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Seasonality

The B-History of Bitcoin (BTC)Chart Breakdown: Bull Market Phase (Green Section) Measures the time taken from the cycle bottom to the peak. Displays the percentage gain from the lowest point of the cycle to the highest. Shows the number of bars (days) it took for the market to reach its peak. Bear Market Phase (Red Section) Highlights the correction from the peak back down to the next cycle bottom. Shows the percentage decline and the time taken for the market to complete its downward trend. Includes volume metrics to provide insight into trading activity. Full Market Cycle (Entire Duration) Captures the entire period from the start of the previous bull market, through the peak, and back to the bear market bottom. Displays the total number of days for a complete market cycle. Helps to visualize how Bitcoin's market cycles repeat over time. The chart offers a clear perspective on Bitcoin's historical price movements, emphasizing cycle duration and price trends, making it a useful tool for analyzing past patterns and potential future cycles.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by BANXXD
1
Sabre Corporation | SABR | Long at $3.00Sabre Corporation's NASDAQ:SABR earnings have slowly been improving since the pandemic and may be heading into profitability by 2025/2026. Disinterest in the stock may also be waning as the price creeps closer to my selected historical simple moving average (SMA, white and teal lines). Often, but not always, as the price nears this line, it jumps to make contact over a few weeks or months. Not to say that more volatility won't be ahead, but NASDAQ:SABR currently sits in a personal buy zone at $3.00. Target #1 = $4.00 Target #2 = $5.00 Target #3 = $6.70
NASDAQ:SABRLong
by WorthlessViews
GBP/USD Trade Recap – A Perfect Long Setup 1️⃣ Trade Execution – Why I Took the Long Position Today’s GBP/USD trade was a textbook example of combining Fibonacci retracements, smart money positioning, and seasonality trends to catch a high-probability long setup. 💡 Entry Details: ✅ Entry: 1.2600 (Fibonacci golden zone) ✅ Stop Loss: 1.2587 (Below structure) ✅ Take Profit: 1.2635 (Key resistance zone) ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 🎯 Result: Hit TP at 1.2635 for a solid profit! ✅ 2️⃣ Why This Trade Worked – A Breakdown of the Confluences 📊 Fibonacci Retracement – Perfect Pullback & Reversal Price retraced to the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone (1.2600 - 1.2593) before reversing. The bullish move was expected after a strong impulse leg, following smart money positioning. 📈 Smart Money & Retail Sentiment – Trading Against the Herd 🔹 62% of retail traders were SHORT on GBP/USD (as per DMX data). 🔹 Since I trade against retail sentiment, this provided a strong bullish confirmation. 🔹 Institutional COT data showed big players increasing long positions, further supporting a bullish bias. 🕵️‍♂️ Seasonality & Historical Trends Supported the Long 📊 15-year seasonality data indicated GBP/USD typically rallies in late February and early March. 📅 The next 3-5 day forecast showed a bullish probability, adding further conviction. 📉 Technical Confirmation – Momentum Indicators & Structure ✅ SuperTrend flipped bullish on the 4H chart ✅ Price was trading above key moving averages (EMA 6, 24, 72, 288) ✅ Broke above short-term trendline resistance, confirming upward momentum 3️⃣ Key Takeaways from This Trade 🔹 Trading with smart money & against retail sentiment = High probability setups 🔹 Seasonality provided extra confidence in taking the long trade 🔹 Using Fibonacci and EMAs for confluence led to a precise entry 🔹 Patience and risk management were key to securing profits 📌 Final Thoughts – What’s Next for GBP/USD? 🚀 With this bullish breakout, I will look for further longs on dips, targeting the next key resistance at 1.2680 - 1.2700. 👀 Are you bullish or bearish on GBP/USD? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Long
by LDForex_
2
Oil on the rise!?Recent COT data shows a decrease in short interest from commercial money, potentially signaling a shift in sentiment. Seasonal trends also support a bullish outlook for oil, with historical data indicating a strong price rise between February 7 and March 5. Over the past 34 years, oil has gained 69.7% of the time, with an average increase of 4.79%. From a technical standpoint, the price has broken higher from a corrective channel, suggesting further upside potential. A move toward the early 2025 highs of 80.44 could be on the cards. A breakout above this level would confirm a large bottom formation, paving the way for further gains in the months ahead. Trade setup: Buy on dips to 72.26, with a stop loss at 69.90, targeting a move to 80.44.
TRADENATION:WTILong
by Signal_Centre
1
History is repeating itself for BNB...Hello Traders 🐺, Over the past few days, I’ve noticed that BNB is outperforming the overall market . After BTC.D consolidation , BNB started pumping , so I decided to publish an idea about it. When I opened the chart, I saw something magical unfolding—a true piece of art, honestly! So, as you can see in the chart, history is trying to repeat itself again . Let me explain it to you: After the formation of a double top , the price enters a consolidation phase , or even better to say, we see a correction . This phase usually coincides with the BTC season, where we observe the formation of a rising wedge. Then, the final phase begins when BTC.D starts dumping and the altcoin season kicks off . Right now, we are very close to breaking out of the rising wedge! 🚀 ( Remember, this is not financial advice, and always do your own research )
Long
by Kiu_Coin
TOTAL2: When I’ll Deploy My Stables Back Into the MarketTiming the market perfectly is impossible, but using TOTAL2 and RSI, we can identify high-probability opportunities. Here’s my approach for the coming years. I bought during the last dip, but my exposure is still less than what I sold before the crash. Here’s why. Key Signals for Tops & Bottoms RSI Patterns: - Market Tops: Weekly RSI above 85 signals overheated conditions but does not always lead to an immediate reversal. - Market Bottoms: Weekly RSI near 30 has historically marked strong accumulation zones. - In the last seven years, RSI hit 30 only twice—2018 and 2022. I expect this level again within the next 24 months. My plan: I will deploy capital heavily when RSI approaches 30 again, securing long-term positions. TOTAL 2 Scenarios: What Comes Next? Scenario 1: Price Discovery - If TOTAL 2 flips 2021 highs, ETH and altcoins will likely reach new all-time highs. - Weekly RSI could exceed 85, potentially reaching 95, indicating extreme overbought conditions. - I will take profits aggressively at this stage while also using a DCA strategy, as precise timing is never certain. Scenario 2: Lower Highs Persist - If RSI fails to reach overbought levels, this cycle may be weaker than expected. - The 50 RSI zone is critical—if it aligns with oversold conditions on daily or 3-day RSI, it may present a selective buying opportunity. - I have already taken partial profits since November 2024 to manage risk in case of this scenario. Scenario 3: RSI Drop to 30 - This scenario appears likely within the next 24 months and would mark a bear market low. - If BTC, ETH, and TOTAL 2 all hit 30 RSI, I will fully deploy stables with high conviction, considering it a generational buying opportunity. Final Thoughts Summary: I will increase exposure once RSI confirms strong long-term buy zones, but I am managing risk in the meantime. What’s your take? Do you expect RSI to revisit 30?
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by DonVelarisTrading
When Alt-Season? Here's the Key FactorAlt-Season = BTC.D going down, but liquidity is king. Right now, I don’t believe we’ll see a true alt-season until the Fed starts QE. At the last FOMC meeting, Powell confirmed that QT will continue, meaning there is no reason to expect QE soon. For QE to return, something needs to break—whether in the stock market or the broader economy. Right now: - Stock indices are at all-time highs - The economy remains resilient But cracks could form later this year Possible triggers for QE: - A stock market correction - A credit event (bank failures, debt crisis) - A sudden economic downturn Why QE Matters for Crypto - QE (Quantitative Easing) = Fed buys assets → Lowers interest rates → Pumps risk assets. - QT (Quantitative Tightening) = Fed sells assets → Raises interest rates → Drains liquidity. Crypto thrives in QE environments—that’s why we had the last alt-season in 2021, during extreme money printing. In the chart, BTC.D is overlaid with Total Fed Assets. - When the Fed’s balance sheet expands (QE) → BTC.D drops → Alts pump. - When the Fed’s balance sheet contracts (QT) → BTC.D rises → BTC dominance increases. Bottom Line: For altcoins to outperform, we likely need another QE cycle. Without it, liquidity remains tight, and BTC.D stays high. What’s your take? Will QE return in 2024, or will the Fed hold the line?
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by DonVelarisTrading
2
GMAB / GENMAB / Likely this is the scenarioThe last 10 Years give us an idea how this stock moves. Today i bough some expecting around 20% profit until End of July. I look at Seasonality / seasonal price tendencies and identified a good period to be long in that stock. I have confidence in that and my entry was the break of yesterday candle. Feel free to contact me for some chat. Leave a like or comment or both ;-) Trade what you see, trade what you understand and trade carefully and risk adjusted! Cheers!
NASDAQ:GMABLong
by ernstschwarz
FTI CONSULTING / FCN Long IdeaSeasonality gives us a very high propability that we see 10+ % gain in price the comping das until mid of April. I am already invested but add to my trade as soon as we see some price action to the upside. Trade at your own risk and trade only what you see and understand. FCN is a quality stock in my list of shares I look at anyway, so it is good to find cheap price entries. The stock is undervalued, too. Fair price can be considered 210. Good Luck Cheers!
NYSE:FCNLong
by ernstschwarz
Golden Cross Alert! Altcoin Season is Imminent!Hello Traders 🐺 A Golden Cross has just formed, signaling a massive bullish momentum ahead ! Historically, this pattern has led to explosive moves in the market, and this time might be no different! With BTC dominance reaching key levels and money starting to flow into alts, the long-awaited Altcoin Season could be just around the corner! ⏳💎 Are you ready for the ride? 🚀📈 Make Sure to read my Ideas about ETH and BTC.D !
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by Kiu_Coin
EUR/USD Range-Bound but Ready to Break Higher? Since the beginning of the year, EUR/USD has been trading within a range, fluctuating between 1.0200 and 1.0440, aside from a few temporary spikes in both directions. While the overall trend remains bearish, I anticipate a relief rally in the near future, which could push the price toward the 1.0650–1.0700 zone in the medium term. In the short term, the market remains stable, with a strong support base forming around 1.0200. Given this setup, my bias is bullish, and I’m looking to buy dips, targeting 1.0500 as the first key resistance level.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob