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SBER

russian rates bonds and stocksHi all! I feel the approach of good times in Russia!!💓 On the chart - at the top in black is the rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, next to it in blue - the yield rates on short-term bonds, at the bottom - the RTS. There will be a meeting of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation soon and everyone will be given the message that “the Central Bank should raise the rate by 2%.” Short debt is already trading at 18%+. How to practically apply this? The phase of raising rates always ends for stocks with a vigorous decline, a bang. The shares follow the RGBI index, so clients do not have any Russian shares. But! The main thing will begin after the Central Bank begins to reduce the rate - the stock market in currency terms can grow by 100..300% in €£$ It would be better for conservative comrades at this moment of lowering rates to withdraw money from deposits and invest in long bonds, both corporate and government. While we are in no hurry to switch to rubles and Russian shares, we need to wait - corrections - a real decrease in profitability on the Russian market (see two-year plans, ticker RU02Y) - changing the Central Bank’s narrative to lower rates.
ECONOMICS:RUINTR
by Vitaliy_Lebedev
MOEX Russia Index. The epic 52-weeks breakthrough expectedRussia’s trapped domestic investors push stock market to 2-years high. Russia’s stock market (so-called, Moscow Exchange Index MOEX:IMOEX ) has climbed recently to its highest level in 2 years as domestic retail investors with nowhere else to go snap up the dividend-paying stocks that sold off heavily following the Russia-Ukraine conflict. A rise of more than 100 per cent since March, 2022 low has pushed the MOEX index to levels last hit in early February 2022, before Russian President Vladimir Putin announces so-called "special military operation" that sent Russia’s equity market into freefall. The market’s partial rebound over the two years has come despite the imposition of countless western sanctions designed to cripple Russia’s financial system. The Kremlin responded to the measures by blocking most foreign traders from exiting their investments and capping the amount of money Russians can stash in foreign bank accounts. Due to U.S. Department of Treasury and Euroclear sanctions, money is trapped. Where do you put it but on the exchange? Deprived of investment opportunities abroad (because of stupid, a nazi-like sanctions), Russians have piled their savings into the likes of Lukoil, Gazprom and Sberbank, which combined account for about 40 per cent of the stock market’s total value. “Russian retail investors have always been about dividends,” said Sofya Donets, chief Russia economist at Renaissance Capital, a Moscow investment bank. The Russian stock market’s recent rally bears some resemblance to the surprisingly strong performance of the Borsa Istanbul 100 last year. Russia’s economy has also held up better than expected. For many domestic Russian retail investors, nothing has changed compared to before the conflicted started, as the economy is doing OK. Big dividend payers like state-owned Sberbank, whose shares are up 71 per cent trailing 12 months, are attractive to most Russians and now they’re some of the few investment options available.  Even so, foreign investors not banned by sanctions have kept well clear of the Moex since an exodus last February, when central bank figures show non-residents shed about Rbs170bn ($2.2bn) worth of Russian stocks. Trading volumes on the Moex slumped 41 per cent year on year in 2022. There is a “close-to-zero chance” that foreigners whose Russian holdings have in effect been frozen will be allowed to sell out of their positions. Perhaps there could be an artificial settlement, some kind of exchange for holdings frozen for Russian investors outside of Russia. In technical terms, IMOEX graph is near to break 52-weeks highs, following 26-weeks SMA, with further upside opportunities to reach 4000 points and new historical highs.
RUS:IRUS
by Pandorra
SBER - largest Russian fintech company - 30-50% growth til AprilHere is my look at the largest Russian bank and fintech company - Sberbank (shorted from "sberegatelniy bank" - "bank for savings"). It's bee called Sber for several years because it's more of a fintech company than just a bank now. The idea is simple. You can see a sine wave which is mirrored relatively to the symmetry center (centerline). The timing it: 205 rub minimum, maybe 240 rub per 1 stock till the end or March. It should mean that overall Russian stocks market would feel great too.
RUS:SBERLong
by rynok_znania
Why you can lose your investments on SBER So technically we have the same picture like Alibaba - WXY PUSRPOSE IS 68 rub WHY WILL WE HAVE SO TOUGH FALL: 1) Short position denial 2) non-residents have no ability to sell 3) WE HAVE 1 TRILLION FOR BUYING STOCKS AND WE STILL DIDN'T SEE THAT MONEY IN THE DEPTH OF MARKET( FNB doesn't want to buy at these levels ) 4)Traders are not fools and they are gonna make a lot of limit positions i guess Make a screen if i'm gonna be right don't tell me that i didn't warned you :) - If like my analysis subscribe and make a comment bellow about that stock
RUS:SBERShort
by NikshA36
Russian stocks are skydiving to rock bottom!!!!Read latest article here More than 90% drop from its peak , this is DEFINITELY scary !!!! We are not talking about small players but SBERBANK is the largest Lender and it suffers this fate, what more the smaller banks ????? Could we see the stock markets being closed ? If you had invested in these stocks , are you able to take your profits now ? Would you have the guts to go in now and wait for it to recover ,if it recovers ?
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by dchua1969
2
SBER - revising my countA closer look at SBER forced me to revise my count - I now consider it has topped in wave v of larger 3. Expect to see a bottom mid 2022 somewhere in 200 zone. This makes me think Russian indexes may show final push to new high in June (countwise oil should bottom somewhere in 60 zone soon and make a final rally above the recent high which may trigger rally in Russian oil stocks) however I believe all rallies will be sold. Don't recommend to trade wave 4, better to wait for the bottom next year.
RUS:SBERShort
by Vyaz
Sberbank to break, but only with good earnings reportHi there, I've been following Sberbank and here are my thoughts: there is a strong resistance level at 290-296, which is facing an uprising trend line (dotted line). In simple terms, I expect a continuation of a trend with a break out through that resistance level. Sberbank is being fundamentally strong company, hence I expect positive breakout. The only major concern is an earnings report on the 26th, hence I do not expect a break out before that. MA50 tends to be a local support level for a trend. Of course, the earnings might not match expectations and then I would expect a pull back to test new levels later, but let's see. Not an advise to invest, but feel free to share your reflection!
RUS:SBERLong
by nikhrushchev