $ARKK has been super sensitive to interest rate expectations, so it might be bullish for the ETF if rate expectations ease a bit. One nice thing about this trade: since we're so close to channel bottom, you can put a stop loss right beneath the channel.
AMEX:ARKKLong
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
2
Bitcoin sharp move to 51K?Bitcoin is forming a pattern of head and shoulders I see BULLISH HD+ ( Bullish Positive Hidden Divergence ) in Weekly and Monthly timeframes. About one day remaining to close monthly candle and its forming Doji Unusual news was afected on market and its time to have uptrend to 51K a d then move down again. This upward trend can be a bit sharp and if you want to open long position i prefer to save some of your profit in specified resistances. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... Sadegh Ahmadi: @SDQ_Crypto 27.Feb.22 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
Long
by SDQ_Crypto
9
BTC/USD by CryptoTradersWWGood morning, It's vital to look at what BTC is doing before selecting which trades to take for the rest of the week. The price is been hovering between $37K and $40K on a regular basis. We have strong resistance at $39K if we see a run up. A CME gap, Fibonacci resistance, and Daily Naked point of control can all be found here. If we see Longs start to open near this level and then decline, we can expect more downside. <----------------------------> ☑️ Follow, Comment & Like ☑️ Create a civil and healty discuss in the comments and share with me your thoughts Thanks and Happy Trading!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CryptoTradersWW
How to trade in times of war. What if WWIII begins.In this chart you can visualize how the Dow Jones performed during WWII. The Dow experienced high volatility during WWII. Its lowest point (-29%) was reached on april 1942. But, surprisingly, the Dow gained 33% in the period between the beginning (September 1, 1949) and the end of the WWII (May 7, 1945). Source: United States Holocaust Memorial Museum. “WORLD WAR II TIMELINE.” Holocaust Encyclopedia. encyclopedia.ushmm.org
DJ:DJI
by Reynaldo_Villafuerte_Aguilar
3
Gazprom (GAZ) time to buy?First of all, a dutiful thought to the victims in Ukraine, solidarity with their families and we hope that the situation will be resolved as soon as possible. The situation in Russia is very tense, the economy risks a serious collapse due to the repercussions that sanctions could have on many sectors. However, there are also some opportunities that I consider very interesting, one of which is Gazprom, which distributes the majority of gas to the major European countries, first of all Germany and Italy. It has already been made clear that the sanctions, intended as the exclusion of Russia from the swift, will not affect the supply of gas, which is simply indispensable for a Europe which depends, in fact, on Russia. Since the end of 2004 Gazprom has been the only supplier to Bosnia and Herzegovina, Estonia, Finland, Macedonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova and Slovakia, as well as supplying 97% of the gas from Bulgaria, 89% from Hungary, 86% of the Poland, almost three quarters of that of the Czech Republic, 67% of Turkey, 65% of Austria, about 40% of Romania, 36% of Germany, 27% of Italy and 25% of France . The collapse of the gas giant's share is therefore clearly a panic selling created by the war, as well as for Yandex (the Russian google), Aeroflot (the first Russian airline), and Sberbank. But, for the banking system I have several doubts, even if I think it is wise to enter if it were to approach 1.5 € per share, (SBNC on the Frankfurt stock exchange), as regards Gazprom I believe that the increase in value in the long period. As often happens to me, I divided my entry into 2 tranches, and I will only buy at a heavy discount, but the possibilities of making a 400% are all there, it remains to be seen in how long. Obviously, as I always say in the disclaimer, mine is not financial advice, I speak only in a personal capacity and no one should invest money that they are not willing to lose. Because what I'm talking about here is a very risky situation, Even more interesting is the situation of Yandex, which I will reserve for another article. The coming week could be decisive, the meeting between Russia and Ukraine in Belarus could lead to an agreement, as we all hope, or not, in the second case I will wait a little longer for any developments in the conflict. One thing to consider is also the exchange factor: the ruble is at historic lows and an appreciation of these shares is highly likely that it will also be accompanied by a recovery of the ruble, which could make the investment even more profitable. Happy trading Lazy Bull DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor nor a CPA . These posts, videos, and any other contents are for educational and entertainment purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. While it is possible to minimize risk, your investments are solely your responsibility. It is imperative that you conduct your own research. I am merely sharing my opinion with no guarantee of gains or losses on investments.
GLong
by LazyBull5
Russian government and corporate bonds about to default.Before the war Russian reserves amounted to 630 billion USD, a conservative estimate puts them to this date @ around 500 billion USD. Every day that the war lingers on, costs russias coffers 15 to 20 billion USD. This is not considering the additional sanctions and exclusion from the banking system slapped on Russia this weekend. Following the debacle of the Russian army in the Kharkiv region and the complete surrender of their troops in this region, Putin ordered to ramp up the use of heavy equipment and to send more troops and equipment to try and conquer the city. This will considerably increase the cost of the war for Russia. Also, this debacle is likely to trigger a wave of cancellations of orders for Russian military hardware, which has proven its self ineffective, specially after the downing of a SU35 (Russias top fighter jet) by a Ukranian SU22. Russia, home to 140 million needs 200 billion USD to ensure the population doesn't starve. At this rate, they will reach this threshold within 10 days, absent of a victory. Also, must be noted that a political victory is now impossible for Russia which was its primary objective for starting this war. Tomorrow the markets will open and within a few days the future of Russia will be decided by its ability to raise cash. The charts suggest these are out of the window and hedge funds may be placing their bets on a total Russian default.
RUS:RGBI
by csmottola71
GOLD GOING BACK INTO THE 1900S? Gold was also triggered by supply fears along with Natural gas and oil. This fear was caused from sanctions being placed on Russia and Russia invading Ukraine. Gold rose to the price of $1974. Not far from its pervious high $2075 back in august of 2020. When there is fear in the market gold is often used as a safe haven asset. Investors will put their money into gold making market manipulation. Commodities also thrive off of fear. Gold has been in a steady uptrend since January 28th of this year. So far it has been respecting the up trend. Gold made a correction after reaching $1974, retracing to 1878. The wicked off the trend line, and a bullish doji formed indicating bulls are coming back. A bullish divergence has also formed on 15 minute time frame and higher time frames such as 2hr. I see gold going to retest the 1944 area. If it breaks through pervious resistance prices such as, $1910, and $1925 With the was with Russia and Ukraine unknowingly coming to an end, US inflation at 40 year highs, stocks being down can drive investors to place more money in gold
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by UnknownUnicorn11654040
3
Oil making it's way back to $100?oil drove to $100 due to fear of supply with Russia invading Ukraine. This is the first time oil has hit $00 since 2014, so of course it will not just bust through like we all wish it would. The market needed to correct itself first, pulling back to $90.50.on the 4hr time frame you see a fakeout of the trendline, indicating oil is going to push up some more. it is respecting the current uptrend as of right now. I see oil atleast going to $94 as of right now. I will watch the market and the news before making further decision. on smaller timeframe there is a small bullish divergence indicating a buy is coming as well.
TVC:USOILLong
by UnknownUnicorn11654040
Will the Oil Boom Last? Watch the US / Saudi relationshipHow long will the oil boom last? How much of an impact will Russian isolation have on the oil market and overall inflation? Biden has been cool to the Saudi's since he took office, after Trump cultivated an unusually close relationship with them. Unlike Biden, Trump seemed to have a predatory view of oil prices. I mean, he would do whatever it took to keep gas cheap. The longer this debacle (and its aftermath) goes on in Ukraine the more opportunity and incentive the US will have to tank the oil market. With such a large portion of GDP made up of oil, Russia is very susceptible to a deflationary spiral in oil cost. To a certain extent, oil is financing Russia's military operation since the more trouble they cause, the more their primary export is worth. While the initial inclination of the US is to isolate Russia and its oil sales this move may benefit Russia to some extent, since supply in the world will be lower they'll still likely be able to make deals to move their oil through neutral countries. However, the more this bites at the American inflation problem, the more pressure there will be to increase output. Most of the incentives will run toward increasing output; Russia will hurt more if its primary export drastically decreases in value, and the move will alleviate some inflation in western countries. After all, who will even remember why Biden has shunned the Saudis? When gas is $5+ will you cry about Yemen, especially if you can get cheaper gas and hurt Russia at the same time? Will you think of Khashoggi if it helps Ukraine? Your moral scruples will be intact and gas can be cheaper! And wtf the Climate? Who cares. That is the political calculus of the next 2 years. When you see Washington getting closer to the Saudis then be skeptical of oil prices. They can really make Russia pay this way. Of course, domestic producers have been betrayed so much over the past decade that they won't just come back online; they'll need assurances. Also, just for 'fun', here are some more predictions (more like possibilities): - Without a critical mass Belarussian forces joining, Russia will not take Kyiv and the government will remain intact, but will hold the majority of the eastern country. - Even if Russia can take Kyiv on it's own, it will take so long that it will undermine its bargaining position and be a strategic (at least politically) defeat. - Trump will at least make a statement about offering to 'broker' a peace of some sort. No one will accept. - Inflation will get bad enough that the Biden admin will treat with the Saudi's and try to smooth over their bad relationship in order to convince them to put pressure on oil prices. - The US will contemplate how they can engender the same resistance morale in Taiwan and there will be talk of resurrecting something like the TPP (Obama era) in order to provide a coalition to oppose China economically.
AMEX:USO
by PreferredStonk
1
Positive Side-ways WeekendWeekly Time-frame We are still inside the cloud and it is still Neutral Strong Support in $37,646. 22 Hours left to print New Candle. If we hold this area and closes with a Green Candle then the next candle will be a bullish one. Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) is currently in the strongest support so we can expect it to hold. 1D Time-frame We are inside the cloud which is in Neutral position. We can expect a Rejection in $42,561. New Candle will find a support at $37,420 level. EMA Ribbon is forming a flattening slope which would in turn become easier to break the Rejection area of $40,063. 4H Time-frame EMA Ribbon is now below the candle and has become its support. Rejection area @ $40,018 it’s exactly at the 200 Moving Average. Relative Strength Volatility Variable Bands (RSVVB) is now in the positive side, and it will start accumulation and pump. Not much volume as it is weekend but we can expect the Altcoins to move to the Upside.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Trade_Scholar
1
The Effect of Regional Conflict on the MarketIn this post, I'll demonstrate the impact of regional conflicts on the market; whether what we're seeing is the beginning of a recession, or a reversal. I'll be going over Russia's invasion of Ukraine, referring to historical examples of regional conflicts and the impact they had on the market. War is tragic. I would like to clarify upfront that this post is apolitical. It simply assesses current events and market movements from the perspective of an investor. This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only. Analysis - With Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, we have seen this bull market’s first correction. - Many fear that this may simply be a deadcat bounce before further downside, but this once again proves that this event was a case of ’sell on fear, buy on the bullets’. - Pressure is applied to the financial markets as fear of war starts, and is relieved when the actual conflict starts. - So contrary to common belief, the beginning of war, as tragic as it is, is a bullish sign for the markets. - Markets move on surprises, and what’s happening in Ukraine is nothing new or surprising. - Not only has there been tension building up for the past few weeks, we were aware of such a scenario for the past few years, with Russia’s takeover of Crimea. - The point is that the more discussions there are about the plethora of probable scenarios and possibilities, the less likely it is for the market to crash when something worse occurs. - Unless this war spreads to a global scale, which I doubt it will, I think the damage will be regional, and thus unlikely to cause a bear market. - We’ve seen this through multiple cases in history: the Korean War, the Vietnam War, Gulf War, Afghanistan War, Iraq War, and the Crimean Crisis. - This isn’t because armed conflict is good for the market. - The conflict ending uncertainty is what drives the market upwards. Conclusion Headlines, responses from communities online, and fake news can drive short term reactions via sentiment, but it’s important to take a deep breath, and listen to what the market is trying to tell you. Taking all of this into account, I believe that it’s more likely for us to see a recovery or return to the uptrend sometime later this year, with some turbulence early on. However, remember that the name of the game is to buy when it’s cheap, and sell when it’s expensive. By the time you realize that we’ve returned to a steady, sturdy bull trend without any factors of fear and bearishness to hinder the momentum, it may already be too late to buy cheap. Hence, my preference to buy 1000 shares of $SPY at $430, rather than buying 10 shares at $350. While my entire long term outlook on the market remains optimistic, it’s important to remember that volatility is unpredictable. But that doesn’t necessarily mean that it’s everlasting either. I anticipate that there’s a high probability that the bull market continues, but volatility will play its role in shaking out the weak hands. If you like this educational post, please make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
TVC:SPX
by Michael_Wang_Official
6