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Russiavsukraine

FOMC - MARCH 22, 2023 -US30 DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE Hello Traders, As we approach FOMC and rate decision today, 2pm March 22, 2023 there's a possibility of continued rate hike to curb inflation and that could send Stock Markets down. Key Points: VIX - Volatility Index is bullish for the week Commodities - Bearish for the week A rate increase is favourable for USD from an Investor's perspective. Overall economic outlook is bearish considering global world issues i.e: Russia/Ukraine, recession, inflation, etc. Chart analysis shows clear picture based on trend lines, BOC, CHOC, and imbalance areas from prior week. Anyways, always trade what you are comfortable with losing. Until next time! The Trading Regime.
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by EvaultFinancialGroup
Russia - RTS$ Index - Does this suggest War will go end? Does this suggest War will go end? A multi-year triangle gives us a clue. Triangles are one of the most recognizable patterns in the Elliott Wave Principle. As with all wave patterns, they occur at every time scale and the large-degree triangles are especially interesting because they often contain a notable socionomic element. Large-degree triangles in rallies are bear markets. Sideways movement in nominal terms means that, with consumer price inflation generally positive, in real terms, market value is being lost. Large-degree triangles during stock market rallies are manifestations of a negative social mood. It’s not surprising, therefore, that the ends of triangles often correspond with a news event of a social action that has been driven by this negative mood.  The chart above shows the Russian Trading System Index. This is a free-float capitalization-weighted index of 50 Russian stocks traded on the Moscow Exchange, calculated in U.S. dollars. As such, it takes into account the performance of the Russian ruble as well as the stock market. Since 2008, the index appears to have traced out a multi-year triangle, with the final wave ((E)) down now in operation. Notice that it was towards the end of the decline in wave ((C)) of the triangle that Russia made its first incursion into Ukraine in August 2014, escalating it further in November of that year. Fast forward to 2022, and with over 190,000 Russian troops in on Ukraine, another incursion happened. Nevertheless, Russian President Putin states that he has no intention to invade other European countries. Given the Elliott wave pattern, and what appears to be the waxing anger of the final wave lower in social mood, we take those statements with a bucket-full of salt. This sociometer is anticipating that a dramatic social action it's coming to an end?
RUS:RTSILong
by ferGOD
2
SSSE - Shanghai Composite -The China Will Help Russia?This Chart Suggests That China Will Help Russia A negative mood in China could be reaching an extreme. Reports over the weekend are stating that Russia has asked China for military and economic assistance as its invasion of Ukraine gets bogged down. A new Sino-Russia friendship pact was formed just before Russia launched its assault, with Putin and Xi Jinping best of buddies at the Winter Olympics. With Western sanctions impacting the Russian economy, it’s abundantly clear that China is now the key in this geo-political crisis. China has a choice of whether to help Russia, by buying its oil, etc... or to put pressure on Putin to stop his imperialistic ambitions. The chart above is a clue that China will choose the former route. The chart shows the progression of negative social mood in China since 2007, with that mood trend driving a bear market in the Shanghai Composite index. The pattern is a triangle, very similar to that seen in the Russian RTS$ index which caused to forecast that Russia would invade Ukraine. Primary degree wave (C) of the triangle equaled 0.618 of the length of wave (A), a solid clue that the pattern is correct. The advance in wave (D) might still be operation but it’s interesting that, although not a classic triangle ratio, the proposed wave (D) ending in September 2021 equaled a Phi-related 0.382 of the length of wave (B). So, if this wave count is correct in the Shanghai Composite index, Primary degree wave (E) is already in operation. Negative mood expressions such as widespread Covid-lockdowns could already be a manifestation of this wave, which can be expected to be the point at which negative mood reaches an extreme. (Note that regardless of whether the Shanghai Composite is already in wave E or still in the latter throes of wave (D), in either case the larger degree bear market is 15 years old and counting.) The negative mood extreme could very probably drive China to go all-in in siding with Russia. Crisis and opportunity indeed.
C
by ferGOD
3