Saylor
MICROSTRATEGY a pyramid ponzi.Understanding the situation with MSTR can be quite complex.
Many people recognize that MicroStrategy has been issuing convertible bonds at a 0% interest rate to purchase Bitcoin. This strategy tends to drive up both Bitcoin's price and the value of MSTR shares.
As a result, the scheme appears to inflate continuously, placing the risk on bondholders. The only way for MSTR's stock price to keep rising is through the issuance of increasingly larger amounts of convertible debt; otherwise, the entire pyramid would collapse.
It's understandable why Michael Saylor seems to be focusing more on shilling MSTR bonds instead of Bitcoin itself.
Why would institutions invest in MSTR's convertible bonds at 0%?
Many believe it's because they anticipate being able to convert these bonds into MSTR stock in five years at a predetermined price, potentially around $675, effectively giving them a premium-free call option. However, there is a hidden cost to this strategy: inflation. At first glance, this might seem like a poor investment choice—if one expects MSTR's value to rise, it would make more sense to buy the shares now rather than commit funds to a higher price in the future.
Why would anyone engage in such a massive financial manoeuvre involving BILLIONS?
The truth is, those purchasing the bonds are ACTUALLY indifferent to the rising stock value! Their primary interest lies in capitalizing on price fluctuations. Ultimately, a convertible bond functions as a CALL OPTION; thus, as the MSTR stock price experiences greater volatility, the premium on the call increases. Recently the value of these convertible bonds has surged by 170%. This is precisely why investors are unconcerned about interest rates or the actual conversion of the bonds—they have ZERO desire to convert! The reason? Issuing new shares would only dilute their holdings!
All the rewards with none of the risks!
But what happens if MSTR collapses? Bondholders will seize all the Bitcoin MSTR possesses, leaving shareholders with nothing but scraps!
Can you fathom how deep this MSTR Ponzi scheme really is?
The more you explore, the more mental acrobatics you need to perform to grasp the situation!
Many believe that bond buyers are naive, but in reality, they are the sharpest players in the game, reaping the benefits without facing the risks! In the current climate, that’s the nature of volatility! It doesn’t matter if MSTR’s stock price fluctuates; they’re insulated from the fallout. Who do you think is betting against MSTR? It’s the bondholders, and their positions are secure!
Ultimately, for someone to profit, someone else must incur a loss, and it won’t be the bondholders. This means that regular shareholders are poised for significant losses, as the primary force driving MSTR’s stock price is its own volatility. Once that volatility dissipates, we could see MSTR plummet below $100 a share! All those crypto enthusiasts will be left reeling, wondering how MSTR could possibly decline while Bitcoin’s value rises!!!
What’s the main effect of these convertible bonds?
They create volatility in the stock price, leading to wild swings up and down, just as we’re currently witnessing.
What occurs when the volatility subsides?
The stock price will plummet!
Many people are misdirecting their focus on metrics, technical analysis, and listening to Michael Saylor's commentary on CNBC. Instead, they should be paying attention to the volatility of MSTR's stock price, as its decline will directly impact the stock's value.
Don't be misled; even if MSTR falls below $300, it will still be overpriced and could potentially drop to under $100 per share due to the convertible bonds scheme. Claims from MSTR valuation sites that each share is backed by a certain amount of Bitcoin are misleading; the reality is that the shares are not backed by anything.
The BONDHOLDERS are the ones who possess all the Bitcoin.
There’s no such thing as a free lunch—someone has to bear the costs, and in MSTR's case, that burden will fall on the shareholders. You certainly don’t want to be left holding the bag when the music stops.
It is important to maintain a clear perspective regarding cryptocurrencies; they should not be viewed as traditional investments, but rather as something more comparable to gambling.
While you may have the advantage of being an expert poker player, the only way to truly win is to cash out your profits.
Otherwise, you risk losing on MSTR and in the crypto market.
BITCOIN in a LIVERMORE FunnelThe accumulation and distribution volume matches the positive and negative money flows of the first 5 waves in a Jesse Livermore stock cylinder.
Will wave 6 see a rush of positive money flow into #Bitcoin into the end of the year?
Let's see
If it does
then that will further cement this pattern of accumulation , sideways movement then breakout with continuation of buying power into the Bull market top.
Let's observe this in real time shall we?
Should be a fun few months ahead of us after a long period of churn.
S/O to @arvine11 for bringing up the Livermore stock trend analysis.
Saylor will fail his investors once again... USDT rebound ideaMorning ladies and gents,
As BTC continues to rise, one can only think about the perfect time to exit.
It's impressed me, and I believe it might impress us a little more, as it moves higher. But I still dont think the big players are gonna let the opportunity pass in front of them again, or will they??
I think the death of the crypto space is people like Saylor, they preach decentralization, but if you take a handful of them, they control it just the same.
As much as I would like to, I won't emphasize too much on this, just a little more...
But Saylor a few years ago, had BTC holdings at an average price of $22k. As BTC made its way to SWB:69K for the first time a couple years back, he increased the average price to about $30k. As BTC reached $15k he was able to lower it again below the FWB:25K range, after failing to take any profits preaching BTC is this long term vision of his. Now, here we are once again, at $70k and apparently he's not taking profits, his average price is also above $31k. He's SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B in profits and hanging in there. If I could ask the BTC gods and market makers something, I would ask to just make this market follow the rules, creating a pullback pattern, finding support, maybe going somewhat below $40k range, so this clown IMHO can zero once again. Failing his investors TWICE, and not taking over MUN:10B in profits in a 5 year span!
Here's my chart friends, take a look at it.
Trade thirsty!
GBTC BullishBullish on two potential scenarios.
I am not a financial advisor. This is not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendation.
💾 MicroStrategy Set To Grow Like There's No TomorrowI love the "Community trends" on the front page... TradingView is great.
With this new feature I can see stocks/assets that I would never think of looking at otherwise.
Here we have MicroStrategy, MSTR.
I know about Mr. Michael Saylor as he is a huge Bitcoin fan like most of us.
He also wrote the foreword for the best selling Bitcoin book ever and it was nice to see his opinion about this game we now have been playing for so long.
MicroStrategy is set to grow like there is no tomorrow...
At least that's the message that I am getting from this chart.
I am using the weekly timeframe because long-term gives you a better perspective, short-term there is always too much "noise".
The first thing to look at is the broader cycle and that's the All-Time High, February 2021, almost two years have gone by since this level was hit.
The first thing that caught my attention is the current consolidation pattern and how the bulls are already showing up and strong.
This weekly candle is already trading above EMA21 and EMA10... There is a strong bullish divergence on the RSI since May 2022.
Also, the low in December 2022 came in higher than May, a higher low...
These signals put together make a strong case for bullish growth.
I write these signals for you... But what catches my attention from the go is this sort of "M" pattern, bullish bat, gartley, etc. too many names it has...
This pattern is like a falling wedge in the sense that it has a very high level of accuracy.
It is a bullish pattern of course and once it shows up... The chart tends to shoot up.
You can find the resistance levels marked on the chart (light green) and blue for support.
Namaste.
GBTC Falling Wedge?I'm just aiming for a strong rally in this one. I don't have many reasons to explain myself, but the truth is that there are plenty... global crisis, its CEO resigned, multiple bank failures, an increasingly negative open interest in multiple currencies... etc.
Don't forget to pay attention to what this graph is inverted. greetings people
BTC: Break of resistance?Bitcoin
Intraday - We look to Buy a break of 20431 (stop at 19898)
Bias is mildly bullish today but we need to see a break of 20400 to confirm the upward pressure. Short term momentum is bullish. There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. We look for gains to be extended today.
Our profit targets will be 21699 and 21999
Resistance: 20000 / 20500 / 21000
Support: 19500 / 19000 / 18500
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
BTC: Rangebound?Bitcoin
Intraday - We look to Buy at 18613 (stop at 18221)
Price action continued to range between key support & resistance (18500 - 19500) and we expect this to continue. We look to buy dips. We are trading at oversold extremes. 18521 has been pivotal. Support is located at 18500 and should stem dips to this area. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 19584 and 19884
Resistance: 19500 / 20000 / 20500
Support: 19000 / 18500 / 18000
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’) . Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
XRP: Buying dips!XRP
Intraday - We look to Buy at 0.3636 (stop at 0.3529)
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile. We look to buy dips. 20 4hour EMA is at 0.3633. 0.3630 has been pivotal.
Our profit targets will be 0.3893 and 0.3993
Resistance: 0.3800 / 0.3900 / 0.4000
Support: 0.3700 / 0.3600 / 0.3500
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Microstrategy to sub $100 per stockGive me one good reason as to why $MSTR should not visit the lows of this fibonacci retracement .
Right now you can't.
Will it see ATH again? "Absolutely". But it will continue to bleed along $SPX and other stocks.
Good to hear Michael Taylor assure everyone that they will be fine no matter have bad $BTC will dump.
AKA MicroBrain StrategyThese guys have 122,500 Bitcoin (BTC) and have a total average purchase price of 30k with an average buy in of $3.66 Billion. Watch out if Bitcoin breaks below 30k.... who knows when the banks are gonna start calling and asking for their billions back... at the time of this article in December 2021, Microstrategy's BTC was valued at $6.13 Billion which is now as of this date worth about $4.25 Billion. At what point does Mr. Saylor sell???
www.nasdaq.com
That higher volume you see on the wave C is indicative of a wave C pullback and a blowoff top which is exactly what occured in 2021.
We might get a really good bounce to the upside before this red arrow takes effect but it's going to happen. Bitcoin is the riskiest of risk assets and these guys have $3.66 Billion worth of Bitcoin
Saylor vs. The SEC ...no winners here $MSTR #BTCInstitutional investors get hyper when they hear #SEC. Saylor and company told the SEC it used non-GAAP measures to give investors a fuller picture of its finances. If the company only showed declines in value, it would give “an incomplete assessment” of its Bitcoin holdings that would be “less meaningful to management or investors” in light of the company’s strategy to acquire and hold Bitcoin.
“We further believe that the inclusion of bitcoin non-cash impairment losses may otherwise distract from our investors’ analysis of the operating results of our enterprise software analytics business,” the company wrote.
Tweeter whoooo ah twitter ah Some brilliant moves today in Bitcoin. Fun and games as to be expected.
Microstrategy new purchase and Walmart well accepting or maybe not? Either way it's played the charts both ways.
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Bullish on BitcoinBeen spending more and more time looking at all possible scenario's.
Although there is still logic for both Bullish and Bearish, I am a reactive trader - currently waiting for my confirmation on the long term entry.
I have shared several video's lately on the two types of scenario's and here's some additional info;
Here we have a weekly view (software generated Elliott count.
Here's the daily;
If the Daily proves correct - this is what the cycle wave should look like;
Fibonacci levels kinda make sense;
A 38% Pullback would be inline with the previous resistance;
Look at this all the way back from the 26th of March (see the date)
The image above was from this post:
And this is the current view;
Same goes for the rocket post (going back to the 18th of March) - what is interesting here, is the key levels are now Support & Resistance.
Play this scenario forward;
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So what is your take? are we going to the moon or just another high before the bigger drop?
Comments below.
Have a Great Week!!!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.