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Seasonality

BITCOIN | MAJOR TREND SHIFTBITCOIN is showing some major moves since the start of this year 2023. Is this the year of BTC where we witness new highs in making?? On daily tf, the major trend indicator 100DEMA indicates the shift in trend when #BTC breaks above it on 12th Jan. However some key levels for btc is yet to break. $25500 is the first hurdle for BTC to continue its upward journey. We need a remarkable closing with good volume above this level to consider an uptrend. If BTC successfuly manage to break above the said level then we can witness 32500$ and 37000$ very quick without major correction. Let me know in comments what do you think of the idea
Long
by TradeTrio
1
VIX - is the sell 20, buy 30 strategy done?Throughout 2022 you would have done VERY well taking profit when the TVC:VIX hit 20 and accumulating when the VIX hit 30. But has this trend concluded? This movement and profit/accumulation opportunity is consistent with the most recent tightening from 2017 to 2018 where fed funds were rising, and the yield for 2 year treasuries in the bond market exceeded fed funds. When the yield for 2 year treasuries fell below fed funds the VIX remained below 20 until covid hit. The VIX spiked during covid and consistently descended while the market expanded. This pattern is only observed in the most recent cycle and not something that we see consistently repeated historically. If the 2 year remains below fed funds, should not expect the VIX to range between 20 to 30 or will 20 to become the ceiling?
TVC:VIXLong
by Ben_1148x2
Q4 effects on BitcoinTIME BASED LONG TERM BITCOIN SPECULATION First of all, This analysis is not about to tell you that the bottom is in or not, this is a fun theory which has no confirmation for the future. As i see every time Bitcoin enters the November zone, it starts to make a bigger move. In this analytics maybe not the november month is what matters, it can be analysed by quarters or yearly periods too, but i chose the november zone. 2014 november: (A) -top of the bull market 2015 (little bit after) november: (B) -bottom of the bear market 2016 november: (C) -breakout and retest to the fibonacci zones then rally 2017 (little bit after) november: (A) -Top of the bull market 2018 (little bit after) november: (B) -bottom of the bear market 2019 november: (C) -breakout and retest to the fibonacci zones then rally 2021 november: (A) -Top of the bull market 2022 november: (B) -Bottom of the bull market? We can also identify a gap between C and A period because the rally doesn't end in the next november cycle. This analytics does not say that the bottom is in, but it can be already in or days/weeks away from the current price. The structure has to be analysed by self, and this chart could give us a clue where should we see the price a year after. The price should be in the 30k region to see a retest or a breakout from the zone. in 2024 we should see 30k usd / BTC, but we don't know that if we will have a rally before it. Hope i gave you something interesting. Thanks for reading and have a nice trading carrier:) (Always bullish on BTC)
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Dandady
Bitcoin - Major Levels | Potential RecoveryI have marked out the major levels of bitcoin, I believe that the macro economy is about to recover from here, We may struggle abit before we continue up but I believe we will sooner or later break up from where we are right now. A potential retest around 20k is possible before continuation. There is extreme amount of money sidelined in all markets ATM and this could bring huge price action upwards. I can see bitcoin break a new ATH in 1-2 years from now. If you like my content please boost this and share it with others. This will help me understand if I should keep posting charts like this or not. Thank you. NFA Good luck trading out there.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by WealthNode
XRPUSD - adifferent viewJust to show you something that no one is showing you :) Yes that is weekly chart Yes it takes a lot of time to see movement Yes it is worth to invest at the right times (Shown on chart) Yes it is worth waiting As seen on the chart, first chance to accumulate tokens (Number 1 - accumulation phase) provided +1325.79% gain Second chance to accumulate tokens (Number 2 - accumulation phase) provided +707.89% gain Now there is third chance for accumulation (Number 3 - accumulation phase) how much will this accumulation provide? We need to wait patiently and accumulate properly. I was providing you with analysis and accumulation regular reminders months back in my analysis. "Those who do not learn history are doomed to repeat it." Study the past and learn for it. It is accessible to everyone... you have eyes, now learn to see.
BITFINEX:XRPUSD
by MJ_Imperial
2
AUDUSDAUDUSD has been examined in different dimensions: 1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system. 2- The structure of recently formed waves 3- Current market momentum 4- The structure of classical and price patterns In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis. In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
Short
by HamidRamezani1992
BTC/USD Just comparing % with the fall in 2013-2015I just compared the % with the fall in 2013-2015. A structure that is currently being formed on a large time frame in a secondary trend. Logarithmic graph. Percentages are retained for clarity, as in 2014-2015. Earn money in the market does not allow banal greed. Almost everyone suffers from this disease. Therefore, your freedom from greed gives an unthinkable superiority over the patients of the “devil”. Secondary downtrend. 2013 – 2015 Percentage price reduction from key areas. "Removal of Passengers" Secondary downtrend of 2013-2015 and super “takeaways” in it. Then the pedestrian goes sideways (accumulation)—with similar “discharges of extra passengers." Pay attention to the % reduction and zone. The “terrible prices” of which after the cycle were the price of dreaming of "more than one stream of hamsters." The market shapes people's behavior. What is displayed on the price chart. Never try to catch highs or lows, work in parts. Disconnect from the majority controlled mindset of society. Main trend. Line chart. Logarithm. Term 1 month BTC/USD Secondary trend cycles and BTC halvings. The same, but on a candlestick chart. BTC/USD Main trend. % Secondary Trend Highs Secondary trend (part). Work zone. BTC/USD Secondary trend (part). Local work. The basis of profit/loss is who you are here and now. Your knowledge and experience are projected onto the graph. The symbiosis of these two parameters, implemented in practice, will earn or lose money.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by SpartaBTC
39
BTC Wyckoff AccumulationNotice: Since January 16th I have charted out this possible Wyckoff accumulation schematic. I have only updated the supply and demand boxes to justify the moves that have happened, but the pathway hasn't been touched. With this most recent push up to 26k I thought now was the time to publish this idea. BTC is at a point where my idea is either invalidated or it will continue to playout until it is invalidated. A weekly close above the weekly swing high will change my expectations for this chart, but could still have a similar pathway. If we get a close above, then we will have an actual market structure shift on the weekly since the bear market started. At that point I would be looking for a double bottom and the lows to be revisited, or possibly a sweep of the lows were we never get a close below. If we don't get a close above then this idea is still in play and I will be looking for the "Sell in May" to start to bring the market down, apathy to kick in and people to stop caring for a little while. Summer Lull will continue to bring the market lower, with a rally here or there but ultimately the downtrend to stay intact. Coming into Aug/September, a bottom to be formed and wash out all the bulls that were calling for the bottom to already be in. Nov/Dec we can get our Q4 rally heading into the new year where we could see an actual change in market sentiment, just in time for the FED to start QE and heading into the halving where we will see the start of a new bull market. This chart takes wyckoff and pairs it with seasonality and the current market conditions that makes sense to me. Everyone seems to not want to take the current macro economic conditions going on into consideration. This idea I believe does.
by snh6227
Clarity on your chartsIn this analysis of Bitcoin, I intend to use SMT (Smart Money Trading) concepts to read the price and understand what the chart is indicating. Based on this analysis, I believe that Bitcoin's price will continue to experience strong downward movement until the second quarter of 2024, providing an opportunity for investors to make potentially profitable investments "I am a new ICT student who is still learning and mastering the concepts. I practice your ideas daily, analyzing markets such as the S&P 500,Nas, US30 commodities like gold, and cryptocurrencies. Stay tuned for more updates!" Follow for more.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by digas_069
1
Bitcoin - Wyckoff Method Phase B ?Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉 Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. With this chart, we aim to identify the current phase of Bitcoin / BTCUSD / BTCUSDT by using the Wyckoff Method . The Wyckoff Method can be extremely technical and complicated, with many phases, sub-phases, sub sub phases etc. The four main phases of the market cycle are accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown . On this specific chart, we're taking a look at the accumulation cycle . If we look at the two image examples provided and combine them with Fibonacci time cycles, Phase B could last up until September 2023, or towards Q4 of this year. What is means for BTC now, is that we can still see an extended period of range trading for the next few months. Here are some terms and definitions you may find helpful : PS—preliminary support - where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end. SC—selling climax - the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC , reflecting the buying by these large interests. AR—automatic rally - which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR. ST—secondary test - in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at these levels. If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as the market approaches support in the area of the SC . It is common to have multiple STs after a SC . SOS - sign of strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume . Often a SOS takes place after a spring , validating the analyst’s interpretation of that prior action. LPS - last point of support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume . On some charts, there may be more than one LPS , despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term. BU - “back-up”. This term is short-hand for a colorful metaphor coined by Robert Evans, one of the leading teachers of the Wyckoff method from the 1930s to the 1960s. Evans analogized the SOS to a “jump across the creek” of price resistance, and the “back up to the creek” represented both short-term profit-taking and a test for additional supply around the area of resistance. A back-up is a common structural element preceding a more substantial price mark-up, and can take on a variety of forms, including a simple pullback or a new TR at a higher level. Furthermore, a brief look at the phases: Phase A Marks the stopping of the prior downtrend. Up to this point, supply has been dominant. Selling climax ( SC ) occurs here. Phase B Institutions and large professional interests are accumulating at relatively low-prices in anticipation of the next markup. The process of institutional accumulation may take a long time (sometimes a year or more) and involves purchasing at lower prices and checking advances in price with short sales. Phase C It is in Phase C that the price goes through a decisive test of the remaining supply, allowing the “smart money” operators to ascertain whether the stock is ready to be marked up. Phase D If you've plotted the phases correctly, what should follow is the consistent dominance of demand over supply. This is evidenced by a pattern of advances (SOSs) on widening price spreads and increasing volume , as well as reactions (LPSs) on smaller spreads and diminished volumes. Phase E Price begins to behave bullish as demand is in full control and the markup is obvious to everyone. Setbacks, such as shakeouts and more typical reactions, are usually short-lived. All of the above in mind, I believe we are currently still trading in Phase B of the Wyckoff Method Accumulation phase. This means that we may still test support zone / resistance zone multiple times, until a clear bottom has been established. This would need to be lower than the most recent bottom, and I still think the possibility exists of returning back to $13K levels. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
by CryptoCheck-
31