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ETH in a LIVERMORE Accumulation cylinder.What is a Livermore accumulation cylinder? The Livermore Accumulation Cylinder gained fame through the insights of Jesse Lauriston Livermore, a Massachusetts-born American investor celebrated as one of the most exceptional traders in history. His theory revolves around what is often referred to as an ascending broadening wedge, a phenomenon that unfolds over extended time frames. What is an accumulation cylinder with a widening mouth? First recognized by the iconic trader Jesse Livermore, who essentially laid the groundwork for technical analysis, the 'Accumulation Cylinder with Widening Mouth' is a unique and gradually developing pattern. In this scenario, the price oscillates between two diverging lines, creating a tension that can lead to a significant upward breakout. Is Ethereum resolving its own Livermore cylinder? This isn’t the first instance of cryptocurrency showcasing a Livermore cylinder: Ethereum might currently be in the midst of resolving its own version, and Bitcoin may have experienced a similar pattern back in 2017. While the charts may seem to align quite well, it’s crucial to remember that they are not a guarantee of future outcomes. Instead, they can serve as a valuable guide for managing risk, setting expectations, and establishing realistic profit targets. Many newcomers to crypto dream of achieving a 100x return, but as demonstrated by Bitcoin whales, true profits often come from strategically trimming and adjusting their positions, making only a few calculated moves from cycle to cycle.
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by BallaJi
USDCHF Short at 0.89099 w Technical analyis;Fundamental,..Trade Idea: Short USD/CHF Entry: 0.89118 Stop Loss: 0.89293 Take Profit: 0.88528 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 3.25:1 Risk per Trade: 1,8% Analysis: OANDA:USDCHF • Technical Setup: Price is rejecting the MR50 and pivot point, showing bearish signals. Long wicks suggest a potential reversal. • Indicators: Williams %R shows overbought conditions, supporting the short setup. • Timeframe: Entering on the 50-minute chart after confirmation of price rejection or lower highs. Fundamentals: • Swiss CPI: 0.6% (actual) vs 0.5% (forecast) indicates a stronger Swiss Franc, supporting the short trade on USD/CHF. • COT Data: Positions are bearish on USD and bullish on CHF, aligning with the setup. Market Sentiment: • DXY: A bearish USD supports the downside in USD/CHF. • Overall Sentiment: Bearish sentiment towards USD in March suggests continued weakness for USD/CHF. Risk Management: • Stop Loss at 0.89313 and take profit at 0.88528, offering a 2.97:1 risk-to-reward ratio. This is a high-probability short setup with solid technical, fundamental, and sentiment alignment. Always use proper risk management. (70-75% Probability of Winning this Trade)
Short
by tuiuadrian66
1
DXY Long-Term Analysis (1988-2024): Post-US Election Price CycleBased on a 36-year historical analysis of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), a clear cyclical pattern emerges in relation to U.S. election cycles. Key Observations: Election Year Impact: After every U.S. election, DXY tends to move in one clear direction (either bullish or bearish) for the first 1 to 2 years. Reversal Phase: Following this initial move, the next 1 to 2 years typically see a reversal, where the price trends in the opposite direction of the first phase. Consistent Historical Trend: This pattern has repeated consistently across multiple election cycles since 1988, making it a significant factor to consider when analyzing DXY’s medium-term trends. Practical Implications: If the post-election trend is bullish for the first 1-2 years, traders should anticipate a potential bearish shift in the following 1-2 years—and vice versa. This can be used as a macroeconomic roadmap to align trading strategies with historical probabilities. Exception: 1996-2000 – Why It Did Not Follow the Seasonal Pattern The 1996 to 2000 period is the only major exception in this 36-year analysis. Instead of following the typical 1-2 year trend-reversal pattern, DXY remained bullish throughout the entire Clinton second term (1996-2000). Here’s why this period did not comply with our seasonal analysis: Unprecedented U.S. Economic Strength ("Clinton Boom") The late 1990s saw an extraordinarily strong economy, driven by the Dot-Com Boom, technological advancements, and record corporate profits. Unlike other election cycles where economic slowdowns or policy shifts led to reversals, the U.S. economy kept accelerating, keeping the USD strong. Federal Reserve’s Tight Monetary Policy (Rising Interest Rates) From 1997 to 2000, the Federal Reserve aggressively raised interest rates to control inflation. Higher rates made the USD more attractive, increasing foreign capital inflows and preventing a mid-term reversal. Global Financial Crises (1997 Asian Crisis & 1998 Russian Default) These crises caused global capital flight to the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset. Instead of a seasonal decline in DXY, the USD kept rising as investors sought stability in U.S. assets. Foreign Investment in U.S. Markets (Tech Stock Bubble) Foreign investors poured money into U.S. stocks and bonds, increasing demand for USD. This prolonged DXY’s bullish trend, overriding the usual election-based trend reversals. Conclusion: The DXY's movement post-elections follows a structured two-phase cycle: initial directional trend (1-2 years) → reversal phase (1-2 years). So you guys can plan your trades accordingly and take advantage of this repeating pattern to maximize profitability.
TVC:DXY
by MAAwan
Crypto is correlated to the 4 yr business cycleISM survey results show 4 distinct phases (seasons) we are in the beginning of the expansion phase when ISM ticks up, and crypto, benefiting from all the newly injected liquidity, benefits This chart shows the last few cycles for comparison, and to illustrate that 2021 was a shortened cycle because of the black swan impact of covid. Expect financial conditions to improve dramatically this year, and you can use this chart as a forward indicator to demonstrate that patterns don't repeat exactly, but the rhyme quite often.
ECONOMICS:USBCOILong
by rabbidfly
BEARS ARE TRAPPED - $2990's SOONAs illustrated, Im visualizing a strong beginning to a historical bullish MARCH. On average in 15, 10, and 5 years, MARCH has been mostly bullish. To anticipate a bullish march, FEB must make sense and leave a few clues that could indicate a healthy setup for a potential buy opportunity. In this case, FEB made a natural correction toward the end of the month which makes total sense and it is completely appropriate and necessary to setup March for what COULD be next: A STRONG BULLISH MARCH that could potentially take the yellow metal to see $3,000 USD/Oz for its first time in history. The setup looks beautiful; with a bullish engulfing candle closing above previous candles, and such bounce having taken place below a major daily support and very near FEB's breaker block that served as a major support - trampoline level for the month (of February) to expand so strongly. Market has grabbed liquidity at a discount price level, below the 50% retracement of the expansive move of FEB; yet another positive sign of a potential continuation to the upside since: THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND . I could be off in my timing by 1 week; maybe 2 AT MOST.. But there will be a continuation simply because the demand for gold just keeps rising with all the BS going on around the world + USA's insane tariffs THAT COME INTO EFFECT IN MARCH ... JOIN THE DOTS @!#$% ... -- GOOD LUCK!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PersaGold
Privacy matters, and it will cost you in the futureGood day Investor and traders, When the criminals run show, they definitely don't want you to know it.  Privacy is a double edged sword. However, just because criminals use it doesn't mean it should shunned upon. Criminals also wear clothes and use curtains. Both are fashion statement second, but serve as privacy first.  Enough of my opinion, the chart speaks for its self. Other than my additions, this is a naked chart of XRM on the weekly. It shows a very distinct patterns of how it moves.  XMR is another coin that was in my thesis from a couple years back in the bear market of 2022 that was the "lengthening or alternating" altcoin cycles. Another cycle that looks like it want to repeat, just much more drawn out. I do believe it will repeat, it might take 10-20 years or so to do so.  The next big phase of privacy might have to have people getting a taste of CBDC or UBI, before they realize how much it will, or most likely could infringe upon their privacy. The chart shows early investors already knew this. Look at that move from 2016 to 2017  25 cents to $480 dollars. WOW, that rivaled XRP's big move!!!  The key pattern here is the initial move then the big correction, the retest (double top) and how it moves with the fib levels. I have highlighted this in the chart with the Monero XMR logo and and a circle then with the yellow rectangle. Its the same pattern just waaaay drawn out. So, after this double top M then correction, marks the key  before price explosion. IMO, I don't think it's and "IF" it happens, but "WHEN" it happens. These types patterns are what sparked my original thesis on these coins. IMO there is a reason  other than just profits, early investor recognized the eventual use case, just like in Bitcoin. Let me know what you think in the comments. Kind regards, WeAreSat0shi
CAPITALCOM:XMRUSDLong
by WeAreSat0shi
6
$LLY Long-Term BuyHealthcare could possibly be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on NYSE:LLY : Inside a HTF fair value gap (3M timeframe) Took out an untested low (liquidity) The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened The Jeanius Screener lets me filter my favorite tickers to see which ones are currently taking out untested lows or liquidity
NYSE:LLYLong
by jeanius_tech
Yield Curve Inversion Watch Chart - Fed Has To Cut!If you’re worried about a recession, you should be watching the Yield Curve Inverting. Historically, an inversion signals a recession, but with a lag. We can see this on the chart whenever the yield curve hits 0% This shows the 2Y yield higher than the 10Y which is a signal that the market expects slow economic growth. To counter-act the inversion, the Fed cuts the EFFR, although they are always late. One would think that the Fed would learn from history, and get ahead of the curve this time around. Only time will tell. I’m cautiously optimistic as Treasury Secretary Bessent has stated that he has a weekly meeting with Fed Chair Powell.
FRED:T10Y2Y
by jonnieking
AUD/USD – High Probability Long Setup1️⃣ Trade Execution – Why I Took the Long Position Today's AUD/USD trade was a perfect setup combining Fibonacci retracements, institutional order flow, and seasonality trends from Prime Market Terminal. The confluences aligned well for a high-probability long entry. 💡 Entry Details: ✅ Entry: 0.6380 (Key demand zone + Fibonacci golden zone) ✅ Stop Loss: 0.6365 (Below market structure) ✅ Take Profit: 0.6429 - 0.6450 (Previous supply zone & liquidity target) ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 🎯 Result: Currently in profit, monitoring for further upside! ✅ 2️⃣ Why This Trade Worked – A Breakdown of the Confluences 📊 Fibonacci Retracement – Textbook Pullback & Bounce Price retraced into the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone (0.6380 - 0.6365) and bounced perfectly. The bullish move followed an impulse leg, suggesting smart money accumulation in this zone. 📈 Smart Money & Order Flow – Trading with Institutions 🔹 Order flow from Prime Market Terminal shows major liquidity pools accumulating long positions. 🔹 DMX Data: 43% long vs. 57% short, indicating potential for a reversal as shorts get trapped. 🔹 COT Data: Institutional traders increasing their net long exposure on AUD. 🕵️‍♂️ Seasonality & Historical Trends Supported the Long 📊 Seasonal Prime data indicates AUD/USD historically trends higher in late February & March. 📅 Next 3-5 day forecast shows bullish probability, reinforcing the long bias. 📉 Technical Confirmation – Structure & Momentum ✅ SuperTrend flipped bullish on the 4H chart ✅ Price is trading above key moving averages (EMA 6, 24, 72, 288) ✅ Broke above short-term resistance, confirming upward momentum 3️⃣ Key Takeaways from This Trade 🔹 Trading with smart money flow and against retail sentiment increases trade probability. 🔹 Seasonality trends aligned perfectly, adding confidence in the setup. 🔹 Fibonacci, EMAs, and Prime Market Terminal data provided a precise entry. 🔹 Patience and risk management ensured a well-executed trade. 📌 Final Thoughts – What’s Next for AUD/USD? 🚀 With this bullish breakout, I’m looking for further longs on dips, targeting the 0.6450 - 0.6480 zone. 👀 What’s your outlook on AUD/USD? Are you long or short? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🔗 Follow me for more institutional trade setups & contrarian trading ideas!
Long
by LDForex_
Altseason 2025: Bitcoin’s Next Phase, Thrill and Euphoria So, it seems that we are on track with the 4-year cycle, with our target to at least 150k for BTC, and entering the next phase: thrill, euphoria and altseason. Of course, it’s not “up only” from here, and we do have specific market conditions that must align for this scenario to play out: Bitcoin follows the 4-year cycle: Maintaining historical trends of market phases. We remain in a crypto bull market: A rising tide lifts all boats. Altseason begins: A period of intense growth and volatility for altcoins. Retail money floods in: Increasing mainstream interest and participation. Global markets are "healthy-ish": No major economic black swans. Monetary policy shifts to QE (quantitative easing): A return to liquidity-friendly environments. 🌊 Our high risk altcoin picks for this altseason #1 Glacier Network - best characterized as a Infrastructure, Smart Contract Platform and Layer 2 project. #2 Karlsen Network - best characterized as a Smart Contract Platform, Layer 1 and Proof of Work project. #3 Guacamole - best characterized as a Meme and DeFi project. #4 Picasso Network - best characterized as a Smart Contract Platform, Layer 1 and Bridge Governance Token project. #5 Three protocol - best characterized as a Smart Contract Platform and Payment Solution project. #6 Octavia - best characterized as a Artificial Intelligence and AI Agent project. #7 ZeroLend - best characterized as a DeFi, Governance and Lending/Borrowing Protocols project. #8 LightLink - best characterized as a Infrastructure, Smart Contract Platform and Layer 2 project. #9 enqAI - best characterized as an Artificial Intelligence project. #10 AIT Protocol - best characterized as a Artificial Intelligence project. #11 Juno Network - best characterized as a Smart Contract Platform and Juno Ecosystem project. #12 UFO Gaming - best characterized as a GameFi project. #13 AgentLayer - best characterized as an Artificial Intelligence and AI Agents project. #14 Blendr Network - best characterized as an Artificial Intelligence and DePIN project. #15 HyperGPT - best characterized as an Artificial Intelligence and AI Agents project. 💬 What is your top picks for this altseason? This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before investing.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by arcone
4