SAR
SAR Buy at Fib Retracements
1. It looks good, we see good volume coming on monthly chart. it's been overbought on monthly and weekly charts at 200 MA (Monthly)
2. Currently, it's already overbought and on its highs. We should wait for at least 50% retracement that would be around $3.68 price . Best is if it retraces 60% at around $2.93 price range.
3. We can verify same with Fib Retracement:
a. currently hovering around 0.236 ($5.34).
b. 0.5 Fib level is best buying zone at $3.78 price zone.
c. 0.618 Fib level is ideal buying zone at $3.08 price zone.
4. Same Fib levels are complemented by Volume Indicator:
a. we see high volume at price 3.68 (0.5 Fib) and 2.97 (0.618 Fib)
Please note these are my own notes for future reference, by no means trading advise for anyone. Please do your own research before entering into any trade.
Using trend indicator (Parabolic SAR)The parabolic SAR shows in AAPL, a confirmation of bull trend in the rally from March 24 to September 02 (just before the 4/1 split) with an increase of more than 110%.
The SAR indicates 5 chances for long positions in favor of the primary tend, with 4 smalls shorts signals against the primary tend, in this period.
After September 02, the trend is over, as shown in the chart, turning into a sideway trend, with even longer signals shorts position.
We can also see, a developing symmetric triangle. We must wait for the complete development of the triangle, where we will possibly see a new rally and we can use the SAR to establish positions in favor of the primary trend.
SAUDI ARABIAN RIYAL_BRITTISH POUND|ANALYSIS
SAR_GBP IS TRADING ALONG THE DIAGONAL SUPPORT. ANOTHER BULLISH PUSH IS EXPECTED
(1) Horizontal and diagonal support put the pair on strong footing
(2) The push upwards is expected to the resistance lines shown
(3) The push might be followed by support retests
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EURUSD 1D/4H/1H PARABOLIC SAR SHORT TRADE SETUPRule #1- Apply Parabolic SAR system and Moving Average indicators to chart.
You can choose different colors for the moving averages. The 20 period moving average is Blue and the 40-period moving average is Red in this example.
Rule #2- The Parabolic SAR Indicator must change to be above price candle.
Notice how the dots were below the price. The parabolic stop and reversal (SAR) formula showed us that the price stalled out for a few hours and then the dot appeared above the candle.
This is a sign that a reversal may be forming.
Rule #3- Another element that must occur is the moving averages must cross over.
In a short trade, the 20 period moving average will cross and go below the 40 periods moving average.
So now the 20 period moving average is below the 40 period moving average. However, something occurred that is notable. The dot may appear below the price candle.
Since the moving averages are telling us that a downtrend is most likely going to occur, we will wait until the dot appears again above the price candle to validate this reversal and enter a trade.
Rule #4- Parabolic SAR dot must be above price candle AND moving averages cross to where 20 period MA is below 40 period MA.
Note** One of these elements may occur before the other. The reversal dot can appear before the MA lines cross. Or the Moving averages can cross before the reversal candle. As long as there are both elements, the entry criteria are met.
Rule #5- Enter The Next Price Candle…
Enter (SELL) the very next price candle after the dot appears above the candle. You can see on our chart where we entered the trade. Waiting for one candle after makes sense because this proves to us that this reversal is strong. The moving averages are supporting the downtrend + the dot is signifying a downtrend.
Rule #6- Stop loss / Take Profit
The stop loss you will place 30-50 pips away from your entry. Always look for prior resistance or support to determine a stop loss. In our example, a stop loss was placed 40 pips from entry.
Your exit criteria are when the 20 and 40-period lines cross over again. OR when the dot reverses appears at the bottom of the candle.
Some will get out of the trade when the dot appears below the price candle.
So basically you can use either exit strategy. This trade the downtrend was very strong so we stayed in until the MA lines cross. Determine where you are in a trade. If you are up +100 pips and the dot changes to reversal consider getting out then and taking your profit.
Rules for Long Entry.
Rule #1- Apply indicators to chart
Rule #2- Dot must change to be below price candle. This is a sign that a reversal may be happening.
Rule #3– Another element that must occur is the moving averages must cross over.
In a long trade, the 40 period moving average will cross and go below the 20 period moving average.
Rule #4- Dot must be below price candle AND moving averages cross to where 20 period MA is above 40 period MA.
Note** One of these elements may occur before the other. The reversal dot can appear before the MA lines cross. Or the Moving averages can cross before the reversal candle. As long as we have both elements the entry criteria is met.
Rule #5- Enter Next Price Candle. Enter the very next price candle after the dot appears below candle + MA lines cross and 20 period MA is above 40 period.
Rule #6- Stop loss / Take Profit
The stop loss you will place 30-50 pips away from your entry. Always look for prior resistance or support to determine a stop loss.
Your exit criteria in the example below were when the dot appeared above the candle.
Note** Scalpers should not be using a 30 to 50 pip stop with this strategy. Consider your rules and adjust accordingly. A 5-10 pip stop may be more appropriate on that low of a time frame. If you like this strategy and have a stop you think works best, leave us a comment below and tell us what you think!
Conclusion
As stated the Moving Average Trading Strategy can be used on any time frame. However, you should always check different time frames and look at what the market is currently doing. No strategy can give you a 100% win ratio so always be placing your stops at the appropriate areas. I would recommend practicing making both short and long trades with this moving average trading strategy.
Reversal Trading Strategy
In this article, you are going to read about a trading strategy that teaches you how to use a parabolic SAR indicator (Stop And Reversal) trading tool, along with two moving average trading strategies to catch new trends on the reversal. This moving average and Parabolic SAR trading strategy will show you how to use the parabolic SAR indicator effectively and how you can add this trading system into your daily trading techniques.
The Parabolic SAR (PSAR) is an indicator favored by technical traders that captures reversal signals. The Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse) was developed by J. Wells Wilder. Wilder was a mechanical engineer best known for his technical analysis developments. He has also developed the DMI (Directional Movement Index), the RSI (Relative Strength Index), and other indicators dear to technical analysts today.
Hopefully, by the end of the article, you will have the right parabolic trend formula, learn what a crossover is, find out buy signals, the best moving average crossover for swing trading, best moving average crossover for day trading, and the best moving average crossover for scalpers. Also, read the hidden secrets of moving average.
The strategy is a dynamic trading tool that is used by many professional traders of every market (Forex, Stocks, Options, Futures). It is best used when the market is trending. If the market is choppy, the market is moving sideways, this tool does not particularly work at its best.
This was developed by Welles Wilder when he introduced this into his book in 1978 that was titled, “New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems.”
What this tool basically does is helps traders determine when the current trend will end, or when it is about to end. The way it shows you this is by placing dots that show up above or below the price candle. They appear above or below the current candle for a specific reason. If the dot is above the candle it will be a SELL signal or downtrend.
However, if the dot is below the candle this can be a signal to BUY or an uptrend. When the change occurs (the dot goes from below to above the next candle) this indicates a potential price reversal may be happening.
Some may think why not just trade the dots. When it reverses, just make an entry at that price. Technically you can trade like this and may win some, but this is a very risky way to trade this indicator. You need other tools to validate this potential trend.
Which is why we use this indicator and two moving averages to determine an entry point. The moving average trading strategy will help verify that a reversal is in fact occurring.
The combination of these indicators will give you accurate trend reversal setups.
This strategy can be used on any time frame on your chart. So day traders, swing traders, and scalpers are all welcome to use this type of strategy.
Here are the indicators you need to apply on your chart to use this trading strategy:
Parabolic Sar strategy: Default Settings
40 Length Moving Average= Green color in our example
20 Length Moving Average= Red color in our example
#bitcoin - Stall on WeeklyGood morning everyone.
It´s been a while, sorry for that, but privately I am involved 24/7 thxn to the challenges that Covid-19 had for all of us.
Anyways, I feel it´s worth to make an Update on the weekl now, since we have reached not only a key-level, we
also slid into a typical stall. At the moment there is still room to the upper trendline, but 10k again turned out to be a rather tough nut.
Usually traders argue about how long a price can stay in stall without being too endangered for freefall, it really is not much missing to initiate a move.
The Yearly Pivot got picture perfectly retested, before the price moved up again and also overcame the long-term leadline again. That´s all
relatively bullish, not only because a sell-off after halving did not happen. On smaller timeframes we had a double-top danger, which did not came true and shorter´s
had a pretty rough time recently when they did not set tight targets.
Price movement always reminds me a bit of aviation, the way up is slow and needs a ton of energy to overcome nature´s laws & forces. The way down is immenent.
Wikipedia´s definition of "Stall (fluid dynamics)":
In fluid dynamics, a stall is a reduction in the lift coefficient generated by a foil as angle of attack increases. This occurs when the critical angle of attack of the foil is exceeded. The critical angle of attack is typically about 15 degrees, but it may vary significantly depending on the fluid, foil, and Reynolds number.
Stalls in fixed-wing flight are often experienced as a sudden reduction in lift as the pilot increases the wing's angle of attack and exceeds its critical angle of attack (which may be due to slowing down below stall speed in level flight). A stall does not mean that the engine(s) have stopped working, or that the aircraft has stopped moving.
Best wishes. Neru.
FA BTC bullish till 1-2 month prior to US elections + Education?hello traders,
Today at 2.00 H we witnessed a huge selloff witch triggered massive sell of and liquidations across exchanges. Hope you did ok., me i missed the dump by 30 minutes. Never mind, now i plan to rebuild positions for the long run to 13-16.25K. If it goes there or not, is not a question me thinks (anything higher till elections it will be a surprise) I say it will hit 16457, but usually am wrong by 200-300 USD which usually cost me a lot (at 9.15K i was convinced it will go to 9.366 before sell of, it went 200 less, now i was convinced of 10366, went just to 10066) so there you go the top should in this case be 16457-300= 16150,
So lets get to the point.
We plan to build positions in period of 45-90 days, Maj, June and July. Then we will took some profits next 3-4 month, August, September, October (full out), then let it be dumpling till 15 November like it does almost every year, with no exception of this year, especially bcs this year is US elections set for November.
FA elections: Usually currency in this case USD could act as being bearish till 1- 1.5 month till elections, so stocks and everything pumps to new highs or whatever, and unemployment to go down in this time as well bcs of Covid being diminished (inject VIT. C not washing stuff) that is why China has 3K death on a 2B population (me thinks), anyway everybody feels good, making money doing nothing (with stocks, crypto etc..)+ having more jobs then in corona times, economy is saved etc., then the top should happen when the news will be full of US elections stuff who leads where who wants war who does not, who has a hot wife who does not and stuff like that, Currency starts to appreciate, usually that is what happens with any election, and everybody starts pulling money out from high risk assets, called profit taking etc., and USD starts gaining so it could get us back to 11-12K level, where it should find support. p.s. Currency usually appreciate towards the election date to attract the voters , ... so this is the next big news to trade: buy the rumor which is US elections and sell the news , .....after the election., the USD bearishness should resume and new target will be set.
other FA:
FA printing 6Trillions USD
FA Tether minting: that is if Tether is backed with USD, it means if USD is printing, tether is minting so it is following suit
FA halving, less coins produced, bull after halving
TA: Sars on Monthly showing 13K+, how far, how long will this last, no-one knows
hope u find the FA usefull,..
DJI Bulls Fighting Downward Suction - Still I remain SHORT on DJForgive the cramped analysis however I wanted to show with the Ichimoku Cloud, the Keltner Channel and the SAR indicator were the DJI came from, was heading and may be heading.
As the trends are not that clear yet on the weekly I used the daily chart.
The Keltner channel has been crossed downward first, followed by the Ichimoku base and conversion line exiting the cloud.
Then the conversion line even cross the baseline downwards really underscoring the bear market situation.
Ever since the upward price action has been close to a thin Ichimoku Cloud which tends to make a trend reversal more likely.
SAR indicator pointed up now for three consecutive daily closes which is promising.
It is also impressive that the DJI with the same speed it dropped was able to regain the 50% Fib. retracement and establish itself within reach of the 61,8% Fib. retracement.
However I remain bullish and the DJI. Despite all the money being thrown into the market by the government / FED.
We have only seen the tip of the impact of the low interest rate policy since 2008 and the trigger of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak.
On the short-term I'd love to be wrong and see a full recovery of the DJI, but this appears to me vodoo magic and very unlikely or is likely followed by an even higher flash crash (see related idea).
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Please share, leave me a like and let me know what you see.
USDJPY 4H SAR/MA PULLBACK STRATEGYPrice previous Bearish SAR MA Setup.
1 - SAR above price showing Bearish move.
2 - Green 20 SMA crosses below Red 40 SMA confirming Bearish move.
Now price shows a Bullish Pullback with SAR below the price.
Showing Bullish pullback.
Waiting for a Bearish continuation move.
MA already crossed over showing Bearish bias
ENTER WHEN: SAR closes above price.
TP when SAR closes below price.
Find your own SL.
Rule #1- Apply Parabolic SAR system and Moving Average indicators to chart.
Rule #2- The Parabolic SAR Indicator must change to be above price candle.
Notice how the dots were below the price. The parabolic stop and reversal (SAR) formula showed us that the price stalled out for a few hours and then we are waiting for the dot to appear above the candle.
This is a sign that a reversal may be forming.
Rule #3- Another element that must occur is the moving averages must cross over.
In a short trade, the 20 period moving average will cross and go below the 40 periods moving average.
So now the 20 period moving average is below the 40 period moving average. However, something occurred that is notable. The dot then appeared below the price candle.
Since the moving averages are telling us that a downtrend is most likely going to occur, we will wait until the dot appears again above price candle to validate this reversal and enter a trade.
Rule #4- Parabolic SAR dot must be above price candle AND moving averages cross to where the 20 period MA is below the 40 period MA.
Note** One of these elements may occur before the other. The reversal dot can appear before the MA lines cross. Or the Moving averages can cross before the reversal candle. As long as there are both elements, the entry criteria are met.
Rule #5- Enter The Next Price Candle…
Enter (SELL) the very next price candle after the dot appears above the candle. Waiting for one candle after makes sense because this proves to us that this reversal is strong. The moving averages are supporting the downtrend + the dot is signifying a downtrend.
Rule #6- Stop loss / Take Profit
The stop loss you will place 30-50 pips away from your entry. Always look for prior resistance or support to determine a stop loss. In our example, a stop loss was placed 40 pips from entry.
Your exit criteria are when the 20 and 40-period lines cross over again. OR when the dot reverses appears at the bottom of the candle.
This trade would have been a +203 pip profit using the MA cross exit approach. Not too bad.
Some will get out of the trade when the dot appears below the price candle. If that was the case, in this example, you would have got +32 pips instead. Still not bad, but +203 pips sounds a lot better.
So basically you can use either exit strategy. This trade the downtrend was very strong so we stayed in until the MA lines cross. Determine where you are in a trade. If you are up +100 pips and the dot changes to reversal consider getting out then and taking your profit.
Note** Scalpers should not be using a 30 to 50 pip stop with this strategy. Consider your rules and adjust accordingly. A 5-10 pip stop may be more appropriate on that low of a time frame.
Rules for Long Entry.
Rule #1- Apply indicators to chart
Rule #2- Dot must change to be below price candle. This is a sign that a reversal may be happening.
Rule #3– Another element that must occur is the moving averages must cross over.
In a long trade, the 40 period moving average will cross and go below the 20 period moving average.
Rule #4- Dot must be below price candle AND moving averages cross to where 20 period MA is above 40 period MA.
Note** One of these elements may occur before the other. The reversal dot can appear before the MA lines cross. Or the Moving averages can cross before the reversal candle. As long as we have both elements the entry criteria is met.
Rule #5- Enter Next Price Candle. Enter the very next price candle after the dot appears below candle + MA lines cross and 20 period MA is above 40 period.
Rule #6- Stop loss / Take Profit
The stop loss you will place 30-50 pips away from your entry. Always look for prior resistance or support to determine a stop loss.
XRP Inverse H&S trend resetSimple observation of the parabolic SAR indicator, if an inverse H&S is formed this may be indicative of a trend reversal and will be a great buy zone. Anything at this level is a great buy for longs, however if you really do want it cheaper, or if you are margin trading, this might be an option for you.
So dead cat bounce or was I wrong? $SAR Saracen Mineral Saracen Mineral most likely heading for a green 9 on the 2D chart and this cannot be ignored.
By looking at previous green 9 signals on the TD Sequential, it often show a temporary top before moving higher or lower.
Nothing is certain in the stock market, so here are my two predictions for the next few days/weeks.
1. Red Arrow - We hit resistance starts retracting back to the moving averages or trend line support.
2. Green Arrow - We have "profit taking" for a few days/weeks to create an inverse head and shoulders and then continue to go higher.
So was I wrong about the dead cat bounce or was I correct? let's see.
P.S I am holding this stock.
Dead Cat Bounce on 200 MA Saracen Mineral? $SAR Dead Cat Bounce on 200 MA for Saracen Mineral? $SAR
Short term target $3.18.
$BBARNYSE:BBAR abrió al alza superando la línea de extensión de Fibonacci y luego retrocedió hasta estar por debajo de ella. Por el momento no la supera y pondría en problemas al papel. En esta situación podría volver a tocar el límite superior del Canal de Keltner o incluso ingresar en él si es que el MACD cruza la línea de señal.