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RUSSELL 2000

IWM Russell 2000 RUT affected by the SIVB collapse! Puts to buy!After the last RUT Russell 2000 Price Target was Perfectly reached: Now you need to know that many of the Russell 2K companies will be impacted by the SIVB collapse. Roughly 50% of the US venture capital-funded startups are clients of SVB , potentially putting 65,000 startups at risk of payroll disruptions. Such a situation could have significant consequences for the startup and tech sectors. Silicon Valley Bank did business with FTX, plus many other formerly overvalued tech companies. With $210 billion in assets, $SIBV was the 15th largest bank in the US in terms of deposits. IWM puts considering buying: 2023-4-21 expiration date $169 Strike Price $3.65 Premium Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
AMEX:IWMShort
by TopgOptions
2
$VIX hits top part of Symmetrical triangle$VIX rarely tends to trade in a small & tight range. #VIX Sold off big last couple months & traded in a decent range for a bit & recently, including today, popped big. As you can see it hit the top part of the Triangle Formation. Hard to call here but stocks gaining some momentum, being that many were OVERSOLD, including $DJI & $NDX, $SPX and so on, is not out of the question. Risk reward @ day lows in #stocks was good. A lot of fear out there is good for reversals. Keep eye out on 4 hour charts for a good idea of where we stand. FYI $DJI 4hour close was NOT the best setup BUT it did form a BULLISH Engulfing with GOOD VOLUME. IMO 32.5k on #DJI is good & if it breaks & holds that is a good sign.
CBOE:VIX
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
📉 Stoch Markets: Is the worst really over? 🚀⁉️📝 I will try to analyze the market as a whole, with reference to the Russell 3000 index , which is broader than the S&P 500 . (Russell 3000 is a capitalization-weighted stock market index that seeks to be a benchmark of the entire U.S. stock market. It measures the performance of the 3,000 largest publicly held companies incorporated in America as measured by total market capitalization, and represents approximately 97% of the American public equity market). 📈 On the top chart we have the Russell 3000 . 📉 On the bottom chart, we have the Russell 2000 Growth divided by the Russell 2000 Value . (The Russell 2000 Index is a small-cap stock market index that makes up the smallest 2,000 stocks in the Russell 3000 Index). The intention here is to see how the companies classified in the 'Growth Investing' category are performing, using the 'Value Investing' companies as a parameter. 🤔 As a rule, it is to be expected that when traders and investors are more prone to risk, they invest more money in 'growth investing' companies than in 'value investing' companies. 1) Analyzing divergences 1.1) 2006-2008 In the period from 2006 to 2008 we had a divergence: the Russell 3000 had lower funds, while the Growth companies had higher funds. The apex was found precisely in the blue diagonal channel, on 12/30/2008. Note that Russell's bottom was only found on 03/10/2009, 3 months later. There is a clear anticipation in the contribution of 'Growth' companies. 1.2) 2014-2016 Russell tests the support of the green line several times, the last one being on 02/11/2016. Meanwhile, Growth companies remain on the rise, however reaching the blue diagonal channel again on 02/02/2017, 1 year later. In this case there was an outflow of 'Growth' companies, at least until reaching the blue diagonal channel. After that the increase continues. 1.3) 2018-2020 In this period we have a classic book divergence. The Russell peaks downwards on 21/12/2018, and later on 23/03/2020, featuring lower bottoms. Meanwhile, 'Growth' companies continue to 'respect' the green close with ever higher funds, reaching a low peak on the same date. 1.4) 2022-? Considering the bad macro-economic scenario, with the high cost of money and inflation, it would be surprising that the 'Growth' companies had a better performance than the 'Value' ones. Despite this pessimistic bias, if this indicator breaks above this green diagonal line and stays there, I will reconsider this opinion. If not, I think it is more likely that it will hit the blue diagonal channel again to form the final divergence. 🟢 For comparison purposes, considering a more global aspect and not just the small companies of the Russell 2000, the same analysis could be done on the ratio between the RAG and RAV indices (Russel 3000 Growth/Russel 3000 Value): 2006-2008 2014-2016 2018-2020 2022-? 🔵 What's important to note is that these key moments happened in December and March.
R
by andre_007
Russell 2000 potential for bullish rise to overlap resistanceLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for RUT is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a buy entry at 1893.8737, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 1722.0208, where the previous swing low is. Take profit will be at 2134.4378, where the overlap resistance is. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
TVC:RUTLong
by VantageMarkets
Russell 2000 potential for rise towards overlap resistanceLooking at the D1 chart, my overall bias for RUT is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 1889.4148, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line and overlap support is. Stop loss will be at 1722.0208, where the recent swing low is. Take profit will be at 2134.1183, where the overlap resistance is. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
TVC:RUTLong
by VantageMarkets
Bunch of copy paste quotes on Fed Meeting, $DJI $NDX GREAT DAY!Apologize for the LATE post on this We posted this elsewhere, documented, and bringing it here ---- Yesterday So, #fed tomorrow....... We get 25, likely rally and fade next day or few days later We get 50, likely sell off decently & then rally This could reverse in one day or take week or more #FederalReserve meeting #stocks #crypto #inflation Done for today :) Good day overall ---- Early Today, after announcement- Was at least expecting a pop first before the fall Interesting day today Maybe we get the fall and then the rally... However how we end the day, the next day tends to be a reverse of some sort $DJI $NDX $SPX ---- After- For a second we though we were going to get put (sold a bunch of put options when $DJI was off 340 points and $NDX was closer to day lows) a ton of #stock ROFL Limits being filled, not being greedy #crypto green US #Dollar $DXY hitting lows (did say HISTORICALLY doesn't hold) - We've been cautious #BULL for a bit & we need 2b weary of EUPHORIA We're watching for that, IMPORTANT! $VIX @ bottom trend (we'll know VERY SOON what's up) #yield falling $TNX, 2yr not as much, hmmm #stocks huge turnaround #crypto as well What about volume? Soon ---- $NDX & $DJI BUY volume is still there but it's lowering #DJI looking GOOD atm $NDX NO slouch testing downtrend soon #markets ARE IRRATIONAL Look at volume, patterns & trend!!! ---- Recent Awesome #stock day today! Good for the week! Raised cash again for trading Have some longs still $DOW $META (taking some off here), $KHC $INTC $ATVI & some others BUT aggressive TRADING still 1/3 in bonds, expire soon, & cash for tomorrow & other days Done for day &👀direction --- Look at $RUT $IWM RISK is ON ON ON Has been on Volume is ok #stocks have been looking ok $DJI breaking symmetrical = continuation pattern Staying cautious BULL! More haters of rally = GOOD! Keep eye on EUPHORIA!
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
YOU need to see this now - THE DANGER LINEThis is a wave trend indicator on the S&P 500 index that is based on relative strength with straightforward oversold or overbought conditions. Relative strength is a measure of momentum where both speed (time) and magnitude (change) is measured and plotted with simple or weighted moving averages. What you are seeing above is a snapshot of a RSI/wave trend of the S&P 500 index based on monthly candles. Understand that it takes the measure of a month of time just to get a single plot of data and this particular snapshot represents over two decades. But right before your eyes are very clear trends. The data is just pure and simple math and math does not lie. Ignore the news. Follow price, volume, momentum.. just follow the data. I will try not to state my opinion too much.. and just follow the data. What I see on the chart is concerning. If this decline continues over the next month or two, momentum is going to accelerate and volatility go up while the market basically crashes... i.e. if the DANGER LINE is breached. I found it odd that volatility (VIX) has been quite docile considering the amount of downside we've seen in the indices this year. That is concerning. It is entirely possible that the September thru November monthly candles are positive and this trend finds support.. and the danger line is not breached. On the flipside, this decent can continue and really pick up speed and we see a 2000-2003 correction or 2007-2009. Here is an overlay snapshot with those corrections to similar scale. That is what could happen if the current trend continues.. we could see 12-24 months of recession and very steep drops and sharp bearish reversals. Be careful, manage risk, consider hedging certain positions, and know that you DO NOT know what is going to happen.
SP:SPX
by gghsusa
11
Russell 2000 Potential for Bullish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for RUT is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. Look for a potential buy entry at 1789.4537, where the overlap support and 61.8% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 1722.0208, where the previous swing low is. Take profit will be at 1911.6949, where the overlap resistance is. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
TVC:RUTLong
by VantageMarkets
1
RUT @ the gate of "Havens", if rejected only "Hell" is the ALT !Golden Cross vs. Death Cross: An Overview Technical analysis involves the use of statistical analysis to make trading decisions. Technical analysts use a ton of data, often in the form of charts, to analyze stocks and markets. At times, the trend lines on these charts curve and cross in ways that form shapes, often given funny names like "cup with handle," "head and shoulders," and "double top." Technical traders learn to recognize these common patterns and what they might portend for the future performance of a stock or market. A golden cross and a death cross are exact opposites. A golden cross indicates a long-term bull market going forward, while a death cross signals a long-term bear market. Both refer to the solid confirmation of a long-term trend by the occurrence of a short-term moving average crossing over a major long-term moving average. KEY TAKEAWAYS A golden cross suggests a long-term bull market going forward, while a death cross suggests a long-term bear market. Either crossover is considered more significant when accompanied by high trading volume. Once the crossover occurs, the long-term moving average is considered a major support level (in the case of the golden cross) or resistance level (in the instance of the death cross) for the market from that point forward. Either cross may occur as a signal of a trend change, but they more frequently occur as a strong confirmation of a change in trend that has already taken place.
AMEX:IWM
by samitrading
How NOT to loose money, 1st do not trade people's ideas do your Home work, do your research and learn learn learn till you become aware of what is going on in mkts and then being able to choose the right path for your and being able to distinguish right ideas and analysis from the wrong ones. *****Passing this cool info (Not mine) : 2. Set realistic expectations When you're investing, your expectations of what you could earn should be realistic. And sometimes, measures like average rates of return can be misleading. For example, if you invested in large-cap stocks between 1926 and 2020, you would've earned an average rate of return of 10.2%. And if you earned this rate of return over 30 years, $100,000 invested would've grown to $1.84 million. But during that same time period, you would've earned a high of 54% in 1933 and a low return of -43% during 1931. If you invested for the first time during a year of losses, it could make you wary of investing. Understanding that your returns won't be linear but instead, an average of positive, negative, and flat returns is important. And understanding this may help you withstand the bad years. 3. Know the difference between a realized and unrealized loss When you look at your account balance and see that it's lower than it was the month before, it may feel as if you've lost money. But the numbers you see on your statement or when you log in to your account are called unrealized losses or gains. These numbers change for better or worse throughout a day of stock market activity and are only considered actual losses or gains when you realize them by selling your holdings. For example, if your account balance was $10,000 last month and you experienced losses this month, it may now be worth $9,000. But you would only lose money in reality if you sell this investment before it gets back to its original value. Over the long term, the stock market has always increased in value, and your investments should, too, as long as you stay invested. 4. Have an appropriate time horizon How soon you need your money could impact how well you keep your money invested during stock market crashes. If you won't need your money for 25 years and you suffer a 30% loss, you may shrug it off knowing that your account value could return back to that value in a few years. But if you plan on using the money next year, you may panic at the idea of losing any of it. Before you invest one penny, think about your time horizon. And the closer it is, the more conservatively you should invest. Without the threat of missing your goal looming over your head, losses may not seem so devastating, and you'll be less likely to give up on investing due to a short-term drop. 5. Control emotions Controlling your emotions is no easy task, and when you're losing money, it can feel like it will go on forever. But declines have never lasted forever. Learning how you can control your emotions when you're feeling this way can be the difference between experiencing subpar returns that lag benchmarks or keeping pace with them. When you feel as if the sky is falling and it seems as if there's no end in sight, revisiting stock market corrections of the past can be helpful. Even during some of the periods of the most extreme losses, investors who stayed the course often recouped their losses within a few years. From 2000 through 2002, if you'd invested only in large-cap stocks, you would've lost about 38% in total. If you had $100,000, it would've decreased to around $62,000. But by 2006, you would've regained all of your money and been ahead slightly.. 6. Invest in line with your risk appetite How do you feel about volatility? Do you barely notice it and realize that it's a normal part of a market cycle? Or does it make your stomach drop every time it happens? You can earn more over the long term if you have more aggressive investments, but in a year of losses, these types of investments could also lose more money. And if the losses seem too big, these investments may be too risky for you. If this happens, staying invested may be harder. Making sure that you're invested in line with your risk tolerance can help you prevent this. You should also find an asset allocation model that suits your appetite for risk, even if it yields a lower average rate of return. Investing should help you meet your goals instead of putting you further away from them. While your account value increasing or decreasing regularly is normal, you don't have to lose money. And controlling your fears, making sure you hold suitable investments, having realistic expectations about how your accounts will grow and the time frame in which those gains will happen can help you avoid it.
SP:SPXEducation
by samitrading
2
Feels like the market is coiled up like a spring Bulls take a position, get trapped; bears jump in and get trapped as well. A coil. Stops are placed. As they should. If the coil breaks out, half the crowd will quickly be wrong and bail. The market will eventually pick a way, discover price. Up down, cant do sideways forever. Crypto is rising, cpi is slowing. gasoline is cheaper. Cnn sentiment index is at 'greed". Percentage of stocks above moving averages is elevated. Vix is in downtrend and low end of range. Valuation is still above historical 15 PE and shiller PE is near 29. Many stocks are at 20 plus PEs, especially large caps, despite analyst show slower growth. old trader sayings: "from failed moves come fast moves" "stocks move in the direction that hurts the most people" "stocks always go up" "buy high and sell higher" Sound financial guidance recommends you only invest money you wont need for 5 years or more. Good luck and dont risk money you can't afford to lose. QQQ RTY IWM
TVC:NDQ
by optionfarmers
6
Yearly open price actionStocks closed pretty strong for the year, and the yearly open filled a gap very quickly. At the moment, I see very little evidence that the year will start with a massive dump, especially after 2022 was so brutal for stocks, bonds, and crypto. It looks more likely that things will first go up and then potentially go down. The market resuming its bounce makes more sense before it goes down again. In my opinion, Q1 has the potential to be a bullish quarter, with SPX getting even up to 4400. It might be a massive bull trap, but it's possible. I think the Q1-Q3 period has the potential to be very choppy and much choppier than people imagine. Instead of having a clear trend, we might see a ton of chop that frustrates both bulls and bears, and then eventually a resumption either to the upside or downside, depending on what global liquidity is like and how markets force Central banks to act. Even though I see a recession coming, I've been talking about how it wouldn't come in 2022 and that all we saw in 2022 was a slowdown and inflation, giving its place to disinflation. I doubt the recession will start in Q1 2023 and that markets might not crash until Q4 2023. At the same time, it's clear that the USD is in a challenging position and that the Fed is cornered while other central banks are increasing liquidity while raising rates. Maybe the market finally accepts that interest rates won't be higher than inflation over the next few years, and they price that in. Finally, we need to remember that the Fed started hiking in March 2022 and that the impact of their hikes could take anywhere from 12 to 24 months until they genuinely impact the economy. So let's focus on what the current price action is telling us on SPX, NDX, and RUT. On my main chart, I have S&P 500 and the potential scenarios I see. I see the Monthly Pivot and the critical breakdown zone being tested. We currently have a double top at 3880 which will most likely be broken. A lot will then depend on whether the market will close above the Monthly Pivot. If it does, it may go significantly higher toward 4350-4400. Until I see a close below 3750, I don't think it makes sense to be very bearish, as the market is trading in a range, so it could first take out the highs, then the lows, and then move higher. It's, therefore, better to take it step by step. For NDX below, we can see that the market has found decent support and could bounce. In my opinion, we will see new lows on Nasdaq much faster than all other indices, and I am pretty sure we will get new lows in 2023, even if we don't see other indices make new lows. For RUT, we are in a mini range, which is part of a more extensive range. And I think we first take the highs and then the lows. In my opinion, the market will trade both at 1630 and 1910, so it's all a matter of how we get to each point. Either way, both look very attractive for going long or short.
FX:SPX500
by BitcoinMacro
Equity market outlook - January 2023Purpose This analysis is meant to provide a long-term outlook for equity markets. I also use this to support my data-driven, long-term investment decisions. Sharing this with the public helps me avoid one of the most common mistakes investors make in the market - missing the forest for the trees. Table of contents Central banks policy Economic growth outlook Earnings growth outlook Liquidity in the financial system Summary Central banks policy Central banks around the world are still tightening monetary policy which is a headwind for economic growth - see the section below. Tight monetary policy means there will be potentially more pressure on 10Y real yields - if inflation will be persistent. There has been a strong correlation between 10Y RE and S&P 500 Forward P/E since 2018. Tight monetary policy + persistent inflation = lower Forward P/E = higher pressure on S&P 500. What has already been embedded into the price? Eurodollar futures term structure can help answer this question. The market expects rate cuts in September 2023. This would support a higher P/E, but it would also mean that something has been broken on the market. The shape of the curve suggests that the market expects rather hard landing than soft landing. No one knows for sure what FED will do in the future, but if they follow the path outlined by the eurodollar futures market then we are near the bottom of forward P/E. In that context, the cheapest stocks are in the S&P 600 index = small cap index. Forward P/E is 12.5. Their lowest value was during the GFC - just below 10. The most expensive is S&P 500, with a forward P/E of 16.7. Economic growth Central banks' policy leads economic growth / contraction that can be measured by CLI Diffusion Index: The index suggests we should not expect positive stock indices YoY growth yet. What's more important, it says a high volatility period might be around the corner. However, the National Financial Condition Index has already been elevated, so lots of depression fears have already been discounted. Earnings growth outlook I use the Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index, BBB US Corporate Yield, WTI price, and ISM New Orders less ISM Customer Inventories to measure the impact of current conditions on future corporate earnings. As a result, I get an indicator that tends to lead stock indices YoY changes, especially Russell 2000 - because it is the index that is the most sensitive to real economy changes. We should not expect earnings to grow in that kind of environment. Liquidity in the financial system I use three indicators to measure liquidity. I normalized the readings to z-scores - just to look at them from the same perspective. 1. FED Balance sheet less Reverse Repo (Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements) less TGA (U.S. Treasury General Account): there is still plenty of money flowing in the financial markets despite ongoing QT 2. Top of the ES futures order book (the number of contracts in buy orders and sell orders): despite the end of the year period, the liquidity (on average) is just fine. No need to worry about air pockets right now. 3. Finra margin debt - the deleveraging is ongoing. $292B has been removed from investors' margin accounts so far, but there is still plenty of money borrowed from brokers - we're at levels last seen in 2018. Summary Forward P/E trough might be just around the corner, but central banks policy still does not support growth. It can be seen on the CLI Diffusion Index. On the other hand, tight financial conditions should soon impact corporate earnings. In that kind of environment - where EPS should not be rising and P/E not falling - selling the rip and buying the dip strategy might benefit more than just buy&hold. I'll wait with my long-term investments.
CME_MINI:RTY1!
by sl-wk
US Small Cap 2000 - Bears are in controlUS2000 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 1785 (stop at 1805) Buying pressure from 1720 resulted in prices rejecting the dip. The current move higher is expected to continue. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower. Our profit targets will be 1730 and 1630 Resistance: 1780 / 1830 / 1875 Support: 1725 / 1630 / 1530 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
VANTAGE:US2000Short
by VantageMarkets
Russell 2000 Index Descending Triangle to cause a major breakdowDescending Triangle has formed on Weekly for the Russell 2000 Index. The moving averages are all touching and seem to be at deciding point 200 = 21 =7 MA We need to wait for the official breakdown which will take the price to a target of 828. There are major warning signals for a Recession in 2024 with the inflationary pressures in the US, UK and Russia. We haven't seen these levels in decades and with interest rates on the constant rise, this will attract investors to fixed income assets and deposits int he bank. However, the Recession is one aspect. The markets are actually setting up for a meltdown. We just need to wait for the catalyst to send it. Until then, we keep our eyes opened for possible opportunities.
TVC:RUTShort
by Timonrosso
1