JASMY – A Volatile Setup with x3 Potential 🔸 After bottoming out at 0.003 and spending over a year in accumulation, JASMY finally broke above the key 0.008 resistance zone in February 2024. That breakout triggered a series of explosive moves – but just as violent were the drops that followed.
🔸 What stands out:
• The first post-breakout spike found a new support at 0.015.
• Then came a second vertical move toward 0.06, followed (of course) by a brutal drop.
• But… 0.008 held, and by late June, the chart printed a higher low, showing that buyers became interested.
📍 Right now, the price has reclaimed the 0.015 zone and is trying to stabilize above it. If this level holds, it could become the new base for the next wave.
💡 My plan?
This is very speculative, but I like the setup.
I’m looking to buy around 0.015–0.016, with clear negation below 0.010.
Target? Around 0.045, for a potential x3 move and a tasty 1:8 risk/reward.
⚠️ I’m not the guy who repeats the cliché “ only trade what you can afford to lose, ”
but seriously – this one is for clubbing money, not summer vacation money.
Let the volatility work in our favor. 🚀
Seasonality
BTC/USD (1H) – Smart Money OutlookCurrent price testing a strong OB zone + Day Low support ($117,300–$117,400) after clean MSS and minor BOS. Structure signals liquidity manipulation and SMC play setting up.
🔍 Key Scenarios:
🟣 Bullish Reversal Case:
Bullish reaction from OB zone → long confirmation
Targets:
TP1: $118,800 (Bearish Bias)
TP2: $120,150 (Day High Liquidity Zone)
🟠 Bearish Continuation Case:
Weak Low + SSL gets swept
Price moves toward deeper POI zone ($116,300–$116,500)
Look for reversal confirmation from there.
📌 Confluences:
Clear OB zone with previous support reaction
SSL liquidity below current level
RSI near oversold
MACD showing early bearish momentum slowing
📚 Bias: Neutral to Bullish – Watching OB reaction for confirmation.
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Always manage risk smartly.
XAU/USD – Ranging Market Prepping for Breakout?Gold has been ranging for the next couple months and usually I am out of the market during the months of April Through July because historically these are not my best months trading XAU/USD. However you will see me posting a lot more in the coming months because my best months historically are August - December where the market really cranks up with some bigger moves.
So in a summarized version below you will find what it is that i am looking at with gold.
Gold (XAU/USD) has remained locked in a defined consolidation range between 3,250 (support) and 3,450–3,502 (resistance) since early April. Price has printed multiple internal falling wedge formations within this zone, indicating compression before potential expansion.
🔍 Technical Overview
Range Duration: ~3.5 months
Key Range:
Support: 3,250
Resistance: 3,450–3,502
Compression Patterns: Multiple falling wedges breaking upwards inside the range, hinting at bullish pressure.
Touch Confirmations: Both range boundaries have been tested multiple times, reinforcing validity (per Multi-Touch Confirmation).
Contextual Bias: Seasonally, August–December tends to be a high-volatility trending period for Gold.
🎯 Trade Plan
Inside Range:
Maintain neutral bias.
Execute range-to-range scalps/swing setups with clear invalidation zones.
Avoid trading mid-range.
Breakout Scenario (Bullish):
A clean close above 3,502 triggers breakout watch.
Ideal setup: Retest + 15-min flag → long continuation.
Potential upside target: ~3,700 (range height extension).
Breakdown Scenario (Bearish):
Loss of 3,250 opens door to bearish continuation.
Look for clean liquidity sweep or structure flip before committing.
Initial downside target: 3,100 zone.
🛡️ Risk Notes
Avoid third-touch entries in aggressive momentum unless followed by flag formation.
Remain disciplined with the 80/20 confluence rule — don't let perfectionism delay entries.
Always execute with pre-trade checklist and defined R:R profile.
✅ Summary
Gold is at a pivotal point. The confluence of a tight multi-month range, internal compression patterns, historical breakout timing, and validated levels builds a compelling case for an imminent expansion move. Remain patient, avoid anticipation, and react to confirmed structure and price behavior.
BTC at Make-or-Break Level! Which Side Are You On?#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #TradeWithMky
📉 Scenario 1 – Bearish Breakdown
If BTC loses the green zone (~117K), expect a heavy drop toward 113K and beyond. This is a key demand zone — break it, and bears dominate.
📈 Scenario 2 – Bullish Reversal
Watch for accumulation between the green & red zones. A breakout above the red supply zone (~119K) will signal buyers are back in charge.
🗣️ As the chart says: "بیا فیک نزن، بعد شکست این محدوده باید بخری!"
🚀 Whether you're a breakout trader or a range player — this is the zone to watch.
📊 Chart by TradeWithMky — Where Altcoins Speak Louder than Bitcoin!
👇 Share your thoughts and setups below! Let's ride this move together.
$BTC Will Go Up Alongside Alt SeasonSomeone posted on one of my tweets the following:
" Jonnie my bro, the only problem for me right now is that btc didnt top yet. You also talked how btc shoud top around 200k range. Alt season can only come when btc reach top"
MYTH DEBUNKED ✅
CRYPTOCAP:BTC does NOT need to top in order for Alt Season to commence.
Both can and will occur in tandem 🤝
SPY: Climbing the Wall of Worry — But Is a Turn Coming?SPY: Climbing the Wall of Worry — But Is a Turn Coming?
The S&P 500 (SPY) is pushing into a critical zone as we approach July 28th, and I can’t ignore the confluence of signals piling up here.
Technical Setup
We’re testing the top of a rising wedge formation.
Key round number overhead at $640 — a psychological and options magnet.
Price is extended well above moving averages with declining volume, often a warning sign for bulls.
Multiple resistance lines converge in this zone, creating a high-pressure point.
📆 Timing Matters
July 28 = weekly options expiry — with massive open interest clustered around $630–$640.
Seasonally, late July often marks a peak before August chop.
Add in some “tin foil hat” vibes: SPY’s riding momentum while major indices are diverging (looking at you, IWM), and the macro narrative feels shaky at best.
What Would Confirm a Reversal?
Breakdown below $625 with a high-volume red candle.
Bearish engulfing or shooting star candle near resistance.
VIX divergence or big money flowing into puts mid-week.
Key Levels
Resistance: $640 / $649.90
Support: $630 / $622 / $595
Reversal target (if confirmed): $594–$575 area
Final Thoughts
As we all know, markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. However, when trendlines, round numbers, timing, and seasonality align, I start watching for cracks. This may not be the top — but it might be the spark.
Following closely. Alerts set. Ready for the flush if it comes.
Leslies Inc | LESL | Long at $0.41**VERY risky trade - 25% or more risk of bankruptcy**
Leslies NASDAQ:LESL is a direct-to-consumer pool and spa care brand in the U.S., selling chemicals, equipment, and services. The stock dropped 88.86% last year due to weak demand, flat revenue, shrinking gross margins from stock write-downs, higher rent, shipping costs, and an earnings miss (-$0.25 vs. -$0.244). High debt, market share losses to e-commerce, and a competitive pool supply market also contributed.
On a positive note, the company generated $1.33 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2024. New leadership has entered the picture, cost-cutting is starting to happen, and summer season may boost pool sales. While 2025 is still projected to be a rough year, revenue is forecasted to grow 6.4% in 2026 and 2027 and earnings are likely to turn positive (based on company statements). While this is a *highly risky* play and there are absolutely better companies out there, I think there is a chance this ticker may get some steam in the near future. 7% short interest, 176 million float.
Thus, at $0.41, NASDAQ:LESL is in a personal buy zone.
Targets into 2027:
$1.00 (+143.9%)
$2.00 (+387.8%)
DOGE | Gearing up For a BIG MOVEDoge is looking mighty bullish after establishing a clear bottom.
Together with confirmation from BTC, we can safely say that altseason is yet ahead of us. BTC's recent increase show that the bullish impulse is still upon us. And after ETH increases, the rest of the altcoin market will follow suit as per usual.
DOGE is bullish because:
✅ Clear bottom
✅ Higher lows, daily looking to reclaim the moving averages:
✅ Altseason upon us after ETH increase
Ultimately, we need to wait for confirmation - if THIS major resistance zone is cleared (in other words if daily candles close ABOVE this zone) then we're full bull mode.
________________
BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
$ETH Closes Above the 50WMA - Alt Season Signal ALT SEASON ALERT 🚨
CRYPTOCAP:ETH Closed the Week ABOVE the 50WMA
Historically this has signaled the start of ALT SEASON.
*NOTE* 2020 had the pandemic hiccup.
This bottoming pattern looks very similar to the 2017 explosion.
Also the RSI matches the 2019 bottom.
Dare I call it yet bros? 🤓
ALtseason-2025: where to exit?I have 2 metrics when I'm going to exit the market (with my profit):
1. When BTC.D falls to 40%;
2. When (Total3-USDT)/BTC = 1, in other words, when the amount of money in the altcoins is almost equal to the amount of money in Bitcoin and Ethereum.
When you see it happen, sell everything and exit the crypto market.
Ethereum (ETH) – Strategic Trade PlanEthereum (ETH) continues to show resilience, currently trading around $1,790 after a strong bounce earlier this month. While the crypto market remains volatile, ETH is holding key technical levels that could fuel a major move in the coming weeks.
🎯 Entry Points:
Market Price: $1,790 — Ideal for an early position, as ETH holds above critical support zones.
$1,645 — Secondary strong support, aligning with the 20-day EMA; great for scaling in if market pulls back.
$1,400 — Deep value zone, offering a high-risk/high-reward setup if broader market correction occurs.
💰 Profit Targets:
$2,500 — First major resistance. A realistic mid-term target if bullish momentum sustains.
$3,000 — Psychological milestone and breakout confirmation level.
$3,800+ — Ambitious but achievable with broader crypto market recovery and strong ETH network metrics.
🛡️ Risk Management:
Set stop-losses dynamically below each entry support level.
Scale into positions progressively to manage volatility.
Monitor macroeconomic trends and Bitcoin's influence closely.
🔍 Key Observations:
Strong on-chain activity supports a bullish thesis.
Current resistance around $1,812 must be broken to confirm bullish continuation.
Be cautious of sudden market-wide corrections — always plan your exits and manage your risk accordingly.
📢 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk, and you should only invest what you can afford to lose. Always perform your own research before entering any position.
BTC - Calling the Start of the Bearish SeasonHello Watchers ☕
This was my previous Bitcoin update where I had a target of $116K, and also then closed all open positions at $122K:
I'm calling the top here mainly because of the way the chart looks, it really is classic Wyckoff if you look at the duration of the current bullish cycle, which has lasted a whole 973 Days with a 564% increase. What goes up, must come down!
Just for interest sake, the previous bullish cycle ran for 600 days with a 700% increase.
The Final Turn Before the Altcoin RotationAs Bitcoin continued its rise, altcoins couldn't keep up. This isn't the first time; the market has experienced this many times. The general pattern is as follows:
1. Global liquidity increases, providing a kind of spark to the market.
2. Bitcoin catches fire, and a bull market begins. If global liquidity increases during this time, great.
3. For various reasons, altcoins don't rise at the same pace as Bitcoin, and therefore Bitcoin's dominance begins to gradually increase.
4. When the market reaches saturation, dominance declines, leading to a rotation into altcoins.
5. The altcoin market capitalization equals Bitcoin's, and the bull market begins.
We're currently at a stage where Bitcoin's dominance has peaked and liquidity is still rising. The beginning of a decline in dominance will trigger a market rotation. This will trigger a capital flow into altcoins, bringing their market value equal to Bitcoin's.
Therefore, we're at the final plateau before entering a bull market. A further rise or hold in Bitcoin is expected. I'm currently buying altcoins, but I'm holding Bitcoin. I don't have a sell mindset at the moment.
Capital Flow Outlook – BTC Leads, Alts Await a SignalOver the past two quarters, Tether's (USDT) market cap has expanded by over 66%, rising from ~$95B in late 2024 to ~$159.5B by mid-July 2025. This confirms a strong capital injection into the crypto space — reminiscent of early bull market cycles.
But where that capital flows tells the deeper story:
USDT.D is in a clean downtrend, showing that capital is actively rotating out of stables — a risk-on signal.
BTC.D continues climbing, confirming Bitcoin as the primary recipient of inflows. While the current move hasn’t reached exhaustion, the nearest potential reversal point is the weekly volume imbalance at ~67.5%.
Should that level fail to trigger a reaction, the next major reversal zone lies near 73% — the last known macro ceiling for dominance.
ETH.D has shown a structural shift, bouncing from a key macro low with a clear Change in State of Delivery (CSD). A revisit to the April high around 8.55% is looking increasingly likely.
SOL.D is fighting for structure, having reacted to a mid-point imbalance situated in the discount zone. This positioning is favorable for buyers, but structurally it still leans toward sweeping the April low at 2.13% before a valid CSD can form.
---
🧠 Conclusion:
While capital is clearly flowing back into the market, Bitcoin remains the primary destination. Until we see:
A reaction or rejection at BTC.D reversal zones
ETH.D continuing upward toward prior range highs
And SOL.D confirming a structural shift from discount
...a full altseason expansion remains premature.
> The capital is here — but the rotation isn’t.
Altseason is still brewing — and could take the rest of the year to fully materialize.
— Silent Edge
$VIX Volatility Extremes, Narratives, Booms & Busts!TVC:VIX volatility index extremes have always been an important factor when assessing the cyclical nature of financial markets.
I demonstrate in this chart what values and narratives to look out for at these extremes. This can help ignore the noise when buying during low social mood / fearful events when everyone else is panic selling, and, selling during exuberance and booms when everyone else is FOMO buying.
This is the cyclical nature and intertwined relationship between media, events and financial markets that traders and Investors want to take advantage of.
Good times create positive social mood, exasperating over leveraging and booms with extreme positive news / silly price targets 'New Golden Age / Paradigm shift' style reporting.
This unwinds aggressively creating negative social mood which the media exasperate with 'fear and doom' reporting.
VIX is a useful tool to hedge against market uncertainty.
Safe trading
BITCOIN's PUMPs are Getting LARGER this Bull Market...However, it may take a bit longer to realize those expansionary moves.
If Bitcoin adheres to the established cycle pattern, we can anticipate a minimum surge of 103% that should carry us into the fourth quarter of this year.
Consolidation ----> Fake breakdown ----> then expansion.
Are you ready?
S&P 500 - Sell in May, return anther day. The truth - 2025No doubt everyone has heard a variation of the phrase:
“Sell in May, return another day.”
In Wikipedia it is written:
“Sell in May and go away is an investment strategy for stocks based on a theory (sometimes known as the Halloween indicator) that the period from November to April inclusive has significantly stronger stock market growth on average than the other months. In such strategies, stock holdings are sold or minimised at about the start of May and the proceeds held in cash”
A public comment from last year:
“Over 100 years ago, the (practical) reason to sell in May and September, was to pay seasonal workers to seed the field (May) and to harvest (September). Caravans of landlords and farm owners went to New York to sell stocks and withdrew money from the banks to do payrolls
so for people without agricultural business, i'll say it's okay to hold in May”
If we are to take all this at face value then we should be unwinding our long term positions until the Autumn?
What does the chart say?
On the above monthly chart of the S&P 500 each vertical line marks the month of May going back to 2012. That is a dataset of 13 points.
The facts:
1) From the month of May onwards, 11 from 13 periods returned positive price action of not less than 10%. Selling in May was a bad choice.
2) 2015 and 2022 saw corrections of 15% from May onwards. However in both examples the correction was erased within 12 months as the index continued the uptrend.
In summary, 86% of the time a minimum return of 10% was seen before the year end. Amazing odds.
Furthermore, corrections up and until the end of April (like we’re now seeing) represented some of the best long opportunities.
Sell in May go away? I suggest it should be: Buy in June and watch it boom!
Ww
#Bitcoin 3 Phases Theory 🚦Today I saw a headline that surprised me "The current bear market has become the longest in the history of the crypto industry"📰
And I had a question about whether they were living in the past, or where they saw the bear market.🤔
💡I want to remind you that it ended with a duration of exactly one year, just like the last cycle. And it was much shorter than in 2014.
Now CRYPTOCAP:BTC is +70% from the bottom, this is a classic phase of accumulation.
SelectQuote | SLQT | Long at $2.18SelectQuote NYSE:SLQT is currently resting within my historical simple moving average zone. This often signals consolidation and a future move (in this case, let's hope up). Looking at the company's financials, NYSE:SLQT is currently profitable. For Q3 2025 (ended March 31, 2025), the company reported a net income of $26.0 million, up from $8.6 million in Q3 2024. This follows a strong Q2 2025 with a net income of $53.2 million. While like most companies there are likely headwinds in 2025 (earnings are projected at a loss of -$0.20 per share due to seasonal fluctuations and investments in 2025 (e.g., new Kansas facility)), profitability is likely to stabilize in 2026, with EPS forecasts of $0.05, supported by improved Medicare reimbursement rates and operational efficiencies. Ongoing Department of Justice allegations could pose risks... but SelectQuote’s recent $350M investment and cost management suggest profitability may continue if legal issues are resolved favorably.
Thus, at $2.18, NYSE:SLQT is in a personal buy zone. There is a potential for the price to dip to the bottom of the historical simple moving average channel (near $1.25) in the near-term, but time will tell.
Targets:
$2.64
$4.24