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Safehaven

Will Gold Hold at 2630? Key Levels for Bulls and BearsI'm eyeing a sell opportunity in gold (XAUUSD) , targeting the 2660 level for an ideal short entry. The price is expected to dip towards 2630 , a significant support zone, where a potential reversal could occur. If the market finds strength there, we may see a bounce as buyers step in. Geopolitical tensions continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal, but a stronger dollar or global risk-off sentiment may keep downward pressure in the short term. Monitoring price action closely around these levels for potential setups.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by bluechipfx
GOLD REACHES NEW HEIGHTS AMID RISING SAFE-HAVEN DEMANDUS economic data   Positive news came from the jobless claims, which dropped to 241,000, much lower than expected and down from the revised 260,000 from the previous week. US retail sales also did better than predicted, rising by 0.4% from the month before, compared to an expected 0.3% increase. Nonetheless, positive retail sales and strong jobless claims are unlikely to alter the course of the Fed's monetary policy. ECB rate cut   ECB cuts rates as expected and upcoming months will be crucial as the ECB evaluates economic conditions and decides on its future monetary policy approach. US dollar index-   The US dollar index showed a minor decline due to profit booking.  A break above 104 would confirm a continuation of the bullish trend.   Based on the CME FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut in November has risen to 92.2%, up from 89.50% just a week ago.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DCFX-TA
SilverStill on the very same idea as yesterday, we got stopped out of the initial trade but getting a better price to work with, lets see how the next few days pan out, i am expecting to be stopped out a number of times due to election volatility but still we keep the same risk as usual, please trade with caution. *Initial Idea* The US Federal Reserve’s policy decision, set for Thursday, is capturing market attention. A 25 basis point rate cut is widely anticipated this week, with the CME FedWatch Tool indicating a 99.5% likelihood of this move in November. Such a rate cut could lend support to Silver, as lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. In addition, expectations for further economic stimulus from China could enhance Silver's demand outlook. The Standing Committee of the National People's Congress (NPC) is convening for a five-day meeting from November 4 to 8, where a stimulus package possibly exceeding 10 trillion yuan may be approved to boost China’s economy. As one of the world’s largest centers for electronics, solar panels, and automotive manufacturing, China’s increased activity could significantly drive up Silver demand.
TVC:SILVERLong
by thabang01
GOLD - History Repeating Itself... Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📔I find the Gold 4H chart interesting. Do you see a pattern here? Look at the first three purple projections. Gold broke below a low (marked in red), which signaled the start of a correction. The correction was short-lived as the bulls took control again by breaking back above the red zone, triggering the next impulse phase. Currently, Gold seems to be pausing, which might indicate the start of another correction phase. 🔄If history repeats itself, to signal a new impulse movement, we first need a break below the current low around $2,710, followed by a break back above it. This projection could lead to the upper bound of the blue channel, around $2,850. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by TheSignalyst
11
safe-haven play :USD vs. NZDIn several of my previous analyses, I mentioned the state of the Forex market due to geopolitical tensions . As a result, we are witnessing an increase in safe-haven currencies like USD compared to riskier currencies such as AUD and NZD. Therefore, by following proper risk management principles, you can open short positions on this currency pair. Additionally, from a technical perspective, after breaking down the ascending channel, the price has formed the first wave of Elliott and, after its correction, has completed the second wave. In the most recent candle, it has entered the third impulsive wave. Target 1: 0.59750 Target 2: 0.58626 Stop Loss: 0.61010
Short
by habib75rajabi
GOLD - History Repeating Itself...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📔I find the Gold 4H chart interesting. Do you see a pattern here? Look at the first two purple projections. Gold broke below a low (marked in red), which signaled the start of a correction. The correction was short-lived as the bulls took control again by breaking back above the red zone, triggering the next impulse phase. Currently, Gold seems to be pausing, which might indicate the start of another correction phase. 🔄If history repeats itself, to signal a new impulse movement, we first need a break below the current low around $2,625, followed by a break back above it. This projection could lead to the upper bound of the blue channel, around $2,800. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by TheSignalyst
6
Silver Shines Brighter: A Bullish Run to $39.62 After Rate Cut?Hey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of OANDA:XAGUSD On the daily timeframe, silver has consistently traded above the EMA100, signaling a strong bullish trend. Additionally, it has broken through the upper trendline of a wide descending broadening wedge pattern . This breakout, confirmed by a bullish Marubozu candlestick, indicates strong buyer momentum. The MACD’s bullish crossover further supports the expectation of continued upward movement. With these technical indicators in alignment, we anticipate silver advancing toward Target Area 1 at 36.76 and potentially reaching Target Area 2 at 39.62. However, the support level at 27.59 remains critical; a break below this level could invite bearish pressure. In the broader macroeconomic landscape, central banks across multiple countries are enacting rate cuts to stimulate growth amid slowing economic conditions. Combined with declining manufacturing PMIs, geopolitical tensions, and the US-China economic slowdown, these factors heighten uncertainty. As a result, safe-haven assets like silver and gold are expected to benefit, as investors seek protection against market volatility. This influx of demand may provide further upward momentum for silver prices. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Silver. Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by financialfreedomgoals101
Gold will Shine again...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈After breaking above the $2,500 mark, Gold has been bullish trading within the rising red channel. Currently, Gold is in a correction phase. Moreover, the $2,475 - $2,500 is a strong support zone. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower red trendline acting as non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #Gold approaches the red circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheSignalyst
2
Why is the Swiss Franc Defying the Odds?In a global economy where central banks are leaning towards softer monetary policies, the Swiss Franc is charting its own course—strengthening against the odds. But what forces are truly at play here? Is it merely the cautious whispers of the Swiss National Bank, or is there a deeper undercurrent, tied to inflation expectations and global safe-haven flows? As we peel back the layers, we uncover a narrative that challenges conventional wisdom. Discover the intricate dynamics that could redefine how we perceive currency resilience in today's volatile market landscape. The franc's unexpected strength has sparked a flurry of theories. Some point to the SNB's potential reluctance to cut interest rates as aggressively as its peers. Others suggest that the widening gap between Swiss and global inflation expectations could be fueling the franc's appreciation. Yet, the franc's safe-haven status and its role in carry trades add another layer of complexity to this puzzle. The EUR/CHF currency pair, a barometer of the Eurozone and Switzerland's economic health, is particularly sensitive to the franc's strength. As the franc appreciates, it can impact trade balances, inflation, and overall economic competitiveness. As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the enigma of the Swiss franc's resilience persists. Is this a temporary anomaly, or a harbinger of a new era in international finance? Only time will tell.
Short
by signalmastermind
Will Gold Hit $3,000 with Fed Rate Cuts and Geopolitical Risks?Gold has outperformed the broader U.S. stock market this year, with analysts predicting further gains as the Federal Reserve nears rate cuts. Gold surged to a new record high of over $2,500 per ounce, and some experts forecast it could reach $3,000 next year. Key drivers include potential Fed easing, geopolitical uncertainties, and increased demand from central banks diversifying away from the U.S. dollar. As interest rates decline, gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset continues to grow.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by signalmastermind
Gold: A Strategic Asset in an Uncertain WorldGold's appeal as a safe-haven asset has been reinforced by recent geopolitical tensions. This analysis explores the factors driving gold prices, including geopolitical risks, economic conditions, and the role of gold ETFs. Gold has proven its resilience as a safe-haven asset during times of uncertainty. Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, have fueled demand for gold. While economic factors also influence gold prices, the metal's role as a portfolio diversifier remains compelling. Consider gold ETFs for convenient exposure. Gold serves as a valuable safe-haven asset, particularly during times of geopolitical instability. Key Points: Geopolitical Risks: The article highlights the increasing geopolitical tensions globally and their impact on financial markets. The Middle East, in particular, is identified as a region of significant concern. Gold as a Hedge: Gold's unique characteristics, such as liquidity, store of value, and diversification benefits, make it an effective hedge against geopolitical risks. Economic Factors: While geopolitical factors are emphasized, the analysis acknowledges the influence of economic conditions, including interest rates and inflation, on gold prices. Investment Vehicles: Gold ETFs, like the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD), are presented as convenient options for investors seeking gold exposure.
AMEX:GLDLong
by signalmastermind
When you go to buy, don't show your Silver!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 XAGUSD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge in blue. Currently, XAGUSD is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the wedge. Moreover, it is retesting the previous major high marked in green. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the green previous high and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #SILVER approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAGUSD
by TheSignalyst
Gold - Getting Ready for the Next Impulse!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 XAUUSD has been overall bullish, trading within the flat rising channel in blue. Currently, XAUUSD is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel. Moreover, it is retesting strong demand zone marked in green. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand zone and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #Gold approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheSignalyst
2
Gold & ETH - Who Follows Whom?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. I always keep an eye on Gold to gauge the overall market sentiment. 📚 I found the latest correlation between Gold and ETH interesting ! You know what? I will keep this post short, as the picture is self-explanatory ! The question is... Who follows whom? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheSignalyst
5
Gold - Kickstarting the Next Impulse!📈Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 XAUUSD has been overall bullish , trading within the rising channel in blue. Currently, XAUUSD is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel. Moreover, it is retesting the previous ATH marked in red. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the red previous ATH and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #Gold approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheSignalyst
Gold - Decision Zone ⚠️⏱Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 Gold has been overall bullish medium-term (daily) and long-term (monthly) trading within the rising channels and wedge patterns in blue and orange respectively. Currently, #XAUUSD is hovering within a narrow range marked in red. Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bullish Continuation For the bulls to regain full control, a break above the upper bound of the red range is needed. In this case, a movement towards the $2500 resistance zone would be expected. 2️⃣ Bearish Correction In parallel, if the lower bound of the red range is broken downward, we expect the bearish correction towards the $2160 demand zone. Which scenario is more likely to happen first? and why? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheSignalyst
6
CHFJPY | MT Short H4 | The Battle of 2 Safe HavensPair: FX:CHFJPY Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT) Direction: Short Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames - Price action may face some resistance from a previous support line - Price has retraced to 61.8% Fib Retracement Level - Aiming for the lower Support trendline from the mid of 2023 Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - SNB has been repeatedly concerned about a strong CHF while BOJ is concerned about a weak JPY - These levels may see BOJ intervening to stop the Yen weakness and vice versa for SNB - SNB is the first developed nation to start their cutting rate cycles and BOJ has just started hiking Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 169.50 - 170.20 SL @ 170.84 TP 1 @ 168.68 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 167.18 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.31 (Depending on Entry Level) May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D *This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Short
by weekendanalyst
How Does Recession Affect Financial Markets?How Does Recession Affect Financial Markets? Recessions, marked by widespread economic decline, profoundly impact financial markets. Understanding how different markets – stock, forex, commodity, and bond – respond to these downturns is crucial for traders and investors. This article delves into the varied effects of recessions, highlighting strategies for navigating these challenging times and identifying potential opportunities for resilience and growth in the face of economic adversity. Understanding Recessions A recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, typically visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale retail sales. Economic experts often cite two consecutive quarters of GDP contraction as a technical indicator of a recession. However, it's more than just numbers; it reflects a noticeable slump in economic activities and consumer confidence. Historically, recessions have been triggered by various factors, such as sudden economic shocks, financial crises, or bursting asset bubbles. For instance, the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 stemmed from the collapse of the housing market bubble in the United States, leading to a worldwide economic downturn. Recession impacts nearly every corner of the economy, leading to increased unemployment, reduced consumer spending, and overall economic stagnation. Effects of Recession on Different Financial Markets A recession's impact on financial markets is multifaceted, influencing everything from stocks and bonds to forex and commodities. However, each market reacts differently. To see how these various asset classes have reacted in past recessions, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform to access real-time market charts. General Impact on Markets During a recession, the financial landscape typically undergoes significant changes. Investors, wary of uncertainty, often reassess their risk tolerance, leading to shifts in asset allocation. Market volatility usually spikes as news and economic indicators sway investor sentiment. This period is often marked by cautious trading and a search for safer investment havens. Impact on Stock Markets Stock market performance in a recession can be quite varied. Generally, stock markets are among the first to react to signs of a recession. Prices may fall as investors anticipate lower earnings and weaker economic growth. This decline is not uniform across all sectors, however. Some industries, like technology or luxury goods, might experience steeper drops due to reduced consumer spending. Conversely, sectors like utilities or consumer staples often include stocks that do well during a recession, as they provide essential services that remain in demand. Impact on Forex Markets In forex, recessions often lead to significant currency fluctuations. Investors might flock to so-called safe currencies like the US dollar or Swiss franc, while currencies from countries heavily affected by the recession weaken. Central bank policies, such as interest rate cuts or quantitative easing, play a crucial role in currency valuation during these times. Impact on Commodities Commodities can react differently in a recession. While demand for industrial commodities like oil or steel may decline due to reduced industrial activity, precious metals like gold often see increased interest as so-called safe-haven assets. Impact on Bonds Bond markets usually experience a surge in demand during recessions, particularly government bonds, seen as low-risk investments. As investors seek stability, bond prices typically rise, and yields fall, reflecting the increased demand and decreased risk appetite. Types of Stocks That Perform Well During a Recession During economic downturns, certain stock categories have historically outperformed others. The stocks that go up in a recession generally belong to sectors that provide essential services or goods that remain in demand regardless of the economic climate. Consumer Staples: Companies in this sector, offering essential products like food, beverages, and household items, may appreciate during a recession. As these are necessities, demand usually remains stable even when discretionary spending declines. Healthcare: Healthcare stocks often hold steady or grow during recessions. The demand for medical services and products is less sensitive to economic fluctuations, making this sector a potential safe haven for investors. Utilities: Utility companies typically offer stable dividends and consistent demand. Regardless of economic conditions, consumers need water, gas, and electricity, providing these stocks with a buffer against recessionary pressures. Discount Retailers: Retailers that offer essential goods at lower prices can see an uptick in business as consumers become more budget-conscious during tough economic times. Types of Stocks to Hold in a Recession While there are some stocks that perform well in a recession due to sustained demand for their products, there are other types of stocks that are valued for their financial resilience and potential to provide long-term stability. Blue-Chip Stocks: These are shares of large, well-established companies known for their financial stability and strong track records. During recessions, their history of enduring tough economic times and providing dividends makes them attractive. Value Stocks: Stocks that are undervalued compared to their intrinsic worth can be good picks. They often have strong fundamentals and are priced below their perceived true value, with the potential to rebound strongly as the economy recovers. Non-Cyclical Stocks: These stocks are in industries whose services or products are always needed, like waste management or funeral services. Their demand doesn’t fluctuate significantly with the economy, which may offer stability. The Role of Government and Central Banks During Recessions During recessions, governments and central banks play a crucial role in stabilising financial markets. Government interventions often include fiscal policies like increased spending and tax cuts to stimulate the economy. Central banks may reduce interest rates or implement quantitative easing to increase liquidity in the financial system. These actions can bolster investor confidence, stabilise markets, and encourage lending and spending. However, their effectiveness can vary based on the recession's severity and the timeliness of the response. The Bottom Line Navigating recessions requires understanding their multifaceted impact on financial markets. From stocks and bonds to forex and commodities, each sector reacts uniquely, offering both challenges and opportunities. To take advantage of the various opportunities a recession presents, opening an FXOpen account can be a strategic step. We provide access to a broad range of markets and trading tools designed to help traders adapt to a shifting economic landscape. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by FXOpen
6