Seasonality
King Bitcoin is going to be ready for next falling down !!!Dear All,
Hope you have a good day!
According to chart, you can see that I understand bitcoin is going to complete last upward moving for grabbing enough liquidity for its next falling down wedge if price could not break the 52K - 55K.
Anyway, I just want to warn you that maybe it is not so that fancy and good time now to have long positions for long term or holding purposes, It is better to wait until price straggling around 55K and see if buyers are the winners or sellers take their position back.
It is just a financial advice BUT the risks of your trades are on your own and upon your decisions.
Take care and have nice day !
Oil to Clear 79.00 Big FigCurrently watching Crude Futs (NYMEX) to clear an Intermediate term High at 79.00 Big Fig.
As my mentor says...
"To & Through"
Reasons:
Crude Bullish Seasonally until march/April (Possible Quarterly Shift to downside)
Commercials Net LONG
DXY Bullish
Failed to break lower on Daily (Indicating to me higher prices are in order)
HTF MMSM, however Long in play to clear Buyside before reversing above highs & clearing distribution leg Sellside
HTF (Daily):
Expecting BSL to be ran and staying Bullish until trend broken & IOF Turns Bearish (Should happen above Highs)
H4:
Expecting a retracement into Internal Range Liquidity as outlined to target External Range Liquidity (Markets are booked like this, in a form of "Handshaking")
LTF:
Tuesday Feb 13th: US CPI
Weds Feb 14th: US Crude Oil Inventories
If Bias is correct and Weekly candle is due to expand to upside, I'd be looking for Tuesday to Form Weekly Low & take Longs Wednesday NY IF my model plays out.
DXY 103.413 - 0.11 % SHORT IDEA MTF 🐻🐻🐻HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great 🛑
A look at DXY ahead of the day 📌
DXY 4H TF
* Looking at DXY from the 4H we see a break above BSL
* Swept BSL but traded back into the range with some bearish momentum.
* If we see momentum back into the range i would be looking for shorts.
* Looking for some short ideas on the dxy.
* Especially because of that body closure back into the range.
DXY 1H TF
* On the 1h alike, strong bearish momentum in play.
* Retracement into some of the internal LIQUIDITY .
* looking for some retracement into PD ARRAYS ( FVG + OB & balance price range)
* & should they hold looking for continuations with the bears.
DXY 15 M TF
* ASIAN LOWS taken.
* Possibly signaling a bearish NY SESSION.
* TRADE IDEA
1. london open - bullish setup for asian highs
2. short set-ups NY session.
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOURS BELOW🛑
lets see how it goes.
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* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
What happens if COTI has the same climb up that it had last runThis idea looks at what COTI did in the last Crypto Bull season post-halving and replays that same climb up for the coming CRYPTOCAP:BTC halving.
www.tradingview.com has a slight advantage this time around as it moves to be an Ethereum layer2 solution with a focus on privacy using a breakthrough using garbled circuits.
You can read about the need that CRYPTOCAP:ETH has for such a solution on Vitalik Buterin's blog
vitalik.eth.limo
Blockchain privacy will be one of the main narratives for the next few years, and COTI appears to have a nice head start on its solution.
This chart shows past price action, and we can see from above that it's currently expected to outperform in the coming two years.
Strap-in.
Short at all time highAs many financial equities have had a hard time during these economically challenged hardships are for the average consumer, without realizing this as a Major bank and would most likely be provided help from the government if any issues were to arise to its value. From a technical perspective, price is currently sitting at an all time high banks or the financial sector in general have fared poorly amongst these high interest rate environment. It may be time to short or take profits near its all time high even breaking above its most recent highs, although the uptrend has stayed strong the sentiment around the market hasn't changed. as many finance stocks have suffered although value has held, from a technical trader its about time to exit and take profit. 2024 leading into 2025 with no answer to when interest rate cuts will happen or not happen anytime soon is on all investors minds, ones investment should be moved elsewhere very soon as high interest rates for longer.
Last time was ugly!The last time the 5 day Gaussian channel turned red and turned down, with rejection from the center trend line , BTC lost 63% of it value to the US dollar in 140 days. Price targets down to the low 20Ks and high teens would be in the cards should history repeat itself.
This is not financial advice. I am not your financial advisor.
Enter long entryTo my dismay, financials are in disarray. Oh I look far and wide for one that will raise my pay. As I carefully look around within this space, Fiserv looks to be the way. Upside I see along the way, enter I must say. To my finance bros, I do must say. Why treat other finance stocks like so with so much at stake. Today is yet another day, for I have found one that the technical's lead up to one way. Up I say.
BEARISH SELL STOP 🫡My trading plan does not allow me to buy into new highs.
However it's not safe or practical to aimlessly short the high.
A sell stop order is how I safely trade the highs.
I am Bearish to Neutral for now. Waiting for significant signs of bullish support.
Seasonally, the market is Bearish/ corrects on average going into February.
🫡🌊
Bearish Sell Stop OrderMy trading plan does not allow me to buy into new highs.
However it's not safe or practical to aimlessly short the high.
A sell stop order is how I safely trade the highs.
I am Bearish to Neutral for now. Waiting for significant signs of bullish support.
Seasonally, the market is Bearish/ corrects on average going into February.
BTC - Expected Price Up Until HALVING📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
With the ETF approval priced in, next thing is the upcoming BTC halving expected in April - but wat does this mean for the price of BTC?
When there's an unprecedented event that will affect the markets, it's helpful to return to the basics:
👉 Buy the rumor, sell the news
👉 Macro Analysis
👉 Candlestick analysis
👉 Buy the rumor, sell the news
The ETF was again, a perfect example of this. Although it's possible for the price to increase days leading up to the halving, from a previous analysis we determined that BTC usually drops before halving.
👉 Macro Analysis
Bitcoin is due for a correction / pullback. Even dropping to lower 30K zone would still be a lower high, classic Elliot Wave Theory before the next upwards impulse wave, which is the biggest ( wave 2).
👉 Candlestick analysis
BTC has made 8 consecutive green candles in the two week timeframe. A few red ones are definitely overdue. This will support as a "fundamental reason" for the halving drop.
NOTE that I am still BULLISH on BTC. We're in the opening moments of a new bullish cycle, but there are pullbacks and corrections in upward cycles - and I'm expecting that we're currently trading in correction wave 1-2.
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CryptoCheck
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
EUR Starts the year range bound2nd week of the year we are watching E/U trade range bound. Until we can break out of the range be patient. Dollar is typically strong to start the year, so that will have a dampening effect on the momentum from last year. This should show signs of loosening as we get the 2nd half of Jan. beginning of Feb. Still expecting choppy with a favor to the downside due to seasonality.
My high-net-worth investor bets big on six EV stocks. I recently collaborated on a portfolio with a highly successful businessman who is passionate about the electric vehicle (EV) space. We opted for a long-only EV portfolio, allocating a total of $69,000, a number that our client believes holds significance value to him.
The allocation is as follows:
NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla) - 50%: The undisputed king of EVs, Tesla holds a dominant position in the market, making it a core component of the portfolio.
NYSE:XPEV (Xpeng Motors) - 15%: A strategic joint venture with Audi, Xpeng is a formidable player in the Chinese EV market, offering innovative and competitive vehicles.
NYSE:NIO (Nio) - 15%: Dubbed the "Chinese Mercedes," Nio is a rising star in the EV industry, known for its sleek designs and advanced technology.
NASDAQ:LI (Li Auto) - 10%: The leader of the Chinese EV pack, Li Auto has captured market share with its innovative SUV model, offering a unique blend of practicality and luxury.
NASDAQ:RIVN (Rivian) - 10%: Backed by Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, Rivian is poised to make a significant impact in the EV truck segment.
We consciously excluded NASDAQ:VFS (VinFast) from the portfolio, considering it a potential pump-and-dump scheme. But we are willing to invest in this scheme once the time is right.
A Message from Aladdin: The Master mind behind this tactical investment.
My philosophy is that "diversification is for losers," I believe that focusing on a select few high-potential stocks can lead to superior returns. While this approach carries inherent risks, it aligns with my risk tolerance and investment goals.
free in R/2📊Analysis by AhmadArz:
🔍Entry: 30.71
🛑Stop Loss: 30
🎯Take Profit: 31.32 _ 32.14 _ 33.26 _ 34.34
🔗"Uncover new opportunities in the world of cryptocurrencies with AhmadArz.
💡Join us on TradingView and expand your investment knowledge with our five years of experience in financial markets."
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Gold is in a bullish channelGold is in a bullish channel
With this idea, we see that gold is still in the upward price channel, there is a closed h1 line engulfing and the bulls rushed in when there was such a signal, maybe from there the gold price goes up another 42 prices similar to the previous times. before, in addition, yesterday's 1954 price has also come back to be retested, our job is to wait for the price to break out of the wedge, then place an order to be safe, however in the current position we can If we enter small first, our order will have a shorter stop loss
Update plan gold 2600 pipUpdate plan gold 2600 pip
According to this idea, in early October, if the price touches the threshold of 1875-1868, we will buy up to the target of 213x.
My stop loss is 1855.
The price may reach that point earlier in the last week of September. In case it arrives earlier, further observation and consideration is needed.
BTC at IchimokuBTC at Ichimoku
In the weekly frame, the price is about to end an upward wave, the expected time is May next year.
However, we are currently at the psychological threshold when approaching fibo and there are concave clouds attracting prices back, I predict that early next year there will be a strong sale of more than 20 thousand.
Then it increased strongly again, creating 2 weekly peaks (like the 2 peaks in the middle and end of 2021).
After that, it will decline and create a new bottom below 15 thousand.
trade inrenge (ICP)📊Analysis by AhmadArz:
🔍Entry: 11.82
🛑Stop Loss: 12.01
🎯Take Profit: 11.53
🔗"Uncover new opportunities in the world of cryptocurrencies with AhmadArz.
💡Join us on TradingView and expand your investment knowledge with our five years of experience in financial markets."
🚀Please boost and💬 comment to share your thoughts with us!