NYSE:GM was driven down way below its fundamentals by panicky retail. It is now back up into its fundamental level, well ahead of the Fall Rally. The fast recovery indicates that the selling was not aligned with fundamentals. Auto sales have an annual cycle with the highest number of sales in the final quarter of each year.
Usually, I really don't like shorting stocks. But this time I couldn't resist in placing a sell stop underneath the current floor. At least till the earnings I could be short in DLTR.
We saw SP500 breaking to new ATH this month, but then market sharply reversed which is not a surprise as index formed an ending diagonal at the top of the recent rise. These type of the patterns are very powerful, and can cause a strong "unexpected" erased of some of the previous gains. Well, we can see an impulsive reversal on smaller time frame, so be aware of...
-We retraced down to 50% of the 2024 up leg, finding support. -We neatly found support at the Volume imbalance W and the midpoint of the Fair value gap M, circa 50% of said 2024 up leg. -July has a strong bullish seasonal tendency. ~The plan would be to take partials (half off) in the gap (FVG- fair value gap) circa 4.75; and move stop-loss up to trailing. ~If...
On Friday ES did beautiful retracement with SMT at Smart Money Reversal with YM. A lot of confluences much as seasonality, orderflow and structure.
This analysis might look pretty crowded but actually there is simple logic behind this. After each bearish season place "Fib speed fan resistance" from top to bottom. We can observe there is no bearish scenario after we break 0.75 blue fan line. There might be red weeks but after all its end with bullish scenario. End of bullish scenario can be found from Pi Cycle...
This prediction is not for traders. It is for investors
NZDUSD is looking bearish in HTF 1. Conditional Scoring: Bearish sentiment is derived from expectations of deteriorating economic conditions in New Zealand relative to the US. 2. COT-FILP: Bearishness is based on speculative positioning in the futures market, where traders anticipate a decline in the NZDUSD exchange rate. 3. Seasonal Patterns: Bearishness...
As we expected in 2023, we know any limited supply commodities will lead to an All Time High caused by FEDs monetary policy When we combine with Gann Method on how he predict everything, we know it will really happens for sure. Now we can see that GOLD and BTC will reach All Time High as soon as possible Watch the time and date we have mentioned in the...
Supply and demand zones for Wheat on the weekly chart. Once you enter the zone, look for the lower timeframe reversal patterns, extended waves, classic trendline breaks, etc. Drop down to the Daily for refined supply and demand zones. Drop down to 1 hour chart for the current trend after you see the reversal pattern.
I am re-entring again in this trade, technical and fundamentals are also supporting this setup cot index of AXY Index is at the top and ZXY comes from the top so AXY is neutral and ZXY is reversing with commercial flip data technical pointer and bias is also bullish I am re-entering this trade with a doubling my risk
We are coming into WEEKLY Demand on Wheat. Wait for the "reaction" inside of this demand zone on the 5 minute chart to start going long.
According to ChatGPT: Yes, end-of-quarter sell-offs are a phenomenon observed in the stock market where investors may sell off their holdings toward the end of a financial quarter. There are several reasons why such sell-offs occur: Portfolio Rebalancing: Institutional investors, such as mutual funds and pension funds, often rebalance their portfolios at the...
NSE:SYMPHONY is a seasonal stock which means it has its lows in the months of Oct-Dec and highs in the months of march-May. One can buy and hold for 6 months for the given target and with a strict stop loss to be followed.
So far we’ve covered Natural Gas twice, once in October 2022 , followed by another in May 2023 . As highlighted in both pieces we are generally longer-term bullish on natural gas but we do see some opportunities for a short-term tactical position now. As winter approaches, the harrowing memories of natural gas price movements during the previous winter seasons...
The Seasonality of AUDUSD is showing average 50/50 the Aussie will out performe the USD during October, during this moth if the sentiment will shift to a less hawkish #Fed and traders start to price rate cutt by the US central bank. The AUD could surge up to 5% vs the #usd. During the past 10 years AUDUSD performance was like this Gains 5 gaining Oct in 10yr,...
Hello everyone, We have had a bearish weekly bias and have continued downward today crossing an important level. As shared previously, I have been watching these levels in case we get a new low for October, surpassing the earlier one, signaling the seasonal low for Q4. We are very close to breaking that level. Rarely do you come this close to an important level...
We definitely saw a reaction after tapping into that daily FVG above. I expected a retrace after that. now we have to see if it finishes this as a small retracement or puts in a surprise new low for seasonality. Price could retrace to and bounce off those FVG's or go past the last two lowest lows for a surprise. We will know more after today and Monday. these are...