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Seasonality

BTC Huge Gap!!! We going back to 75k?Hey guys! Congrats all with BTC ATH and recent profits, I was not commenting the situation, because it was pretty clear, and we all know what was happening. But also, as we know, even in the bull cycle have to be corrections and consolidations. So here at the futures chart, we can see a huge gap around the healthy correction possible zone (max to 30%). Also, we have RSI oversold for sure and descending volumes. Plus, in December there were no promises about decreasing US Interest rate, so possibly December can end up in this correction phase. What's your thoughts about when and how much we could go? Let's chat in the comments =)
CME:BTC1!Short
by SheTradesHub
Is Now The Time To Call The Top?With a new higher high formed on the Dollar, which mitigated a monthly Order Block and weekly Fair Value Gap, is now the time to be asking whether the top is in and a major reversal is pending? Personally, I say yes, but price action still needs to confirm this as we can always continue trading higher. On the daily we have minor and major swing points from which IRL can be mitigated before a continuation higher and for the time being I'll be monitoring the various points as per the analysis for signs of a continuation higher or The subjectivity in my analysis stems from the fact that pairs are no longer trading in unison across the board with EU still tumbling lower with the Dollar while AU has begun shifting higher. UJ is not clear as it's exhibiting signs if going both higher and lower so monitoring further development will be key. My bias for the WEEK is as follows: DXY - LONG EURUSD - SHORT AUDUSD - LONG GBPJPY - SHORT USDJPY - LONG
Long
by The_Modern_Day_Trader
Crypto 4-Year Cycle, Monthly ViewThis chart paints a macro view of the 4-year cryptocurrency cycle, which is based around the Bitcoin halving events. This should give you a general idea of when a bull run is likely to occur, but you should use many other indicators for actual buying/selling decisions. A few quick notes on this chart: -BTC, ETH, and DOGE USD pairs are displayed on this chart (the top crypto, the top L1, and the top meme coin). -My definition of the the bull run is when BTC dominance begins to fall on the monthly chart. This is when things tend to go a bit parabolic for the rest of the market. The end of the bull run is marked by BTC dominance rising on the monthly chart. -The vertical yellow lines represent every subsequent 12 bars/months post-halving. -Dates are estimates as this chart is in the monthly timeframe. Results may vary in different timeframe views. -There are many other factors that may impact the 4-year cycle, such as ETH/BTC valuations, ETH dominance, USDT dominance, quantitative easing/tightening, black swan events, federal funds rates, etc. - none of these are considered in this chart. Enjoy! :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TJ2x_
Identifying cyclical opportunities in $HOOD for optionsNASDAQ:HOOD has been in a bull trend since June of 2022, and its price action has also been decently straight forward. Notes about NASDAQ:HOOD 's price action - 1. Hood's cycle lengths from low to low, in this daily chart are not uniform. 2. However the trends in between the swing lows and highs are secular. 3. Hood has been forming base lows instead of V pattern lows. How I'm trading $HOOD. - Since the trend is bullish it is best to stick with call options looking for confirmation of a cycle low to get long. - When NASDAQ:HOOD starts to form a base after a cyclical downtrend look for momentum to enter - Once identifying a swing high, exit calls and allow the next secular downtrend to play out - Each cycle consider if the macro tend for NASDAQ:HOOD is still bullish - Own NASDAQ:HOOD shares ** The timing band on this chart is a general area based off of previous cycles I'm expecting a base low and will be looking to get long.
NASDAQ:HOOD
by limit_buy_69
8
Bullish on NICKEL \o/After reaching its excessively high peak in March 2022, the price of nickel ( SHFE:NI1! ) entered a sustained correction phase. This correction brought the price down sharply to around $19,000 per ton. Following a brief upward correction, the price continued its downward movement. Since early 2024, the price seems to have found its bottom at approximately $15,900 per ton. Currently, there is a consolidation phase at this level, with a support zone between $15,300 and $17,000 per ton appearing to hold. Looking ahead, a bullish seasonality is expected from mid-January to mid-March. Additionally, the anticipated increase in demand for electric vehicles and electromobility by 2025 supports a more bullish outlook for nickel prices in the coming years.
LME:NI1!Long
by p4917
BTC reached the local peak? 👀#Bitcoin distance from BMS Below is the oscillator, which shows how far the price has moved away from the bull market support. Mostly when we are in the 2-3 year of the cycle, the mark on the oscillator 40 acts as resistance, which indicates a mid-cycle peak. Can it be different this time?🤔 Let's imagine that the CRYPTOCAP:BTC ETF inflow will be greater and distort the situation, in this case, we have a second trend line that indicates a global peak, which, by the way, becomes lower every cycle, now this mark is around ~50 on the oscillator or 80k on the price chart. You can consider this mark a best-case scenario for a local peak. 💡Remember, a good investor does not rely on one scenario but is ready for any.
BNC:BLX
by FeelsStrategy
3
Soybean Meal Futures Spread : ZMN25-ZMQ25Excellent opportunity in this spread on soybean meal : - Margin requirements are low, as intracommodity spreads often are. - The spread is currently at -1 from its historical value of 1 in the 5-year average, and 0 in the 15-year average, and being long we have an additional favorable factor for more margin upwards - This spread has been in profit 80% of the time over the past 15 years - There is a very good trend in both averages and a trend duration of about 4 months - The average Risk Reward Ratio over the last 5 years is 17.13
CBOT:ZMN2025Long
by SwissTradingSchool
$COOKIE reminds me $SUSHI... this will be HUGE.Get ready for an explosive move! The recent patterns in $COOKIE are reminiscent of the incredible CRYPTOCAP:SUSHI rally we witnessed last year. With similar market conditions and strong community backing, I predict a potential rise of over 7000% . Don't miss out on this opportunity – it's time to ride the wave and see your investments soar to new heights! Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions."
Long
by patriq8
2
Alt-season? Bitcoin BTC Dominance past cycles behavior analysis The best way to spot an altseason is looking at the Bitcoin BTC Dominance graph. On this analysis, of the behavior of the Bitcoin BTC Dominance, I spotted in the graph , what happened on the last two cycles, 2017 and 2021, looking back to the 2013 BTC price top. In the analysis I spotted three types of events: All Time High (ATH) Cycle Bottom Attempts to break the past cycle's ATH This brought me some interesting "coincidences" that leads to some insightful predictions. My conclusion, so far, is that an All Time High breakout is a very important moment to the possible alt season beginning. One thing that should be considered is that the current cycle has some different characteristics as, probably in detail, all of them have. This means that maybe it could take some more time to the alt season start, as it did for the ATH be finally broken. One thing I did'n mention in the video is that the BTC dominance has broken a theoretical downtrend line. That said, considering the end of the year calendar change that is a mentally important moment, I wouldn't be surprised if the altseason waits till January to pick up. To be continued...
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by PedroGamaTrade
1
This could be the lowLooking at the RUS:PD1! contract: After completing the three impulse waves (1, 3, 5) upward, Palladium futures entered a steep downward correction, reaching the final Fibonacci level (76.4%). It appears that the price is now forming the first green daily candle in a long time. With an upward-pointing elliptical trendline, this could mark the low. We’ll need to wait for confirmation in the coming trading days. Additionally, Palladium’s bullish seasonality is set to begin soon, suggesting a potentially strong end to the year. Let’s see how it unfolds!
RUS:PD1!Long
by p4917
Nasdaq 100 Consolidates Near Record High: Is a 22,000 Target NexThe U.S. presidential election has sparked optimism also in the stock market, with the technology index rising by 1,000 points. Following this new all-time high, the Nasdaq 100 ( PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 ) is now consolidating just below that level. This consolidation is taking the shape of a flag pattern, which could signal potential for further upward movement. A breakout to the upside would confirm this pattern and could set the stage for additional gains, with a target of 22,000 points.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Mihai_Iacob
2
Bitcoin diminishing return?Bitcoin is famous with its cycles, halving and huge returns. Since 2012 price has gone up from 2$ to 90,000$. Each cycle starts with halving and then price goes up by hundreds or thousands percent and then come back down. Since 2012, we have completed three cycles and we are in the fourth one. In the first cycle, the lowest price was 2$ and then jumped to 1160$, this was a 52,287% increase! The next cycle from bottom to top we had 12,511% increase. The third cycle had 1,921% increase. The pattern seems clear. Each time the return is diminishing by 4 to 6 times: 52287 divided by 12511 = 4.17 12511 divided by 1921 = 6.5 That means in this cycle the increase from the cycle bottom at 15,500$ should have been between 320% to 480% (this number comes from 1921% divided by 4 and 6). A 320% to 480% increase from 15,500$ is 70,000$ and 95,000$ respectively. Bitcoin is well beyond the first target at 70,000$ and at the moment of writing this, is only 5,000$ short of 95,000$. However, there is a problem with diminishing return theory. To make it more clear let's look at this theory from market top perspective. In the last two cycles, market top to market top, have had 1,900% and 356% return. That means the return diminished by 5.5 times. If the same thing were to happen again it means the current market top should have only been 65% (356 divided by 5.5) of the previous market top. That means the current market top should be 45,000$. Now the same thing will happen to market bottom to top if you believe that market has diminishing return. Based on this theory in the next cycle from market bottom to top there only will be around 80% to 120% increase and the cycle after only 25% to 75% increase from bottom and so on. That means at some point the price will never reaches even back to the previous cycle top. This is very unlikely given that bitcoin will only be more scarce and the global money supply will only increase.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mo_reza_kaz