What Trader Needs Bitcoin Analysis: Technical and Fundamental Factors to Consider
Bitcoin, the world's first decentralized digital currency, has been the subject of much discussion and analysis since its inception. As with any investment, it's important to conduct a thorough analysis of Bitcoin before making a decision to buy, sell or hold. Here, we'll explore the technical and fundamental factors that can impact Bitcoin's price.
Technical Analysis:
Elliot Wave Theory is a popular technical analysis tool used by traders to predict market trends. According to this theory, Bitcoin is currently in the 5th wave of its upward trend, with a correction expected in the form of an ABC pattern. The correction is expected to be between the 22,000 and 20,000 range, making it a potentially attractive entry point for short-term investors.
Additionally, Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.50 and 0.618 can be used to measure the correction. While there is a possibility of Bitcoin falling below the 20,000 level, it's hard to predict given the unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market.
Fundamental Analysis:
Apart from technical analysis, there are several fundamental factors to consider when analyzing Bitcoin's price. The upcoming Bitcoin halving event is one of the most significant events on the horizon. Halving is an event that occurs every four years, wherein the number of new Bitcoins generated every 10 minutes is halved. This reduction in supply can lead to an increase in demand and subsequently drive the price up.
Additionally, geopolitical tensions can also have a significant impact on Bitcoin's price. The ongoing conflicts in Europe, Russia, China, Taiwan, Israel, and Iran can create uncertainty in the market and lead to volatility. Moreover, the reduction in the productivity of oil and gas by Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Russia can impact Bitcoin's price since it is often viewed as a hedge against inflation.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, Bitcoin analysis requires a holistic approach, taking into account both technical and fundamental factors. While technical analysis can help predict market trends, fundamental factors such as the halving event and geopolitical tensions can also impact the price of Bitcoin. Investors need to conduct their own research, understand the risks involved, and invest accordingly.
Russia
The USD, China and the De-dollarization challengeThe US dollar has maintained its status as the world's dominant reserve currency for decades, thanks to its perceived security, resilience, and the depth and liquidity of US markets. Despite concerns surrounding the dollar's hegemony, it remains a crucial player in global transactions. Meanwhile, China's economy faces challenges, such as growing provincial government debt, an expanding real estate bubble, and potentially inflated GDP numbers. In addition, China's need for US dollars and the push for de-dollarization by countries like Russia, China, Iran, and Saudi Arabia have gained attention. This analysis will explore these issues in depth and examine why moving away from the US dollar system is complex.
China's increasing debt, falling real estate prices, and the growth of its banking assets to around 55% of Global GDP are all causes for concern. The country's M2 money supply has grown at a 9% yearly rate, reaching HKEX:40 trillion, more than double its GDP. If China's GDP numbers are indeed inflated, as suggested by the Brookings Institution, this could exacerbate the problem. Moreover, the yuan (RMB) faces significant challenges in becoming a globally accepted reserve currency, primarily due to China's capital controls, illiquid markets, and authoritarian governance.
In contrast, the US dollar remains dominant in global central bank reserves and transactions. This is partly due to the dollar's resilience and the perception of the US's security and stability. Although reserves have shifted for countries with closer trade relations with China, such as Indonesia, Malaysia, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Chile, the US dollar remains the world standard for now.
The push for de-dollarization has gained momentum recently, particularly after the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Western sanctions against Russia. Countries like Russia, China, Iran, and Saudi Arabia seek to move away from the US dollar system to reduce their dependency on the US economy and gain more control over their financial systems. However, moving away from the US dollar system is challenging for several reasons.
First, the US dollar's dominance in global markets ensures its continued importance in international trade. Even if countries like China and Russia attempt to shift away from the dollar, many other countries will likely continue to rely on it for their transactions, as it provides stability and liquidity.
Second, while the yuan is gaining prominence as a reserve currency, it still faces significant hurdles in becoming a globally accepted alternative to the US dollar. China's capital controls, illiquid markets, and authoritarian governance make it difficult for other countries to trust the yuan as a reliable reserve currency. As a result, it is unlikely to replace the US dollar on a large scale in the foreseeable future.
Third, OPEC members continue to price their oil in US dollars, despite the currency's decline relative to other world currencies. Economic, technical, and political factors prevent them from switching to other currencies or a basket of currencies. The benefits of such a switch are limited, and it would not benefit all OPEC members equally. Furthermore, the US will unlikely allow OPEC to disregard the dollar without consequences.
Finally, the BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) are reportedly considering creating a new currency to facilitate trade and promote de-dollarization. However, this plan faces several obstacles, such as political disagreements among the BRICS countries and convincing other nations to adopt this new currency. Additionally, the benefits of a new BRICS currency are uncertain, and it may not be enough to destabilize the US dollar's dominance in global markets.
In conclusion, while there are signs of a shift in the balance of global reserve currencies, it is premature.
The ruble - cylinder in a cylinder in which a rabbitGood evening ladies and gentlemen
for a long time I could not comprehend the schedule,
pondered for weeks, days and nights
on the full moon closer to Easter Sunday I realized:
USD\RUB is a livermore cylinder
more precisely, I would say a cylinder in a cylinder in which a rabbit
Nabiullina, of course, is still a magician, but the rabbit is real, and tricks are tricks.
I also have one in stock: if the forecast does not come true,
I will say that this dog ran over the keyboard and posted a post
Yes, exactly - not funny at all - but tricks - it's not jokes.
I told you, tricks are tricks.
Okay, the magic starts to end
I’ll go as soon as possible, the ficus is drying up, I need to water it.
Bye
BTC UPDATE APRIL 5 2023Bitcoin Update: Resistance at $29,000 and a Potential Correction to $24,500
As of April 5th, 2023, Bitcoin is trading at around $28,000 USD, and the price has been trying to break out of the $29,000 area for the past two weeks. However, there seems to be a lot of resistance there, pushing the price down to the support levels at $28,000 and $27,600.
On the other hand, an Elliot Wave structure has formed, with five waves up, and the current trading is at the fifth wave. These wave counts started from the formed bottom a few months back. Additionally, at the bottom area of $15,000, a falling wedge structure has been spotted. According to the Fibonacci retracement tool, this falling wedge targets 1.618 fib levels, which is the golden ratio between $29,000 and $30,800 areas.
There are two possibilities at this point. The first is that Bitcoin will break out of the $29,200 areas and push the price up to $30,800 and possibly even higher. The second possibility is that a correction will start from the current levels towards the $25K-$24.5K areas. Once we reach there, an update will be provided.
With 12 years of experience in trading and stock markets, the feeling is that Bitcoin has not yet finished the correction from the top that was made at the $69,000 areas. Therefore, it is important to keep an eye on the price action and be prepared for any potential volatility. Good luck.
Gold Update Urgent Gold Price Forecast in Light of Finland's NATO Membership and Potential Conflict in Europe
With Finland's recent entry into NATO, there is increasing speculation about the potential for conflict in northern and eastern Europe. As tensions continue to rise between Russia and NATO, the price of gold is likely to see a significant increase.
As a safe-haven asset, gold has historically been a popular investment during times of geopolitical uncertainty and global conflict. With the threat of war looming, investors may turn to gold as a way to protect their wealth.
Furthermore, the increase in demand for gold could be further fueled by the weakening of the U.S. dollar, which typically leads to a rise in the price of gold. As investors seek to hedge against inflation and currency devaluation, the demand for gold may increase, driving up its price.
It remains to be seen how the situation in Europe will unfold, and whether the tensions will escalate into a full-blown conflict. However, if the worst-case scenario does occur, it is likely that the price of gold will continue to rise as investors look for a safe haven amidst the chaos.
In summary, the recent developments in Europe have the potential to significantly impact the price of gold. Investors should closely monitor the situation and consider adding gold to their portfolios as a hedge against geopolitical risks and inflation.
XRP General MovesRecent Price Movements and Potential Future Outlook
XRP, also known as Ripple, has been in the news recently due to some positive developments, which have led to a price increase. However, the price of XRP has been volatile and has experienced significant fluctuations in the past few weeks. In this article, we will analyze the recent price movements of XRP and discuss its potential future outlook.
Price Movements
On March 31, 2023, the price of XRP reached a high of 0.588 USD, which was the highest it had been in several months. However, the price soon began to decline, and it currently sits around the 0.5 USD mark. This price decline can be attributed to several factors, including the overall market conditions, as well as concerns about the potential impact of Bitcoin's price movements.
Support Levels
Despite the recent price decline, there are some good support levels for XRP. The 0.5 USD mark is a significant support level, and it is possible that the price may bounce back from this level. Additionally, the 0.432 USD mark, which is where the rally started, could potentially be retested in the next few days. If this occurs, it may present an opportunity to buy XRP at a lower price.
Future Outlook
The future outlook for XRP is uncertain, and much will depend on the overall market conditions and the movements of other major cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin. If Bitcoin's price continues to decline, it is likely that XRP will also experience a price decline. However, if the market stabilizes and Bitcoin's price begins to increase again, XRP may also experience a price increase.
Conclusion
In conclusion, XRP has experienced significant price movements in the past few weeks, and its future outlook is uncertain. While there are some good support levels for XRP, it is important to be cautious when trading in these volatile market conditions. It may be worth waiting for further confirmation before buying XRP, especially if there are concerns about the potential impact of Bitcoin's price movements.
Bitcoin : Be Ready for the next moves Good Day Everyone
Bitcoin's Consolidation at 28/28.5k Areas Suggests Possible Retest of 25k Areas
Bitcoin, the world's most popular cryptocurrency, has been consolidating in the 28/28.5k areas for some time now. This consolidation phase suggests that a possible downside move may be in the cards, with the 25k areas being the likely target for a retest.
One of the key indicators that support this bearish scenario is the RSI (Relative Strength Index), which is currently in overbought territory on the daily timeframe, with readings above 60 points. This level of RSI typically suggests that an asset is due for a corrective move.
Furthermore, the wave 5, which was previously discussed, is now completed, and any further extension would require a breakout above the 29k areas. However, the current price movements and volume do not seem to support such an upward move anytime soon.
Given the current market conditions, the best trading strategy, in my opinion, would be to sell around the 28.4/28.5k areas, with a stop-loss set above 29k. For those trading on leverage, it is advisable to use a low leverage of 3-5x maximum to minimize potential losses.
Overall, while there is still some uncertainty in the crypto market, the consolidation phase at the 28/28.5k areas and the overbought RSI suggest that a corrective move may be imminent, with the 25k areas being a likely target for a retest. As always, it is crucial to stay up-to-date with the latest market developments and adjust trading strategies accordingly.
Good Luck And Have A Nice Weekend
GOLD AND WORLD TENSIONS GOOD DAY FELLAS
Gold, represented as XAU USD, is currently trading at 1980 USD. While many market participants expect gold to break its previous high of 2080 USD, there are diverging opinions on the future price direction of gold. In this analysis, we will explore the fundamental and technical factors that could influence the price of gold in the short and long term.
Fundamentally, gold is seen as a safe haven asset, and its price is often influenced by geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty. The US dollar is also an important factor in the price of gold, as they are inversely correlated. As the dollar weakens, gold becomes relatively cheaper for holders of other currencies, and demand for gold tends to increase. Conversely, when the dollar strengthens, the demand for gold weakens.
Currently, tensions around the world are high, and there is economic uncertainty in various regions. The US dollar is also under pressure due to the increasing national debt and the ongoing tensions. These factors suggest that demand for gold could increase in the short term. However, I believe that the US will not allow markets to turn against the dollar, which could impact the price of gold.
From a technical perspective, i believe that gold is currently undergoing a correction on the weekly time frame. This correction is targeting the downward support zone, which intersects with the golden ratio of Fibonacci at 1370-1500 USD dollars. This zone is seen as an attractive level to buy gold. Fibonacci ratios are often used by technical analysts to identify potential levels of support and resistance in financial markets.
In summary, the current price of gold is 1980 USD, and there are diverging opinions on its future price direction. While geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty could support the price of gold in the short term, the US dollar and government intervention in markets could limit its upside potential. From a technical perspective, gold is currently undergoing a correction, and a potential buying opportunity is seen at the support zone of 1370-1500 USD dollars
A LIKE ON THIS POST WOULD HELP ME A LOT IF YOU PLEASE ,,
bitcoin and world war 3Good Day Everyone
It is understandable to feel cautious about investing and trading in the current geopolitical climate. There are indeed tensions between several countries, such as China and the USA, Israel and Iran, and Russia and NATO, among others. These conflicts could potentially escalate and lead to a full-scale world war.
However, it is important to keep in mind that predicting the occurrence of a world war is complex and uncertain. While there are geopolitical risks, these do not necessarily mean that trading in decentralized assets like cryptocurrencies will inevitably result in the loss of all your money.
Investments, including trading in cryptocurrencies, always involve risks. Risk management is an essential aspect of investing, and it is up to each individual to assess and manage their own risk tolerance. While the current global situation may warrant caution, it is important to remember that diversification is key to managing risk.
Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has recently been trading at around 29,000 USD. This is a significant drop from its all-time high of nearly 65,000 USD in mid-April 2021. The volatility of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is well-known, with prices often fluctuating wildly in response to a wide range of factors, from news events to regulatory changes and market sentiment.
One major factor that is currently contributing to the uncertainty and volatility in the cryptocurrency market is the prospect of a potential world war. While the likelihood of such an event remains uncertain, there are certainly many geopolitical tensions and conflicts around the world that could potentially escalate into something more serious. In such a scenario, investors may be looking to reduce their exposure to high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies and move their money into safer, more stable investments.
It is worth noting, however, that the decision to pull out of cryptocurrencies and other high-risk assets should not be taken lightly. While these investments can be volatile and risky, they can also offer potentially high returns for those who are willing to take on the risk. Moreover, there are many factors that can affect the price of cryptocurrencies, including government regulations, technological advancements, and changes in investor sentiment.
Therefore, it is important for investors to carefully consider their options and assess the risks and rewards of different investment strategies. It may be wise to consult with a financial advisor or investment professional before making any major investment decisions.
In the meantime, it is important to stay informed about the latest developments in the world and to monitor the situation closely. While there is no way to predict the future with certainty, having a solid understanding of the risks and opportunities in the market can help investors make informed decisions and navigate the ups and downs of the crypto market.
GOLD TRIPLE TOP - WAR END?All eyes are on Chinese President Xi Jinping’s state visit to Russia that begins on Monday. During the three-day visit, the leaders of the two nations will discuss the deepening of economic and political cooperation as well as the war in Ukraine.
If this meeting tends to reach a diplomatic solution to end Russia-Ukraine war then Gold will see a massive sell-off.
Also, FED is very likely to add a 25BPS to reach 5% interest rate, kinda expected but it brings more pain to markets.
I will keep updating this, follow to get alerts 🔔
European Gas March 2023: Bullish and Bearish FactorsThe idea has two parts: fundamental and technical analysis . The latter is based on the weekly chart.
On the fundamental side , several essential and minor factors affect and could affect March 2023 price change. Let's divide them into three groups.
Bullish :
Russian shutdown of gas supply to Europe
Russia has cut its European flows for the last months so that a total shutdown would be possible. Russian gas remains crucial for the European economy despite the American armada of LNG ships.
Freeport LNG plant Restart Shift
The company plans to restore the plant in January 2023. A possible postponement would support TTF prices in the winter season.
Limitations of US Gas Exports
Last winter, some US Senate members suggested limiting or prohibiting US LNG export. They estimated that the change would increase US gas supply for the internal US market, especially for New England, which is dependent on the import of gas from the gas-production states getting gas via pipelines and LNG. They said the prohibition would reduce high gas prices for customers and industry. In July, LNG winter 2023 prices for New England touched a record high of $40/MMBtu, while Henry Hub traded at about $8.6/MMBtu. I suppose that senators would return to the idea, especially since the US elections are in November. Although the risk is low, its realization could dramatically affect the TTF price assessment. Analysts and think tanks have considered possible Russian gas cuts but haven't accessed a potential US gas supply reduction.
French Nuclear Plants Outages
Since the end of 2021, the French nuclear industry has been weak with planned and unplanned maintenance. As a result, nuclear output has lost more than 40% YoY of its output. While serious issues are unlikely to arise, new minor obstacles could buoy TTF prices.
Dry Summer
The continuation of the European 2022 dry summer led to abbreviated hydropower production. On the back of hydropower reduction, natural gas-power generation increases its output and gas consumption, driving subdued gas injection into storage facilities. Subdued gas injection in summer means less gas for winter, creating a possible gas deficit.
Bearish:
Slowing European Economy and Demand Destruction
High inflation induced by the monetary policy of 2020-2021 provokes a decline in real incomes and makes some industrial production unprofitable or near break-even. These debilitate aggregate demand, particularly industrial output of fertilizers, ceramics, and other chemicals. Industries that are heavily reliant on gas are cutting their gas consumption today. Lasting historically high gas prices would promote a decrease in gas utilization. The demand destruction could happen among all consumers: power, industrial and individual. A new recession is near. ECB monetary policy with a growing rate also adds problems to the economy. The rate is still tiny, but debt bubbles are sensitive to interest rate change. The bust of bubbles would drop economic growth and curtail gas demand pushing TTF prices down.
Slowing world economy
The world economy suffers from high prices losing economic growth momentum. A move into a recession would trigger a decline in gas consumption lowering LNG gas prices and letting LNG producers increase LNG sendout to Europe.
Voluntary Demand Reductions of 15% and Gas Rationing
Energy ministers of Europe adopted plans to voluntarily cut gas demand by 15% from August until March 31, 2022. In case of emergency, like near zero Russian flows, the voluntary reduction changes to mandatory. i.e., gas rationing. The actions could divert rising prices.
Covid Lockdowns in Europe
Europe has prepared different measures to withstand possible gas issues in winter. Besides voluntary reduction or rationing Europe could return to the lockdowns of 2020, when gas consumption dramatically went down because industrial production of goods collapsed. Since June 2022, the media has published news about a new variant of Covid. Countries could impose Covid-related limitations this fall. Unstable gas consumption and gas shortage would drive for a Covid or climate lockdown. A good measure to cut gas demand and destroy the economy.
Covid Lockdowns in China
Despite possible lockdowns of 2022-2023 in Europe, lockdowns in China happened in the last months and could be imposed again. An effect of prohibitions has hit the Chinese economy and cut gas consumption resulting in freeing up the supply for other consumers, i.e., Europe. New Chinese lockdowns would mean more gas for Europe.
Joker :
The joker that could be a bullish or bearish driver is the weather. They can't predict winter weather today. Lasting temperatures above season norms in winter could be a lifesaver for Europe, dropping gas consumption and its prices. Cold spells and lingering temperatures under the winter season average would lift prices significantly. Near-average temperatures would put the significance of the factor on hold. While in summer, it is vice versa. Temperatures above the norms slow gas storage injection and slightly increase a lack of gas risk in the winter season.
On the technical side , there are no resistance levels cause the contract is traded near its record high. Only psychological levels like €200/MWh , €300/MWh , and higher. On the bulls' side, there are many support levels. For those practicing buy a bounce trading , essential levels are €125/MWh , €100/MWh , and €86/MWh . The last one developed in the December 2021-April 2022 period. I estimate that Gazprom made a significant contribution to its existence. Gazprom's export price to Europe, which was pegged to a fusion of lagged prices of fossil fuels, including TTF, was near to €86/MWh . So when the market price rose significantly above the level, market participants cut their demand because Gazprom sold cheaper. When the price tried to break through €86/MWh and went down, Gazprom trimmed its flows to Europe. All in all, this helped the company to control its revenues on the same level. Since then, it has not been the case because Gazprom has changed its approach.
Finally, I am afraid to forecast the price on the expiration date. I suppose the price would remain volatile, and we could see spikes above €200/MWh in the winter season.
Thank you for your reading, and have profitable trading! Comment your thoughts!
What commodities will move in the 2nd year Russia-Ukraine War Russia-Ukraine War entered the second year. Most of the commodities skyrocketed after the invasion had returned to or below the pre-war level. Energy is the market focus but the price dropped below the pre-war level and might not have enough geopolitical moment to rebound unless the war fully escalates and spreads to other countries. The weakness of wheat price might reverse if Russia refuse to renew the export deal.
Energy products are the main focus in this war since Russia is the world’s key energy exporter. NYMEX WTI crude oil price started from USD92.10 as of the close of 23 Feb 2022, and reached an intraday high of USD130.5 per barrel in March. NYMEX Natural gas is even more volatile, jumped from USD4.623 per MMBtu to reach over USD10 in August. However, despite the sanction and price cap imposed by western countries, the energy exports from Russia maintained at high level, and European winter weather is relatively mild together with the effort to secure supply from non-Russia energy sources, the supply and demand situation is much less bad than many had feared, and the energy price retreated significantly and dropped below pre-war level. As of 24 Feb 2023, NYMEX Natural gas closed at USD2.548, while NYMEX WTI crude oil closed at USD76.32.
Assuming the war are restricted in Ukraine and haven’t spread to other European countries, the war will no longer have a material impact on energy price. Western countries don’t want to shut down Russia’s energy supply completely, they just don’t want Russia to make a lot of money from energy exports to finance the war. The ideal situation is Russia selling cheap oil and gas to global market. In fact, Russia is still exporting a lot of their energy products to China and India, and the reduced demand from them in the global market pressured the price. I can’t predict the outcome of a war, but a win by Ukraine might further pressure the energy price since Russia might probably need to aggressively sell their energy for war compensation and rebuilding the country. Even the war maintains the status quo for an extended period of time, it will not stimulus the energy price like last year since many countries had already reduced the reliance on Russia’s energy.
What I worry more is grain price. Russia and Ukraine together are supplying one third of global wheat. Many of the Ukrainian grain planted in the Southern and Central part of the country, that had been seriously affected by war. Ukrainian grain exports dropped nearly 30% in the last marketing year. Not only the plantation area will be affected, all the input including labour, fertilizer and chemical supply are also affected, not to mention the harvest and the logistic to export the grain. Grain export deal with Russia is expiring on 19 March, whether Russia will renew it could be a catalyst for market movement, and the lower price of Ukrainian grain because of this uncertainty might also reduce farmer’s willingness to plant wheat.
Russian grain production hasn’t been affected yet; in fact, the harvest of wheat is pretty good. When energy crisis didn’t realize, whether Russia will weaponize grain will need further monitor. At this moment, grain export is not targeted by western countries, so Russia might try to export as many grains as possible to improve their financial situation, but if the war situation turned sour, I can’t rule out the possibility of some form of export ban which might make the inflation situation in western countries more complicated.
CBOT wheat price started from USX 884.75 as of the close of Feb 23, and reached an intraday high of USX 1363.5 per bushel in March. As of 24 Feb 2023, it closed at USX 721.75. Of course, the weakness could also be explained by bumper crop from Australia and an expected high US production in the coming year. Technically USX 712.5 is an important support, and RSI is approaching oversold level. We might consider a long position @ 715, stop loss @ 680, target @ 800.
Disclaimers
Above information are for illustration only and there is no guarantee on the accuracy of the information. They should not be treated as investment recommendations or advices.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trade set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, check out on CME Group data plans in TradingView that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
SBER - largest Russian fintech company - 30-50% growth til AprilHere is my look at the largest Russian bank and fintech company - Sberbank (shorted from "sberegatelniy bank" - "bank for savings"). It's bee called Sber for several years because it's more of a fintech company than just a bank now.
The idea is simple. You can see a sine wave which is mirrored relatively to the symmetry center (centerline). The timing it: 205 rub minimum, maybe 240 rub per 1 stock till the end or March.
It should mean that overall Russian stocks market would feel great too.
Crude Oil to go higher in March?"Russia will reduce crude oil production by 500,000 barrels per day from March after major economies imposed a price cap on oil products." as reported by BBC News online portal few days ago.
Saudi Arabia and OPEC already cut crude oil production in January 2023. We may see energy prices go higher, due to restricted supply.
Cost of goods and services will be more expensive, contributing to inflation once again. Price caps are looking like its going to back-fire and everyone will be affected by it.
Well, it is sideways now. Let's see what happen when March comes.
By Sifu Steve @ XeroAcademy
Russian stock market doubled - now signs of a TOP after electionNews shows Putin's party probably won parliamentary elections in Russia
The Russian MICEX index rallied from 200K at the bottom (March 2020) to over 400K (Sept 2021).
The index put in a small bearish shooting star last week.
Confirmation would be if it broke the rising uptrend connecting lows of past few months
Short Russia"By the time you come to, you're gonna need a new haircut" - Gary Bertier, Remember the Titans.
Russia looks like it is setting up for another wave down. Kinda hard to grow when the economy is cutoff from the world. The Ruble is also getting trashed (has been for decades), despite some "professionals" pumping lies about the ruble being "so strong" in 2022.
Rheinmetall bullish ascending triangleThe ascending triangle points to a potential increase in the value of Rheinmetall's stock. These indicators include a bullish trend in the stock's price over the past several months, positive momentum, and strong support levels. Additionally, historical data shows that Rheinmetall's stock tends to perform well during times of military threats or escalations, which may indicate that current global events could be contributing to the stock's upward trend.
Hopefully, the war in Ukraine will come to an end, but Rheinmetall is still looking strong, possibly indicating an upcoming real-world event.
It is important to note that technical analysis is not a guarantee of future performance and should be considered alongside other forms of analysis such as fundamental and news analysis. Additionally, it is also important to consider the company's overall financial health and any recent company-specific news or announcements.
BCO Technical Analysis On a we weekly we have gotten close to our resistance level
we can get the following two plays: price going up and closing above 86.149 on a weekly chart or we may get pullback where then we will have to evaluate longs
for now i am bullish since levels held perfectly
my entries are pullback after retest (roughly as demonstrated on the chart)
Let me know your ideas on oil!