Why SCHD Could Be a Quick Win for Savvy Scalpers Eyeing Upside
As always, we like to keep it clean and simple, with technicals and analysis that's easy to see and understand. Let's get into it:
The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) has recently experienced a downturn, but several factors suggest a near-term upward reversal:
Technical Indicators:
1. SCHD's 100-day and 200-day simple moving averages are $27.95 and $26.79, respectively, with the current price above both, suggesting a longer-term bullish trend
2. StochRSI oversold on mult timeframes
3. Reached limit of reversal move after a Wave 5, which can act as near-term support
Recent Developments:
Dividend-paying stocks, including those in SCHD, have faced challenges due to volatility in the 10-year Treasury yield. However, with expectations of more stable interest rates, dividend-focused investments like SCHD could become more attractive.
Investor interest in dividend-paying equity ETFs has increased, with inflows more than doubling over the past month. This heightened demand could positively impact SCHD's price.
We see a near-term reversal to the $28.80 area -- a $0.50/share increase from current levels .
Be alert.
Trade green.
Schwab
Charles Schwab Crashed Again Amid Market MeltdownKey Takeaways:
- Multiple investment platforms, including Charles Schwab, experienced technical outages during a significant market sell-off.
- Thousands of login issues were reported, adding to investor frustration during a volatile market period.
- The outages lasted about three hours, impacting user access to accounts via mobile apps and online platforms.
- Market volatility was driven by a weak labor report and concerns over a potential severe economic downturn.
In a turbulent day for the financial markets, Charles Schwab and other major investment platforms faced significant technical issues, leaving investors unable to access their accounts during a critical time. The outages occurred amid a market meltdown, further exacerbating investor frustrations.
Widespread Technical Outages
Starting around 9 a.m. ET, multiple investment platforms, including Charles Schwab, Fidelity, Vanguard, Ameritrade, eTrade, and Robinhood, went offline. According to Downdetector.com, the incident lasted approximately three hours, with nearly 15,000 issues reported for Charles Schwab, 3,500 for Fidelity, 3,000 for Vanguard, and 2,000 for Ameritrade.
Users reported being unable to log in to their accounts via mobile apps or online platforms. This issue was reminiscent of a similar incident Charles Schwab encountered in June when over 5,800 users experienced login problems.
Market Volatility and Investor Impact
The timing of the outages couldn't have been worse. A weak labor report released on Friday triggered a severe market sell-off, leading to what is being termed a stock market “meltdown.” Wall Street’s main indexes tumbled, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing down 1,034 points, or 2.6%, after dropping more than 1,200 points at its lowest point of the session. Shares of Charles Schwab fell by 1.7%, slightly better than the broader market decline.
Investors, already on edge due to the market volatility, faced additional stress due to the inability to manage their portfolios during the downturn. The outages left many unable to execute trades or access critical account information during a period of frenzied trading.
Company Responses and Resolution
Charles Schwab (NYSE: NYSE:SCHW ) and other affected platforms were quick to acknowledge the issues. Charles Schwab (NYSE: NYSE:SCHW ) took to X (formerly Twitter) to announce, “A technical issue experienced by some clients has been resolved. We apologize for the inconvenience.” The firm posted an update at 12:38 p.m. ET, confirming that the issue had been resolved.
Fidelity Investments also responded to complaints on social media, assuring users that their login issues had been addressed. Vanguard issued a statement acknowledging temporary issues for some clients on Monday morning, which have since been resolved. Steve Sanders, EVP of marketing and product development at Interactive Brokers, stated that their platform did not experience widespread outages.
Future Outlook and Investor Confidence
While the technical issues appear to have been resolved, investors should not rely on these platforms for real-time access to their accounts and the ability to make timely decisions. Any disruption, especially during market volatility, can lead to significant financial and emotional stress.
Technical Outlook
Despite recent market turbulence and a technical glitch experienced by Charles Schwab stock (NYSE: NYSE:SCHW ), the assets appear to have appreciated by 0.5% as of the time of writing on Tuesday's market trading. The daily price chart illustrates a weak Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 32.71, indicating a potential trend reversal or further price decline.
The chart of Charles Schwab stock (NYSE: NYSE:SCHW ) has exhibited multiple inverse shoulder and head patterns, with the current pattern seemingly in the formation of a shoulder.
Conclusion
The technical outages at Charles Schwab and other investment platforms amid a market meltdown have underscored the importance of reliable access to financial services. As markets remain volatile, ensuring uninterrupted service will be key to maintaining investor confidence. For now, investors can only hope that such incidents are addressed swiftly to prevent future disruptions during critical trading periods.
Goldman Sachs - Are Banks The Next Dumpster?Goldman Sachs is another one of those stocks that's traded like a can of dog food for a very long period of time that the masses are really drawn to, much like Target, Disney, and Paypal, of which you can find calls for that I've made in the linked section below.
GS is relatively significant in that it's one of the 30 components of the Dow, which is one of the big three indexes.
The Dow had previously been the leader in strength, and for a long time, but in the last several weeks has become the leader in weakness.
Although it looks like a minor blip on the radar, I feel it's something of a harbinger of doom.
And the problem for Goldman Sachs can be seen clearly on the monthly:
Clearly insofar that the bounce from the 2018 high should have lead to new highs.
Instead, the distribution block from the market highs served as resistance. 14 months later, it took out July's low and we can now safely theorize that lower prices are in order.
Weekly bars show us that a failure swing has formed and July's price action was just a local stop raid.
So, what could a catalyst be? Arguably, there doesn't need to be a catalyst. It's just that JP Morgan is long 15,800 puts with a strike of SPX 4,225 expiring September 29 that have never been in the money since they were purchased at the end of Q2.
And so when one index falls, all indexes falls, and the arbitrage algorithms naturally take component stocks down with them.
There's also the economic disaster China under Xi Jinping and his Chinese Communist Party are facing. When you have a disaster hit the world's "Central Kingdom," nobody is an island and those macro equity flows will cause significant turmoil in other markets.
For the U.S. market makers, this simply represents an opportunity to kill longs, buy everyone's losses at the bottom, and rip it back to new highs while you short sell and chase the entire way because Reddit and Discord and Xeeeeeter told you to.
But "the best laid plans of mice and men often go awry."
What looms over the head of humanity is the CCP's 24-year persecution of Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners in Mainland China, which was launched by former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999.
Although Jiang is dead now, the persecution still continues. Xi hasn't been a part of the persecution. Xi, to the contrary, has been killing the participants of the persecution in his "Anti-Corruption Campaign."
But much of the world has gone to Shanghai to do business with the Jiang Faction and that requires swearing vows to the Red Cult's Flag of Blood and leaving collateral.
This is going to be a roadblock to the future for the U.S. "systemically important banks" that cannot be passed, and the impact is going to be significant.
So, here's the trade on Goldman Sachs.
The target the algorithm is set up to pursue is definitely $275. Shorting from $320 actually really isn't that bad. Getting $45 on a put will do rather well for you even if you can only afford one.
Although optimal entry was definitely the $350s.
But the truth is that you aren't likely to be able to long $274 profitably. I'd say the first place you can look for a reversal or a meaningful bounce is $223.
Humans won't believe it until they see it. But once you see it, it's too late.
It only counts if you do something for yourself while the cards are still face down.
Just like poker, the river is coming, and there won't be any "running it twice."
Banking crisis + War Provocation = Haiiyaaa! More money printing. More banks facing liquidity shortage. More bank runs as panic and fear kicks in. As mentioned before, Q2 will be bank run galore.
Entire 2 year's QT effort by Jerome Powell, is now being reversed in less than a month.
Did Credit Suisse got bailout by SNB and UBS recently for almost $105B Swiss Francs? Hmm today $CS is trading at less than $1.
Did SVB got liquidity injection by several banks and the government to avoid collapse? Hmm a week ago, SVB just filed chapter 11 for bankruptcy protection.
Good read here: lnkd.in
Early this week Deutsche Bank is knee weak and now the latest one, Schwab is flying a kite outside during a monsoon storm. Awesome read here:
lnkd.in
Yo, at the end of the day, I am forecasting that only a handful of banks, like less than 5, will be standing in the coming years.
To usher in CBDC, you must herd the sheeps into a smaller ranch to make control and compliance, easier.
To usher in CBDC, competition is BAD. Very bad. Competition is antithesis of monopoly. Therefore, Bitcorn? Ethereum? And the other cryptos? Hmm
And US is getting more aggressive in provoking war with China and Russia.
What has the world got to now....
I remember an old saying, "When all else fail, go to war"
By Sifu Steve @ XeroAcademy
SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $82.5 strike price at the money Puts with
2023-6-16 expiration date for about
$5.40 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SCWB- Sustained Uptrend Curently in a Momentum SqueezeSCHW has done well in a bad year for the market. the earnings release in October looked good.
The stock has gained 25% in the past 4 months very consistentl which shows relative strengh
compared with SPY which has descended badly.
On the daily chart it is sitting above an ascending Ichimoku cloud. This has been trading above
VWAP since Late October showing an overall bullish bias.
The Momentum indicator shows a current squeeze with the Bollinger Bands constricting around
the price action. I am looking to trade this as a call option with a one-month expiration.
Fundamentally, SCWB will be busy this December as the number of tax loss sales to
book capital losses will likely be astronomical.
SCHW: Bullish flag?Charles Schwab Corporation
Short Term - We look to Buy a break of 73.58 (stop at 71.93)
The medium term bias remains bullish. Posted a bullish Flag formation. A break of 73.50 is needed to confirm the outlook. Further upside is expected. Our bias remains bullish and further upside is expected to target resistance at 78.00.
Our profit targets will be 77.91 and 82.00
Resistance: 78.00 / 85.00 / 96.00
Support: 70.00 / 60.00 / 50.00
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10/17/21 SCHWCharles Schwab Corporation (SCHW)
Sector: Finance (Investment Banks/Brokers)
Current Price: $80.90
Breakout price trigger: $79.00 (hold above)
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $79.00-$76.60
Price Target: $82.90-83.20 (1st) $93.00-$94.50 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 11-13d (1st), 118-123d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $SCHW 11/19/21 85c, $SCHW 1/21/22 85c
Trade price as of publish date: $1.04/cnt, $2.58/cnt
Charles Schwab Short-term Trade IdeaBreaking out from previous resistance today with a full solid candle, though volume is close to average
opportunity to initiate breakout trade, target in the picture
Previously similar breakout signals potential average upside around 15-25%. Stop limit one atm below.
Not investment advice, please seek professionals for investment advice
Have fun!
Schwab Set For Quick Bounce? Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on September 9, 2021 with a closing price of 73.0.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 73.65 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 3.444% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 5.3515% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 9.7635% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.75% rise must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 12.5 trading bars; half occur within 25.5 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 35.5 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
SCHW - Looking Bullish Following Gap Up ConsolidationCharles Schwab gapped up back on November 21st, I believe that may have been related to the news that they were looking to buy TD Ameritrade. Since then, the stock has consolidated but managed to hold its gap level. The stock seems ready to exit an oversold condition while the RSI level held its 50 mark. The gap up in November has allowed a Golden Cross to occur on the daily chart as well.
I have some price targets noted on the chart. The green lines are standard Fibonacci levels (61.8% and 100% levels). The light blue line is based on a dynamic P&F chart but the price coincides closely with the Fibonacci Extension 50% level as well & I love when multiple analysis seems to corroborate each other. There is still some potential resistance until around $50.20 but if the stock price can break through that level there shouldn't be much built up resistance ahead.
SCHX - Long // technical analysis(RSI, 14) @73, slowly growing for the past week.
Stochastic RSI @.81
Bollinger bands on a Day timeframe in upper level.
Bollinger bands on a 1h- timeframe on a tight squeeze.
On march 28th price crossed the 21-day moving average (short term bullish)
I would watch for a consolidation break.
This is the trade I would make:
Entry: 68.5
Long: 71.4 (+ 4.23% )
Short: 66.71 (- 2.6% )
RRR: 1.62