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Seasonality

BTC LONG TERM VIEWBTC can still drop from here, especially if price continues to trade below 29k by the end of this month. As long as price trades above 26.5k, BTC can continue to go up and fill the current imbalance left on the 3 day and weekly chart towards 28.5k. Bearish chances are small from here, but if price breaks below 25.5k, then we could see a potential liquidation of those current lows from 25k. Overall BTC will become very bullish once the orders from 29k are exhausted and price breaks and closes above that level. 38k is the main target after that, but until then, we need more data from the higher timeframe charts.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by sorel-investments-group
Let's go to the Moon!As the halving for Bitcoin approches in April 2024, I am expecting a fast approach to all time highs around end of Nov-Dec of 2024. Bitcoin remains the #1 Cryptocurrency and will be here for time to come. Using the 2020 Bull and Bust Trend, the Ghost Candles mark the path. I do not believe there will be a 2024 Bitcoin Crash as it is getting harder and harder to get more Bitcoin for your moneys worth as price increases on a rapid pace if people feel FOMO. There is a forbes article "Here’s What Caused Bitcoin’s ‘Extreme’ Price Plunge" and from what I read it was due to a Bitmex outage based on being knocked offline. I believe that Futures price shouldnt matter because if you actually hold your Bitcoin in your wallet, price on for Futures shouldnt matter and when you get liquadated on Bitmex, your Bitcoin only goes from your hand to another persons hand. One persons Loss is anothers Gain. I am also 10,000 Matic Tokens to see if I get lucky on the next bullrun, just as a side bet on the altcoin. Bitcoin should be your number one Cryptocurrency holding. Let's go to the Moon!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by sniperfox2021
1
UK100 Bullish SeptemberDaily chart of UK100 is expected to Break up weekly resistance and trendline to follow a Bullish September Seasonal behaviour. Take Long positions after retest and new orderblock formation Dow theory HHs HLs: Bullish Candlestick Pattern : Bullish forming three soldiers Support &Resistance: Orange line formed on Weekly chark Trendline: Resistance approaching expected to breakup Fibonacci: Bullish Touched 50% on daily Seasonals: Bullish Divergence: Bullish on 4hr Pattern: Bullish Penant on Daily
CAPITALCOM:UK100Long
by maberl
1
New Egg Hatching?We have identified a zone of support and resistance on New Egg (NEGG), an e-commerce platform we visit when building computers. According to Nick Shawn, a popular trader on YouTube, support and resistance zones are merely a location that is convenient for setting up a risk vs reward structure. Since there is no guarantee. Price could go either way. Zones help him decide if, when, or where to place a trade. It is only a strategic place to make decisions about how to manage a trade in advance. How you attend to the trade is up to you, whether it's buy & hold, day trading, or swing. Nobody knows the future. He is not a financial advisor. We are not financial advisors. You will probably lose money. Managing risk is how traders make profit targets and avoid losing too much. We are not recommending anything! The risk/reward structure is determined in advance, before placing a trade, using the long or short position tool. You decide how much, if anything, to risk. And apply your own back-tested strategy for managing outcomes. That said, we have identified this zone, also called an order block zone. And we will be using an order block management strategy for this. Or possibly look for a double bottom. We have a long bias on New Egg from using the website to price components. The price closed 5% above the all-time low of $1. Which we think is a key value for penny stocks. And there has been some positive volume in the past few months. So maybe more of that will arrive. But e-commerce is a tough business. We could all just suddenly stop shopping online and take up local manufacturing and goat herding instead, because of the high demand for local, off-grid products. And the universe could start collapsing tomorrow into a giant egg because of a new and undiscovered property of physics.
NASDAQ:NEGGLong
by Hellork
1
BCH CONTINUATIONIf price closes above 200$ on the current 3 day candle, we can see a continuation towards 22$, but I tend to see only a small bullish continuation to 220 and then a strong bearish push towards 150. Only if price breaks above 230$ on the weekly timeframe, we can see strong bullish continuations towards 320 and 450$. A break below 190 from here already could make price drop towards 150$, but it would be pretty dangerous to trade from that level, as BCH could easily reverse and trade back inside 200-220 area.
BITSTAMP:BCHUSD
by sorel-investments-group
USTECH 100 CFD MONTHLY MARKET MOVESObserve the importance of time in the market as it relates to monthly market moves coupled with dates of the month. Mid-Month as well as end of month are likely to be a reversal condition in the market. Last week of the month is normally a buy expansion model and first week of the month, the market is likely to retrace into a HTF POI before rallying. HTF bias married with monthly market moves always win. My expectation therefore would be for the market buy until end of month(observing 15250 level. If break above it will rally higher first before retracement) where it is likely to hit a reversal condition from the first of the month and retrace into a HTF POI before rallying. #StaySafe#TimeInMarket💙
NShort
by NqabaNhantsi
1
Ever wonder why Aug and Sep are weak months?Ever wonder why the market is historically weaker in August and September? On August 15 interest on treasuries is paid from the Fed "other reserves" account which appears to briefly tighten central bank liquidity (normally adverse to risk assets during the QE/QT era). On September 15 the final quarterly tax payment for the fiscal year is due, which seems to be preceded by a brief drawdown. The combination of the 2 events this time of the year result in seasonal weakness. Looking at the years 2015 through 2022 we can observe that the market was: trending up leading into August 75% of the time, flat or down from 8/15 to 9/15 63% of the time, and finished the year higher than the 9/15 close 87% of the time. Additionally, since 1938 there are 14 years in which the market advances >10% through July that are followed by a negative August. They all finish the year higher, with an average rest of year performance of 9.9% (median 8.7%). This history suggests that the earlier part of September is a stronger time to take profit, or trim/exit any positions, while after the 15th should be favorable to accumulate or start new positions. Sources: This is a link to ANG Traders, a seeking alpha author that did a study on years 2016 to 2022. His analysis is incredible. seekingalpha.com This is a link to Ed Clissolds twitter post with the prior years with S&P advancing >10% through July. twitter.com This is a link to the seasonality chart created by EW_T. These seasonality charts have a bar that represents % of the month in positive territory and a number at the bottom that is the average gain/loss. www.tradingview.com
SP:SPX
by Ben_1148x2
2