Get started

Seasonality

BTC Macro Cycle Still Intact Key Retest Zone Before Final LegBTCUSDT has sustained a well structured bullish formation since early 2024, consistently reacting to key trendline levels with precision. The initial major impulse started from the $38,545 region, rallying towards the $73,660 high, where the market faced rejection and confirmed a critical resistance zone. Several retests followed within the upper structure, with each rejection forming part of a larger consolidation before a decisive breakout occurred. The most recent breakout above the $101K mark has confirmed renewed strength and continuation of the bullish cycle. We now expect a projected retest between the $106K–$110K zone, which should serve as the springboard for the next impulsive move. If this retest holds, the setup remains valid, and the bullish leg is expected to extend towards the confluence resistance zone around $123,420, $136,000, and $149,450. This upper range is likely to act as the final target area for the current cycle before any significant macro correction sets in. The most strategic re-accumulation opportunity lies around the $100,000–$101,000 region, which aligns with the anticipated retest zone and key structural support. A successful hold in this range could offer a high probability entry ahead of a strong continuation move. Feel free to share your insights on this setup. Let's engage in the comments and grow together. Your likes and support are greatly appreciated. Thank you for taking the time to go through this!
Long
by weslad
14
Ethereum’s Hidden Bullish Trap: A Technical Breakout to $15K Hello Traders 🐺 ETH — the biggest crypto out there after BTC itself... You already know my personal opinion on it. However, I really need to talk about it once again to update you, my dear audience, and share the facts that are sleeping on the chart. As you can clearly see, we had a massive shakeout during the Black Monday, which now seems to be turning into one of the rarest patterns — and one of the most powerful bear traps — I’ve ever seen for ETH. You know why? Let me break it down for you: Usually, after Phase 1 during a bull market, ETH starts to show strength against BTC — which is quite normal, as it marks the beginning of the Altcoin Season. ETH, being the leader, attracts most of the capital. But before Phase 2 (ETH Season) kicks off, ETH often consolidates and starts to accumulate in a bullish pattern. In this case, we have a bullish triangle pattern with a wick below the support line — a classic bear trap — which makes it even more bullish to me. If ETH can break above the current ATH (~$4700) and push through the key resistance line, we could witness a massive run-up to new highs, in my opinion somewhere between FWB:12K to $15K 🚀 I hope you enjoyed this idea — and as always, don’t forget our golden rule: 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable. 🐺 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
INDEX:ETHUSDLong
by Kiu_Coin
Technical analysis of ARB (1D)1. Market Structure Since December 2024, ARB has been in a clear downtrend with a series of lower highs and lower lows. However, a Market Structure Shift (MSS) recently occurred, signaling a potential shift in momentum. This structural break is an early sign of a possible reversal. The price formed a small accumulation range between March and late April, followed by a strong breakout to the upside, confirming bullish intent. 🧲 2. Key Zone: BULL OTE + Weekly Breaker Confluence The price has pulled back to a high-confluence zone around $0.35–$0.37, combining : A Weekly Breaker Block, former resistance turned support The bullish OTE zone (Optimal Trade Entry) A small daily Fair Value Gap (FVG 1D) in discount area that has been filled This triple confluence strongly supports the idea of a clean retest after breakout and before further continuation. 🎯 3. Price Targets & Scenario 🟩 If the bullish continuation holds, the next key upside targets are : - $0.50–$0.65 : Weekly FVG zone to be filled + first major inefficiency area - $1.10–$1.20 : Key structural resistance + previous range high A breakout beyond those levels could eventually pave the way toward $1.70, although that remains a longer-term scenario. 🧠 4. Behavioral Insight This type of setup ; accumulation + MSS + OTE/Breaker retest, is classic for the early stages of bullish trends. The fact that price is holding cleanly above the breaker shows buyers are stepping in with strength. Sellers are being absorbed. ✅ Conclusion ARB appears to have confirmed a trend reversal, backed by : ✅ A strong bullish impulse and structural shift (MSS) ✅ Clean rejection off a high-confluence reaccumulation zone ✅ Clear structural upside target near $0.65 📌 As long as $0.35 holds, the bullish momentum remains intact, and every pullback could be considered a reloading opportunity.
Long
by BenMcyInsights
1
AAVE Technical Analysis (1W) 🧱 1. Market Structure Between mid‑2022 and late-2023, AAVE moved within a prolonged accumulation phase, typical of a cycle bottom with extended compression. This phase allowed the price to build a solid base before launching a first bullish leg, which topped out at the range high in early 2024. At that point, the price compressed again near the equilibrium (mean price zone) of the previous range before initiating a clear distribution phase (April → December 2024). At the top, AAVE met strong resistance within a major supply zone, without printing a new ATH a healthy sign for mid-term market structure. Price then started a controlled correction, retracing 100% of the OTE zone from the distribution move (from equilibrium to supply). The bounce occurred right on a key breaker block, which had already reacted to the equilibrium level prior to the first impulse. From that local bottom, momentum has resumed, suggesting that the second phase of the distribution cycle may be underway. 🧲 2. Key Reload Zone AAVE has recently revisited its BULL OTE zone, aligning perfectly with : - A precise POI (Point of Interest) - The breaker block 🟢 This kind of clean reaction from a high-confluence reaccumulation zone supports the idea of a structurally sound bounce and the beginning of a new bullish push. 🎯 3. Technical Targets & Scenario If this bounce holds, here are the next technical targets : 🔁 Reclaim the supply zone between $340–$460 🚀 If this area breaks with volume, the market could aim for new highs around $700–$1,100 Such a move would confirm a second bullish leg of the macro cycle, with higher breakout potential. 🧠 4. Behavioral Insight The weekly RSI shows signs of recovery after a long compression, momentum is awakening. The Accumulation → Expansion → OTE Retest → Continuation structure is textbook for the early stages of a major bull cycle. 👉 Price action around the $340–$460 supply zone will set the tone for what comes next. ✅ Conclusion AAVE is currently displaying a clean, cyclical structure, ideal for swing traders and mid-term investors : 🔁 Accumulation → Expansion → Retest → Reaccumulation → 🚀 🧨 AAVE may be on the verge of kicking off a new explosive bull cycle.
Long
by BenMcyInsights
NDX Index Funds Vs Foreign NDX funds performance post rotationThis nothing but an idea I am publishing to track my performance for rotating profits in NDX funds into averaging down foreign funds in a retirement portfolio. I want to point out had taken profits previously and was trading bitcoin and GME with them until i found a candidate for rotation at a price point i liked. I am neither bullish or bearish. The publication is for me others to learn how well rotation performs over time versus setting and forgetting.
NASDAQ:FPXI
by HotsauceShoTYME
AMSC | Bullish Momentum Building Breakout in Progress?📈 NASDAQ:AMSC 🚀 American Superconductor (AMSC) is quietly showing strength, and it's time to pay attention. After bouncing off the support zone near $18.80–$19.30, the stock has reclaimed the $20.50–$21.10 entry range, with volume picking up as it challenges key resistance. 🧠 Why it's interesting now: ✅ 56% YoY revenue growth last quarter 📊 ✅ LSE:80M in cash, no urgent need for dilution ✅ Clean energy + grid modernization = tailwind 🧩 Technical Setup: ✅ Entry Zone: $Market price $19.5-20.5 $18.5 ✅ Breakout Trigger: $22.38 🎯 Target 1: $23.50 🎯 Target 2: $25.70 🎯 Stretch Target: $28.00 + This is a high-beta, high-volatility name — perfect for swing traders who can manage risk. Watch that breakout above $22.38; it could open the door to a fast move toward mid-$20s. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research before making any trading decisions. I'm not a financial advisor.
NASDAQ:AMSCLong
by Robert_V12
Ethereum (ETH) – Strategic Trade PlanEthereum (ETH) continues to show resilience, currently trading around $1,790 after a strong bounce earlier this month. While the crypto market remains volatile, ETH is holding key technical levels that could fuel a major move in the coming weeks. 🎯 Entry Points: Market Price: $1,790 — Ideal for an early position, as ETH holds above critical support zones. $1,645 — Secondary strong support, aligning with the 20-day EMA; great for scaling in if market pulls back. $1,400 — Deep value zone, offering a high-risk/high-reward setup if broader market correction occurs. 💰 Profit Targets: $2,500 — First major resistance. A realistic mid-term target if bullish momentum sustains. $3,000 — Psychological milestone and breakout confirmation level. $3,800+ — Ambitious but achievable with broader crypto market recovery and strong ETH network metrics. 🛡️ Risk Management: Set stop-losses dynamically below each entry support level. Scale into positions progressively to manage volatility. Monitor macroeconomic trends and Bitcoin's influence closely. 🔍 Key Observations: Strong on-chain activity supports a bullish thesis. Current resistance around $1,812 must be broken to confirm bullish continuation. Be cautious of sudden market-wide corrections — always plan your exits and manage your risk accordingly. 📢 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk, and you should only invest what you can afford to lose. Always perform your own research before entering any position.
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by Robert_V12
3
Thesis — How XRP Could Reach Triple Digits Within 12 MonthsAbout a month ago, I pointed out a pattern that preceded XRP’s explosive bull run in 2017. That same pattern is now playing out almost identically — and if the fractal continues to hold, XRP could be gearing up for another major move. Frankly, the 4-hour chart is a near-mirror image of 2017’s setup. I’ve overlaid the original bar pattern onto today’s price action — the resemblance is hard to ignore. If this plays out: We could see a test of all-time highs within a week Double-digit XRP by mid-year Triple-digit XRP by late 2025 or early 2026 No guarantees, of course — but the structure is clear, and the setup is there. For context, I view the November rally as XRP simply reverting to where it would have been had regulatory pressure not artificially suppressed the price. That move wasn’t the bull run — it was a reset. Importantly, alt season still hasn’t kicked off (just look at BTC dominance), and XRP’s fundamentals are stronger than ever: Lawsuit behind us ETFs likely coming Ongoing partnerships Pro-crypto regulatory tone globally Technically and fundamentally, XRP has never looked better.
CRYPTO:XRPUSDLong
by Drmagicman
Nasdaq US100 Wave 3 Expansion Toward 31,606 in PlayNasdaq US100 has completed a significant wave cycle with a confirmed wave 1 in the broader Elliott Wave structure. Following this, price underwent a corrective wave 2 that extended from the $22,237 supply zone down to $16,334, marking the conclusion of the previous cycle’s correction. This structure now signals the initiation of a fresh upward impulse, setting the stage for a powerful wave 3 advance. The emergence of wave 3 will gain full confirmation once price successfully breaks above the external supply zone, reclaiming $22,237. If this breakout occurs with sustained momentum, the wave 3 projection targets an expansion toward $31,606, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension from the prior cycle. This forthcoming rally is anticipated to unfold in a five-subwave format, indicative of a high-momentum bullish leg. As long as price action remains above the key support at $16,334, the bullish cycle remains valid. All eyes should now be on the breakout structure and volume profile around $22,237, as it represents the gateway to a much broader impulsive move.
CFI:US100Long
by weslad
6
BTCETH parabolic run pointing towards 100:1Historically, during bull markets, Ethereum frequently surpassed Bitcoin at various moments. However, this time around, that trend has not materialised, leading to a decline in investor confidence. With capital exiting the ETH market, sentiment has soured, and critical indicators are revealing significant losses. Unless a robust bullish turnaround occurs, Ethereum's struggle may persist, as the market currently favors Bitcoin as the more secure option. However once this parabola breaks, we could see a strong snap back reaction in favour of the more riskier #ALTS, #DEFI and #MEMES as #ETH is still the home for stablecoin issuance and still the most trusted secure smart contract blockchain available.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BallaJi
Bitcoin dominance and the altseasonIn this chart, you can see the Bitcoin dominance from 2017 till now. The depth of the altseason was 35.14% and for the bear market we went up, up to 73.02. If we take a Fibonacci retrace level, we can see during 2021 altseason we were only retraced 0.893 or 89.3% what we lost during bear market. It was something new and for the first time, Bitcoin Dominance didn't make the new all time low. Following the same fact, I decided to find the possible levels for bitcoin dominance to top. we are getting closing the the 0.786, this level usually the last level that we could be bearish in any chart, however remember that last altseason we passed 0.786 but rejected at 0.893. My opinion would be we are reaching to the top of Bitcoin dominance sooner than later, I can easily see Alts are reversing from bearish in short term and BTC Dominace Maxing in stoch RSI. When you stay longer than usual in max excitation in stoch RSI you will be doing longer in opposite direction as well Max BTC dominance can reach 66.2% However, worse case scenario I am expecting at least BTC Dominace during altseason drop to 49.14% which is a historical support and also resistance during BTC season and Alt Season. Ideally, we should go down up to 45.30% as it would be the 0.786 of the range from 39.9% to 66.2% However, if we are able to make a new All time low in BTC dominance first idea place to see rejection or reaction would be 32.38%
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by MehranVa1992
4
NFLX Institutional Momentum Anchored in Multi-Decade ChannelNetflix (NFLX) has maintained a structurally intact long-term bullish momentum, consistently trading within a well-defined ascending channel dating back to the early 2000s. Price action has respected dynamic support and resistance levels within the channel, establishing a sequence of higher highs and higher lows that validate the primary uptrend. Following a breakout from a major resistance zone around 2023, the stock exhibited accelerated bullish momentum, aligning with internal demand structures and confirming institutional accumulation. Price is currently advancing toward the upper boundary of the long-term channel, with the projected target around 4,935, coinciding with channel confluence and historical extension levels. As long as the price action maintains structural integrity above the key anchored support near 1,154, the prevailing trend remains decisively bullish. A clean break and close above the upper bound of the channel may trigger an extended rally, while any rejection at this level would likely result in a cyclical mean reversion toward mid-channel equilibrium.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by weslad
1