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Absa showing downside to come to R120 but I am not buying it LOLOk so I am taking this analysis with a pinch of salt. The JSE Top 40 is showing major upside to come. And yet the Banking sector is showing conflicting signals. I mean we have an Inv Cup and Handle. We have a strong downtrend (safety line) - confirmed We have price<20 and 200MA - Making it a high probability short. Everything about the system is saying SHORT But I am calling BS on this analysis. A part of me wants to go short just for the sake of it because the system says the next target is at R120.12. Are banks predicting a bigger short and crash than we think?
JSE:ABGShort
by Timonrosso
1
REVERSAL Idea - Capitec Bank - first down to R2400 then up 2900Broadening Pattern has formed with Capitec. When this pattern forms it bounces between ranges. Right now it bounced off the top of the range, and is most likely to come down 50% from the most recent rally. Once it comes down to a target of R2,400 then it could consolidate move sideways and then breakup to the next target at R2,900. This is a little different from breakout trading, but I was asked for an analysis around this.
JSE:CPIShort
by Timonrosso
Capitec Vuvuzela with bullish bias & strong fundaments to R2,485Capitec has been in this Broadening Pattern (Vuvuzela) formation since November 2023. It breaks into higher highs and lower lows. But the overall momentum and trend channel is up. It will continue trading in this range until we get a breakout of the resistance or support. My bet is it will first trade to the top of the range at R2,485.92. Capitec has always been the outlier compared to the other banks with very little correlation. WHen it does well, it runs up regadless what the bigger banks are doing. Also fundamentally, it doesn't seem to follow suit with the Big 5. Firstly, Capitec announced a substantial 15% growth in headline earnings, which reached R9.7 billion. This increase was driven by growth across various sectors of the bank, including a notable 124% profit surge in its business banking sector and a significant increase in net lending, investment, and insurance income​ Also, Capitec has been actively investing in innovative digital solutions and client rewards programs, which have contributed to its strong performance. They introduced a variety of digital payment solutions like Apple Pay, Samsung Pay, and Google Pay with zero transaction fees, as well as their own secure online payment tool, Capitec Pay. So ye, big up to an innovative unclipped wings bank like Capitec.
JSE:CPILong
by Timonrosso
UPDATE Nedbank heading nicely up to R238.56UPDATE from last time. I thought we would get a bit of a pull back before the upside push, but I was mistaken. Regardless, the price was expected to move up and up it is going. This W Formation that formed and broke out gave a decent Risk to reward 1:2. And At this point where the R:R =1 it's even safe to bank half profits and move stop loss to breakeven. 7>21 RSI>50 Target remains at R238.56 ABOUT THE COMPANY ~ Nedbank Group Limited, commonly known as Nedbank, is one of the largest banking groups in South Africa. (Part of the Big Five!) ~ The company was established in 1888 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa. ~ Nedbank is a subsidiary of Old Mutual Limited, a financial services conglomerate. ~ The bank operates in various segments, including Retail and Business Banking, Corporate and Investment Banking, and Wealth Management. ~ Nedbank offers a wide range of financial products and services, including personal and business banking, loans, mortgages, investments, insurance, and asset management. ~ The company has a significant presence in South Africa, with a network of branches and ATMs across the country. ~ Nedbank has also expanded its operations internationally and has representative offices in several African countries, as well as operations in other regions such as the United Kingdom. HOW NEDBANK GOT ITS NAME Nedbank's name is derived from its historical roots. When the bank was established in 1888, it was originally known as the Nederlandsche Bank en Credietvereeniging voor Zuid-Afrika (Dutch Bank and Credit Union for South Africa). Over time, the name was shortened to Nederlandsche Bank voor Zuid-Afrika (Dutch Bank for South Africa) and eventually to Nedbank. The name "Nedbank" reflects the bank's Dutch heritage and its focus on providing banking services in South Africa.
JSE:NEDLong
by Timonrosso