SIRI | a case of Domination to Missing Outmost hyped company back in the day
the new radio satellite kinda like the BLOCKCHAIN METAVERSE NFT and Ai early stages
a great Hype Cycle issue
that is applicable to TECH STOCKS crypto narratives etc..
the initial phase is a classic 40x similar to Pre Ipo holders and pre allocation of iCOs
the recovery stage is also similar wth a 100x ++ payout ..
question is .. where the BOTTOM is as it can shake most players
Satellite
SIRI - Getting Sirusly BullishSiri earnings are here and there are MANY reasons to be bullish.
Fundamentals
Warren Buffet's Berkshire has been buying relentlessly over recent months.
The stock is down 68% from its high in July this year.
Siri's earnings have been exceptional for years. Tomorrow (31st October) is predicted to be no different.
Gross margins of 49%, EBITDA margin of 29% and P/E ratio of 8.2 in prior quarter.
Technicals
RSI has put in a higher-low & is giving us a glimpse of divergence. The price recently put in a lower-low, suggesting selling pressure is limited from here.
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:SIRI is just about to complete a 7 year accumulation phase in a wedge pattern (yellow).
When it does so, it will also put the finishing touches to an inverse head & shoulders (or cup and handle) pattern that has lasted 23 years. That head was a HUGE elongated structure, after the stock was teetering on the verge of bankruptcy in 2008/9.
By taking the height of the H&S structure and applying it on-top (white arrows), you get an eventual price target (T2) of, that's right ....$10,100 a share. 370x from current levels.
That T2 target also corresponds with the 2.0 fibonacci level.
An earlier more modest initial target is the 1.414 fib, of $530 (19.3x). This coincides with it's prior all-time high and where the stock may find a place to rest for a breather on it's meteoric rise.
An extended T3 target for the 2040s would land in the fib pocket (2.272/2.414) priced at between $40k - $80k a share.
And yes. I'm deadly Sirius .
Summary
NASDAQ:SIRI looks like it will be shining bright until at least 2030, and likely beyond.
One of the best value investors of all-time agrees (at a time when he is raising significant cash from Apple & Bank of America) amidst uncertainty & a transition of infrastructure.
Satellite communication companies are really about to kick into their adoption phase. We may all soon realise why Siri is a crucial part of that future.
LUNR IM-2 Launch upcoming in January 2025The privately held Intuitive Machines, LLC, became a public company after merging with a special-purpose acquisition company, Inflection Point Acquisition Corp., in February 2023. The company is listed on the Nasdaq, incorporated in Delaware. On February 22, 2024, the Odysseus IM-1 spacecraft landed on the Moon. It was the first privately built craft to land on the Moon, and the first American spacecraft to do so since 1972. The Odysseus lander fell on its side when landing, but its instruments remained partially functional (albeit with a reduced downlink capacity), so the mission was judged successful. ( WIKIPEDIA )
This company is picking up momentum and creating higher support while enjoying increased volume for the past three months. It looks like this stock seems to climb during the period when they have a space mission or achieve a new contract. Recently they achieved a Contract worth 4.8 Billion Dollars USD with NASA which is a serious contract and not something to be taken lightly. This contract opens up additional revenue opportunities with other companies. Intuitive Machines is increasing REVENUE YOY at a compounding rate, and has seasoned experienced executives in almost every position of leadership. The company is very motivated and explanatory with their products, and you can access user manuals on their technology. It looks like a very legit company that plans on being around for the next space age and further. They have technology in space communications that could possibly be adapted for satellites that transmit signals to earth as various companies are switching to satellites for cellular tech. Inutitive machines market cap is roughly 915.29 Million USD. Their contract is worth 4.8 billion dollars.
www.reuters.com
Following the launch of IM-1, Intuitive Machines' stock surged 35% in one trading day, rising 75% total by Friday, February 16.
Intuitive Machines’ stock sank 32% after the Odysseus moon lander fell on its side on 23 February 2024.
This stock is a great buy for stability while also offering potential for break outs to scalp shares and sell to play short term trends, while going up in the long term. The stock offers consistent news and they are very motivated to become a Space power house for the USA.
BlackSky | BKSY | Long at $1.09BlackSky Technology NYSE:BKSY is a small company focused on satellite imagery tech. It's another name from the SPAC-boom era that suffered a massive price drop - reaching a high of $17.41 in 2021 and a low of $0.86 in 2024. However, based on my selected simple moving averages (SMAs), there may be a price "influx" soon as it merges with its primary SMA (white line) and consolidates further or rises. Fundamentally, the company needs more time to prove itself as a growth/earnings generator, but in the near"er"-term, there may be some price movement in its future. It's currently in a personal buy zone at $1.09.
Target #1 = $1.50
Target #2 = $1.75
Target #3 = $2.00
MNTS- Momentus secures federal contract LONGMNTS is now contracted with the Pentagon and NASA for space exploration work including
satellites and a space station pages.optimallivingdynamics.com
Traders and investors reacted in the past day or two. MNTS is currently priced at about 99.9 %
of its ATH of about $1250 three years ago. Accordingly, it is a penny stock with a potential
1000X upside. That is to say $ 1000 could become $1 M. 135 million shares traded in the past
day. Revenue increased 4X quarter to quarter. The Price X Volime Trend had and impressive
pop I will take a speculative long trade here for a long duration swing trade to see if
MNTS can launch higher.
$ASTS - Generational Technology Leap - Primed for a BOOMNASDAQ:ASTS AST SpaceMobile Technology is one of the most interesting companies in the tech space right now. It will provide a generational leap in technology for direct to device sat com to unmodified devices. This means broadband connectivity anywhere without gaps. They are supposed to launch their first 5 revenue generating satellites in Q2 24. They are also generating revenues off of their BW3 test satellite that is already in space and has provided full proof of concept. They are partnered with major players such as NASDAQ:GOOG , NYSE:T , and $VOD. There is no true competitor to its technology. This is my own opinion after research. Please do not take this as financial advice. Make your own decisions and own them.
GILT launched next generation SkyEdge IV SatellitesThe latest GILAT Quarterly Report is really significant: looks like a turning point to profitability >>> Dramatic surge in Revenue with Significant Growth potential due to successful launch of the next generation SkyEdge IV Satellites, covering North America, Europe and Asia >>> bringing hyper-fast Next Generation Internet using 5G.
ASTR Launch for NASA from Cape Canaveral in JanuaryAstra Space, Inc. (ASTR) to deploy its first satellite in orbit for the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) in January 2022.
At this price before this big upcoming catalyst, this looks like a great buying opportunity!
My short term price target is 11.8usd.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Blacksky Uncertain or Overlooked?Hello, Blacksky is a satellite company that has grown alot and recently went public through a SPAC by SFTW. Now this company aims to give real time data unlike the traditional methods that could take days or even weeks to get.
News
-Rocket Lab, RKLB, will be launching two rockets with Blackskys satellites on them, roughly 6 in total new sats not sure on the actuall number, starting on Nov 11 for the first and second Nov 27.
-Blacksky ER and PLTR ER, PLTR has Blacksky program/software connected to their foundry system so if PLTR can report growth on the Foundry system it will be great for Blacksky's ER
-Blacksky partnered up with reseller AllSourceAnaylist
-S1 filling giving the warrents a price of $11.50-$20
-Blacksky ER is on Nov 12 preMarket
TA
-RSI Neutral
-MACD Leans Bearish
-Support at the 50ema and $9.57
-Reistance at $10 and $10.66
Final Thoughts
I personally own 900shares and believe this company with the upcoming catalyst will shock the investors, since on Fintel theres zero shares to short with a 2x borrowing and maintenance fee. One major move of success from the launch or ER will drastically push this stock since its on track to double their rev next year and continue growth. ZERO downside in the short and long term.
MAXR Cup & Handle + Fibonacci Bounce?!WEEKLY CHART
- Cup and Handle pattern. The handle needs stay above this level.
- Needs to bounce around $25.40. (.65 or .618 fib level)
- Zacks Investment Research Upgrades Maxar Technologies to Buy. (3 weeks ago)
- NGA Awards Maxar With G-EGD Contract Renewal For Mission-Ready Satellite Imagery (Valued at $44 million. This is the second of three option years for the contract, which has a total value of up to $176 million.)
Dislike:
- Volume is getting weaker.
- Earnings on 11/3.
-----------------------------------------> I like MAXR $40 Call 4/14/22 <-------------------------------------------------------
$ASTR Eyes On The SkyThis week ASTRA or ASTR will be launching a test rocket for the United States Space Force delivering its capabilities over other companies like Rocketlabs, SpaceX, and more. Astra had many failures, but was able to achieve orbital launch, so this Friday starting at 1pm pt time they will have a window open till September 13th to launch the Rocket.
News
-Too many, but many contacts with Space Force, DoD, Nasa, and others
-Got license to launch from Kodiak till 2026
-First commercial launch starting Friday with 2 more planed by eoy
-Building their manufacturing building for satellites
-Their monthly rocket will be ready by eoy
TA
-Roughly at 9.50ish there's some circles you see. These represent past resistance and support from Mid July till now
-VPVR levels have built up at 10.62-11.25, which at current pricing is a 16% move to the upside at max
-Other key zones or past targets I had from Holicity or $HOL hits at $13.33 and now $16-$18
-RSI trends down and lends bearish
-Macd is folding up to show bearish movement, but could bounce back bullish
-If the current price falls, next target is $9
Final Thoughts
I'm bullish on this stock and this week we could see the $12 again with prime target of $16-$18 before the launch. This is a high risk stock, but its development as pushed forward and with recent $SPCE and $VECQ news I will be remain bullish on this stock over the others.
$HOL $ASTR Big WeekBeen a bull in this company, but with it hitting the $10 range I did buy some at 10.02 and Friday bought more at 10.77. This week in Holicity/Astra is pretty massive and I believe the upside out weighs the risk. With getting about a 480mil on their balance sheet, this gives a somewhat fair value of $13, which at current price would be about 20% move this week or even more depending on other factors.
News
-Merger is this week on June 30th and Ticker change on July 1st to ticker "ASTR"
-Astra acquired Apollo Fusion, which will give Astra a boost in their Thursters. This will help low orbit and other orbits of Earth while also giving the possibility of sendings their Rockets too the Moon for SATS according to the interview with Astra and Apollo Fusion.
-Has Planet Contract to send SATS
-Was awarded the TROPIC NASA contract, which starts in Q1 of 2022
-Their monthly rocket will be ready around Q4
-Pipe investors can't sell in a 6 month period. Warrents are exchange at $10, not sure on the deadline.
TA: I know the news sounds amazing and theres more to come like the ANN of the summer launch, which no date is available at the time of writing this. It's suppose to launch this Summer.
-Prime Target in the short term is $13.
-Sideways movement is between the zones of 10.76-11.05. Below 10.76 is key buying and above 11.05 is lots of sellers.
-RSI is oversold and could see a bounce Monday with merger coming soon.
-MACD is looking to flip Bullish
-VPVR levels 10.84-10.90 with next high vpvr levels being in our trading zone of sellers. if we break above 11.26 next level is 11.37 than 12.28
-EMA's are consoldating, but squeezing suggesting a pretty big move ahead.
Final Thoughts:
I'm bullish on this stock in the short term and long term with it hitting my value of investing. Does the company make it cheap? Does the company help others? Who are they competing with? The last question is just 1 which is Rocket Labs, yet they failed to get the NASA Contract due to it not being cheap to use. ASTRA is a game changer and will only get better, but also tougher as other companies try to do it better and cheaper than them. As of now this stock is a buy in the short and long term.
Vector Acquisition Corp (VACQ): Rocket Lab to the moon?Vector Acquisition Corp NASDAQ:VACQ
What a brutal drop! But I'm still holding on and in fact, accumulating more for the Rocket Lab IPO.
I'm definitely not a professional advisor and this is not professional advice.
Rocket Lab in the news:
Rocket Lab has now delivered a total of 104 satellites to Earth orbit.
www.space.com
Rocket Lab's next reusable rocket mission will test a new heat shield
www.engadget.com
spacenews.com
spacenews.com
MAXR (space industry, satellites)Space Stock
Hourly chart
ARKX GAP between 39.96- 43.31
Support: 43.5
Resistance: 50
Bullish above 50$!
PT1: 60$ (R2)
PT2: 100$
CHTR was a top gainer, rising 44.38%.Expect Uptrend continuationCharter Communications Inc. - Ordinary Shares - (CHTR, $536.67) was one of top quarterly gainers, jumping +44.38% to $536.67 per share. My A.I.dvisor analyzed 19 stocks in the Cable/Satellite TV Industry over the last three months, and discovered that 19 of them (100%) charted an Uptrend while none of them (0%) trended down. My A.I.dvisor found 240 similar cases when CHTR's price jumped over 15% within three months. In 184 out of those 240 cases, CHTR's price went up during the following month. Based on these historical data, A.I. thinks the odds of an Uptrend continuation for CHTR are 77%.
MAXAR TECHNOLOGIES INC - NYSE: $MAXR Nears Potential Break-OutAfter recapturing its 200 day moving average last week on healthy volume, shares of MAXAR TECHNOLOGIES INC. - NYSE:MAXR appear to be nearing a potential break-out into higher ground as we can observe from the Daily chart above.
With MAXR now trading above all of its important moving averages 20/50/200 DMA's, the stock finds itself in a healthy technical posture potentially seeking greener pastures in the days/weeks ahead.
In particular, should MAXR be capable of taking-out the $10.05 figure and 'stick' at any point in the days ahead, such development, should it materialize, would like signal/trigger that the stock wants higher ground with and initial objective in the $12 - $13 zone, while from a longer-term perspective, a secondary objective in the $17 area.
Thus, both investors/traders may want to continue to monitor the action in MAXR closely and of most importance, a break above the $10.05 level that can sustain as a sign that things may just be about to heat up.
I - Intellistat (Satellite Comms)Comparing Cboe VIX VIX to I I
Currently leaning toward lower fibretracement, but we're talking about low earth satellite comms for 5G, Gov, Mil, all things big data or stock wouldn't have crushed it last 18mo.
Just a note here in case reaching lower fibonacci retracement for entry.