Seasonaltrade
LONG run in Adidas📈I've placed a limit buy in this market because:
the long-term descending trendline was been broken
we have a bullish seasonality for Adidas
the price has broken above the 30's SMA
the price has broken above the prior swing high
the price has formed now a sequence of higher highs and higher lows (= bullish trend)
My 2 cents on eBay It's technically a quite bullish chart. The price has established an higher low, has broken above the 30's SMA and has broken the descending trendline, re-tested it and now it seems like we're in the game. ;)
Furthermore there is a bullish seasonality playing out ATM. So I put on my horns in this case ...
SEASONAL ANALYSIS 2020 BACKTEST - TO DOMINATE MUST ANTICIPATESeasonal trading can make an exceptional difference in your career as a trader no matter the currency, stock, or commodity. Seasonal patterns and price action sets you up for success in advance, once a seasonal pattern has been identified it is also good to look at the fundamentals and the technicals of current climate in which you attend to trade.
Building your seasonal analysis based on the higher time frames such as the (Weekly & Daily) to identify strong or weak seasonal bias, then going down to the (4H & 1H) to identify key technical levels for the best pre-defined entries.
GOLD NATURE PREDICITON | 8-JAN-2023By looking at the week TF chart I analyzed the following things that I want to share:
1. Duration of the first double top was 567 days
2. Duration of descending channel was 238 days
3. Formed a bullish rally (approx 76% up) of 21 months by breaking a major resistance level
4. Duration of the second double top was 574 days
5. Duration of descending channel was 238 days again
So the market manipulators (Big Boys) hopefully will move the market upside
Let's see what happens
GOING LONG IN ETH BY TRADING STRATEGYBullish Indications
1. Three White Soldiers
2. A good/significant support area where the price bounced back 3 times
3. A good resistance level of 0.236 fib level
4. 4 times out of 7 years December remains bullish
5. Bullish Shark Pattern
6. Bullish ABCD Pattern
Bearish Indications
1. Lower Highs and Lows
GOING SHORT IN XAGUSD BY TRADING STRATEGYBearish Indications
1. Trend is Mature Enough
2. Bearish Engulfing
3. Retest Resistance Level
4. Bearish ABCD Pattern
5. Bearish Divergence
Bullish Indications
1. Dow Theory Higher Highs and Lows
2. If it breaks the resistance it will continue its rally
3. According to seasonal data silver remains bullish in December
Going LONG EURJPY By Trading StrategyBullish Indications
1. Higher Highs and Lows
2. Tweezer Bottom and Bullish Engulfing on HL
3. Break 0.5 fib support level
4. Break Upper Resistance Trendline
5. Formation of Bullish Flag
6.12 out of 16 years December remains bullish
7. Trend is not mature enough to make it a reversal
Seasonal Data for the Past 15-16 Years
Dec-06 => Green
Dec-07 => Green
Dec-08 => Green
Dec-09 => Green
Dec-10 => Red
Dec-11 => Red
Dec-12 => Green
Dec-13 => Green
Dec-14 => Red
Dec-15 => Green
Dec-16 => Green
Dec-17 => Green
Dec-18 => Red
Dec-19 => Green
Dec-20 => Green
Dec-21 => Green
GOING SHORT in AUDUSD BY TRADING STARTEGYBearish Indications
1. Lower Highs and Lows
2. Three Black Crows on LH
3. Significance Resistance and support area
4. Head n Shoulder Reversal Pattern
5. 0.6591 and 0.66903 fib levels restest on 1D TF
6. Significance Bearish Divergence
Bullish Indications
1. December Remains positive for the last 3 years
There are more bearish indications so I will open a short position by managing proper risk/reward which is 3% of my portfolio
Trading Seasonal Market Patterns RecapTrading Seasonal Market Patterns
Hey traders today I wanted to do a recap of all the Seasonal Market Patterns covered in the series. Also putting it all together for yearly trading opportunities. These Seasonal Market Patterns can be very rewarding l to all of us in our trading if we know when to look for them.
Enjoy!
Trade Well,
Clifford
Getting reading for the next bull-run in CORNFinally, I've started scaling in on corn again. It's planned to be a thing of several weeks/months. Then let it go. By the time we're reaching the "scale out" point marked on the chart, the prices should be relatively higher than now. How high? I don't know. But it could be really high.
Corn Corn Corn 🌽🌽🌽This is my plan for corn. It is being orientated mainly on seasonality. That means:
I expect the price to drop a bit further or to go sideways during this summer.
According to seasonality, the low should occur around September.
Then the corn price should rise again according to typical seasonal patterns.
IF the FED keeps increasing the interest rates, the dollar's value will increase, and the price of corn shouldn't get so high.
IF the FED stops increasing the interest rates, the price of corn gets an inflation bonus on top.
I expect a food shortage to come up at the end of this year or next year, maybe because of the lack of fertilizer, infrastructural problems, or something else.
Bottom in SOXL is in?Arguments pro a bullish scenario in $SOX / $SOXL:
We have reached the 78.6 % fib retracement in SOXL
According to the seasonal chart from the last ten years (see the SEASONAX screenshot at the top), in 9 of 10 cases the $SOX had made a bullish move from the 17th of May until the 8th of June
At some point, the semiconductor shortage must affect the prices ...
Contra arguments:
$DXY is rising / interest rates are going up
... anything else?
I can't see any significant arguments standing against the bullish case in $SOXL. If you have anything - please drop a comment below!
📈🔜 Textbook-like bullish correction?Prologis has a strong seasonal pattern starting on the 8th of March. The price movement is currently forming a bullish flag after the 38.2 % retracement level has been hit. Looks healthy - looks IMO bullish. I see the chances of hitting the yearly high as damn high in the next weeks and months.