MULTIBAGGER Series - Stock 3Hello everyone!
I am back with 3rd company of the multibagger series.
The company is Zaggle Prepaid Ocean Services Ltd. Zaggle builds world-class financial solutions and products to manage the business expenses of corporates, SMEs, & Startups through automated and innovative workflows. It is at an intersection of SaaS (Software as a service) and Fintech. It has made strategic alliances with many other companies. The company has an esteemed list of corporates like Tata Capital, Inox, NSDL, DBMS, Wockhardt, Yes Bank, Greenply, etc. It has also made an agreement with VISA and the deal is valued at approximately $20 million over the next five year.
The company has shown more than 10x growth in both sales and profit made in the past 4 years. Last year sales was 776 cr and profit was 44 cr. The quarterly sales and profit is also continuously increasing and the company is expected to grow at a good pace from here. They have made visionary targets for the year 2025. Ace investor Ashish Kacholia has also invested in this company.
Investing in such companies will make our portfolio diverse and as they are smallcap company, chance of giving multibagger returns are more from such companies.
Investing in such companies bring a high risk factor so please do your own analysis before investing.
Hope you learned something new from this post.
Do like, share and follow me. Thank you!
SAAS
My TOP10 project list - pick number 1/10 (new set up)Hello my friends,
This was my first top 10 crypto pick back in November 1st 2023 !
I personally entered this trade on 25th September 2022 (at 0.015 cents) but felt sufficiently confident to publish it only 1 year later.
It had a great run in April this year, it even touched 10 cents. However the best is yet to come.
TODAY it has reached the same price level as 9 months ago (white circle) !! God or bad ?
Now it is a great time to buy with a better risk reward level.
From the 10 cents level, it has crashed all the way back to 0.023 cents.
However the breakdown was recently confirmed as F A L S E breakdown (blue circle), similarly as it did in March 2024 before the run up.
This is an extreemely bullish price action !
I personally think that we could see the 0.3186 level this year (which would be a 10 x from here).
Not financial advice. It is just my personal view on the current set up.
ANSS AnSys The Software Simulation Engine For Everything AI Ansys, Inc. is an American company based in Canonsburg, Pennsylvania. It develops and markets CAE/multiphysics engineering simulation software for product design, testing and operation and offers its products and services to customers worldwide.
Opening positions under $220 and attempting to hold for $300
Meet the worst performing industry in the bear marketThis chart shows RingCentral, Bandwidth, and Twilio. I have actually wrote about Twilio a few times because its sell-off has been especially pronounced.
In some respects, Twilio is one of the poster childs of the recent bear market mania among high flying tech names.
Nonetheless, not that I am a knife catcher all that much, but more-so the extent of this crash in communication and tech companies that have become essential tools in all digital aspects of life, it's hard to ignore a sector like this. I partly think the sell-off is as intense as it is because no one actually knows what these companies do!
A quick background on what they do...
When Zoom connects video & voice calls, there's a company working behind the scenes to ensure those communications are running as smoothly as possible.
When Apple sends you a two-factor text message to secure your account, there's a company working behind the scenes to connect that information.
When an internal team conducts a conference call on their private network or in the office, there's a product behind the scenes connecting all of them.
When someone calls a customer support line, and gets routed based on the information they need, there's a company working behind the scenes to connect that information.
These companies are largely responsible for the majority of that infrastructure. Without them, the connectivity among apps, calls, texts, emails, and notifications would be a fraction of what it is today. Our capabilities would be greatly reduced.
Nevertheless, it's hard for me to ignore these companies and these industries from RNG to TWLO and BAND.
I bought a small chunk of BAND recently and that's my full disclosure. I'll sell the trade at a loss if it goes back below $13.50 and I'll take gains if it goes back to $28.00 per share (the recent highs - possible double top formation).
So with that being said, those are my thoughts currently...
Amplitude: 2021 IPO Comeback Kid $AMPL $COIN $SNOWDoesn't look like there are many buyers for $AMPL, a peer of $COIN $SNOW 2020-2021 IPO cohorts, though business results look promising in the long-term.
I'd say anything above $10 is a good entry for this as a long-term tech stock that can outperform in future cycles.
Amplitude Inc (NASDAQ:AMPL)
The 8 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Amplitude Inc have a median target of $17.50, with a high estimate of 20.00 and a low estimate of 15.00 . The median estimate represents a +32.28% increase from the last price of 13.23.
In the chart above, I have 3 bullish scenarios. All 3 are negated if the price drops below $10
As of now, it looks like there's still a lot of post-IPO sell pressure and aside from price defense at $10 late this year, not much new insti investor interest.
"We're so early!" - Famous Last Words
Are cloud computing companies offering a second bite Are cloud computing companies offering a second bite at the cherry?
On 18 December 2022, Jason Lemkin posted a blog titled “Right Back to Where We Were 3 Years Ago.” It caught my attention or those of us who have been following the performance of software-as-a-service (SaaS) cloud computing companies. It tells us, quite clearly, that the impact of the ‘pandemic pull-forward’ of demand for software consumption is completely removed from the 3-year performance number.
To us, it means that it is time to ask a simple question: is the market giving us a ‘do-over’, meaning that we can now access companies at something similar to ‘pre-pandemic’ levels, or is the jig up and the cloud business model doomed to fade away into the sunset?
SaaS companies have evolved significantly since 2019
In Figure 2, we wanted to look at valuation over the same period. Even if the share price performances of the underlying companies have run up and then fallen back in most cases—leading to the observed performance of the BVP Nasdaq Emerging Cloud Index—we have not been seeing companies reporting widespread negative year-over-year revenue growth. Instead, we’ve tended to see the revenue growth ranges shifting downwards, with the median figure for the Index now closer to the 30% level, whereas it was higher than 40% for a period of time ending roughly one year ago.
If prices have dropped but sales have continued to grow, it’s possible to see that the valuation opportunity at present is better than it was in December of 2019, 3-years ago. In Figure 2, we see that the price-to-sales ratio was 7.0-8.0x during this period, whereas presently it is below 4.5x. We agree that these stocks should be less expensive today, in that the risk today is higher and the cost of capital is also higher. We can’t know with certainty if the current price levels perfectly encapsulate this risk, but it is simply important to know that the risk does look like it is being accounted for.
In our opinion, within software-as-a-service companies, one must always marry looking at valuation with looking at revenue growth. Many of these firms, as yet, do not carry through positive net income to the bottom lines of their income statements, so if one can look at a reasonable fundamental, sales seems to make the most sense at this point in the development of the megatrend. We do view this as a megatrend, which means the time horizon we are thinking about is not the next 12 months or couple of years, but something that should unfold over a decade.
Growth, on the other hand, has come down more slowly than valuation. Now, this is ‘revenue growth’, not earnings growth or cash flow growth, but we note that companies are still growing, and some are still delivering results ahead of Wall Street’s expectations. If the Nasdaq 100 is growing something close to 10% and the BVP Nasdaq Emerging Cloud Index is growing something close to 30%, is this a worthwhile trade-off? The Nasdaq Index represents, predominantly, proven, established businesses, with some of the world’s most valuable companies, measured by their market capitalisations, getting the top weights. This risk profiles of these groups of stocks should be quite different, but if we are able to think not of the next 12 months but rather the next 10 years, does the difference in risk potentially make sense?
We do feel comfortable to conclude there is a better chance to make sense at the present valuation trade-off than it did at the near-term market high observed in November 2021, even if it’s impossible to know the future with certainty.
Where the rubber meets the road: what do SaaS companies do?
In our opinion, no discussion of cloud computing or SaaS companies is complete without giving some treatment to what the companies do. SaaS is just a business model—a way to provide/consume software that competes with other ways to provide/consume software. Do people prefer subscription models, or would they want to go back to a world where they need to buy a DVD and physically hold and use their own copy? If the software is necessary and valuable, and the company can execute their strategy, we have confidence in the long term. If, on the other hand, the software is discretionary and more ‘nice-to-have’ than needed, then there could be more risks. We see the following functional groupings as a starting point:
Cybersecurity: companies like CrowdStrike, SentinelOne, Cloudflare, Zscaler and Darktrace focus on cybersecurity. Subscribing to cybersecurity protection makes sense because we know that the attackers are always evolving. Stagnant protection would eventually lead to limited protection. Many SaaS cybersecurity firms are not necessarily trading at single digit price-to-sales multiples, but it’s also the case that cybersecurity has received massive attention from investors in 2022, largely due to the Russia/Ukraine conflict.
Software development: companies like Twilio, Atlassian and New Relic are involved with running platforms useful to software development. Twilio and Atlassian have faced challenges in their share price performance during their most recent quarterly earnings reporting periods. However, we believe that the service they provide for software development remains critical.
Business services: a company like Bill.com is very interesting, in that it is an example of a service that helps small and mid-sized firms manage their expenses. It’s a good case to remember because companies will tend to employ services like this to create efficiencies and save costs and time. We couldn’t ever say this company (or others like it) would be immune to recessionary pressures, but we find it important to note that it also may not be the first subscription to cut either.
Cloud computing and software-as-a-service companies do not have long histories of operation where we can look back at their performance during the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-09, and we’d have to assume that, if they were around in 2001 and 2002, their performance as the ‘tech bubble’ burst would have been significantly negative. To say these companies are completely resilient to recession is not a thesis that has been proving out in 2022. However, we’d note that their revenues are still growing, so it’s not the case either that these companies immediately reverted to negative revenue growth and collapsing fundamentals. If people view this as a megatrend, as we do at WisdomTree, the current period in the coming months could be a much more interesting entry point than anything we have seen recently, even if near-term performance could still be challenging.
$MDB: Very interesting setup, weekly+daily trends are upThis one has potential to be an extremely powerful move if we don't get some unexpected bearish shock after FOMC this week. Certainly worth a shot considering the weekly and daily trends are up here, and stop is rather tight just under $197.86 when upside is potentially up to $300 over time.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Cloud computing: what are the big players telling us?Each earnings season, we become accustomed to certain patterns. One pattern involves the biggest tech companies reporting earnings before many other smaller and medium sized firms. In what we know is a very difficult economic backdrop, it’s important to look for signals that some of the world’s largest companies are giving us.
Additionally, since Microsoft Azure, Amazon Web Services, and Google Cloud are three of the world’s largest providers of public cloud infrastructure, it’s possible that these reports contain details about how companies are spending more broadly on technology. Combining the annual revenues of just these businesses (recognising that they are each part of larger companies) we see spending on cloud infrastructure annually in the hundreds of billions of dollars.
We believe that there is a difference between these three large public-cloud infrastructure providers and the much greater number of far smaller Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) providers. These three firms, for instance, are a major part of most market capitalisation-weighted benchmark indices. They are at a point in their life cycles where they should exhibit sensitivity to broad, global economic activity and growth expectations.
What can they tell us? The most important thing that we think the results of the big public-cloud providers can tell us regards trends in broad-based information technology spending on cloud computing. Eventually, the enterprise market will have ‘moved to the cloud’ and the growth rates of these large players should drop significantly. We are not yet there so, in this type of environment, we really want to see the resilience of cloud spending in the face of a tougher economic backdrop. There haven’t been that many economic slowdowns since the genesis of the cloud business model, and there certainly haven’t been sustained periods of inflation or central bank tightening.
What don’t they tell us? The smaller SaaS providers tend to help their customers with much more specific business initiatives. It may be accounting, compliance, cybersecurity, data analysis…the list is becoming endless. These companies are more idiosyncratic, in that their individual results do not translate to broad trends as clearly as the biggest company results would. However, we might see strong spending in cybersecurity, for example, and this may not be as clearly visible in the results of the biggest companies.
Our initial sense is that it is important to remember that, in many cases, businesses transitioning to the cloud is done to create efficiency and to accomplish more while investing either less time, less money or less of both. We think that this overall trend will continue, but it likely won’t continue at the rates seen in recent years if the global backdrop is characterised by a deteriorating economic picture. It’s also the case that many cloud-focused companies have seen their share prices drop significantly in 2022. This doesn’t mean that all the risk is ‘priced-in’ by any means, but it does tell us that the valuation risk of the space is lower relative to the much higher valuations seen towards the end of 2021.
Microsoft
Microsoft is a leader in the cloud space, and it’s important to note that the Azure infrastructure platform is one piece of the overall ‘Intelligent Cloud’ effort. Most attention goes to the year-over-year revenue growth rates, so it is instructive to first ground any discussion in some of the recent quarterly figures, which are shown in year-over-year terms for Azure specifically below1:
30 September 2021: 50%
31 December 2021: 46%
31 March 2022: 46%
30 June 2022: 40%
30 September 2022: 35%
It also helps to look at the overall revenue base to help ground any further thoughts about reasonable growth. While the quarterly results do look at more than the pure Azure revenues, broadening the picture to ‘Intelligent Cloud’, we see that Microsoft’s Intelligent Cloud revenue was $16.91 billion as of 30 September 2021, and that this figure increased to $20.33 billion as of 30 September 2022. This is a quarterly figure, and it is beginning to be quite large, so part of the growth rate deceleration that we may be seeing could be attributed to the size and scale of these figures.
Analysts are seeing Azure customers very focused on optimising their cloud workloads, which helps them to save money, and it’s also the case that there is evidence that customers are pausing on new workloads. It is reasonable to think that, in an environment of slower economic growth, consumption-based business models like public cloud infrastructure may indicate shifts in customer-behaviour toward more essential workloads2.
Amazon
Amazon Web Services (AWS) is the leading public cloud infrastructure platform based on market share, often cited as having a figure around 40% of the total. If we consider the year-over-year growth rates from recent quarters3:
30 September 2021: 39%.
31 December 2021: 40%
31 March 2022: 37%
30 June 2022: 33%
30 September 2022: 27%
Similar to the case of Microsoft, we are seeing decelerating growth rates. However, if we look to 30 September 2021, the trailing 12-month net sales for AWS was at $57.2 billion, and this same figure as of 30 September 2022 is $76.5 billion. These are getting to be quite large numbers.
Also similar to the story with Microsoft, enterprise cloud customers are looking to reduce costs within the AWS ecosystem. Analysts are continuing to note the long-term potential and how this differs from the situation within the shorter-term macroeconomic backdrop4.
Alphabet—Google Cloud in focus
Google Cloud, within Alphabet, does trail both Microsoft Azure and AWS in terms of market share, but Alphabet as a whole runs a formidable, cash-rich business, so they have been known to make large, splashy deals to gain high-profile cloud customers. If we note the year-over-year growth figures5:
30 September 2021: 45%
31 December 2021: 45%
31 March 2022: 44%
30 June 2022: 36%
30 September 2022: 38%
The growth rates are similar to what we noted with Microsoft Azure and AWS, but the dollar figures are much lower. As of 30 September 2021, the quarterly revenue from Google Cloud was reported at $4.99 billion, and then as of 30 September 2022, this figure had grown to $6.87 billion.
It is notable that, while Microsoft and Amazon saw quarter-to-quarter decelerations in growth rates, Google Cloud is cited as a bright spot of growth acceleration in Alphabet’s results. However, we note that Alphabet’s core business was certainly not immune to deteriorating economic conditions, and that the revenue figures are growing from a smaller overall base.
Conclusion: the economy matters but this is not the year 2000
The primary conclusion that we reach at this point is that economic conditions do matter for cloud computing companies. We have already seen their share price performance for 2022; it is crystal clear that market participants have re-assessed the appropriate valuation multiples for these firms considering higher inflation and higher interest rates. We will be watching closely to see how much revenue growth these companies can maintain as they continue to report earnings for the period ended 30 September 2022. The biggest companies, so far, have reported a range of 27% to 38%. It clearly isn’t the euphoric environment of 2020 any longer, but we don’t think it appropriate to say a ‘tech bubble is bursting’ either.
Sources
1 Source: Microsoft’s First Quarter Fiscal Year 2023 Results, 25 October 2022. Revenue figures presented in the generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) format.
2 Source: Sills, Brad & Adam Bergere. “Expected Azure decel likely temporary, cyclical; model largely derisked.” Bank of America Securities. 26 October 2022.
3 Sources: Amazon’s Quarterly Earnings Conference Call Slides for the specific periods ended: 30 September 2022, 30 June 2022, 31 March 2022, 31 December 2021 and 30 September 2021. The revenue growth figure is taken as the year-over-year growth without foreign exchange adjustment.
4 Source: Post, Justin & Michael McGovern. “Expecting Less this Holiday.” Bank of America Securities. 28 October 2022.
5 Sources: Alphabet’s Quarterly Earnings Announcements which specify the revenues from different business units on a quarterly basis for the periods ended: 30 September 2022, 30 June 2022, 31 March 2022, 31 December 2021 and 30 September 2021. Percentage growth is calculated directly from the figures that Alphabet reports for Google Cloud, all in USD terms.
VMW VmWare Appealing again near $100 tech blue chip“The internet was supposed to liberate knowledge, but in fact it buried it, first under a vast sewer of ignorance, laziness, bigotry, superstition and filth and then beneath the cloak of political surveillance."
VMware, Alibaba Cloud introduce next-generation public cloud service
SA NewsYesterday, 8:55 AM6 Comments
Intel CEO visits Taiwan Semiconductor to ask for additional capacity: report
SA NewsFri, Apr. 08104 Comments
ABNB Large Base Formation We're witnessing some relatively volatile price action after ABNB reported solid Q3 earnings. I believe ABNB is a disruptive play on innovation that everyone should hold in their LT portfolio, with accelerating EPS and increasing market share within the hospitality industry.
Technically speaking, the price action for ABNB keeps returning to its broad base on the daily timeframe and bouncing every time. I like watching this base for solid entry points/DCA on my position.
Just my personal opinion, not investment advice.
$MIME: Email Security While Trust In Big Tech Wanes?As distrust in big tech continues with FB making new lows and cyber security stocks continue to reach out for new highs, the tech hangover from COVID looms large. Mimecast I believe will ultimately find themselves on the right side of technology trends in the future while the rest of the world figures out how invasive they want their online communications to be and how comfortable they are with companies hanging onto their data.
SPLK has been beat down and run down SPLK as you can see has been on this downward trend over the past year essentially however this play had great earnings first and foremost, is in the middle of a conversion going from a software company to a SAAS business model and to align their goals made a big change in leadership asking the CEO to step down and remain as an advisor ( meaning he is leaving on great terms ) to remain with the company says a lot and have asked an executive board member to step up and take on the CEO role moving forward to guide the company through this change being that he comes from a company rich in SAAS ( salesforce ) i feel this transition was not only needed but well deserved. However as we see from the price action the price action still is being run down. However lets take a look at earnings you see positive returns and positive returns per share. Aside from that Cathie Wood also reestablished a new position in SPLK which again are all bullish signs. I am bullish on SPLK and think this too will be a great opportunity when it starts to get some love and attention being that the price is way down from ATH's
FRSHThis is a very pre-mature chart here I'm doing for you @ALYWLAM
I can expect Frshworks to stay bullish in long run. Although we may be witnessing the start of a shakeout on the stock since it's fairly new into the market.
We've seen an instance like AFRM where it dropped in half from open price all the way down to the 40's before forming a cup and handle and exploding to the upside, which I hope happens with FRSH.
Continue to buy up the stock at any given lvl in the 20's or even low 30's iMO.
I'm bullish on the long term existance of this stock.
China's SaaS: An 'Open Ocean' Up Ahead (4/4)China's cloud computing industry is still gradually developing, which implies infinite opportunities. When it comes to SaaS, the potential is even larger. This article is an overview of the country's cloud computing industry featuring the key players in the market, including Kingdee, Kingsoft, Youzan and Weimob.
Server device
In China, public cloud services have been increasingly popular, along with a number of existing customers showing desires to extend and customize the providers' offerings at their own expense. The country's cloud service value chain possesses enormous investment value at different levels. One reason is that the high cost of data migration generates solid user stickiness; the other reason is the relative independence of the sector from macroeconomic fluctuations. As projected by IDC, the cloud computing penetration among enterprises will increase to 15.8% by 2024 in China. By then, the market size will reach CNY 563.3 billion.
Currently, China's cloud market is at an early stage of development, with a lower market penetration rate compared with that in the United States. As per R&D World, China's spending on research and development (R&D) is expected to top with USD 621.5 billion in 2021, denoting a 25.5% share of the global R&D spending that year. In contrast, China's spending on cloud computing services only accounts for 6.2% of the global figure. It points to the fact that there is a great potential for the cloud computing market within China along with the continuing technological development.
11 out of the 20 most prominent tech companies in the US have been intensively engaged in the software-as-a-service (SaaS) business, which accounts for 40% of the value of those 20 companies. On the contrary, only 6 out of the 20 major tech players in China have SaaS business, occupying slightly 3% of the total value of those 20 largest Chinese techs. The industry's key players in China are the local SaaS providers such as Kingdee and foreign players that charge exorbitant prices in exchange for customized services.
Considering China's strict regulation on foreign companies, especially in various technology-related fields, the local companies are more likely to get the upper hand in the competition.
Weimob (02013:HK)
Weimob was founded in 2013 and currently has over 5,700 employees, 1,600 channel partners, and 3 million registered merchants. Providing cloud-based commerce and marketing solutions, it leverages Tencent’s social networking service platforms for SMBs in China. The company provides SaaS and other software for e-commerce, retail, catering, hotel, local life and other industries, enabling merchants to carry out traffic management, obtain public domain traffic, and supports them to achieve digital transformation.
In view of the recent trend of more enterprise customers maintaining direct connections with users through WeChat, Weimob will see strong momentum in digital commerce revenue growth and continue to expand its scope from the SaaS area to more extended services.
China's SaaS: An 'Open Ocean' Up Ahead (3/4)China's cloud computing industry is still gradually developing, which implies infinite opportunities. When it comes to SaaS, the potential is even larger. This article is an overview of the country's cloud computing industry featuring the key players in the market, including Kingdee, Kingsoft, Youzan and Weimob.
Server device
In China, public cloud services have been increasingly popular, along with a number of existing customers showing desires to extend and customize the providers' offerings at their own expense. The country's cloud service value chain possesses enormous investment value at different levels. One reason is that the high cost of data migration generates solid user stickiness; the other reason is the relative independence of the sector from macroeconomic fluctuations. As projected by IDC, the cloud computing penetration among enterprises will increase to 15.8% by 2024 in China. By then, the market size will reach CNY 563.3 billion.
Currently, China's cloud market is at an early stage of development, with a lower market penetration rate compared with that in the United States. As per R&D World, China's spending on research and development (R&D) is expected to top with USD 621.5 billion in 2021, denoting a 25.5% share of the global R&D spending that year. In contrast, China's spending on cloud computing services only accounts for 6.2% of the global figure. It points to the fact that there is a great potential for the cloud computing market within China along with the continuing technological development.
11 out of the 20 most prominent tech companies in the US have been intensively engaged in the software-as-a-service (SaaS) business, which accounts for 40% of the value of those 20 companies. On the contrary, only 6 out of the 20 major tech players in China have SaaS business, occupying slightly 3% of the total value of those 20 largest Chinese techs. The industry's key players in China are the local SaaS providers such as Kingdee and foreign players that charge exorbitant prices in exchange for customized services.
Considering China's strict regulation on foreign companies, especially in various technology-related fields, the local companies are more likely to get the upper hand in the competition.
China Youzan (08083:HK)
Youzan provides merchants with social network-based SaaS systems with omnichannel operations and integrated new retail solutions, applying PaaS cloud services to create business customization options while providing extended services, such as Youzan Guarantee, Youzan Distribution and Youzan Promotion.
Within Youzan's ecosystem, merchants can sell items via social networks, managing their own omnichannel retail through the company's SaaS solutions. The firm also offers a variety of cloud-based commerce services to merchants through a suite of SaaS products such as Youzan WeiMall, Youzan Retail, Youzan Chain, Youzan Beauty and Youzan Education. In addition, Youzan specializes in the SaaS business that supports SME merchants and facilitates retail transactions. Across industries, management teams lacking a technical background can easily open a customized online store on Youzan.
Youzan's gross merchandise volume (GMV) in 2020 was CNY 103.7 billion, a 61% increase compared to 2019's figure. In the same year, the gross profit margin of its SaaS products increased by 11.8%, reaching 76.0%.
China's SaaS: An 'Open Ocean' Up Ahead (2/4)China's cloud computing industry is still gradually developing, which implies infinite opportunities. When it comes to SaaS, the potential is even larger. This article is an overview of the country's cloud computing industry featuring the key players in the market, including Kingdee, Kingsoft, Youzan and Weimob.
Server device
In China, public cloud services have been increasingly popular, along with a number of existing customers showing desires to extend and customize the providers' offerings at their own expense. The country's cloud service value chain possesses enormous investment value at different levels. One reason is that the high cost of data migration generates solid user stickiness; the other reason is the relative independence of the sector from macroeconomic fluctuations. As projected by IDC, the cloud computing penetration among enterprises will increase to 15.8% by 2024 in China. By then, the market size will reach CNY 563.3 billion.
Currently, China's cloud market is at an early stage of development, with a lower market penetration rate compared with that in the United States. As per R&D World, China's spending on research and development (R&D) is expected to top with USD 621.5 billion in 2021, denoting a 25.5% share of the global R&D spending that year. In contrast, China's spending on cloud computing services only accounts for 6.2% of the global figure. It points to the fact that there is a great potential for the cloud computing market within China along with the continuing technological development.
11 out of the 20 most prominent tech companies in the US have been intensively engaged in the software-as-a-service (SaaS) business, which accounts for 40% of the value of those 20 companies. On the contrary, only 6 out of the 20 major tech players in China have SaaS business, occupying slightly 3% of the total value of those 20 largest Chinese techs. The industry's key players in China are the local SaaS providers such as Kingdee and foreign players that charge exorbitant prices in exchange for customized services.
Considering China's strict regulation on foreign companies, especially in various technology-related fields, the local companies are more likely to get the upper hand in the competition.
Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (KC:NASDAQ)
Kingsoft Cloud is the largest independent cloud service provider in China. Unlike many others in the space who tend to be narrowly segmented, it has extended from its original infrastructure-as-a-service (IaaS) model to platform-as-a-service (PaaS) to SaaS, forming a complete closed-loop that covers the entire cloud computing market to achieve cross-functional expansion as the scale grows. Kingsoft Cloud has built a comprehensive cloud platform consisting of extensive Cloud infrastructure, diverse products and industry-specific solutions across public cloud, enterprise cloud and AIoT cloud services. Powered by Kingsoft Group's enterprise service capabilities, Kingsoft Cloud is widely trusted in China and has inherited a huge customer base.
In the midst of fierce competition in the cloud service market, Kingsoft Cloud raised a total of USD 720 million in six rounds of funding in 2017-2018 and went public in May 2020. With sufficient cash reserves and the support from consumer electronics giant Xiaomi, Kingsoft has been able to survive and thrive. Its customer are, however, so concentrated now that the three largest of them account for 53% of its revenue.
Kingsoft Cloud's focused approach has made it a prime force in a few cloud industry subfields, such as games, video streaming, live streaming and finance. It is now expected to further boost its presence in various new verticals, where the main potential of the cloud market is mainly distributed. For example, Kingsoft Cloud recently shifted to the financial and government fields, enabling it to open up new business fulcrums beyond the public cloud business. In 2019, Kingsoft Cloud entered the field of Artificial Intelligence of Things (AIoT), which happens to be one of the key investment areas in China's 'new infrastructure' course.
China's SaaS: An 'Open Ocean' Up Ahead (1/4)China's cloud computing industry is still gradually developing, which implies infinite opportunities. When it comes to SaaS, the potential is even larger. This article is an overview of the country's cloud computing industry featuring the key players in the market, including Kingdee, Kingsoft, Youzan and Weimob.
Server device
In China, public cloud services have been increasingly popular, along with a number of existing customers showing desires to extend and customize the providers' offerings at their own expense. The country's cloud service value chain possesses enormous investment value at different levels. One reason is that the high cost of data migration generates solid user stickiness; the other reason is the relative independence of the sector from macroeconomic fluctuations. As projected by IDC, the cloud computing penetration among enterprises will increase to 15.8% by 2024 in China. By then, the market size will reach CNY 563.3 billion.
Currently, China's cloud market is at an early stage of development, with a lower market penetration rate compared with that in the United States. As per R&D World, China's spending on research and development (R&D) is expected to top with USD 621.5 billion in 2021, denoting a 25.5% share of the global R&D spending that year. In contrast, China's spending on cloud computing services only accounts for 6.2% of the global figure. It points to the fact that there is a great potential for the cloud computing market within China along with the continuing technological development.
11 out of the 20 most prominent tech companies in the US have been intensively engaged in the software-as-a-service (SaaS) business, which accounts for 40% of the value of those 20 companies. On the contrary, only 6 out of the 20 major tech players in China have SaaS business, occupying slightly 3% of the total value of those 20 largest Chinese techs. The industry's key players in China are the local SaaS providers such as Kingdee and foreign players that charge exorbitant prices in exchange for customized services.
Considering China's strict regulation on foreign companies, especially in various technology-related fields, the local companies are more likely to get the upper hand in the competition. Four companies discussed below are those positioned exceptionally well to benefit from the country's cloud upgrade:
Kingdee (00268:HK)
Holding 6.8% of China's cloud market, per EqualOcean data, Kingdee has maintained the largest share in enterprise SaaS cloud services for two consecutive years, while its enterprise-grade SaaS ERM (cloud ERP) and 'Financial Cloud' services have taken this position for 4 consecutive years. Kingdee is also one of the largest ERP software providers in China.
In 2020, Kingdee continued to redirect resources to the SaaS business, leveraging its large corporate customer pool, in an attempt to gradually alienate itself from the ERP software business by focusing on the development and promotion of subscription-based cloud products. As a result, the SaaS business reached 57% of the total revenue in the 2020 fiscal year, surpassing the ERP business (43%) for the first time. After cultivating a solid customer base in its ERP segment, Kingdee would be able to convert many of them into buyers of the other services.
$CRWD flag - long to 300 extended target, 250 initial$CRWD showing a beautiful symmetrical triangle setup. If you missed my $BNTX callout this is next to run hard and fast.
$PANW in their last ER admitted they are losing business to $CRWD which is growing at record pace.
Positions: 240/250c 6/18; 250/260c 7/16
IBM breaking 8 year downtrendIBM is beginning to break out on the weekly chart from a trend line that was acting as strong resistance for over 8 years.
Recently the company has unveiled the world's first 2nm chip and announced previously that it will begin focusing on Cloud and AI which will serve the company well as those are two large secular growth stories. Go Long IBM. Trades at 9.79 EV/EBITDA ratio, well run company financially with a long growth path ahead of it.
I expect IBM and INTC to be some of the main beneficiaries of the bill that just passed in the senate today that okayed $54 billion dollars for the Semiconductor Industry to focus production on American soil and improve research efforts. INTC and IBM have long been the American blue-chip players in the space and are currently collaborating in advanced semiconductor research. This is a timely partnership as INTC is building two new fabs in Arizona and IBM just released its 2nm chip but does not manufacture its own chips (ahem ahem INTC).
Long-term Price Target: $250
Daily Chart w/ Golden Cross:
CARDSTACK - A "Clean No Comment" Series Entry #3Entry number three of
a "Clean No Comment" chart.
Viewer inference advised.
ADBE over 475.00Cloud/SaaS were some of the growth leaders pre and post-COVID but have significantly cooled off since the peak in August/September and did not rally to the degree other names did in November - February. ADBE is forming a flag on the weekly viewing shown here on the daily, entry provided at 475.00 over VPOC, price action resistance which also serves as a "round number" psych level.