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artificially depressed for a bigger payout for next cycle of bull run
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Safe-haven
Bonds dont like the clown showThe selling in bonds continues as inflation continues on. Wings in my area are almost $10/lb, highest i have seen this in my life (only 28 tho). Most of the time I check to see if there is any short term bond buying, this time however, short term bonds are selling too. It would seem that investors are spooked, Investors really have no where to run at this point. Crypto winter is here, Stocks did great today but those gains are no longer viable with a hawkish fed, homes are skyrocketing but people are already warning of a top, businesses have a labor shortage and with inflation it's obvious investors do not see US debt as a safe haven anymore. At least for now. I will keep you all updated. Hope you all have your popcorn at the ready.
Avery clear signelHello!
I have been away for over a year now. I'm sorry for my absence. I have been working on a new business venture. I now have more time on my hands to produce charts again! With that said.
We are facing here a very clear inversion in bonds as the bond market sees buying and selling. Keep an eye on that as the market is pricing in a rate hike in my honest opinion.
GOLD - Wait For The Trigger!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
GOLD is sitting around a strong daily supply so we will be looking for sell setups on lower timeframes.
on H4: GOLD formed a valid channel (in red) but this setup is not ready to go yet. We are waiting for the sellers to take over by breaking below the previous low. (projection in purple)
Trigger => Waiting for a momentum candle close (H4) below the last low (gray area).
Until the sell is activated, GOLD would be overall bullish and can still trade higher.
As price approaches the lower green support 1800.0, we will be looking for buy setups.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Bearish W-formation on NZDI expect the pair to retest the JPY70.5xx - JPY70. 2xx support zone which is also in confluence with a multi-year bear market trend line.
[GOLD] RSI showed a signal of top divergence, the week chartGold market has risen and prices have remained above $ 1,700. however, RSI showed a signal of top divergence, suggesting to increase vigilance. Traders can pay attention to the medium-term trend of gold, Pay attention to its price development. Maybe the $ 1,480 ~ 1,520 area will be tested.
Some cities in Europe and America started to restart their economy, safe-haven assets, including gold and the dollar pared gains. According to Taiwan medical experts and physicians, COVID-19 will basically end from the end of June to July. This does not mean that the economy will recover, but a loss of a safe-haven reason for gold.
LET THE MARKET SHOW YOU WHERE TO GONotice the 5 touches of previous resistance marked by the blue arrows. This "strong level" entices people to sell and place their stops just above the level. See how price begins to fall from this level marked at the red arrow? This also draws more sellers into the market; people don't want to miss out; then BOOM! Price breaks the level and wipes out everyone who shorted earlier. The banks know people place stops here. It is great liquidity for them to take then drive price further down. Think of it like this, if you could enter above the level with a sell order you are already getting a better entry price. Currently CHF and JPY are strong as they are safe haven currencies, so it is a good time to short commodity currencies against them. I'm in this trade. Results to follow.
EURUSD Short in light of Greek woes; USD Safe Haven StatusMight be difficult to get this ball rolling with a smooth start but in the event of a proper channel breach (pictured) and a solid daily close below 1.100 , there's about 550 Pips on offer till the March low of 1.045 if risk aversion truly kicks in, coupled with a rapid devaluation of the EUR.
The EUR is currently a moderately risky asset to hold what with Greece uncertainties weighing down on the currency. The USD may prove to be a better safe haven over time, despite the temporary (citation needed) lull in economic data, more so the Jobs Figures.
Below the longer-term 1.081 Pivot, more bears may begin to check-in, otherwise this level is expected to act as a level of significant support.
Risks:
A continuation in poor/mediocre data prints from the US.
A credible, transparent and sustainable solution to the Greece fiasco that is taken as a positive to the EUR.
Incredibly good EUR data prints that reflects a sudden and robust pickup in economic growth in the Eurozone.
Some weirdly long pin-bar that is as a result of rapid buying of the EUR and then sudden selling which would take out stops at 1.200 in a spiky flash.
