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Seasonality

Will Bitcoin Hit ATH Before Halving?I posted a Log Regression when #Bitcoin was 15k. I publish now when it is 62k. So CRYPTOCAP:BTC has already done x4. What now? Shall we break the ATH? Let's consider the pros and cons. This is why yes: ➕Increasing global liquidity. ➕So far, positive flow from ETFs. Here's why not: ➖Strong overbought ➖Previously, there was no ATH breakout before the halving. And immediately after, the "sell in May" season. ➖Strong sales began (in medium wallets), because many people consider ATH a good zone to sell the part. 💡Conclusion. If we do not break the ATH in the next 2 months, it will likely happen in the autumn. In the base case scenario, I only expect a test ATH unless ETF flows and liquidity increase significantly.
BNC:BLXShort
by FeelsStrategy
1
Nifty SmallCap 100 Elliot Wave ViewWave 2 of 3: This corrective wave occurred between September 2022 and March 2023, lasting approximately 28 weeks, as highlighted in the chart. Wave 4's Progression: The recent peak in September suggests symmetry in the cycle, mirroring Wave 2's timeline. If Wave 4 matches Wave 2 in duration (around 28 weeks), the current upward movement could still be part of the corrective Wave 4 rather than a new impulse wave. Time Symmetry: Considering the reverse channel projection and the similarity in duration with Wave 2, March 2026 emerges as a potential time window for the commencement of Wave 5 of 3, which could lead to a significant breakout beyond the current range.
NSE:CNXSMALLCAP
by Shivam_Gaba
BTC Huge Gap!!! We going back to 75k?Hey guys! Congrats all with BTC ATH and recent profits, I was not commenting the situation, because it was pretty clear, and we all know what was happening. But also, as we know, even in the bull cycle have to be corrections and consolidations. So here at the futures chart, we can see a huge gap around the healthy correction possible zone (max to 30%). Also, we have RSI oversold for sure and descending volumes. Plus, in December there were no promises about decreasing US Interest rate, so possibly December can end up in this correction phase. What's your thoughts about when and how much we could go? Let's chat in the comments =)
CME:BTC1!Short
by SheTradesHub
Is Now The Time To Call The Top?With a new higher high formed on the Dollar, which mitigated a monthly Order Block and weekly Fair Value Gap, is now the time to be asking whether the top is in and a major reversal is pending? Personally, I say yes, but price action still needs to confirm this as we can always continue trading higher. On the daily we have minor and major swing points from which IRL can be mitigated before a continuation higher and for the time being I'll be monitoring the various points as per the analysis for signs of a continuation higher or The subjectivity in my analysis stems from the fact that pairs are no longer trading in unison across the board with EU still tumbling lower with the Dollar while AU has begun shifting higher. UJ is not clear as it's exhibiting signs if going both higher and lower so monitoring further development will be key. My bias for the WEEK is as follows: DXY - LONG EURUSD - SHORT AUDUSD - LONG GBPJPY - SHORT USDJPY - LONG
Long
by The_Modern_Day_Trader
Crypto 4-Year Cycle, Monthly ViewThis chart paints a macro view of the 4-year cryptocurrency cycle, which is based around the Bitcoin halving events. This should give you a general idea of when a bull run is likely to occur, but you should use many other indicators for actual buying/selling decisions. A few quick notes on this chart: -BTC, ETH, and DOGE USD pairs are displayed on this chart (the top crypto, the top L1, and the top meme coin). -My definition of the the bull run is when BTC dominance begins to fall on the monthly chart. This is when things tend to go a bit parabolic for the rest of the market. The end of the bull run is marked by BTC dominance rising on the monthly chart. -The vertical yellow lines represent every subsequent 12 bars/months post-halving. -Dates are estimates as this chart is in the monthly timeframe. Results may vary in different timeframe views. -There are many other factors that may impact the 4-year cycle, such as ETH/BTC valuations, ETH dominance, USDT dominance, quantitative easing/tightening, black swan events, federal funds rates, etc. - none of these are considered in this chart. Enjoy! :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TJ2x_
Identifying cyclical opportunities in $HOOD for optionsNASDAQ:HOOD has been in a bull trend since June of 2022, and its price action has also been decently straight forward. Notes about NASDAQ:HOOD 's price action - 1. Hood's cycle lengths from low to low, in this daily chart are not uniform. 2. However the trends in between the swing lows and highs are secular. 3. Hood has been forming base lows instead of V pattern lows. How I'm trading $HOOD. - Since the trend is bullish it is best to stick with call options looking for confirmation of a cycle low to get long. - When NASDAQ:HOOD starts to form a base after a cyclical downtrend look for momentum to enter - Once identifying a swing high, exit calls and allow the next secular downtrend to play out - Each cycle consider if the macro tend for NASDAQ:HOOD is still bullish - Own NASDAQ:HOOD shares ** The timing band on this chart is a general area based off of previous cycles I'm expecting a base low and will be looking to get long.
NASDAQ:HOOD
by limit_buy_69
8