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Raytheon - A Potential Earnings Pump To WatchEveryone wants to get rich quick. Because getting rich quick means you: a) Get rich b) Quick Then you can wear big ugly sunglasses, a crappy t-shirt, flipflops, sit on the beach, eat a lot of meat, drink a lot of alcohol, and be promiscuous with women. This is the modern human's dream, right? And so everyone loves to speculate on potential earnings pumps and dumps. There really is more to aim for in life. Raytheon is one of the U.S. Military Industrial Complex cornerstones and is more or less a weapons mill for the NATO proxy war in Ukraine, which is of note because of the recent escalations of the conflict and how it can affect the U.S. Petrodollar, and thus bonds, oil, gold, equities, everything. DXY - The US Petrdollar And The "Prigozhin Coup" In Russia Geopolitically, the conflict between China and the International Rules Based Order is heating up. The current edict is to "de-risk but not decouple" from China (notice they never say "from the Chinese Communist Party"?). In mid-June CEO Hayes was quoted by the propaganda machines as stating that decoupling from China was pretty much impossible because of all the parts and components that are manufactured in the mainland. What this means, if you ask me, is that going forward, certain companies are going to have a very hard time meeting their target EPS and revenue estimates. Raytheon may very well be one of them, as foreshadowed by a salvo of sanctions the Xi Jinping administration placed on them and Lockheed Martin. The situation in China is very volatile right now. The IRBO wants control of China when the CCP falls. Xi Jinping and the other nationalists want to make sure that outside forces do not steal the motherland. And so one day soon, we may find that Xi has thrown away the CCP in the middle of the U.S. night, and the markets will have themselves a series of consecutive red days like we've all never seen before. Xi can weaponize the crimes against humanity that the Party and the Jiang Zemin faction have committed in the persecution of Falun Gong that started on July 20, 1999, and use the truth to protect both himself and China. Organ harvesting and genocide of a group of 100 million spiritual cultivators with upright faith is certainly enough of a weapon to handle all the threats the motherland can be facing. So why do you care about this if you're trading Raytheon? Because a basic principle of markets is they go up when big money is selling and go down when big money is buying. Raytheon and other military companies ironically never really pumped following the QE recovery from the COVID pandemic dump. It wasn't until the Ukraine War began that Raytheon finally ran the highs. And then it retraced. That kind of retrace is actually really bullish and what bulls should want to see if they want their $145 billion~ company to become a $1.4 trillion company. But the problem with the theory is more manifest on the weekly charts: 31 weeks of ranging and no breakout is not bullish. And yet, after taking lows, it continues to recover. The most notable price swing is the $105 to $92 leg that just occurred. I feel that Raytheon has some fundamental hidden bearish divergences to it and this is why it has traded this way all along, with the ultimate purpose of selling a lot high, and then selling it all above the all time high. This hidden divergence, I think, is that U.S.-based companies may find themselves cut off from the Chinese supply chain in the very near future. Only to tip all the bulls on their backs like stranded turtles and then dump and dump and dump and dump and not come back. So I believe that with the setup at hand, the catalyst is actually the July earnings. But if you look back at previous earnings, Raytheon doesn't have major pumps. It can go a bit and then it will run after. Implied volatility on options for the July 28 expiry are only 20%, slightly higher than the 17% average. But before we get there, I expect we're going to see prices return to the $92-93 range and give the best buying opportunity. The catalyst for this, I believe, will simply be market-wide correction, which I outline in the following two posts: Nasdaq - The Great Bear Trap And SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' In summary, there will be a shakeout in equities that will probably not be long lived, even if it's violent. And after that, things will make their final run up, many of which will set new highs or new 52W highs, etc. What's left for the remainder of 2023 and the start of 2024 doesn't look like it's going to be very pleasant, to speak frankly. So make sure if you see Raytheon at a new high, you don't go getting ahead of yourself, longing the top.
NYSE:RTXLong
by LordWrymouth
1
Grains outlook hangs in the balance of the Black Sea Grain deal The failed rebellion by the Wagner group over the June 24th weekend brought to light not only the ineptitude of the Russian top military command but also the carefully crafted image of President Putin as the guarantor of stability. Putin’s assertion that the quick end of the 24-hour revolt had shown the unity of Russians behind him was contradicted by footage of adoring crowds cheering Prigozhin and his fighters as they came out of a southern city they had occupied. It is possible that Putin could step up the escalation between Russia and Ukraine to re-establish his position which currently appears weakened. The recent political turmoil in Russia lowers the probability of the Black Sea Grain deal being extended beyond mid-July (current deal expires on July 18th). No respite in Russia’s sabre-rattling Even prior to the failed coup in Russia, pessimism had been expressed by both the Russian and Ukrainian sides. One senior Ukrainian diplomat has even spoken of a 99% probability of Russia withdrawing from the agreement. Russia has repeatedly threatened to quit the deal, complaining that obstacles remain to its own exports of food and fertilizer. It has also demanded the re-opening of the ammonia pipeline as a condition for renewing the grain corridor deal through the Black Sea. However, the ammonia pipeline was damaged a day before the Kakhovka dam was destroyed on June 6. This increases the risk that Russia could after all follow through on its threat and revoke the grain deal as early as July. Grains outlook clouded by Black Sea Grain deal The original agreement brokered on 22 July 2022, by the United Nations and Turkey to open a safe maritime humanitarian corridor in the Black Sea helped to address the global food security crisis and lower grains prices. Participants on the agricultural markets remain anxious on the extension of the current deal and it could lend additional tailwinds to grains prices. According to data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, wheat, corn and soybeans saw a 21%, 43% and 35% decline in short positioning underscoring a shift in sentiment towards weather uncertainty and geopolitical risk premiums. Top wheat producers forecast weak supply outlook owing to adverse weather conditions The prospects for the wheat crop in key producer countries has disappointed of late owing to adverse weather conditions. Dry conditions and low soil moisture in the west and east coasts of Australia imply that much of the 2023-24 crop has been sown dry and will require adequate and timely rain to allow the plants to germinate. Wheat is a major winter crop in Australia with planting from April and the harvest starting in November. The expected onset of the El Niño conditions from July will likely see winter crop output fall significantly according to Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Science (ABARES). Across the globe, wild weather is affecting crops elsewhere, including Americas and North Africa. Europe is also being impacted by high temperatures and scant rainfall, increasing the risk of damage to the continent’s wheat crops. On the flip side, Canada and Ukrainian wheat supply forecasts are positive. According to Statistics Canada, 26.9 million acres have been planted with wheat – not only is this the highest figure in 22 years, it is also 0.4 million acres more than the analysts surveyed by Bloomberg had expected . The Ukrainian Grain Association (UGA) predicts significantly higher yields this year, meaning that the crop – contrary to what has been expected so far – could actually turn out to be higher than last season. However Ukrainian farmers are likely to struggle to export their grain owing to the uncertainty surrounding the Black Sea grains corridor. Corn market remains bullish Dry weather in the US and Europe has seen the condition of the corn and soybean crop deteriorate resulting in a price positive environment for corn and soybean. The United States Department of Agriculture’s (USDA) in its latest crop progress report continues to highlight concerns for the US corn and soybean crop, given the current dry weather conditions. The USDA rates 50% of the corn crop in good-to-excellent condition compared to 67% seen at the same stage last year. Moreover, the rating of the corn crop is the lowest seen for this time of year since 1988. This implies that the USDA’s optimistic forecast of 15.3bn bushels for the us corn crop in 2023/24 will hardly prove reasonable any longer. The National Centres for Environmental Prediction said it expects many parts of the Corn Belt that have been turning dry over the past month will get more rain than usual for this time of year over the next two weeks marking a change from earlier indications that El Niño would limit rainfall for thirsty crops. Soybean is also facing a similar story with 51% of the soybean crop rated good-to-excellent condition compared to 65% at the same time last year . Growing pessimism over the extension of the Black Sea Grains deal beyond mid-July is also likely to lend an additional tailwind for corn and soybean. Weak Chinese imports through most of the 2022/23 season surged in May to over 14.8mmt of corn, wheat, and soybeans, which was the highest monthly total since June 2021 . However we would caution that a fairly muted crop-based biofuel quotas from the US Environmental Protection Agency could offset some of the strength in Chinese demand. The front end of the soybean futures curve has extended its backwardation, now providing investors a 6.4% roll yield compared to 0% last month . This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
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by aneekaguptaWTE
7
✏️ XAU/USD : Gold Will be Fall more ?By examining this chart in the weekly time frame, we can see that the price had faced the pressure of demand several times in the past weeks by reaching $1935 and even managed to grow up to $1984! Now the price has penetrated below this level and this can cause gold to fall more in the weekly time frame! If the price stabilizes below $1938, we can expect a drop to targets below $1900! If this scenario is realized, its downward targets are $1901, $1872, $1856, and $1847, respectively! Don't Forghet To Push The Boost (Like) Button and Follow Me for more ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban The Last and Main TA :
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
14
GLD Bullish Outlook 06/26-30/2023AMEX:GLD is hot on my watch list as uncertainty in the world markets should cause investors to park their money in gold. AMEX:GLD is down -4% for the quarter and is due for a rebound. Technical Analysis: AMEX:GLD has been consolidating in a falling wedge and is approaching the .618 retrace at 177.24. I lean bullish on AMEX:GLD as long as we don’t break the falling wedge structure and can hold above the gap at 176.18. I am expecting a gap fill to the upside at 181.37. Bears will want to see this falling wedge invalidate with a gap to fill to the downside at 173.80. Upside Targets: 178.75 → 179.84 → 181.08 → 181.97 → 183.21 Downside Targets: 177.78 → 176.82 → 176.20 → 174.83 → 174.46
AMEX:GLD
by peterjames_6
$XAU - NATH's Ahead ? LONG opportunities incoming for Gold *W (tf) (wave 5) Wave 4 completed ? Long Confirmation is anticipated with the red trendline resistance breakout and CHoCH's on smaller time frames. Current support trendline support on green and 20EMA on *W TA speaking, Gold is sitting at a very sweet spot until the uptrend is invalidated - Looking ahead for New All Time Highs for Gold in the midst of this troubleshooting frenzy Economic Enviroment US's Debt Ceiling Crisis and governments not trusting any longer The US Dollar in their balance sheets. Did you know that through-out 2022 and the on-going of 2023 amongst many countries, Russia and China, two Global Superpowers, have been stacking Gold up as their State Reserves in heavy amounts ! Do they know something we don't !? TRADE SAFE ! *** Note that this is not Financial Advice ! Please do your own research and consult your own Financial Advisor before partaking on any trading activity based alone in this idea
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mr_J__fx
Geopolitical tensions lend a tailwind to wheatThe geopolitics of wheat has once again come under the spotlight. Wheat prices jumped 4%1 as news broke out that a major dam Kakhovka in southern Ukraine had been destroyed. This is not the first mishap with the dam, as both Russia and Ukraine accused each other of planning sabotage back in October 2022. In Ukraine, flooding caused by the destroyed Kakhovka dam not only poses a risk to people, but also will be a major obstruction to agricultural transport and logistics. This casts further doubts on the recently lowered forecasts for Ukraine’s wheat production and exports owing to the destruction. The dam and reservoir situated on the Dnipro River is in the middle of Ukraine’s traditional main wheat growing area and is a major source of farm irrigation. No respite in Russia’s sabre-rattling There has been no respite in Russia’s sabre-rattling surrounding the Black Sea Grain Initiative, which was extended last month for an additional two months. The initiative has been instrumental in allowing Ukrainian grain flows to the world by creating a safe transit corridor. Russia has repeatedly specified the re-opening of the ammonia pipeline as a condition for renewing the grain corridor deal through the Black Sea. However, the ammonia pipeline was damaged a day before the Kakhovka dam was destroyed. This increases the risk that Russia could after all follow through on its threat and revoke the grain deal as early as next month. Net speculative positioning in wheat indicates a level of peak bearishness Market participants were caught off-guard evident from the knee-jerk reaction of wheat prices, up 4%2, intraday following the news. According to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), net speculative positioning in wheat futures was more than 2-standard deviations below the mean3, underscoring the extent of the bearish view held among investors. Dry weather to slash Australia’s next wheat crop by a third Another catalyst fuelling wheat prices higher was an early season estimate from Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Science (ABARES) for a 34% slump in Australia’s wheat production in the coming season. The main reason cited by ABARES is the development of El Niño which is likely to suppress rainfall across large parts of Australia. Dry conditions and low soil moisture in the west and east coasts of Australia imply that much of the 2023-24 crop has been sown dry and will require adequate and timely rain to allow the plants to germinate. Wheat is a major winter crop in Australia with planting from April and the harvest starting in November. The expected onset of the El Niño conditions from July will likely see winter crop output fall significantly according to ABARES. According to the Bureau of Meteorology the dry weather has arrived, with the second driest May on record nationwide and the driest in Western Australia since observations began. Extreme weather conditions among top wheat suppliers to weigh on 2023/24 forecasts Across the globe, wild weather is affecting crops elsewhere, including Americas and North Africa. Europe is also being impacted by high temperatures and scant rainfall, increasing the risk of damage to the continent’s wheat crops. In France, the EU’s largest wheat producer, growing conditions in areas planted to wheat have deteriorated rapidly in recent weeks. The harvest in the largest wheat consumer China has also been affected by torrential rains, potentially boosting demand for wheat imports. Sources 1 Bloomberg as of 6 June 2023 2 Bloomberg as of 6 June 2023 3 Commodity Futures Trading Commission as of 30 May 2023
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by aneekaguptaWTE
$BTC - Bulls vs Bears All you need to know about #bitcoin and where it's at , Fundamentally and TA speaking ; Fundamentally, there is a mixed feeling between Bulls and Bears. They both have their solid case ; Recently #bitcoin has been fueled in price by the Banking Crisis which is likely to continue, and Feds may be on no support of banks bailout, as the US Debt Ceiling has reached it's climax and Congress seem to be very against expanding it furthermore. All this Banking Craze might give #Bitcoin a real Bullish fundamental case when it comes to being applied as ; ' Be your own Bank ' ... adding in to that, Technical Case of TA with 19.6K holding so far as a Higher Low from 15K (which indicates a bullish uptrend momentum and a speculative Bottom there compared to previous Halving Cycles) While with Bears on the other side foreseeing incoming looming times for Financial Markets and a US Recession or a Global One (with BRICS coming forth united) adding high risk to TVC:DXY as a Global Reserve Currency. China and Russia have been purchasing Gold heavily past year and ongoing through 2023 Bears have a real case as well as we've seen #bitcoin being highly correlated to Equities Sector of Wall Street, so it won't escape their gravity pull on Bearish Momentum. Whatever happens between Bulls VS Bears that is yet to be seen. 2023 has been so far the year of OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) and other precious metals due to Macro Economic Risks, Banks Meltdown, and Geo Politics (BRICS and Russia vs Ukraine ongoing war) Bitcoin being an deflationary asset in it's nature , has out-performed them YTD with a high of 72% ROI . Future belongs to the Bulls alongside deflationary assets.
by Mr_J__fx
UKOIL's Slippery Slope Heads Towards $60 Before New ATH of $500+Based on analysis of UKOIL's all-time chart from year 18xx, I believe it to be in a massive Flat correction. With Wave A of the Flat stretching down from $145 to $16, this gives implication that Wave B is likely to move up to the range of $331-$557, likely before the year 2030 arrives. RSI divergence on the monthly chart should also be present during the anticipated run to an ATH. If so, this will confirm a very deep and sharp move to follow.
TVC:UKOIL
by DigitalSurfTrading
The Rise (mean reversion) of the Russian RubleThe Russian Ruble is represented on an inverted, logarithmic scale vs.the G/S & G7 currency basket, where a rise in price levels on the chart indicates an irise in the Ruble. For all the widely known reasons the Russian Ruble remains a remarkably accurate yard stick of the march of imperialism and the states of various hegemonies ("Globalization", in short) for the past 20 years. The Russian Federation maintains 0 (zero) debt , a positive account balance, combined with what is most likely the largest horde of gold & foreign reserves outside (and insulated from) Western jurisdictions, making the currency remarkably stable - despite all the propaganda and wishful thinking to the contrary -, for the past two decades. (It has proven itself far more stable than other means or stores of value across the G-7. This is clearly a thorn in the side of others' continued imperialist aspirations.) These facts simply highlight the present (and potential future) opportunity, wherein any significant deviation from the Median likely represents a significant trading opportunity. LONG p.s. On the contrary, the current vogue of wide spread and simple-minded speculations, heralding the rise of China and hence, the Yuan/Remninbi as the new, potentially global reserve currency, are so fundamentally flawed that entire books have addressed the topic as of late, examining it in great detail and with accuracy. I.e., a rapidly collapsing Chinese population, quickly followed by de-industralization and de-urbanization a stable, global reserve currency does not make! - Among other, inherently disqualifying factors.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Nemo_Confidat
What Trader Needs Bitcoin Analysis: Technical and Fundamental Factors to Consider Bitcoin, the world's first decentralized digital currency, has been the subject of much discussion and analysis since its inception. As with any investment, it's important to conduct a thorough analysis of Bitcoin before making a decision to buy, sell or hold. Here, we'll explore the technical and fundamental factors that can impact Bitcoin's price. Technical Analysis: Elliot Wave Theory is a popular technical analysis tool used by traders to predict market trends. According to this theory, Bitcoin is currently in the 5th wave of its upward trend, with a correction expected in the form of an ABC pattern. The correction is expected to be between the 22,000 and 20,000 range, making it a potentially attractive entry point for short-term investors. Additionally, Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.50 and 0.618 can be used to measure the correction. While there is a possibility of Bitcoin falling below the 20,000 level, it's hard to predict given the unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market. Fundamental Analysis: Apart from technical analysis, there are several fundamental factors to consider when analyzing Bitcoin's price. The upcoming Bitcoin halving event is one of the most significant events on the horizon. Halving is an event that occurs every four years, wherein the number of new Bitcoins generated every 10 minutes is halved. This reduction in supply can lead to an increase in demand and subsequently drive the price up. Additionally, geopolitical tensions can also have a significant impact on Bitcoin's price. The ongoing conflicts in Europe, Russia, China, Taiwan, Israel, and Iran can create uncertainty in the market and lead to volatility. Moreover, the reduction in the productivity of oil and gas by Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Russia can impact Bitcoin's price since it is often viewed as a hedge against inflation. Conclusion: In conclusion, Bitcoin analysis requires a holistic approach, taking into account both technical and fundamental factors. While technical analysis can help predict market trends, fundamental factors such as the halving event and geopolitical tensions can also impact the price of Bitcoin. Investors need to conduct their own research, understand the risks involved, and invest accordingly.
by Htback
4
The USD, China and the De-dollarization challengeThe US dollar has maintained its status as the world's dominant reserve currency for decades, thanks to its perceived security, resilience, and the depth and liquidity of US markets. Despite concerns surrounding the dollar's hegemony, it remains a crucial player in global transactions. Meanwhile, China's economy faces challenges, such as growing provincial government debt, an expanding real estate bubble, and potentially inflated GDP numbers. In addition, China's need for US dollars and the push for de-dollarization by countries like Russia, China, Iran, and Saudi Arabia have gained attention. This analysis will explore these issues in depth and examine why moving away from the US dollar system is complex. China's increasing debt, falling real estate prices, and the growth of its banking assets to around 55% of Global GDP are all causes for concern. The country's M2 money supply has grown at a 9% yearly rate, reaching HKEX:40 trillion, more than double its GDP. If China's GDP numbers are indeed inflated, as suggested by the Brookings Institution, this could exacerbate the problem. Moreover, the yuan (RMB) faces significant challenges in becoming a globally accepted reserve currency, primarily due to China's capital controls, illiquid markets, and authoritarian governance. In contrast, the US dollar remains dominant in global central bank reserves and transactions. This is partly due to the dollar's resilience and the perception of the US's security and stability. Although reserves have shifted for countries with closer trade relations with China, such as Indonesia, Malaysia, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Chile, the US dollar remains the world standard for now. The push for de-dollarization has gained momentum recently, particularly after the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Western sanctions against Russia. Countries like Russia, China, Iran, and Saudi Arabia seek to move away from the US dollar system to reduce their dependency on the US economy and gain more control over their financial systems. However, moving away from the US dollar system is challenging for several reasons. First, the US dollar's dominance in global markets ensures its continued importance in international trade. Even if countries like China and Russia attempt to shift away from the dollar, many other countries will likely continue to rely on it for their transactions, as it provides stability and liquidity. Second, while the yuan is gaining prominence as a reserve currency, it still faces significant hurdles in becoming a globally accepted alternative to the US dollar. China's capital controls, illiquid markets, and authoritarian governance make it difficult for other countries to trust the yuan as a reliable reserve currency. As a result, it is unlikely to replace the US dollar on a large scale in the foreseeable future. Third, OPEC members continue to price their oil in US dollars, despite the currency's decline relative to other world currencies. Economic, technical, and political factors prevent them from switching to other currencies or a basket of currencies. The benefits of such a switch are limited, and it would not benefit all OPEC members equally. Furthermore, the US will unlikely allow OPEC to disregard the dollar without consequences. Finally, the BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) are reportedly considering creating a new currency to facilitate trade and promote de-dollarization. However, this plan faces several obstacles, such as political disagreements among the BRICS countries and convincing other nations to adopt this new currency. Additionally, the benefits of a new BRICS currency are uncertain, and it may not be enough to destabilize the US dollar's dominance in global markets. In conclusion, while there are signs of a shift in the balance of global reserve currencies, it is premature.
by BitcoinMacro
The ruble - cylinder in a cylinder in which a rabbitGood evening ladies and gentlemen for a long time I could not comprehend the schedule, pondered for weeks, days and nights on the full moon closer to Easter Sunday I realized: USD\RUB is a livermore cylinder more precisely, I would say a cylinder in a cylinder in which a rabbit Nabiullina, of course, is still a magician, but the rabbit is real, and tricks are tricks. I also have one in stock: if the forecast does not come true, I will say that this dog ran over the keyboard and posted a post Yes, exactly - not funny at all - but tricks - it's not jokes. I told you, tricks are tricks. Okay, the magic starts to end I’ll go as soon as possible, the ficus is drying up, I need to water it. Bye
by rivatrick
BTC UPDATE APRIL 5 2023Bitcoin Update: Resistance at $29,000 and a Potential Correction to $24,500 As of April 5th, 2023, Bitcoin is trading at around $28,000 USD, and the price has been trying to break out of the $29,000 area for the past two weeks. However, there seems to be a lot of resistance there, pushing the price down to the support levels at $28,000 and $27,600. On the other hand, an Elliot Wave structure has formed, with five waves up, and the current trading is at the fifth wave. These wave counts started from the formed bottom a few months back. Additionally, at the bottom area of $15,000, a falling wedge structure has been spotted. According to the Fibonacci retracement tool, this falling wedge targets 1.618 fib levels, which is the golden ratio between $29,000 and $30,800 areas. There are two possibilities at this point. The first is that Bitcoin will break out of the $29,200 areas and push the price up to $30,800 and possibly even higher. The second possibility is that a correction will start from the current levels towards the $25K-$24.5K areas. Once we reach there, an update will be provided. With 12 years of experience in trading and stock markets, the feeling is that Bitcoin has not yet finished the correction from the top that was made at the $69,000 areas. Therefore, it is important to keep an eye on the price action and be prepared for any potential volatility. Good luck.
by Htback
2
Gold Update Urgent Gold Price Forecast in Light of Finland's NATO Membership and Potential Conflict in Europe With Finland's recent entry into NATO, there is increasing speculation about the potential for conflict in northern and eastern Europe. As tensions continue to rise between Russia and NATO, the price of gold is likely to see a significant increase. As a safe-haven asset, gold has historically been a popular investment during times of geopolitical uncertainty and global conflict. With the threat of war looming, investors may turn to gold as a way to protect their wealth. Furthermore, the increase in demand for gold could be further fueled by the weakening of the U.S. dollar, which typically leads to a rise in the price of gold. As investors seek to hedge against inflation and currency devaluation, the demand for gold may increase, driving up its price. It remains to be seen how the situation in Europe will unfold, and whether the tensions will escalate into a full-blown conflict. However, if the worst-case scenario does occur, it is likely that the price of gold will continue to rise as investors look for a safe haven amidst the chaos. In summary, the recent developments in Europe have the potential to significantly impact the price of gold. Investors should closely monitor the situation and consider adding gold to their portfolios as a hedge against geopolitical risks and inflation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Htback
XRP General MovesRecent Price Movements and Potential Future Outlook XRP, also known as Ripple, has been in the news recently due to some positive developments, which have led to a price increase. However, the price of XRP has been volatile and has experienced significant fluctuations in the past few weeks. In this article, we will analyze the recent price movements of XRP and discuss its potential future outlook. Price Movements On March 31, 2023, the price of XRP reached a high of 0.588 USD, which was the highest it had been in several months. However, the price soon began to decline, and it currently sits around the 0.5 USD mark. This price decline can be attributed to several factors, including the overall market conditions, as well as concerns about the potential impact of Bitcoin's price movements. Support Levels Despite the recent price decline, there are some good support levels for XRP. The 0.5 USD mark is a significant support level, and it is possible that the price may bounce back from this level. Additionally, the 0.432 USD mark, which is where the rally started, could potentially be retested in the next few days. If this occurs, it may present an opportunity to buy XRP at a lower price. Future Outlook The future outlook for XRP is uncertain, and much will depend on the overall market conditions and the movements of other major cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin. If Bitcoin's price continues to decline, it is likely that XRP will also experience a price decline. However, if the market stabilizes and Bitcoin's price begins to increase again, XRP may also experience a price increase. Conclusion In conclusion, XRP has experienced significant price movements in the past few weeks, and its future outlook is uncertain. While there are some good support levels for XRP, it is important to be cautious when trading in these volatile market conditions. It may be worth waiting for further confirmation before buying XRP, especially if there are concerns about the potential impact of Bitcoin's price movements.
by Htback
Bitcoin : Be Ready for the next moves Good Day Everyone Bitcoin's Consolidation at 28/28.5k Areas Suggests Possible Retest of 25k Areas Bitcoin, the world's most popular cryptocurrency, has been consolidating in the 28/28.5k areas for some time now. This consolidation phase suggests that a possible downside move may be in the cards, with the 25k areas being the likely target for a retest. One of the key indicators that support this bearish scenario is the RSI (Relative Strength Index), which is currently in overbought territory on the daily timeframe, with readings above 60 points. This level of RSI typically suggests that an asset is due for a corrective move. Furthermore, the wave 5, which was previously discussed, is now completed, and any further extension would require a breakout above the 29k areas. However, the current price movements and volume do not seem to support such an upward move anytime soon. Given the current market conditions, the best trading strategy, in my opinion, would be to sell around the 28.4/28.5k areas, with a stop-loss set above 29k. For those trading on leverage, it is advisable to use a low leverage of 3-5x maximum to minimize potential losses. Overall, while there is still some uncertainty in the crypto market, the consolidation phase at the 28/28.5k areas and the overbought RSI suggest that a corrective move may be imminent, with the 25k areas being a likely target for a retest. As always, it is crucial to stay up-to-date with the latest market developments and adjust trading strategies accordingly. Good Luck And Have A Nice Weekend
Short
by Htback
GOLD AND WORLD TENSIONS GOOD DAY FELLAS Gold, represented as XAU USD, is currently trading at 1980 USD. While many market participants expect gold to break its previous high of 2080 USD, there are diverging opinions on the future price direction of gold. In this analysis, we will explore the fundamental and technical factors that could influence the price of gold in the short and long term. Fundamentally, gold is seen as a safe haven asset, and its price is often influenced by geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty. The US dollar is also an important factor in the price of gold, as they are inversely correlated. As the dollar weakens, gold becomes relatively cheaper for holders of other currencies, and demand for gold tends to increase. Conversely, when the dollar strengthens, the demand for gold weakens. Currently, tensions around the world are high, and there is economic uncertainty in various regions. The US dollar is also under pressure due to the increasing national debt and the ongoing tensions. These factors suggest that demand for gold could increase in the short term. However, I believe that the US will not allow markets to turn against the dollar, which could impact the price of gold. From a technical perspective, i believe that gold is currently undergoing a correction on the weekly time frame. This correction is targeting the downward support zone, which intersects with the golden ratio of Fibonacci at 1370-1500 USD dollars. This zone is seen as an attractive level to buy gold. Fibonacci ratios are often used by technical analysts to identify potential levels of support and resistance in financial markets. In summary, the current price of gold is 1980 USD, and there are diverging opinions on its future price direction. While geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty could support the price of gold in the short term, the US dollar and government intervention in markets could limit its upside potential. From a technical perspective, gold is currently undergoing a correction, and a potential buying opportunity is seen at the support zone of 1370-1500 USD dollars A LIKE ON THIS POST WOULD HELP ME A LOT IF YOU PLEASE ,,
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Htback
3
bitcoin and world war 3Good Day Everyone It is understandable to feel cautious about investing and trading in the current geopolitical climate. There are indeed tensions between several countries, such as China and the USA, Israel and Iran, and Russia and NATO, among others. These conflicts could potentially escalate and lead to a full-scale world war. However, it is important to keep in mind that predicting the occurrence of a world war is complex and uncertain. While there are geopolitical risks, these do not necessarily mean that trading in decentralized assets like cryptocurrencies will inevitably result in the loss of all your money. Investments, including trading in cryptocurrencies, always involve risks. Risk management is an essential aspect of investing, and it is up to each individual to assess and manage their own risk tolerance. While the current global situation may warrant caution, it is important to remember that diversification is key to managing risk. Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has recently been trading at around 29,000 USD. This is a significant drop from its all-time high of nearly 65,000 USD in mid-April 2021. The volatility of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is well-known, with prices often fluctuating wildly in response to a wide range of factors, from news events to regulatory changes and market sentiment. One major factor that is currently contributing to the uncertainty and volatility in the cryptocurrency market is the prospect of a potential world war. While the likelihood of such an event remains uncertain, there are certainly many geopolitical tensions and conflicts around the world that could potentially escalate into something more serious. In such a scenario, investors may be looking to reduce their exposure to high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies and move their money into safer, more stable investments. It is worth noting, however, that the decision to pull out of cryptocurrencies and other high-risk assets should not be taken lightly. While these investments can be volatile and risky, they can also offer potentially high returns for those who are willing to take on the risk. Moreover, there are many factors that can affect the price of cryptocurrencies, including government regulations, technological advancements, and changes in investor sentiment. Therefore, it is important for investors to carefully consider their options and assess the risks and rewards of different investment strategies. It may be wise to consult with a financial advisor or investment professional before making any major investment decisions. In the meantime, it is important to stay informed about the latest developments in the world and to monitor the situation closely. While there is no way to predict the future with certainty, having a solid understanding of the risks and opportunities in the market can help investors make informed decisions and navigate the ups and downs of the crypto market.
by Htback
GOLD TRIPLE TOP - WAR END?All eyes are on Chinese President Xi Jinping’s state visit to Russia that begins on Monday. During the three-day visit, the leaders of the two nations will discuss the deepening of economic and political cooperation as well as the war in Ukraine. If this meeting tends to reach a diplomatic solution to end Russia-Ukraine war then Gold will see a massive sell-off. Also, FED is very likely to add a 25BPS to reach 5% interest rate, kinda expected but it brings more pain to markets. I will keep updating this, follow to get alerts 🔔
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by dogofwallstreets