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Are Wheat & Biofuels Supply Plays?Took positions in BG last year, & ended up trading out too soon. Here is a good dip & options are cheap, not trading advice just a MACRO play. As long as food prices are going up & Russian Export Taxes are increasing then Wheat Grain & Biofuels might still be valid fundamentally. Bunge is a global player so please check out their Fundamentals, SEC Filings & Prospectus before investing real money, also it costs nothing to check price action for a few weeks or months before making a decision. That's how lots of analysts make their very best decisions. In fact the way I came across BG was from bad information about an alleged Silver Squeeze. Don't follow hype, do your own research & make the best decisions for you & your investment goals.
NYSE:BGLong
by CryptoQue
VTB the russian bank interesting perspectives in the near futureVTB is one of the most important banks in the Russian market and overall one of the pillar of the dynamics of the russian economy first of quick view of the news : ** hit record retail loans ** earnings are on the rise but monitoring the interest rate is a must for next year forecast ** successful deal of selling the magnit from it's portfolio second a quick view of the charts the volumes are steady and the MA 9/MA 50 /MA 200 are forecasting a potential rise of the price of the stock
RUS:VTBRLong
by othmane1st
1
Idea about MagnitMagnit is a chain of retail stores, the third largest private company in Russia by revenue (after Lukoil and X5 Group). It consists of more than 15 thousand grocery stores, 500 supermarkets, 5 thousand perfume and cosmetics stores, 1 thousand pharmacies, manages a greenhouse complex and its own fleet of 5.7 thousand cars. Founded in 1995. Revenue ₽1553.8 billion (2020). Capitalization ₽600.5 billion The deal is on the rebound from the support level. The tool is not fast, it forms an impulse through a long sideways movement. Support levels ₽5525/₽5650/₽5750 1) A deal on the trend. 2) 200 EMA - day support. 3) The instrument needs a correction to collect liquidity. Long: ₽5675 Until then: $5530 Target : ₽5950 (speculative) Stop below ₽5400 NOT IRR.
RUS:MGNTLong
by Trader_Ivankov
ISKJ | Fundamental Growth +30%0. Top Russian Medical Genetic company 1. Develop alternative to Sputnik COVID-19 vacine named Betuvax-CoV-2 2. Russian Health Ministry approves clinical trails of Betuvax at September 27 2021. Clinical trails involve 116 volonteer without chronic diseases 3. Forecast release date midwinter 2021. 4. In case of anual vaccination of 1% Russian population target price: 120 RUB 5. In case of anu vaccination rate of 4%, target: 320 RUB 6. Govermental support rate up to +10-20% price impact 7. Lot's of other medical projects that support ISKJ fundamental price at 85 RUB without Betuvax project impact. Target price: 125 RUB
RUS:ABIOLong
by inversion
Polymetal(POLY) "Continuation"Disclaimer/ On average, 90% of all stocks move down with the market, and 75% - up. The wave principle applies to some extent to individual stocks, but counting waves for them is often confusing and has little practical significance. But since the company has a large capitalization, we assume that the state of the shares depends on the psychology of the masses According to our old plans, we have reached a turning point. Now the 3rd wave is coming. Gold, contrary to the correction that we have observed recently and will, most likely, observe for some time, is at the top (Price range:1950-1550USD, Delta:400, Average:1750), which is a good thing for gold mining companies. (Relative stability) "The Group's revenue and most of its loans are denominated in US dollars, while the bulk of the Group's expenses are denominated in Russian rubles and Kazakhstani tenge. Thus, changes in exchange rates may affect the financial results and performance of the Group. The strengthening of functional currencies relative to the US dollar may adversely affect enterprises in Russia and Kazakhstan and lead to higher operating costs denominated in local currency and lower margins. ". I have been waiting for the strengthening of EUR, USD for a long time. Now there is also a turning point. Other gold mining "Russian companies" are in a similar position. SENSITIVITY TO RUB/USD, GOLD PRICE(1H 2021 FINANCIAL RESULTS)(At the 1H 2021 average realized price) Effect on FCF : A 1 RUB/USD movement in domestic currency $17-21m A $100/oz movement in the gold price ~$150m
PLong
by loco_mango
OZON ContinuationOZON HLDGS PLC Disclaimer/ On average, 90% of all stocks move down with the market, and 75% - up. The wave principle applies to some extent to individual stocks, but counting waves for them is often confusing and has little practical significance. But since the company has a large capitalization, we assume that the state of the shares depends on the psychology of the masses. With time in the distant future, not everything is clear. Due to the fact that the shares were placed recently, we are afraid of falling below the placement price (This trend can be seen in some companies)./
OLong
by loco_mango
2
HTF LONG - 0.6969 ETHBTC coming at yaCombination of fractal behavior and 3 years of consolidation is about to send Russia to the moon. Let's aim for that top trend line resistance. I know what the drawing says, but 0.6969 or 0.69420 ETHBTC is about where we should end the run. Next major correction... late July after a DeFi summer. Perhaps a sell the news event when EIP1559 comes out? Maybe the market sells on Ethlon Musk buying into $ETH after PoS, expecting him to talk shit about it a week later on Twitter. Can we rule anything out at this point? Following this as my guide until there's a major deviation.
Long
by pobudz
USDWTI H4 - Long SetupUSDWTI H4 A break short of $70/barrel would be quite significant in my eyes, threatening the break as we speak, but need to ideally see a solid H4 close below. Our H4 support region is trading marginally below that $70 whole number, but the 'zone' is still a decent support region. Just need to wait for price exhaustion, especially with a volatile pair like WTI. Not personally something I'm looking to trade this early on in the week, but worth updating the watchlist from yesterdays webinar.
FX_IDC:USDWTILong
by Trade_Simple_FX
Hacking For Ransom- A Franchise- When’s The IPO?My phone constantly rings with solicitations for solar energy, extending the automobile warranty for cars I got rid of years ago, and with dire warnings that charges are pending against me from social security, the IRS, or other agencies. Some are annoying, but many are scams. A few years ago, I opened an email that locked my entire computer system with a message that I would receive the key if I paid a handsome sum in Bitcoin. I chose to get rid of my hard drive and start all over again. Losing years of files was the price for an education. I have never opened a file from an unknown source since that experience. I am even extra careful with attachments from known sources these days. The hackers have been winning Companies have been paying- Colonial and JBS Cryptocurrencies are untraceable The US government says- You’re on your own The ramifications are staggering for businesses and markets Hackers are an ongoing and growing problem for individuals, companies, and even government agencies. Whether they sit in Russia, China, North Korea, or our own backyards, there seems to be no stopping the efforts to extract a ransom. Hackers have been attacking those with insufficient security and have become so technologically sophisticated that they can pierce cyber armor that protects data and the ability to conduct business. The ransom business is profitable. It has a low overhead and is growing. It is disruptive and dangerous. The nefarious offshoot of technological advances is so successful that a public offering of shares in hacking companies would likely receive a high valuation and lots of interest. After all, it’s a real money maker for the culprits. The hackers have been winning Around two years ago, my 91-year-old dad received a phone call from someone saying he was an attorney for his grandson. The caller said my son was involved in a car accident, was in the hospital in Boston, and was under arrest for driving under the influence. He asked my father to send money immediately for his grandson’s defense. Fortunately, he called me, and I immediately called my son, who was sitting at his desk at work in New York City. The call was a scam. I called the FBI, who said they deal with this every day, and there was little they could do as the scammers use networks and phones that are untraceable. Technology has only made law enforcement’s job more challenging. Savvy criminals have been winning. While we did not fall for the scam, many succumb as they pull on emotional drawstrings. What grandfather would not do anything to help or protect their grandchild? If one out of ten or even one hundred scamming attempts succeeds, the criminal venture is highly profitable. Meanwhile, hacking computers take scamming to a new level. When a hacker gets inside the systems of a business or a government agency, they can extract valuable data, proprietary corporate information or shut down all business activity. The latter seems to be the most profitable as companies with little choice are paying up and forking over millions, making hackers huge winners. Companies have been paying- Colonial and JBS Two hacking instances in 2021 temporarily roiled commodity markets. On May 7, Colonial Pipeline, a US oil pipeline system originating in Houston, Texas carries gasoline and jet fuel to the Southeastern United States, was the victim of a ransomware cyberattack. The hack impacted computerized equipment that manages the pipeline system. The move created fuel shortages and caused refining spreads to spike higher in mid-May. The chart shows the spike in the gasoline crack spread to $27.30 per barrel during the week of May 10. The refining margin moved to the highest level since September 2017 as the market feared shortages and consumers in the Southeast began hoarding gasoline. Jet fuel is a distillate oil product. The NYMEX heating oil futures contract is a proxy for other distillates like jet fuel. The chart of the heating oil refining spreads illustrates the rise to $21.28 per barrel during the week of May 10 as the Colonial Pipeline hack created fears of shortages. Colonial Pipeline CEO Joseph Blount told the US Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs; his company paid a $4.4 million ransom on May 8, the day after the attack. The payment was in Bitcoin, the hacker’s currency of choice. On June 1, JBS, the world’s leading beef supplier, suffered a hack of its computer networks that briefly shut down operations in the US and Australia. While the Colonial hack caused gasoline and distillate prices to spike higher, the beef markets spiked to the downside. August feeder cattle futures dropped to a low of $1.4510 on June 1. August live cattle futures plunged to $1.14625 per pound on fears that meat processing plants would not accept animals because of the hack. JBS CEO Andre Nogueira said the company paid hackers an $11 million ransom “to prevent any further risks for our customers.” Cryptocurrencies are untraceable Some market participants and government officials believe that Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are causing a rise in hacking that holds companies and individuals hostage. Cryptocurrencies are a libertarian form of money that flies beneath the radar of government officials, central banks, and regulators. While the blockchain records transactions, they are anonymous. Christine Lagarde, the President of the European Central Bank, and Janet Yellen, the US Treasury Secretary, have expressed concerns about the nefarious uses of cryptocurrencies long before the recent hacks. Passions run high in digital currencies. A few years ago, JP Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon called Bitcoin a “fraud.” At the same time, Warren Buffett, one of the world’s preeminent value investors, said cryptocurrencies are “financial rat poison squared.” Charlie Munger, Mr. Buffet’s 97-year-old partner, doubled down and called cryptocurrencies “disgusting” and a threat to civilization in recent comments. The lack of regulation and anonymity make Bitcoin and other cryptos a hacker’s dream. The US government says- You’re on your own The payment of ransom by companies that are critical parts of the US’s energy and food supply chain infrastructure is a failure of the government to protect the businesses and people they serve. Colonial and JBS pay taxes. The individuals that depend on their products pay taxes. The US government is responsible for a safe environment. While the Biden administration promised to get to the bottom of the hacking issues, the President said that the businesses were on their own. President Biden told a reporter, “The bottom line is that I cannot dictate that the private companies do certain things relative to cybersecurity. A lot of you are very seasoned reporters; you’ve been covering this debate up on the Capitol Hill for—before I became President—and, unrelated to President Trump, just a debate internally among Senators as to whether or not the government should be assisting. And it gets into privacy issues and a whole range of things.” The ransom payments were a sign that the businesses could not wait or depend on the world’s leading democracy for assistance. At a recent summit in Geneva, President Biden sought assistance from Russian leader Vladimir Putin as Russia is a leading source of hacking activity. Since the meeting, the hacks continue. Last week, the US leader called his Russian counterpart again to reiterate his displeasure. The ramifications are staggering for businesses and markets The ramifications of hacking for ransom are downright scary. If the culprits can hold a critical energy pipeline and the world’s leading beef supplier hostage, what about the US power grid, water supply, farm and logistical networks, and other critical infrastructure? When companies or individuals pay the ransom, there is no guarantee that the hackers will not demand more or refuse to provide the key so systems can operate. Moreover, a hack that takes data or proprietary information could be a gift that keeps on giving to hackers. It seems that the anonymity of the cryptocurrency asset class only exacerbates the problem. If a hacker cannot receive untraceable payment, they will be less likely to attack. Meanwhile, infrastructure, companies, and individuals remain at risk. With more regulation on the horizon, hackers may use a closing window of opportunity to step up their nefarious activities. A massive hack could impact markets across all asset classes, not only their prices but also their continued operation. Hacking and ransom attacks are a clear and present danger that is growing. They have the potential to disrupt markets and the supply chains for essential products and services. Use the link below to sign up for the next Monday Night Strategy Call Trading advice given in this communication, if any, is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that we believe are reliable. The author does not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects the author’s good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice the author provides will result in profitable trades. There is risk of loss in all futures and options trading. Any investment involves substantial risks, including, but not limited to, pricing volatility, inadequate liquidity, and the potential complete loss of principal. This article does not in any way constitute an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any investment, security, or commodity discussed herein, or any security in any jurisdiction in which such an offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.
NYMEX:CL1!
by Andy_Hecht
30
Polimetal(POLY)Disclaimer/ On average, 90% of all stocks move down with the market, and 75% move up. The wave principle applies to some extent to individual stocks, but counting the waves for them is often confusing and does not have much practical significance. But since the company has a large capitalization, we assume that the state of the shares depends on the psychology of the masses. Information Polymetal International plc shares are traded on the Moscow, Kazakhstan, and London Stock Exchanges, are included in the MICEX index, FTSE 250, and FTSE Gold Mines index. The portfolio of projects of JSC "Polymetal" includes 36 licenses with a total area of more than 7800 sq. km. DIVIDEND POLICY Effective August 26, 2020, to increase the transparency of the decision-making process on the amount of dividends and to ensure the predictability of capital allocation while maintaining the dividend yield at a level above the industry average, the Board of Directors approved the replacement of the special dividend with a new approach to the payment of the final dividend. Thus, the Company's amended dividend policy will assume the following: - The minimum amount of the final dividend will be 50% of the adjusted net profit for the second half of the year (provided that the ratio of net debt to adjusted EBITDA is below the established threshold of 2.5 x). - In addition, the Board of Directors reserves the right to increase the final dividend to a maximum payout of 100% of free cash flow (provided that it is greater than 50% of adjusted net income). In making this decision, the Board of Directors will take into account, among other factors, the Company's macroeconomic forecasts, debt burden, and future capital investments. - The interim dividend formula will remain unchanged – 50% of adjusted net profit for the first half of the year (subject to the ratio of net debt to adjusted EBITDA below the established threshold of 2.5 x). - The transfer of dividends to the shareholders ' accounts after payment takes some time. Please contact your broker for more details. Taking into account these changes, starting from 2021, Polymetal will pay dividends twice a year
P
by loco_mango
3
Polys(PLZL)Disclaimer/ On average, 90% of all stocks move down with the market, and 75% move up. The wave principle applies to some extent to individual stocks, but counting the waves for them is often confusing and does not have much practical significance. But since the company has a large capitalization, we assume that the state of the shares depends on the psychology of the masses. Information Polyus (formerly Polyus Gold) is a Russian gold mining company. One of the largest in the world and the largest in Russia in terms of gold production. It was founded in 2006 during the separation of the gold mining assets of OJSC MMC Norilsk Nickel (CJSC Polyus and its subsidiaries) into an independent public company on the basis of the assets owned by CJSC Polyus, a 100% subsidiary of Norilsk Nickel. In December 2006, American Depositary receipts (ADRs) for Polyus Gold shares were listed on the London Stock Exchange. In 2009, Russian businessman Suleiman Kerimov bought a 37 % stake in Polyus Gold from Vladimir Potanin for $1.3 billion. In 2011, as a result of the reversal agreement, the new holding company became Kazakhgold Group Limited, which in the same year was renamed Polyus Gold International Limited (PGIL). In June 2012, PGIL shares received a premium listing on the London Stock Exchange. In June 2017, PJSC Polyus conducted a secondary placement of its shares, in which 9% of the shares were placed for $800 million. In April 2019, 3.84% of the shares were sold as part of a new secondary placement procedure PJSC "Polyus" for about $390 million. As a result, the share of the company's securities in free circulation was about 20.51%.The Group's proven and probable reserves (P&P) amount to 64 million ounces — the third largest in the world
RUS:PLZL
by loco_mango
BTC/USDT The Volume is not enough! #SHORTI am so sorry for just basing my TA with how and what I feel... now I ve been checking the market and its movement together with the FUDs and good news... FUD = BTC Russia Tracked??? (FBI) Good news = Defi eyed by Amazon; hath 500$ Million to BTC by Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway. Considered TA: RSI ATR VOL and the Movement at 1D 4hr and 1HR considering the fri sat sun being the weakest days. We still have Huge fear and denial in the market. But the people who wants to Hodl and learn are many they are just silent. sold 50% to buy that 27 26 25
Short
by PuyatanHoldings
2
Trading Idea - #GAZPROMIn the short term a SELL, in the long term a BUY! SELL/SHORT ENTRY: 5.08 EUR TARGET: 4.35 EUR (+14%) STOP: 5.55 EUR 1.) Medium-term resistance level at 5.20 EUR seems to be too strong for the actual company situation! 2.) This stock could be of great interest to investors looking for returns. 3.) Now it's getting political!!!! The German government's coordinator for transatlantic cooperation, Peter Beyer (CDU), has described the construction of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline as an obstacle to restarting relations with the USA. He has shown willingness to freeze construction in order to be able to resolve difficulties with the USA. 4.) Nord Stream 2 is now around 95 percent complete, according to the information. The pipeline is expected to transport 55 billion cubic meters of natural gas from Russia to Germany per year. 5.) The upward sales expectations show a return of the positive expectations of the analysts at this company. 6.) The analysts' average target price is relatively far removed from the current price, which suggests a potentially significant long-term increase in value.
GShort
by Traderherz-Analytics
Trading Idea - #TCS Group HoldingSHORT ENTRY: 47.70 EUR TARGET1: 42.50 EUR (+10%) TARGET2: 36.60 EUR (+23%) STOP: 53.43 EUR 1.) TCS is losing momentum. Couldn't break the 53.00 EUR resistance line! 2.) after a strong upward trend with 2 significant impulses, I expect a 2-step correction. See above TARGET 1 and TARGET 2! 3.) The main business of TCS Group Holding is private customer banking within the Russian Federation, which is handled by Tinkoff Bank. TCS is a provider of online financial services for private customers via its own platform. TCS Bank specializes in credit cards and online consumer credit in Russia. 4.) TCS announces a massive buyback of shares by August 2021. The necessary expenditures could force the share into the correction in the medium term.
1Short
by Traderherz-Analytics