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RUSSELL 2000

US Small Cap 2000 - Bears are in controlUS Small Cap 2000 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 1790 (stop at 1810) Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. A higher correction is expected. With the Ichimoku cloud resistance above we expect gains to be limited. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower. Our profit targets will be 1730 and 1630 Resistance: 1780 / 1830 / 1875 Support: 1725 / 1630 / 1555 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
VANTAGE:US2000Short
by VantageMarkets
From "Hovercraft" to IHS pattern? WAY EARLY but interesting 2cDo you see it? $DJI Is it easier to see on weekly? The "Hovercraft" patter COULD be a precursor to an Inverted Head & Shoulder! See it now? IT'S WAAAY early & it doesn't mean it'll happen $ETH had one recently & went kaput Can $DJI #BEAR be ending? Time will tell IMO chances are NOT for BUT As stated MANY TIMES #markets are NOT logical What about $NDX $SPX & $RUT? Short answers no, bleh & actually looks like head & shoulder recently lol
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
🟨 January effect - SPX vs RUTWHAT IT IS Since 1988 the Russell 2000 has outperfomed the SPX 73.5% of the time during the end of December into 1st of January. Classical David vs Goliath. Read more below👇 THE DETAILS Testing from 1988 to 2021 the period of 15th Dec through to 1st Jan, we see that Russell 2000 has outperformed the SPX 25 out of all 34 years. This is a win rate of 73.5% . Moreover, the times the Russel outperforms the SPX were greatly oversized when the Russell underperforms. Gains in the years of outperfmrance are 5 times bigger. Totals outperformance vs Total underperformance is (42.80% vs -7.81%). And there was only 1 year (1988) when there was a loss larger than 1%. The last few years we have not been so consistent but it is worth the consideration.
SP:SPXLong
by TintinTrading
Russel 2000 Bear Market?It seems by all indications that we are heading into a bear market. With raising interest rates, tapering, and shrinking of balance sheets, we will see the Russel take at least a 20% tumble from the current price. The 100MA puts the Russel 2000 at around 1400, and further down on 200MA. A couple of key points: Only 40% of Russel 2000 are above 50-Day MA. Only 45% of Russel 2000 are above 50-Day MA. MACD is crossed and looks bearish. Fed slowing down its QE. I was a bit curious why the Russel 2000 took a dip in 2018-2019 with the economy doing so well then. The one thing that I could overlay to make some sense to it was the Federal Funds Rate went up to 2.42% Even mainstream investors like Jon Najarian has taken short positions in the IWM for February. The economics speak it, the Fed speaks it, the indicators speak it, and now even mainstream economists are accepting there is some market shaking coming.
AMEX:IWMShort
by WorldEconomics
9
Stocks can go higher, but how much higher?I will start by sharing a Twitter poll, which shows the sentiment we are seeing now. Most think we are going lower. Therefore, the market could go higher in the short term. twitter.com I believe our target is the critical breakdown level that was never retested on the chart above. The maximum upside is the R3 Monthly Pivot + Yearly Pivot, which will most likely reject the price. Recession or no recession, the market has room to the upside for reasons different from what most people think. Won't get into these things here, as I want to keep this idea simply about the key targets I have for stocks. For Nasdaq, it is hard to tell how high we will go as there is more than one target. For the S&P500 and the Russell below, the targets are very clear. However, for QQQ - NDX - NQ, more than one gap must be filled. Based on the above, I expect the market to top about 6% higher from here, and potentially as much as 10% for the Nasdaq 100.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BitcoinMacro
BTC, SPX, RUT wide gap from HYG. We're up for a rude awakening dear fellows, it came to our attention the monthly chart of HYG, BTCUSDT, SPX, RUT. they all belong to the same class of speculative assets. of them, HYG is likely to have the greatest demand for liquidity as it lives out of refinancing its cash flow, let alone its debt. notice how 1. they are synchronized in what concerns the bottoms 2. HYG renewed the lows at each new bottom, never the highs at each top. 3. the others did the opposite this mismatch opened up a wide gap in the logarithmic scale of the y axis. the logarithmic scale shows how much percentually current level still can fall. thus, BTC, SPX and RUT still can fall more than they did already until they catch up with HYG. that is precisely the case of FED keeping current policy "until something brakes". that would be a rude, late, awakening for anyone not knowing where to look at for market health check. best regards.
AMEX:HYGShort
by greenfield_br
2
Is $SPX bound for a crash or a small bounceI'm torn about this. from the top to down move thus far, the SPX has had small bounces along the way, as buyers come in, ride up the rally, then get burned. My sentiment right now is that there is little tolerance to be burned for the third time, and data/world news appear to be getting worse at the moment, not better. Of course these things can "resolve" themselves in the next couple of weeks but... in which case the SPX may rally a bit to around the 3920 level. The technical case for this is the fact that we're oversold and the MACD appears to want to make a turn higher from where it is right now on the daily. But the case against this is that, apart from the various poor news out of NORD, China, Apple, Bonds and the like, it's never a good thing when SPX closes at a new low for what has been a very bearish 2022. The downside target at 3400 and 3200 can come pretty fast, with little to no resistance along the way, with the exception of 3550, as far as i can tell. I'm bearish and will be looking at the moves in the next couple of sessions very carefully.
SP:SPXShort
by grenadetrade
Russel 2000 Weekly Volatility Forecast 26-30 September Russel 2000 Weekly Volatility Forecast 26-30 September Currently our volatility for Russel is at 4.3%, increasing from 3.76% last week, located on 70th percentile, placing us in a high volatility environment Based on the previous calculations, there is currently a 16.7% chance that the asset is going to break the channel(the weekly candle it will close above/below) TOP 1746 BOT 1620 At the same time, based on the previous calculations: - There is a 28% chance that the previous high from last week of 1830 is going to be touched - There is a 70% chance that the previous low from last week 1660 is going to be touched We can deduct that we have a much higher probability to have a continuation of bearish candle than bullish. On average the weekly candle when the asset was located around this percentile are 2.9% for bull candles and 2.95% for the bear candles from the opening price. From the fundamental point of view, news that can affect this asset price this week: - Core Durable release, CB Consumer confidence and Powell Speech for Tuesday 27 Sep - Powell Speech for Wednesday 28 Sep - US GDP and Jobless Claims coming on Thursday 29 Sep - Core PCE on Friday 29 Sep Overall I believe for this week there is higher chance due to the overall global activity to have another bearish weekly candle.
CME_MINI:RTY1!Short
by exlux
Prefer to fade into the rally on US2000USDUS2000USD0 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 1860 (stop at 1895) Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. A higher correction is expected. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower. Our profit targets will be 1775 and 1760 Resistance: 1815 / 1830 / 1840 Support: 1800 / 1790 / 1775 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.'
OANDA:US2000USDShort
by OANDA
Selling rallies on US2000USDUS2000USD - Intraday - We look to Sell at 1880 (stop at 1910) Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. We are trading at oversold extremes. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower. Our profit targets will be 1790 and 1730 Resistance: 1830 / 1935 / 2025 Support: 1785 / 1730 / 1640 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.'
OANDA:US2000USDShort
by OANDA
RUT- Russell 2000 Mid Caps GOOD DAYS AHEADThe RUT ETF crashed with the COVID market phenomenon but then recovered better and faster than the SPY in 116 % of price appreciation in less than the one year that followed. Since then RUT retraced about 1/2 of that uptrend. Presently on the weekly chart, the price is relatively stable. The RSI bottomed out in the oversold territory and is now in mid-range with RSI above its Ichimoku cloud. All of this is positive or at least not the overly negative of doom and gloom. I believe that it will soon be time to begin a dollar cost averaging into some long-term call options on RUT as things are not as bad as the media, banks and large institutional players want to portray to retail traders and investors.
TVC:RUTLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
90 Day Macro View Increasingly, competitive crosscurrents are creating notional Equity Directional disturbances. A large number of Investors/Traders have convinced themselves the Federal Reserve was attempting to Bluff the Markets. Running Indexes up off the Mid-June at the greatest rate of change in history once the SloMo began to move through its varying psychological attributes. Momo gave way to Fomo which quickly reversed off Resistance overhead. Normal behavior, so far. ______________________________________________________________________________________________ The underlying Malfunction is beginning to see signs of light in the tunnel of love. Powell's recent admission will not repeat Arthur Burns's misdeeds of the past provided an interesting tell. _______________________________________________________________________________________________ We can expect to see broader Market Ranges in the coming 90 Days as confusions abound and will be resolved. Permit me to explain. The FOMC Minutes were Negative as FOMC Participants observed Inflation remains unacceptably high. Reduction of Treasury and Agency Debt was re-affirmed. EFF vs IR @ 2.53 versus 8.5%+ - 600 Basis Points and 237% Divergence while the Objective remains 2%. If we were to factor in the BLS Basis adjustment (Jan. 1, 2022) - it is easily Double. Although they indicated the potential for a pause may be within their purview... the catch is they remain Data-dependent. A nebulous and arbitrary hedge. Aggressive EFF Increases with a pause somewhere on the Horizon was my takeaway. The additional admission of a weakening Consumer provided the coup de gras for Data Dependence. Building a better box for further confusion and delay. EFF vs 2YY @ 2.53 vs. 3.28 does indicate a 75 BPS Hike for September, not 50 BPS - at present with the Yield Curve Inverted out to the 7's. _______________________________________________________________________________________________ Where is the FED indicating they need to bring EFF... 3.5 to 4%. I've paid close attention to the QT Schedule - which has remained rather jiggy. Prior to June 15th, we observed the Fed begin the largest reduction in some time. Effectively reducing the Balance Sheet by $81B while $90B was to have been removed by August 15th. Remember, on September 15th they stated reductions were to increase to $60B / Month. A significant increase over notional distributions since June 15th. Measures of Liquidity have come down significantly, clearly, the FED is concerned about a dislocation now. MBS Markets have seized up. M2 Velocity is at its lowest reading, many Mortage lenders are on the verge of Insolvency, M2 is in its 5th month of contraction - all of this has been roundly ignored by Invertors / Speculators. Quantitative Tightening has tread ever so lightly with the specter of a looming 100% increase in the Balance Sheet reductions per month. The FED is moving at a glacial pace as Economic Conditions have weakened precipitously. For context, it is important to remember - Assets on the FED's balance sheet were $4.16Trillion prior to Covid. MBS requires 90 Days to settle, The FED was buying up until June 15th knowing they had time to square into September 15th, this trick escapes Retail attention, understandably so as the FED never discloses these nuances. For Treasuries, maturity is reached on the 15t and 30th/31st of each month, hence the rally off June 16th, there are no accidents. Mid-Month usually generates Liquidity issues around pivotal dates for Time, squaring occurs closer to Months end. _______________________________________________________________________________________________ By the time we get to the first week of October, the Fed's roll-off will become extremely evident. _______________________________________________________________________________________________ Investors have focused solely on Rates, one-half of the real FED Agenda. QT is more important at this point, far more. I indicated the effective break rate for the Indices would be 3.5% for the 10 Year Yield. We saw the results of this level for the Indexes. It is important to remember the Bulk of prior Funding from 2002 onward was done below 30 months on the curve, increasing the refunding needs exponentially. Thank Timothy Bitsberger from Goldman for this, as it was an intentional and extremely devious plan to collapse Debt over time. QT will have an extreme effect on Liquidity at a time where Liquidity itself is coming under immense duress Globally. _______________________________________________________________________________________________ The November FOMC may see a pause due to the Mid-Terms, we will see - Apolitical appearances and all. They will not pause QT, it will remain ongoing as a background operation of vital importance. _______________________________________________________________________________________________ Investors survived the first wave of FED Adjustments, they will not be imbued with the same again. _______________________________________________________________________________________________ The most important communique from Jackson Hole will be how it directs Monetary Tightening to take effect as Rates take a backseat to a further Liquidity Squeeze via QT. Bulls want to believe the FED will back away - I'm leaning towards Economic Activity and its attendant Depression remain pervasive. Sentiment will begin to worsen. The New Congress will not be seated until April 2023. Any hope for Stimmy direct to Citizens/Consumers is DOA until then. Global Economic conditions are rather Dire.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HK_L61
4
Why Chase the Wind?Some like running. Others like direction. Some just want to feel the breeze again. You will long for the past and try to repeat what you did to succeed, only to realize that nothing lasts forever. I don't think this pattern of lower lows in percentages of bullish stocks, and higher lows in bitcoin price, will last forever. If money printing stops and lending dries up, maybe bitcoin will go sideways for a while? Although institutional selling has happened, did the crowd sell yet? I don't know. If it did, maybe the green divergence pattern plays out, otherwise the red might come true? Considering that we reached 17% of stocks bullish, that could seem like some sort of bottom, as was the case in 2015. But this entire chart is focused on a bull equities market, and so it is not reasonable to adjust our expectations towards past results. In my opinion, we should only use it as a reference of severity or volatility. Lately there is this pattern of lower lows in the Percentage of Stocks, and if the market is truly bearish, we should get a low that is lower than 17%, the current low, as seems to be implied in the chart in a megaphone-like pattern (grey line). Maybe it won't go to 6% like in 2020, but I have a hard time believing that. What was going to play out then, clearly has not yet played out and was delayed via bailouts. One might consider that because of the severe volatility 2020, it is not reasonable to expect a lower low in the percentage of stocks, which I think is a reasonable consideration, but it is not clear yet if the bearish momentum has finished playing out in terms of stock prices, especially large caps. Bitcoin price wise, I think we could linger on a bit here as neither bearish or bullish, but unless we make a higher low in the next few months (boring scenario, green), it will dip lower(red). I think 18.5k is a decent bottom for the neutral/bullish view(green), and ~6-12k is a decent bottom for the bearish view(red). What scenario do you think will play out? Personally, I just want to wait and see if we set a bottom here, but there's been a big gamma squeeze the past few days and I closed out most of my longs in the past few days out of discomfort. So, not necessarily short, but not long either. There's a lot of uncertainty here and it's always good to take profit while you are ahead. I like using the "Percentage of stocks" type symbols, it's a nice litmus test for the market. Hopefully you will find them useful. Some are not links but these are all symbols under the INDEX: category 200 day MMTH S5TH R2TH NDTH 50 day MMFI S5FI R2FI NDFI 20 day MMTW S5TW R2TW NDTW Take care and don't forget to hedge your bets! -your fringe chartist
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by fringe_chartist
2