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Safehaven

Gold RetracesGold edged higher, breaking out of the 0.618 Fibonacci level at about $1800. However, we encountered resistance at the next technical level above, at $1815. Immediately, we saw the price action round off and retrace back to safety in the $1790's. We anticipate gold to establish value between $1780 and $1800 (two significant Fibonacci levels), unless more momentum can come through and help solidify the $1800's. The Kovach OBV is wavering, which suggests we do not quite have enough momentum yet to sustain a breakout.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by quantguy
Employment Data Hammers BondsBonds crept up but are facing resistance. After ZN tested highs at 121'28, and retraced, it started to establish value between 119'23 and 121'00. The latter has provided prohibitive resistance, as we have discussed this week, and we have seen a rejection, continuing the sideways correction. We saw a wick down to 119'23, where we found support, at first, but we subsequently broke through to the vacuum zone below. This follows Non Farm Payrolls coming in at a surprise beat, with unemployment at 3.5%. Expect support at 119'01.
CBOT:ZN1!Short
by quantguy
Risk aversion sentiment intensified from US-China tensionsEUR/USD 🔽 GBP/USD 🔽 AUD/USD 🔽 USD/JPY 🔼 USD/CAD 🔼 XAU 🔼 WTI ▶️ Investors flocked to safe-haven assets due to building tensions between the US and China, the greenback and gold had their prices recovered, when US stocks and indices took a hit. Gold futures closed at $1,789.7 an ounce, then slid from $1,804.8 to $1772.5. A stronger dollar rebounded against other major currencies, and EUR/USD declined to 1.0164, currently trading flat. USD/JPY rose sharply to 133.16, almost gaining 150 pips. The loonie had a choppy trading session, USD/CAD eventually gained 31 pips to 1.2875. Meanwhile, several Federal Reserve officials have implied further rate hikes to control soaring inflation. The comments have overshadowed an imminent interest rate increase from the Bank of England on Thursday, GBP/USD was weakened to 1.2172. Despite raising rates on Tuesday, Governor Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia claimed “normalizing monetary conditions… is not on a pre-set path”, the relatively dovish comment led the AUD/USD pair to fall below the 0.700 level to 0.6919, losing over 100 pips in the process. Market estimates have the US Crude Oil Inventories decreasing by 629,000 barrels, and WTI oil futures reached a high of $96.26 a barrel before closing at $94.42 with little change. More information on Mitrade website.
by Mitrade_official
Strong Rally in GoldGold has continued to rally, breaking through to the upper 1700's, and reaching our target of 1780. This is the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, which was our target from yesterday's report. A lot of buying momentum has come through for gold, which just a few days ago tested the low 1700's, with a relative low of 1684. As anticipated we are running into resistance here, confirmed by multiple red triangles on the KRI. If we are able to break through the next target is 1800, which is a psychological level and 0.618 Fibonacci level. If we retrace, we should have good support from 1758, the 0.382 Fibonacci level below.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by quantguy
GOLD - Support Rejected✅ Now Approaching A Resistance!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. As per my last analysis, we were looking for buy setups around the 1675 - 1700 support zone Now What? GOLD is approaching the upper orange trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. Moreover, the zone 1750 is a support turned into resistance. Thus, the highlighted purple circle with the red arrow is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green resistance and upper orange trendline. As per my trading style: As GOLD approaches the upper purple circle, I will be looking for reversal bearish setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheSignalyst
11
We Want Our Safe Haven Back! Up!🥇Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. For those who know me well, know that I am a big fan of Gold, not as a long-term investment like I approach stocks and crypto, but as a backup plan if things go sideways. By Gold, I mean physical, tangible Gold🥇. I regularly purchase an ounce every couple of months, depends on my budget, and stack it somewhere safe. I learnt this habit from an Armenian friend. Shoutout to Armenians, you know exactly what I am talking about. Now let's get back to the charts 😁 As per my last two analysis, we have looking for buy setups as Gold was approaching a support zone 1675 - 1700 Gold rejected our support zone and ended up closing bullish for the week. But the question is... are you finally bullish? Not Yet❗️ For the bulls to take over from a long-term perspective, and as per my trading plan / style, we still need a new major high to form. and then, a break above: i- this new major high (projection in purple) ii- 1750 - 1760 zone iii- upper orange trendline then, we will be expecting a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish📈. Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
22
GOLD and JPY Correlation!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. We all know that GOLD and JPY are usually positively correlated. Means when Gold goes up, JPY pairs goes down due to JPY strength. Gold is currently sitting around a critical area 1675 - 1700 zone that has been respected since 2020. Here are the possible scenarios: 1- Rejection (blue projection) Gold rejects the 1700 support zone and trades higher. In this case, we will be expecting a reversal bearish movement on USDJPY. The next resistance for would be 1760 while the next support for USDJPY would be 135 2- Breakout (purple projection) Gold breaks below 1700, in this case an over-extended bearish movement would be expected. On the other hand, a continuation to the upside would be expected for USDJPY to test the 150 supply and upper brown trendline. Which scenario do you think is more probable and why? Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheSignalyst
26
Gold Breaks Through to the $1600's!Gold has continued to edge down, and as we mentioned here all week, we have found support in the low $1700 handle, finally breaking through briefly to the $1600's. We tested $1692 with a wick, but a green triangle on the KRI promptly signalled support. Since then, we have equilibrated around $1700. The Kovach OBV has been bearish all week, and we have not even gotten a slight relief rally. If we do see one, we should have resistance around $1721 or $1728.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by quantguy
GOLD - Strong Rejection Ahead!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. GOLD is overall bearish trading inside our orange channel, however , it is approaching a strong support area 1675 - 1700 Moreover, the lower orange trendline acts as non-horizontal support. Thus, the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue support zone and lower orange trendline. As per my trading style: As GOLD approaches the purple circle, I will be looking for reversal bullish setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheSignalyst
26
XAUUSD (Gold) Prepares for 20 Month Bull Run - 30% PumpBased on what I've been tracking as for Gold's all-time wave structure/pattern, I believe that its due for a yet a strong bullish swing over the next 2 years. In the tail end of what I believe to be a Flat pattern, its safe to expect (take these words lightly) a Wave 5 move to follow in the macro direction of trend - to the upside. Solely based on my perception of the waves and continual fibonacci usage, I have strong belief that Gold will strike into the top range of $2200-$2400. Guessing a timeframe is not my strong suit however, if I had to do so, I'd assume that this range will be seen between Fall 2023 and Winter 2024 (Jan-March). By scrolling to the right on my previous XAU prediction, you can see this same very prediction (see: ) or click at the bottom of this post. Beyond this anticipated pump, I believe that Gold could see a 60% drop over the next number of years to come. As with all ideas and predictions, things are always 1000% tentative. Follow me on for continuously updated ideas and like/share this post if time permits :)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DigitalSurfTrading
4
EURCHF:No end in sight for Euro-bashingEURCHF Intraday - We look to Sell at 0.9909 (stop at 0.9931) The weaker Euro has affected performance. There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. Our short term bias remains negative. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 0.9910. Our profit targets will be 0.9854 and 0.9844 Resistance: 0.9880 / 0.9910 / 0.9950 Support: 0.9850 / 0.9830 / 0.9800 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’) . Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Gold Smashes Lower LevelsGold has fallen further, finding support exactly at our target that we identified yesterday at 1735. We are starting to see what could be the beginnings of a pivot, with a green triangle on the KRI suggesting we are finding support at this level. The Kovach OBV is very bearish, but has flatlined a bit which may indicate that the bleeding has stopped for now. If we do pivot from here, the mid 1700's should provide resistance with 1777 a likely ceiling for now. If we collapse further, we could find support at the base of the 1700 handle.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by quantguy
Relief Rally in GoldGold broke down into the value area between 1815 and 1795, but swiftly spiked back to 1826, where we are seeing resistance confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI. The Kovach OBV is still very bearish, but we are starting to look oversold as both Kovach momentum indicators are bearish. We will see if the spike back to 1826 can sustain, or if it is just a relief rally. If momentum sustains then 1836 and 1851 are the next targets. Otherwise, we expect it to stabilize between 1795 and 1815.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by quantguy
Gold Tests Lower LevelsGold is encroaching upon lower levels of support as we predicted yesterday. It has steadily trended downward, though spikes in volatility have tested higher levels. We are seeing good support from 1826, confirmed by green triangles on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has been steadily down trending, but appears to be leveling off, suggesting support may hold, but if not, 1815 is the next target. Recall that there is a value area between 1795 and 1815. If we break out, then 1836 and 1851 are the next targets.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by quantguy
3
Gold (XAUUSD) Prepares to Revisit 2021 Lowsi posted an idea about 5 minutes ago which suggested that gold would be due for yet another all time high in the coming months, but immediately after doing so i recognized a glaring invalidation in the bottom of my wave structure. with a three-wave move swinging down from $2063 to $1682, i consider this to be the first move within a 3-3-5 flat correction (better known as wave) with a three-wave move to follow, which sent Gold from $1682 to $2067, i consider this to be the second move within a 3-3-5 flat correction (better known as wave) considering a total 3-3-5 formation to develop here, i am looking for such a development of 5 waves to come down from $2067. this five-wave move would complete the expected 3-3-5, Flat correction for Gold. but where should/would/could the 5 wave move end and find bullish support? with the aforementioned wave finding resistance at the 100% mark or peak of wave 's start, we can generally expect wave to find support near 100% of wave 's bottom. this bottom is very much near $1682. i believe the internal construct of the downside wave to already be in motion obviously, as to how its forming so far and how it will continue to form, this is my prediction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DigitalSurfTrading
3
Gold Tests the Lower $1800'sGold broke out through the vacuum zone after edging down in the lower 1800's. We tested 1826, though multiple green triangles on the KRI started to indicate that the selloff was encumbered. This suggested a break out was near and subsequently we hit 1851. Recall that we can expect increased resistance starting at this level through the mid 1850's and that is exactly what we saw. After hitting 1851, we immediately rejected it and plummeted back to 1826. If we fall further, watch for support at 1815, then there is a value area between 1795 and 1815.
COMEX:GC1!
by quantguy
Gold Meets ResistanceGold found support at 1815 and shot up to the mid 1850's. As we have mentioned in these reports multiple times, we are meeting resistance from a cluster of levels in the mid 1850's. In particular, 1851 and 1857 are providing formidable resistance. If we are able to break through then 1865 and 1876 are the next targets. The Kovach OBV is rounding off suggesting momentum has petered out and we are likely to establish value at lower levels or retrace back down to test 1836 or 1826. We expect 1815 to hold as a floor price for now.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by quantguy