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Seasonality

GBPCHF FIRST BUY (AND THEN A SELL)GBPCHF currently has a score of -5, or a Sell rating after adding up all categories. First, let's look at what institutional traders are buying/selling. We can see that theGBP has a long percentage of 40.56%, and we see that the CHF has a long percentage of 41.15%. This category receives a 0, as institutional traders have no strongly favored asset. Taking a look at GBPCHF, we see that retail traders are 53% long, and 47% short. We consider this information most useful when a market is at an extreme reading from retail traders. If the retail crowd is 60% or more positioned to one side, we get a +1 or -1. Currently, theGBPCHF gets a reading of 0 in this category. Remember, if the retail crowd is very long, we will look to short, and vice versa. Taking a look at seasonality, we get a score of -1. What this tells us is that based on historical data, this market tends to fall during this month. Trend reading is based on the daily chart, using the 5, 8, and 21 Exponential Moving Average. The more 'aligned' they are, the stronger the trend up or down. In this case, we have a score of -2. Finally, let's look at fundamentals. GDP growth favors the CHF, inflation favors the CHF, unemployment favors the CHF and interest rates favor the GBP
GLong
by Jury_P
GBPUSD FIRST BUY (AND THEN A STRONG SELL)GBPUSD currently has a score of -6, or a Strong Sell rating after adding up all categories. First, let's look at what institutional traders are buying/selling. We can see that theGBP has a long percentage of 40.56%, and we see that the USD has a long percentage of 68.28%. This category receives a -1, as institutional traders favor the USD. Taking a look at GBPUSD, we see that retail traders are 41% long, and 59% short. We consider this information most useful when a market is at an extreme reading from retail traders. If the retail crowd is 60% or more positioned to one side, we get a +1 or -1. Currently, theGBPUSD gets a reading of 0 in this category. Remember, if the retail crowd is very long, we will look to short, and vice versa. Taking a look at seasonality, we get a score of +1. What this tells us is that based on historical data, this market tends to rise during this month. Trend reading is based on the daily chart, using the 5, 8, and 21 Exponential Moving Average. The more 'aligned' they are, the stronger the trend up or down. In this case, we have a score of -2. Finally, let's look at fundamentals. GDP growth favors the USD, inflation favors the USD, unemployment favors the USD and interest rates favor the USD
GShort
by Jury_P
2
NZDCHF BUYNZDCHF currently has a score of -1, or a Neutral rating after adding up all categories. First, let's look at what institutional traders are buying/selling. We can see that theNZD has a long percentage of 69.43%, and we see that the CHF has a long percentage of 41.15%. This category receives a +1, as institutional traders favor the NZD. Taking a look at NZDCHF, we see that retail traders are 34% long, and 66% short. We consider this information most useful when a market is at an extreme reading from retail traders. If the retail crowd is 60% or more positioned to one side, we get a +1 or -1. Currently, theNZDCHF gets a reading of +1 in this category. Remember, if the retail crowd is very long, we will look to short, and vice versa. Taking a look at seasonality, we get a score of -1. What this tells us is that based on historical data, this market tends to fall during this month. Trend reading is based on the daily chart, using the 5, 8, and 21 Exponential Moving Average. The more 'aligned' they are, the stronger the trend up or down. In this case, we have a score of -2. Finally, let's look at fundamentals. GDP growth favors the NZD, inflation favors the CHF, unemployment favors the CHF and interest rates favor the NZD
NLong
by Jury_P
USDJPY SELLUSDJPY currently has a score of -1, or a Neutral rating after adding up all categories. First, let's look at what institutional traders are buying/selling. We can see that theUSD has a long percentage of 68.28%, and we see that the JPY has a long percentage of 26%. This category receives a +2, as institutional traders favor the USD. Taking a look at USDJPY, we see that retail traders are 47% long, and 53% short. We consider this information most useful when a market is at an extreme reading from retail traders. If the retail crowd is 60% or more positioned to one side, we get a +1 or -1. Currently, theUSDJPY gets a reading of 0 in this category. Remember, if the retail crowd is very long, we will look to short, and vice versa. Taking a look at seasonality, we get a score of -1. What this tells us is that based on historical data, this market tends to fall during this month. Trend reading is based on the daily chart, using the 5, 8, and 21 Exponential Moving Average. The more 'aligned' they are, the stronger the trend up or down. In this case, we have a score of -2. Finally, let's look at fundamentals. GDP growth favors the USD, inflation favors the JPY, unemployment favors the JPY and interest rates favor the USD
UShort
by Jury_P
1
AUDCHF BUYAUDCHF currently has a score of -1, or a Neutral rating after adding up all categories. First, let's look at what institutional traders are buying/selling. We can see that theAUD has a long percentage of 33%, and we see that the CHF has a long percentage of 41.15%. This category receives a -1, as institutional traders favor the CHF. Taking a look at AUDCHF, we see that retail traders are 64% long, and 36% short. We consider this information most useful when a market is at an extreme reading from retail traders. If the retail crowd is 60% or more positioned to one side, we get a +1 or -1. Currently, theAUDCHF gets a reading of -1 in this category. Remember, if the retail crowd is very long, we will look to short, and vice versa. Taking a look at seasonality, we get a score of -1. What this tells us is that based on historical data, this market tends to fall during this month. Trend reading is based on the daily chart, using the 5, 8, and 21 Exponential Moving Average. The more 'aligned' they are, the stronger the trend up or down. In this case, we have a score of +2. Finally, let's look at fundamentals. GDP growth favors the AUD, inflation favors the CHF, unemployment favors the CHF and interest rates favor the AUD
ALong
by Jury_P
AUDCAD BUYAUDCAD currently has a score of +2, or a Neutral rating after adding up all categories. First, let's look at what institutional traders are buying/selling. We can see that theAUD has a long percentage of 33%, and we see that the CAD has a long percentage of 32.79%. This category receives a 0, as institutional traders have no strongly favored asset. Taking a look at AUDCAD, we see that retail traders are 19% long, and 81% short. We consider this information most useful when a market is at an extreme reading from retail traders. If the retail crowd is 60% or more positioned to one side, we get a +1 or -1. Currently, theAUDCAD gets a reading of +1 in this category. Remember, if the retail crowd is very long, we will look to short, and vice versa. Taking a look at seasonality, we get a score of +1. What this tells us is that based on historical data, this market tends to rise during this month. Trend reading is based on the daily chart, using the 5, 8, and 21 Exponential Moving Average. The more 'aligned' they are, the stronger the trend up or down. In this case, we have a score of +2. Finally, let's look at fundamentals. GDP growth favors the CAD, inflation favors the CAD, unemployment favors the AUD and interest rates favor the CAD
ALong
by Jury_P
Just a rough projection. We'll see what happens!Used the BTC logarithmic growth curves indicator, as well as fractals from previous cycles, extrapolating them out over an extended period of time. I believe from cycle-peak to cycle-peak will take about an additional year with each passing cycle (2013 - 2017, 2017 - 2022 or 2023, 2023 - 2029 or 2030, etc.) Eventually BTC price fluctuations will smooth out, and day-to-day volatility will look more like the stock market, with 0.5 - 1% daily moves being viewed as significant. I think by the 2040s, after the 8th halving when the block reward will be less than 0.20 BTC, 1 BTC will be between $10 to $20 million and the price will become relatively stable. Of course, anything could happen (looking at you, Putin) but I think this is the general direction we're heading toward. BTC is mathematical and monetary purity.
Editors' picks
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by wazza_10
171
SPY - short squeeze - or more down?Bear Market trend on SPY looking to continue, but could we get another short squeeze similar to the set up leading to the brief Sept squeeze in 2022? Based upon regression trend analysis and general market strength or lack there of, I don't think we see much of a squeeze for SPY here...will be adding to short positions on these modest price increases that appear to be more related to limited stock buy backs and some year end tape painting. More down on deck IMO. In terms of seasonality - January 2022 was weak and I expect pretty much the same in 2023 - or worse. Will reassess if we gat a SPY close above 387. NFA.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Akksujean
1
CADCHF BUY (COUNTER TREND)CADCHF currently has a score of -3, or a Sell rating after adding up all categories. First, let's look at what institutional traders are buying/selling. We can see that theCAD has a long percentage of 32.9%, and we see that the CHF has a long percentage of 32.77%. This category receives a 0, as institutional traders have no strongly favored asset. Taking a look at CADCHF, we see that retail traders are 95% long, and 5% short. We consider this information most useful when a market is at an extreme reading from retail traders. If the retail crowd is 60% or more positioned to one side, we get a +1 or -1. Currently, theCADCHF gets a reading of -1 in this category. Remember, if the retail crowd is very long, we will look to short, and vice versa. Taking a look at seasonality, we get a score of -1. What this tells us is that based on historical data, this market tends to fall during this month. Trend reading is based on the daily chart, using the 5, 8, and 21 Exponential Moving Average. The more 'aligned' they are, the stronger the trend up or down. In this case, we have a score of -1. Finally, let's look at fundamentals. GDP growth favors the CAD, inflation favors the CHF, unemployment favors the CHF and interest rates favor the CAD
CLong
by Jury_P
BTC WEEKLY - 12.5K$ - 10K$BTC - WEEKLY - SHORT - SWING IDEA This is my current zone where I would like to see BTC in the next few months. According to the cycle that is going on in BTC thanks to its halving, in my opinion and the prediction of my technical analysis of the price action, we could get in this zone in the currently ongoing bear market, accumulate considerable strength and create a new structure for the upcoming uptrend cycle TRADING has its main rules of success but laid out clearly, we cannot trade what we would like to see but what we currently see. That's why I would like to slowly start accumulating mainly BTC and ETH together with you in the next few weeks to months This market is extremely unpredictable, especially in the phase of the bear cycle, so I will reduce the risk by allocating the largest part of the capital to BTC, which statistically loses the least in a bear market. Because I don't want to catch the complete or exact bottom. I will continuously send buying orders for approximately 5-10% of the portfolio for a longer period of time We will definitely cover altcion trading in USDT. At the moment, buying smaller altcoins for a longer period of time seems to me mainly from the point of view of cyclicality, currently still very risky At a later stage we will focus on Bitcoin dominance and watch ALTCOIN SEASONS. These market phases will allow us to earn the most, move capital from BTC to smaller coins for high appreciation in a fairly short time SEE YOU SOON
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by Crypto-Frantisek
17
Daily Sector Watch : Will Crypto beat the market?Weed stocks have been underperforming the other sectors while the rest is slowly starting to light up. However this could be a great oppertunity to get into late entries when the rest is confirmed to have taken a bullish direction weed should follow. Crypto has been outperforming the other sectors this week as you can see all heatmaps are turning red. Asian indexes have been performing better these days than european and american. Space saw some massive gains after MAXAR TECHNOLOGIES INC takeover which other space stocks are starting to follow. Top food stocks have been outperforming the index while some food stocks are lagging behind (could be a great investment). 🟢WEED STOCKS TOP 10 Teradyne Curaleaf Holdings Green Thumb Industries Trulieve Cannabis Corp Canopy Growth Corp Verano Holdings Corp Cronos Group Inc Tilray Brands Inc Cresco Labs Inc SNDL Inc 🔴CRYPTO COINS TOP 10 Bitcoin Ethereum Binance Coin XRP Dogecoin ADA Matic Tron Dot Solana 🟣INDEXES US30 S&P 500 FRA40 GER30 NTH25 ASX200 EUSTX50 JPN225 HK50 Banknifty 🔵SPACE STOCKS TOP 10 Iridium Communications Inc Ses Rocket Lab USA Inc Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings Inc Viasat Maxar Technologies Eutelsat Communications Astra Space Inc Sats Planet Labs 🟤RETAIL FOOD STOCKS TOP 10 Kroger Company Albertsons Company Sendas Distribiduira S A Sprouts Farmers Market Grocery Outlet Holdings Weis Market Inc Ingles Markets Inc Arko Corp Companhia Brasileira De Distribuidao American Beyond Meat
NASDAQ:BYND
by Honestcowboy
2
ETHUSDT - Break Out (Short Term Fun)From Dec 28th and onwards we see intense consolidation... its in the earliest hours of the New Year we see Eth in trajectory for a breakout. It would be interesting to see if current levels held. I like the probability of it rallying on the day beyond $1280--$1330 in price, that is where i have my hopeful eyes steered. However I'm quite content to get there in steps, I like a steady climb. . Its the start of the New Year and the whales will be getting their Fins wet w/ or without you. The 1.8% bump for ETH/USDT, was an uptick in Market Cap volume reflective of $3Bn+ over a 2 hr time frame It could be a good day for Ethereum hodlrs. The building on ETH is endless. Lmao where are these so called "Ethereum" killers... Solana is down 95.3% Technicals on the time frames indicate strong leaning towards it being a worthwhile hodl & I share similar if not the same sentiment RoadMap: Last year was Merge, this year is "SURGE" so upgrade 2023 will be in terms of scalability w/ sharding and rollups. As the gran daddy EVM other projects follow in its footsteps. We could see 100,000 TPS (if we're lucky) Concurrent Ecosystem Chain Upgrades: The Verge, The Purge, & the Splurge NFA/DYOR: Not your keys, not your crypto
Long
by BIG-BLACK-CRYPTO
🎉New Year Gift🎁: Bitcoin Monthly🎉INDEX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD 🎄 Happy New Year🎄 I was glad to share my forecasts on crypto and forex in 2022 with you. I hope that my positions were profitable for you. In 2023, my effort is to deepen my focus on the forex and crypto markets and publish more diverse, and accurate ideas on my page. As a Christmas Gift, I predict that the current price of Bitcoin is suitable for investment, on the other hand, many of you may be doubtful about the future of this market. If so, Bitcoin in the price range below $14,000 to $11,800 will be suitable for a long-term purchase and investment. (Although the price may not fall below 14 thousand dollars.) The best strategy is to buy step-by-step. You can invest in any drop of Bitcoin from the current price to the mentioned levels. I hope that the new year is full of profit for you and that my analyses would be helpful in this matter From today, the analysis published on my page will be carried out in the form of these three sections: Bitcoin Serial Analyses Gold Serial Analyses Other Analyses and Profitable Positions
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by CrazyS
8
Crude Oil Bearish ContinuationNYMEX:CL1! Crude Oil futures marked on the 1D chart CL looks like it wants to target $66 on the weekly chart, so here's the daily chart for zoomed in analysis. Confluences Relative equal highs (EQH) for internal buyside liquidity rests in the middle of the range. Imbalance above EQH. Rejected a past 1D liquidity void. Rejected a past 1D imbalance. Overall bearish order flow since the summer; draw on liquidity is lower. Bearish order block that took buyside liquidity; should now seek sellside on higher time frame. Break of Structure (BOS) I believe we may see a midweek reversal for Crude Oil. We are at a discount so a premium will first be sought after (the EQH and imbalance around ~76), but the higher time frame narrative is still bearish until $66.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by Sans_Sheriff
3
SPREAD TRADING STRATEGY ON COMMODITIESThis spells trading opportunity for us as Palm Oil and Soybean Oil are generally considered substitute products, which means, at a large enough price difference, buyers may hop over to buy the cheaper one. Eventually closing the price gap back to its historical mean. Some potential tailwinds for Crude Palm Oil include; 1) The reopening of China, which would increase the demand for palm oil from the world’s 2nd largest importer of the product. 2) Biofuel Mandates, which would put higher demand pressure on Palm Oil . 3) Slowing production growth in palm oil could lead to supply-demand imbalances, pushing palm oil higher as supply falters. One way to trade this price divergence would be to short the Soybean Oil – Palm Oil spread. This trade can be set up by selling 1 Soybean Oil Futures and buying 1 USD Malaysian Crude Palm Oil Futures . However, do note that in such a set-up, the position is not fully ‘hedged’ as the contract units are different, 1 Soybean Oil Futures has a contract unit of 60,000 Pounds (~27.21 metric tons) while 1 Crude Palm Oil Futures is for 25 metric tons. Sources: https: //www .tradingview.com/u/inspirante/ https: //www .cmegroup.com/trading/agricultural/files/spreading-cbot-soybean-oil-and-bmd-crude-palm-oil.pdf https: //www .cmegroup.com/education/articles-and-reports/palm-oil-spread-volatility-creates-opportunities.html https: // jakartaglobe.id/business/palm-oil-prices-production-to-drop-in-2023-gapki https: // oec.world/en/profile/hs/palm-oil
MYX:FCPO1!Short
by SirPoji
EURJPY BUYEURJPY currently has a score of +1, or a Neutral rating after adding up all categories. First, let's look at what institutional traders are buying/selling. We can see that theEUR has a long percentage of 69.98%, and we see that the JPY has a long percentage of 31.12%. This category receives a +2, as institutional traders favor the EUR. Taking a look at EURJPY, we see that retail traders are 42% long, and 58% short. We consider this information most useful when a market is at an extreme reading from retail traders. If the retail crowd is 60% or more positioned to one side, we get a +1 or -1. Currently, theEURJPY gets a reading of 0 in this category. Remember, if the retail crowd is very long, we will look to short, and vice versa. Taking a look at seasonality, we get a score of +1. What this tells us is that based on historical data, this market tends to rise during this month. Trend reading is based on the daily chart, using the 5, 8, and 21 Exponential Moving Average. The more 'aligned' they are, the stronger the trend up or down. In this case, we have a score of -2. Finally, let's look at fundamentals. GDP growth favors the EUR, inflation favors the JPY, unemployment favors the JPY and interest rates favor the EUR
ELong
by Jury_P