BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
After a strong rally, BTC is currently pulling back from the 124K resistance area, heading toward a major confluence support zone between 108,000– 110,000, which aligns with:
✅ Previous breakout zone
✅ 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement
✅ Lower bound of the ascending channel
This level is expected to attract buyers and act as a base for a new bullish leg.
Scenario Ahead (Main Bias):
1. Price dips into the 108–110K support
2. Bullish reversal from the zone (watch for strong reaction candles or bullish divergence)
3. Target 1: 124K (retest resistance)
4. Target 2: 135K–140K (upper channel boundary upon breakout)
BTC remains in a healthy bullish structure. Current pullback is considered constructive, and the 107–110K zone offers a high-probability long setup. Watch for bullish signals before entering.
A confirmed daily close below 107K would invalidate this bullish structure and expose BTC to deeper correction levels.
What’s your take on this setup? Do you expect a bounce from support or a deeper correction? Share your thoughts below 👇
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Community ideas
Bitcoin Hits $40,000, It Will Recover —Name Your AltcoinSorry, there is a typo there on the title, I meant to say: Bitcoin hits $114,000, soon to recover.
As you can see from our trading range, Bitcoin just went beyond the lower boundary and hit a new low, the lowest since 10-July but there is good news. There isn't room for prices to move much lower, this is part of the consolidation phase.
The first low happened 25-July and notice the high (bear) volume. The second low happens today and we have lower volume compared to 25-July, but Bitcoin hit a lower low. This reveals that the bearish move is already weak and losing force. It also reveals the fact that Bitcoin is about to recover.
Also notice the RSI, 2H. It hit oversold recently and went the lowest in a long while. Reversals tend to happen when the RSI becomes oversold.
Bitcoin is testing the lower boundary of the trading range, when this happens, the action reverses and moves back up. Prepare to see Bitcoin back above $120,000. It is normal and it will happen... But it is wise to give the market a few days. 5-August was bad last year. It gets bad but it also marks the bottom. Once the bottom is hit, growth long-term.
— Name Your Altcoin
Leave a comment with the altcoins you are holding now and I will do an analysis for you. The altcoins will also recover and we are witnessing just a small retrace. Hold strong as this is the most important part. We will have a very strong new bullish wave develop within days.
As Bitcoin moves to test support, it will reverse to test resistance next. Which one is your top altcoins choice?
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Bitcoin - 50% crash is starting! (2017 trendline, huge warning)Bitcoin is in the final stage of the bullish cycle, and we want to look for the best price to sell and prepare for the 2025/2026 bear market! The best price to sell Bitcoin is at the 1.618 FIB extension or at the main long-term 2017-2021-2025 trendline. This is exactly at 122,069, as we can see on the chart. And 2 weeks ago, Bitcoin hit both the Fibonacci level and trendline! So this is a strong sell signal.
Buying Bitcoin at the tipity top of a bullish cycle is not the best idea, because we will see 60,000 USD per Bitcoin in 2026! From the Elliott Wave perspective, there is probably only 1 high-probability scenario, and it's this ending diagonal pattern (rising wedge). I think we will see a final 2 waves on Bitcoin to form an ending diagonal wedge pattern (1-2-3-4-5). Bitcoin just finished wave 5 and is starting a brand new corrective pattern.
But you can be more conservative and wait for more confirmations, such as a break of the 50-week moving average. Waiting for such confirmations in general gives us a higher chance of success but a lower risk-to-reward ratio; in other words, you can't catch the top. I always recommend using simple moving averages with 20, 50, 100, and 200 periods because this is what the big players are using as well. These MAs are very popular among giant institutions, banks, and investors.
What's more, Bitcoin seasonality is telling us that August and September are the most bearish months for Bitcoin statistically. So you probably want to sell before a sell-off kicks in.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
AUDUSD: Bearish Continuation from broken supportThe current setup is a clean example of a trend continuation play. Price recently broke decisively below a structure zone, this break and retest now flips the narrative, what once was a buy zone is now an opportunity for short entries.
Following the aggressive move down, price now began pulling back into that broken zone. The move appears corrective rather than impulsive, characterized by a slower, more rounded structure typical of pullback leg. This is classic behavior in continuation setups: fast drop, slow retrace, and then potential for the next leg lower.
The projected move targets a retest of the swing low at 0.63800. That level is significant, it's a level where prior demand reacted strongly and now it serves as the next probable magnet for price.
What makes this continuation trade high probability is the sharpness of the prior bearish impulse as it signals intent. The market seems to be in a controlled bearish sequence, where sellers dominate momentum and retracements offer fresh entries for trend followers.
The structure and zone alignment all point in the same direction continuation lower, not reversal.
Let me know in the comments what you think
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BITCOIN - Price can turn around and start to move upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
The price reversed its prior downtrend with a decisive breakout from a falling channel.
This breakout triggered a strong upward impulse, which then began to consolidate into a large symmetrical pennant.
However, the price recently failed to hold the lower support trendline of this pennant and broke to the downside.
The asset is currently trading just below this broken trendline, in what appears to be a liquidity grab.
To continue upwards, buyers must now overcome the immediate resistance located at the $116300 level.
I expect that this breakdown was a fakeout, and the price will soon reverse, break through the $116300 resistance, and continue its rally toward the $121000 target.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
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Inside a Candle: How to Read Hidden Order Flow Without a DOM
Difficulty: 🐳🐳🐳🐋🐋 (Intermediate+)
This article is for traders who want to understand the “story” behind a candle’s shape — and learn to spot aggressive buying/selling, absorption, and traps without needing footprint or order book tools.
🔵 INTRODUCTION
Most traders see candles as static shapes — green or red, big or small. But each candle is a battlefield of orders . Even without access to a DOM or volume footprint, you can still extract valuable information from just the candle's body, wick, and context .
🔵 ORIGINS: WHERE CANDLESTICKS COME FROM
Candlestick charts trace back to 18th-century Japan, where rice traders needed a way to visualize price movements over time. A legendary trader named Munehisa Homma , who traded rice futures in Osaka, is credited with developing the earliest form of candlestick analysis.
Homma discovered that price wasn’t just driven by supply and demand — but also by trader psychology . He created visual representations of market sentiment by tracking:
The opening and closing price of rice
The highest and lowest price reached during the session
This system became known as the “Sakata rules,” and it laid the foundation for many patterns still used today — such as Doji, Engulfing, and Marubozu.
Western traders only began using candlesticks widely in the 1990s, when analyst Steve Nison introduced them to the broader financial world through his book Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques.
Today, candlesticks remain one of the most powerful and intuitive ways to visualize order flow, momentum, and market psychology — even without a Depth of Market (DOM) or depth of book.
In this article, you’ll learn how to read hidden order flow by analyzing:
Wick length and positioning
Body-to-range ratios
Candle clustering and sequences
🔵 HOW A CANDLE FORMS
Before you can read a candle, you need to understand how it comes to life . A single candle represents the full auction process during its time window.
Here’s how it builds, step by step:
Candle opens — this is the open price .
As price moves up during the session → the high] updates.
As price moves down → the low] updates.
The final traded price when the time closes → this becomes the close price .
The wick = price areas that were tested but rejected
The body = where the majority of aggressive trades occurred
If buyers push price up quickly but sellers slam it down before the close — the candle will have a long upper wick and close near the open, revealing seller absorption.
Understanding this flow helps you recognize traps, fakeouts, and reversals in real time.
🔵 CANDLE BODY: WHO'S IN CONTROL
The body of the candle reflects the result of the battle between buyers and sellers. A wide body with minimal wicks means dominance and commitment.
Big body, small wick → clear conviction
In an uptrend: buyer aggression
In a downtrend: panic or aggressive selling
Small body, long wicks → indecision, absorption, or trap
Often appears near tops/bottoms
Indicates both sides were active but neither won clearly
www.tradingview.com
🔵 WICKS: THE SHADOWS OF REJECTION
Wicks are not just “leftovers” — they show where price was rejected after being tested.
Long upper wick = seller presence or absorption at highs
Long lower wick = buyer defense or trap spring
Double wick = liquidity sweep / false breakout
Use wick direction to spot:
Failed breakouts
Smart money traps
Exhaustion candles
🔵 HIDDEN ORDER FLOW PATTERNS
1️⃣ Absorption Candle
A large wick with little movement afterward — shows that big orders absorbed market pressure.
2️⃣ Trap Candle
A candle that sweeps above/below a key high/low and closes opposite — classic smart money fakeout.
3️⃣ Imbalance Candle
Large-bodied candle that closes near the high/low with no wick on the other end — implies one-sided aggression (and often leaves an imbalance).
🔵 CLUSTERING & SEQUENCES MATTER
Never read a candle alone. The sequence of candles tells the full story:
3+ rejection wicks near resistance? Liquidity building before breakout or trap
Bearish engulfing after long upper wick = smart money selling into retail buying
Tight-range dojis + volume spike = compression before expansion
Context + volume + structure = hidden flow decoded.
🔵 PUTTING IT TOGETHER: A REAL EXAMPLE
Price breaks above previous high
Candle closes with long upper wick and smaller body
Next candle opens, dumps fast, leaving imbalance behind
Buyers trapped — move likely to continue down
This is how you read order flow from candle anatomy .
🔵 TIPS FOR MASTERY
Use a lower timeframe (1M–5M) to see microstructure
Watch how wicks behave near S/R or OBs
Confirm with volume spikes or delta-style indicators
Use replay mode to slow down the story and study cause/effect
🔵 CONCLUSION
Every candle is a message. You don’t need expensive tools to read order flow — just your eyes, context, and curiosity.
Learn to see candles not as symbols, but as evidence of behavior . Absorption, imbalance, and traps are all visible if you look closely.
BITCOIN → From consolidation to distribution. Market weaknessBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is moving from consolidation to a correction phase. The price broke through the support zone of 114.5–115.5, closing within the Friday trading session in the sell zone...
Previous idea from July 22: BITCOIN → Consolidation and compression to 116K. Correction?
The fundamental background is shifting to neutral, the hype has temporarily ended, and there are no bullish drivers yet. And for the health of the market, a correction is needed. Bitcoin is breaking the neutral consolidation structure. The previous trading session closed below the support range, which generally indicates market weakness. Despite the global bullish trend, Bitcoin is moving from consolidation to a correction phase, with 112K - 110.5K serving as points of interest in this case. Before the fall, liquidity may be captured in the 114K - 114.800 zone.
Resistance levels: 114.05, 114.85, 115.67
Support levels: 112.03, 110.48
After a strong movement, the market may enter a correction or local consolidation, during which it may test the specified resistance zones before continuing its downward movement to the zone of interest and liquidity at 112 - 110.5.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD: Be careful, It's More Complex Than it SeemsGOLD: Be careful, It's More Complex Than it Seems
After the NFP data came in at 73k vs. the expected 110k, the market reacted aggressively to the US dollar. Today, the US dollar was affected on two fronts.
One was the NFP data and the other was the mess that President Trump is creating with his tariffs against many countries. Uncertainty regarding the future impact of the tariffs remains high and unknown.
After the NFP data GOLD reacted aggressively against the US dollar by breaking easily two small structural areas towards 3315 and 3334. A possible correction is expected before gold moves further to 3370; 3400 and 3400, as shown in the chart.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
USDJPY 30Min Engaged (Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Reversal : 147.450
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
ADA | Full AnalysisHere is the top-down analysis for CRYPTOCAP:ADA as requested 🫡
Weekly Timeframe:
We have one large potential sequence on the weekly chart that will be activated once we break the ATH at $3.1, with a target zone around $5.2. This is also my conservative target for this bull run, assuming we get the “altseason” everyone is hoping for.
We’ve also already completed a smaller sequence on the weekly chart and then corrected into the overall correction level.
If we break the November high at $1.3, we will also activate a new structure that could take us close to the ATH.
Daily Chart:
On the daily chart, we were rejected at the bearish reversal area (green) and corrected down into the B–C correction level, followed by a continuation into the target zone.
According to the rulebook, I expect a bounce from these regions and have positioned myself accordingly with 4 long orders — one at each level.
Local price action:
On the 4H chart, we have a bearish sequence that is counter to the primary scenario. Statistically, it’s less likely to play out, but it’s still worth noting.
The bearish reversal area (blue) is the next key level to watch if we get a bounce here.
If this area is broken, the follow-up move becomes very likely.
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Thats the my full Analysis for CRYPTOCAP:ADA , hope it was helpful if you want me to do another analysis for any other pair just comment down below.
Also, if anyone is interested in how my trading system works, let me know and I’ll post some educational content about it.
Thanks for reading❤️
GBPJPY: Strong Bullish Reversal from Demand ZoneGBPJPY has bounced sharply from a key demand zone, indicating renewed bullish momentum. The pair continues to follow the broader bullish bias in GBP crosses, with JPY weakness driven by the Bank of Japan's dovish policy stance.
Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
Pattern: Bullish rejection from the 195.30–195.50 demand zone.
Current Level: 195.58, rebounding from strong support, setting up for a potential upward leg.
Key Support Levels:
195.34 – immediate demand zone and critical support.
194.90 – deeper backup support if a pullback occurs.
Resistance Levels:
197.31 – near-term resistance and first upside target.
199.72 – extended target if bullish continuation strengthens.
Projection: As long as 195.34 holds, GBP/JPY could push toward 197.31, with potential for 199.72 if GBP strength persists.
Fundamental Analysis
Bias: Bullish.
Key Fundamentals:
GBP: Supported by the BOE’s cautious but tight stance due to persistent inflation pressures.
JPY: Remains fundamentally weak, with the BoJ avoiding major policy tightening while intervention threats only provide short-term support.
Risk Sentiment: Mild risk-on conditions favor GBP over safe-haven JPY.
Risks:
BoJ FX intervention could temporarily strengthen JPY.
A dovish BOE shift could slow GBP momentum.
Key Events:
BOE policy updates and UK CPI.
BoJ commentary and risk sentiment indicators.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
GBP/JPY is a leader among JPY pairs due to GBP’s volatility and strength. It often outpaces EUR/JPY and CHF/JPY, making it a key pair for JPY sentiment shifts.
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
GBP/JPY is bullish, with price rebounding from the 195.34 demand zone. Upside targets are 197.31 and 199.72. Watch for BOE communication, BoJ intervention signals, and global risk sentiment for confirmation of the move.
HelenP. I Euro will rebound from trend line to $1.1600 pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. A structural review of the chart shows a clear change in market character. The previous long-term upward channel has been broken, and the price has since entered a corrective phase, currently guided by a descending trend line. This decline has brought the asset towards a critical area of interest: the major horizontal support zone between 1.1400 and 1.1360. My analysis for a long, counter-trend position is based on the potential for a strong bullish reaction from the confluence of this historical support zone and the descending trend line. I believe that as the price reaches this intersection, the current selling momentum is likely to be absorbed by significant underlying demand. The main condition for this scenario is a clear and forceful rejection of lower prices from this zone, which would signal that buyers are stepping in to defend this critical level. A confirmed bounce would likely initiate a significant relief rally, and therefore, the primary goal for this move is set at the 1.1600 level, a logical first target for a corrective bounce of this nature. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold in PRZ + TRZ: Is a Bullish Reversal Brewing(Short-term)?Gold , as I expected in yesterday's idea , fell to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and started to rise again .
Today's Gold analysis is on the 15-minute time frame and is considered short-term , so please pay attention .
Gold is currently trading in the Support zone($3,307-$3,275) and near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold can complete the microwave C of wave B at the lower line of the descending channel.
I expect Gold to trend higher in the coming hours and rise to at least $3,311 .
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,267
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin stop loss hunting end, entry for Long is now!!Hi on this chart that may happen with more than 70% possibility we have one of the easy setups and strategy which i call it FAKEOUT&LIQUIDTY this happen usually near trendline support or range zone support or even resistance and after a possible fakeout usually market kick sellers or Buyers and then with high volume market reverse.
I saw High volume and Fake breakout in my mind and i think it can be one of those times so we open long and lets now wait for this 1:2(Risk:Reward) signal to play.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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Mastering bullish candlestick patterns - How to use it!In this guide, we will explore some of the most important bullish candlestick patterns used in technical analysis. These patterns are essential tools for traders and investors who want to better understand market sentiment and identify potential reversal points where prices may start moving upward.
What will be explained:
- What are bullish candlestick patterns?
- What is the hammer?
- What is the inverted hammer?
- What is the dragonfly doji?
- What is the bullish engulfing?
- What is the morning star?
- What is the three white soldiers?
- How to use bullish candlestick patterns in trading?
What are bullish candlestick patterns?
Bullish candlestick patterns are specific formations on a candlestick chart that signal a potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. These patterns are used by traders and investors to identify moments when the market sentiment may be shifting from bearish to bullish. Recognizing these patterns can help traders time their entries and make more informed decisions based on price action and market psychology. While no single pattern guarantees success, they can provide valuable clues when combined with other forms of analysis such as support and resistance, trendlines, and volume.
What is the Hammer?
The Hammer is a single-candle bullish reversal pattern that typically appears at the bottom of a downtrend. It has a small real body located at the upper end of the trading range, with a long lower shadow and little to no upper shadow. The long lower wick indicates that sellers drove the price lower during the session, but buyers stepped in strongly and pushed the price back up near the opening level by the close. This shift in momentum suggests that the downtrend could be coming to an end, and a bullish move might follow.
What is the Inverted Hammer?
The Inverted Hammer is another single-candle bullish pattern that also appears after a downtrend. It has a small body near the lower end of the candle, a long upper shadow, and little to no lower shadow. This pattern shows that buyers attempted to push the price higher, but sellers managed to bring it back down before the close. Despite the failure to hold higher levels, the buying pressure indicates a possible reversal in momentum. Traders usually look for confirmation in the next candle, such as a strong bullish candle, before acting on the signal.
What is the Dragonfly Doji?
The Dragonfly Doji is a special type of candlestick that often indicates a potential bullish reversal when it appears at the bottom of a downtrend. It forms when the open, high, and close prices are all roughly the same, and there is a long lower shadow. This pattern shows that sellers dominated early in the session, pushing prices significantly lower, but buyers regained control and drove the price back up by the end of the session. The strong recovery within a single period suggests that the selling pressure may be exhausted and a bullish reversal could be imminent.
What is the Bullish Engulfing?
The Bullish Engulfing pattern consists of two candles and is a strong indication of a reversal. The first candle is bearish, and the second is a larger bullish candle that completely engulfs the body of the first one. This pattern appears after a downtrend and reflects a shift in control from sellers to buyers. The bullish candle’s large body shows strong buying interest that overpowers the previous session’s selling. A Bullish Engulfing pattern is even more significant if it occurs near a key support level, and it often signals the beginning of a potential upward move.
What is the Morning Star?
The Morning Star is a three-candle bullish reversal pattern that occurs after a downtrend. The first candle is a long bearish one, followed by a small-bodied candle (which can be bullish, bearish, or a doji), indicating indecision in the market. The third candle is a strong bullish candle that closes well into the body of the first candle. This formation shows a transition from selling pressure to buying interest. The Morning Star is a reliable signal of a shift in momentum, especially when confirmed by high volume or a breakout from a resistance level.
What is the Three White Soldiers?
The Three White Soldiers pattern is a powerful bullish reversal signal made up of three consecutive long-bodied bullish candles. Each candle opens within the previous candle’s real body and closes near or at its high, showing consistent buying pressure. This pattern often appears after a prolonged downtrend or a period of consolidation and reflects strong and sustained buying interest. The Three White Soldiers suggest that buyers are firmly in control, and the market may continue moving upward in the near term.
How to use bullish candlestick patterns in trading?
To effectively use bullish candlestick patterns in trading, it’s important not to rely on them in isolation. While these patterns can signal potential reversals, they work best when combined with other technical tools such as support and resistance levels, moving averages, trendlines, and volume analysis. Traders should also wait for confirmation after the pattern forms, such as a strong follow-through candle or a break above a resistance level, before entering a trade. Risk management is crucial—always use stop-loss orders to protect against false signals, and consider the broader market trend to increase the probability of success. By integrating candlestick analysis into a comprehensive trading strategy, traders can improve their timing and increase their chances of making profitable decisions.
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
ETH at Critical Resistance + Liquidation Zone | Time to Short?Today I want to analyze Ethereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSDT ) on the 1-hour time frame . Is there a short position opportunity?
Please stay with me.
Ethereum is currently trading near a Heavy Resistance zone($4,390-$3,950) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($3,983-$3,878) and the $4,000 ( round number ). $4,000 could be a psychological number to sell .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Ethereum appears to have completed the main wave 3 at $3,860 and is currently completing the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 could have a Double Three Correction(WXY) or Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) , with the Expanding Flat structure being more likely .
One of the reasons why shorting Ethereum could be better than shorting Bitcoin right now is that ETHBTC ( BINANCE:ETHBTC ) is currently trading above the ascending channel and is likely to correct to Fibonacci levels .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
I expect Ethereum to drop to at least the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and attack the Support lines ( Second target ) .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $3,591-$3,543
CME Gap: $3,461-$3,417
Note: Stop Loss: $4,023
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Ethereum Analyze (ETHUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Why Pay $250K for a $115K Bitcoin? Welcome to Strategy (MSTR)This is already the third article I’ve written about Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), and for good reason.
You don’t need to be a financial expert to ask: why buy a stock that simply mirrors Bitcoin’s price — but at a massive premium?
No matter how sophisticated the explanations may sound, or how many times you’re told that “if you don’t understand it, it must be brilliant,” the reality is much simpler — and much more absurd.
Buying Strategy today is like paying $250,000 for Bitcoin while the actual market price is $115,000.
It’s not about complexity. It’s about common sense.
I won’t dive too deep into it — no need to fight “financial sophistication” with even more sophisticated words.
The point is simple: buying Strategy is like paying me $10,000 just so I can hold your $10,000 and call it an “innovative capital deployment strategy.”
Sounds smart, right? Until you think about it for more than five seconds.
Now let’s look at the posted charts — simple and visual.
Strategy (MSTR) hit its all-time high in November 2024, right when Bitcoin first reached $100,000.
Then came a sharp correction of more than 50% for the stock.
Fast forward: even though Bitcoin went on to make new all-time highs, Strategy didn’t follow, it seems like people were finally starting to wake up.
When BTC peaked again in mid-July 2025, Strategy only managed to reach $455 — well below its November ATH.
Since then, BTC has pulled back about 10%, while Strategy dropped around 20%.
So much for the “outperformance” argument.
And here’s where things get even harder to justify:
In the past, some institutions bought MicroStrategy because they couldn’t hold Bitcoin directly. Fair enough.
But now? Spot Bitcoin ETFs are live, regulated, widely available, and charge tiny fees — without the leverage, dilution risk, or premium baked into Strategy.
So what’s the excuse now?
Where are we now?
At this moment, even though I’m not too happy about this week’s Bitcoin weakness, I remain cautiously bullish — emphasis on cautiously.
But let’s entertain a scenario.
If Bitcoin continues to correct, Strategy is sitting right on support. And if BTC breaks lower, Strategy will almost certainly follow — breaking support and heading toward the next level.
That next support? Somewhere around $240–250, depending on how deep the Bitcoin pullback goes.
But here’s the real question:
What happens if Bitcoin enters a true bear market?
Will Strategy — which just recently rebranded from MicroStrategy — be forced to rebrand again as…
NanoStrategy?
Just a Saturday thought.
Euro bounce from buyer zone and start to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After a prolonged upward trend which formed a large rising wedge, the EURUSD faced a significant rejection from the seller zone near the 1.1685 resistance level. This failure to continue higher marked a key turning point, exhausting the bullish momentum and initiating a new bearish market phase. This new phase has since taken the form of a well-defined downward channel, within which the price has been undergoing a series of downward corrections and impulses. The most recent market action has been a sharp downward fall, accelerating the price's descent towards a critical area of historical significance. Currently, the pair is approaching the major support level at 1.1400, which also constitutes a strong buyer zone where demand has previously stepped in. The primary working hypothesis is a long, counter-trend scenario, which anticipates that the current bearish momentum will be absorbed by the strong demand within this buyer zone. A confirmed and strong rebound from this 1.1400 support area would signal a potential temporary bottom and the start of a significant upward correction. Therefore, the tp for this rebound is logically set at the 1.1600 level, a key psychological and technical point that represents a realistic first objective for a bounce of this nature. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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Insider Selloff + Liquidity Sweep🔻 PENGU/USDT TRADE IDEA 🔻
📣 Hey CandleCraft crew!
Today we’re diving into a chilly little bird that flew a bit too close to the heat. 🐧 PENGU pumped hard — but when team wallets start dumping $17M worth of tokens, that’s not bullish, that’s suspicious. Think iceberg ahead.
🔥 TRADE SETUP
Bias: Short
Strategy: Insider Selloff + Liquidity Sweep
Entry: $0.036 – $0.038
SL: $0.041
TPs: $0.030, $0.025, $0.018
Why?
– HTF sweep of liquidity above $0.04
– Insider wallet moved 485M tokens to exchanges
– LTF CHoCH + RSI breakdown
– Price hovering under 20-day EMA with weakening volume.
Candle Craft | Signal. Structure. Execution.
BTC DOMINANCE UPDATE- So, all elements are annotated throughout the graphic, like always.
- Timeline.
- Older Top Dom (2021) (red doted line).
- New Top Dom (2025) (red line).
- Some supports ( Orange Line ).
- Some Bottoms ( Green Lines ).
- Most important in chart : Fibonnacci Retracements.
- After this chart, I’ll drop links to my older BTC dominance posts.
- Not much to say, just look at the chart :
- In 2021, BTC.D formed a double top because Bitcoin spiked twice and hit two all-time highs.
- That doesn’t mean BTC.D will behave the same way in 2025. I don't expect another double top, but who knows.
- We could see a retracement down to the 45–47% range. That would likely signal the start of a new bear market.
- For now, i don’t see the end of the bull run yet. I’m mostly waiting for a strong BTC push in price, a fast dip in BTC Dominance, and the kickoff of Altseason.
— it’s going to be wild and fast! Just my personal opinion.
Stay Safe !
Happy Tr4Ding !
EURUSD I Daily CLS I Model 1 I KL - OB I TP 50% CLSYo Market Warriors ⚔️
Fresh outlook drop — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know:
🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries.
🧠 What’s CLS?
It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players.
📍Model 1:
HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle.
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it.
“Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.”
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
Third Quarter 2025 Nigerian share picks Update....Percentage Up!Here's a summary and update on the third quarter 2025 Nigeria stock picks based on the price comparison between July and August - 1month:
Q3 2025 Trading View: Nigerian Stock Picks Update
Strong Performers with Significant Gains:
BUACEMENT: Up 48%, showing strong momentum as a cement sector leader.
DANGSUGAR: Increased by nearly 37%, notable growth in the sugar sector.
ELLAHLAKES: Shares rose over 36%, a promising performer.
DANGCEM: Cement stock up about 20%, continuing solid growth.
ETRANZACT: Up 24%, showing steady improvement in the tech/payment sector.
MULTIVERSE: Grew by 24%, indicating healthy gains in diversified tech.
NB: +28.8%, good growth for the banking/finance sector.
Moderate or no Growth:
ARADEL: Small increase of about 1%, steady but minimal movement.
HMCALL: Stable with a minor 1.4% increase, remaining consistent.
TRANSPOWER: No price change, holding steady for now.
Overall Market Sentiment:
Average gain across all picks is approximately +22%, a strong positive trend overall.
Indicates a bullish sentiment on these carefully selected third-quarter stocks.
Opportunity exists to take advantage of higher momentum sectors like cement, sugar, and tech/payment companies.
Trading Takeaway:
The Q3 2025 picks demonstrate robust growth potential, especially in key sectors like construction materials and tech/payments. Conservative performers provide portfolio stability while high growth stocks offer upside. Continual monitoring for volume and market news is recommended to capitalize on gains and manage risks moving forward.