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XAUUSD - Gold waiting for the Hawkish Federal Reserve!Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 30-minute timeframe. In case of breaking the resistance range or correction with low momentum, we can witness the continuation of the rise and see the limited supply and sell in that range with the appropriate risk reward. Inflation Outlook and Economic Policies in the US and Their Impact on Markets Consumer Price Increase in the US and Gradual Decline in Inflationary Pressures • October Data: In October, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% compared to September. Core inflation (excluding energy and food) also increased by 0.3%, aligning with market expectations. • Expert Analysis: Dr. Christoph Balz and Bernd Weidensteiner from Commerzbank emphasized that while the data shows no significant progress, it indicates a gradual reduction in inflationary pressures. • Core inflation remains far from the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, holding steady at 0.3%, similar to August and September. • This suggests that inflation is likely to stay above the central bank’s target in the long term. • Trump’s Policies and Inflation: Economists predict that emerging economic policies under Trump, including higher tariffs and reduced immigration, may further strain the labor market and contribute to higher inflation in the long run. Jerome Powell’s Remarks and Market Reactions • No Need for Financial Policy Easing: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated that given strong economic growth, a robust labor market, and inflation still above the 2% target, there is no immediate need for monetary policy easing. • Market Reaction: These comments raised concerns among investors, signaling a potential slowdown in the pace of interest rate cuts. US Dollar Outlook • Stability and Growth of the Dollar: According to Barclays Investment Bank, the US dollar will maintain its upward trajectory due to economic resilience and shifting market expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate policies. • Factors Supporting Dollar Strength: • Trump’s trade and fiscal policies, including higher tariffs and domestic initiatives, are key drivers of dollar strength. • Barclays projects the dollar will remain strong and continue its upward trend through 2025. • China’s efforts to boost its economy may have a limited impact on weakening the dollar but are unlikely to significantly disrupt its rising trajectory.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Getting thereThis a just a simple idea of what could happen. Not necessarily the exact blue line 1-5, I am in favor or the orange line moving downward. We have seen typically that there is a bull trap right before launch. I expect a major rejection off the black line downward trend line like we have seen a downward wedge shaping. However the biggest picture we know is the 7 year triangle forming for a major pump. Keeping a bag for potential break and preparing funds for a major move downward to load up. If this breaks and does a rapid move upwards we will scalp in, but I don’t believe this is the major move just yet. Good luck and have fun with it.
COINBASE:XRPUSD
by Ncard137
1
Key Differences Between Trading and InvestingTrading vs. Investing: Key Differences and Practical Insights Trading and investing are often confused, but understanding their differences is essential for success in financial markets. Both terms refer to distinct strategies with unique objectives and methods. In this guide, we break down the differences between the two, explain why they matter, and provide practical tips to help you decide which approach best suits your financial goals and risk tolerance. What is Trading vs. What is Investing? Trading involves buying and selling financial instruments such as stocks, commodities, or currencies over short periods. These timeframes could range from seconds to days or weeks, and the goal is to take advantage of small price fluctuations for quick profits. Traders often rely on technical analysis and market trends to time their trades effectively. Investing, on the other hand, is a long-term strategy. Investors purchase assets like stocks, bonds, or real estate with the expectation that these will appreciate in value over time. They are less concerned with short-term price movements and more focused on broader economic trends and company fundamentals, aiming to build wealth over months, years, or even decades. The Essence of Investing: Long-Term Wealth Investing is all about patience. Investors buy assets with the intention of holding them through market ups and downs, ultimately benefiting from compounding returns. For instance, if you invest $10,000 with an average annual return of 7%, your investment could grow to nearly $20,000 in ten years through compounding alone. To mitigate risks, successful investors diversify their portfolios. Spreading investments across different sectors or asset types (e.g., stocks, bonds, and real estate) helps cushion against downturns in any one market. Investors focus on fundamentals—like company earnings, dividends, and economic conditions—rather than short-term price movements. The Fast-Paced World of Trading In contrast, trading is fast-paced and focuses on short-term market movements. Traders aim to capitalize on small, rapid price fluctuations. For example, a trader might buy tech stocks when prices drop 3% in the morning and sell them by afternoon for a quick 5% gain. Unlike investors, traders are not interested in holding assets for the long term. Instead, they react to market news, economic reports, and even political events. Trading can be especially profitable in volatile markets such as cryptocurrencies or commodities, where price swings occur rapidly. However, this fast-paced environment means traders face higher risks. They must make quick decisions and often rely on technical analysis, such as studying price charts and volume patterns. Here, we emphasize the importance of risk management and emotional discipline in trading. Successful traders develop a well-thought-out strategy and stick to it, even during moments of market volatility. Key Differences Between Trading and Investing To better understand these approaches, here are the key differences between trading and investing: Time Horizon: Investing: Long-term (years to decades) Trading: Short-term (seconds to months) Risk Tolerance: Investing: Lower risk due to a longer time horizon Trading: Higher risk due to volatility and frequent transactions Profit Objective: Investing: Building long-term wealth through appreciation Trading: Making short-term profits from price movements Decision-Making: Investing: Based on fundamentals and long-term trends Trading: Based on technical analysis and short-term market sentiment For example, during a market downturn, investors might hold onto their stocks, confident in a long-term recovery. Traders, however, may sell quickly to avoid losses, as they are focused on short-term price movements. Including real-world examples like these highlights the importance of choosing the right approach based on your goals. The Psychological Battle in Trading While both trading and investing require market knowledge, trading demands a sharper psychological edge. In trading, emotions like fear, greed, and impatience can easily derail a strategy. Traders must learn to stay calm and disciplined in fast-moving markets. Common mistakes, such as becoming emotionally attached to a losing trade, can result in significant financial losses. Practical strategies for controlling emotions in trading include: Setting Clear Stop-Loss Levels: This ensures that you minimize potential losses by automatically selling an asset if it drops below a pre-set price. Sticking to a Trading Plan: Develop a strategy and follow it diligently, regardless of market conditions. Mindfulness and Reflection: Regularly assess your emotional state to avoid impulsive decisions. Here, we emphasize the importance of emotional discipline, risk management, and consistent evaluation of strategies to help traders succeed. Investors Have Time on Their Side Investors benefit from the luxury of time. They aren’t focused on short-term fluctuations, so they can ride out market volatility without panicking. For example, when the stock market drops, an investor might hold onto their assets, knowing that markets generally recover over the long term. This long-term approach allows investors to avoid the emotional rollercoaster that comes with short-term trading. Investors also focus on the big picture—macroeconomic trends, industry health, and the performance of individual companies. They are less concerned with daily price movements and more focused on overall growth over time. Can You Be Both a Trader and an Investor? Yes, it’s possible to adopt both strategies, but it requires discipline to keep the two approaches separate. Some people allocate a portion of their portfolio to long-term investments while actively trading with another portion. For instance, you could invest in index funds for steady, long-term growth while also trading tech stocks for short-term gains. However, it’s crucial not to confuse the two. Mixing a long-term investment mindset with a trading strategy can lead to poor decision-making, such as holding onto a losing trade in the hope that it will eventually recover. Final Thoughts: Balancing Trading and Investing The key to success in both trading and investing lies in understanding your goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon. Here, we focus on helping traders navigate fast-paced markets with precision and discipline. However, we also recognize the value of long-term investing as a strategy for building wealth. If you’re looking to balance both strategies, consider: Allocating Capital: Divide your portfolio between long-term investments and short-term trades. Setting Clear Goals: Know what you want to achieve with each strategy. Reviewing Your Portfolio: Regularly assess both your trading and investing strategies to ensure they align with your financial objectives. Whether you’re aiming for long-term wealth through investing or seeking short-term gains through trading, understanding the differences between these two approaches is essential for success.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by exlux
Scalping Gold Using Supply & DemandImagine, not giving a flying F about anything and just taking trades where you think the market is likely to react. Well you don't have to imagine because that is quite literally exactly what I do using this scalp system I've created. Truth be told I've created this scalp system many years ago but I only recently (within the last few months or so) perfected this particular system. Most of you who know me know me to be a very avid swing trader as my analysis are usually pretty detailed and good. This system is a stark contrast of my swing style and such a simple change of pace to be frank. That being said, so long as you understand the general concept of this method you'd be surprised as to how consistent it is despite its simplicity. Have a good one guys, see you real soon =)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Brandon_evo4
3
BTC USDT By HesamUNT ( Short-term scenario )hey traders, i hope u having gr8 day so far as we expected, the Golden Ratio which comes from the HTF fib ext is still working as a support area price made a shadow below the Golden Ratio in HTF like Weekly, and then we had another bullish wave in LTF like 1H 2H 4H the confirmation for that move was the Harmonic Triangle or ascending triangle in LTF like 5m 15m at the key lvl which was the golden ratio after breaking up the Golden Ratio, we can take it as a potential SWAP area, so we can expect this lvl work as a potential support area in the next touches ( Yellow zone ) now, the price gets rejected in HTF like daily, and 4H at the 0.786 lvl as long as this lvl still works as a resistance area, we can expect this sell pressure continue to the midline of the parallel channel as a tp1 and bottom of the channel which confirmed by SWAP area as a TP2 n full Target What u think about Bitty ? share ur thoughts n leave a comment
Short
by HesamUNT
13
BTC USDT by HesamUNT ( Short-term scenario ) New updatehey traders lets take a quick look at BTC from the daily TF, we have an important zone for trend confirmation and price still playing range in this Zone for a while based on the daily zone, we can expect support at the bottom n resistance behavior at the bottom of the zone the bottom of this zone which is our major support area already confirmed with fib + Zone + Harmonic Pattern in lower TF Like 4H and 2H TF and still working as a support area after 2 touches we got the first pump based on this chart in the first touch and the second touch made the move after breaking up the LTF harmonic triangle we broke up the pattern and had a nice pump to the 68k which is the Top of the daily zone so sell pressure was expected below this lvl in lower TF, and that was our previous trade that u can check it as an idea now, as u can see, there's a bullish parallel channel in 15m 30m TF and we go back to the bottom of this channel which is the target of the previous trade this channel comes from the Lower TF and we dont have any confirmation at this lvl in HTF, so I'm expecting this sell pressure to extend to the Swap area which is the yellow zone if it happens, we can expect another buy pressure at the Swap area, so we can get in after confirmation share ur thoughts n leave a comment
Long
by HesamUNT
1
EURUSD: Weekly overview and opportunities Reasons to Long: Bearish long-term channel Last break was bearish Reasons to Short: Near a demand zone that coincides with the bottom of the channel, which is around 1.0620 It seems that a weak short-term zone appeared around 1.0680 Conclusion: I predict a slightly bullish week. However, I'll wait to reach mid-term zones that can be found between 1.0760 and 1.0720 to short the pair. I don't recommend taking long trades here unless you are a scalper or an extremely short-term trader.
Short
by AliSignals
2
EURUSD: Short-term guideThis is my suggested path for EURUSD for short-term trading It might be expired or invalidated first a bullish move to 1.0874. Then we'll wait for a retrace again to yesterday's pivot, a little over the monthly pivot which is around 1.0859 and a final upward move is waiting for us there to tp of 1.0887 Remember that the numbers are not necessarily precise they might be invalidated and some noises could annoy traders. I generally don't recommend short-term trading but by taking marginal risks it's rational
Long
by AliSignals