RUT en Ascenso/ RUT 2000 RisingQuizás podría golpear el nivel de 1540, pero esto es una señal de estímulo de la FED a las pequeñas compañías.
Ten precaución porque estamos esperando un momento general de volatilidad.
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Maybe it could Hit the top at 1540, but it is a sign of stimulus from FED to small companies.
Be aware because we are holding a moment of volatility in general.
RUSSELL 2000
DXY & SPX Remain InterdependentAn inverse correlation that has been at its extremes seem's to be fading, as the dollar cotnutes to devalue whilst american equity market's (market cap) remains muted. This is a divergence that is of epic proportions (bubble). Keep in mind the chart on the right is the DXY inverted.
Indexes vs M1 & M2 Money SupplyM1 = coins and currency in circulation + checkable (demand) deposit + traveler’s checks.
M2 = M1 + savings deposits + money market funds + certificates of deposit + other time deposits.
We are looking at the major US Indexes Dow 30, SPX 500, Nasdaq 100, & Russell 2000 vs each of these types of money supplies
As we print more we expect these money supplies to increase, so we can start to see the 'real growth' in terms of how much $ is 'out there'
In the more liquid M1 Money supply it looks like we may have bottomed here on the indexes by testing the 'all time' trend line
But in the less liquid M2 Money supply we /could/ expect a fall further if things really go south here. We never tested the 'all time' trend line. No /need/ to but if we did it would be within reason.
I examine lots of these 'composite' charts as I call them, but let me know your thoughts as well!
Manage your own risk
Much Love
GL HF
xoxo
snoop
Russell Consolidando / A Lateral RussellEste índice, una lupa muy importante a 2000 Pequeñas Empresas que determinan la verdadera salud económica de USA, se encuentra en un rango de vital impulso pero el que ahora solo ha consolidado.
Su equilibrio de como iban las cosas antes del virus, estaba en 1700 pts. Debe acercarse en el mediano plazo y consolidar un poco más arriba para que la barrera psicológica que hasta ahora Dow Jones, SP y Nasdaq han logrado, complementen la continuidad al alza.
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This is a fundamental index, it is a macro picture of small companies in USA, these companies tell you more about employment data, bankruptcy, etc, with a microscope. The index must consolidate at this area (1500 aprox) and take another jump to 1700 points at least in a mid term, joining the sentiment with Dow Jones, SP and Nasdaq.
Russel 2000 Elliotwave Count The Russel 2000 is probably exhibiting one of the clearest Elliotwave counts of all US Indices.
For one we can see a very clearly impulsive 5-wave drop from June 8th highs to June 15th lows.
Next we see a triangle in the middle of the retracement higher since which is a classic middle-of-retracement move.
Triangles are patterns prior to final ending wave...either as a Wave 4 (prior to wave 5) or as a wave B in the middle of an A-B-C 3-wave retracement.
In this case, we count a 5-wave wave A of the corrective A-B-C ---- then the 5 wave middle B triangle pattern (which I mentioned above) and since then the final wave C of the ABC shows 5 wave up.
Since we see a potential 5-wave leading diagonal and a 3 wave retracement which is potentially pointing to the beginning of the next massive wave down - similar to what happened between June 8 and 15.
The triangle pattern in the corrective pattern is what is very clear to me here and which points to the retracement since the June 15th low being a corrective pattern.
If this is indeed correct then the Bearish implications should carry over into the Dow and S&P.
Cheers!
Cyrus
IWM - Russell Bull Trap?It seems unlikely to me that the Russell will find support here and move towards 158. Betting that this is a bull trap and we see a large move downwards towards $125 in July, with the Russell capturing the initial wave of negative news surrounding re-closures and disappointing earnings.
Entry: $141
Target: $125
IWM giving heads up of an implosionThe IWM ETF is the Russell2000 ETF, and I use it as a proxy of market internal breath. Case in point, we have a runaway Nasdaq (Technology sector) with a stalling S&P500. The small and mid caps need to be the internal support for this tech rally to continue else it breaks down from the internal infrastructure and implodes.
Exactly the heads up seen here...
The IWM Daily chart has not been able to get a higher high, but instead gapped down from the last lower high, at the top of a range (orange box). Yesterday, it tested the trend line support, and in doing so, turned the MACD far enough to register a down crossover. In a bounce off the trendline, it also bounced off the 55EMA, and appears to breakdown over he next couple of trading days.
Technically, this chart is bearish, and tells of the internal implosion starting to happen.
The Nasdaq rally is limited days to go... this is giving us a heads up.