SPX - just an updatedThis rally was as premature as my will for a first date.
Driven by imagination and stopped by facts. I'm still expecting SPX to move within that white trajectory or around it for the time given.
Secretguy
BTC - Your Free signal of the day.... This is the easiest analysis you will see, but doesn't have to be complicated as long as it works.
When you turn candles into lines - you get rid of noise done by wicks - and focus on the close.
When you do this on BTC - local bottom @ $14k. Bounce from there
ETH/BTC vs BTC.D - now you knowNow you know why Alts have bounced - some big time, some just a bit. And why they are retracing now - We approach a compression area and these kind of curves as we see on ETH/BTC right now - tend to break to the downside - therefore a strong correction and big inflow to BTC should happen.
I was bearish on BTC Dominance - but after having more alt context and comparing those two charts - it looks like BTC.D is getting ready for a hunt of FVG above. Viceversa to ETH/BTC.
Unemployment Rate vs SPXI'm just the messenger.
SPX - orange
Unemployment Rate - Blue
Indicator - Moving Average out of Unemployment Rate
This isn't a rule, as many sectors influence the market, but big crashes have been paired with a growing Unemployment rate. Here we can see that it bottomed and is consolidating - which proofs a strong economy and no need to crash - this suggests the ongoing decline was just a correction.
To visualize this a bit more - I have coded a simple moving average to see when that curve will start heading up - and for now it isn't even turning up - this allows the market to push up before it starts turning.
But when it will ... Hold on to your seats lads and ladies. It's gonna be a fast ride.
Cheers!
NASDAQ - reminderJust a simple reminder that this fractal is still playing out 1:1 - Volatility is coming, either up (detach) or down (final crash), but it is coming.
VIX vs BTCOkay can someone explain this to me ? I guess not, Because I know that this can't be explained - and worst is - mathematicians have proofs of life being a "thing" made out of fractals - literally everywhere and between everything.
Well, back to markets - here We can See the Daily chart BTC fractal on the 1h timeframe of BTC - and also on the 1h timeframe of VIX - vis has played out nicely ( have posted about this fractal last week)
Now let's see if it leads us to low 19k on BTC.
NASDAQ fractal updateIt is scary how this is playing out - So far 1:1 and let's keep watching. Blow-off top or Blow-off bottom ?
BNB - A special ideaNormally I don't post Altcoins ideas here, but Here is a special one. I think everything marked on the chart speaks for itself . Treat it as a hint, not financial advice.
Total Crypto MarketCap - This is somekind of topCurve channels are dangerous - watchout ! You may hurt yourself !
But once you get to know them - You see they are even stronger indicators than trendlines. Can I go a bit poetic here and say that hOOmans aren't linear but are more fluid, curvy, complicated? Well, PA reflects sentiment, so all of this would make sense.
Long story short - I expect marketcap to dip after this touch - Specially with TrendExhaustion and Whale Money being totally exhausted on Daily Timeframe !!
BTC Dominance went down?!What a Surprise !!
Not really. These kind of movements tend to do so. HTF looks pretty bearish for Bitcoin dominance, from a fundamental side it is possible to see retail and minor sharks going into alts in order to profit quickly which would drag the attention from BTC - But at some point it will spike when nobody's aware.
So bearish for now but would have my eye on this.
BTC - ExhaustedSo many signs to be bearish:
-Daily exhausted
-Broken ltf parabolic curve
-3 bearish fractals (based on pa and sentiment)
-huge pile of longs until $14k.
Marked my area of interest and keeping that bias for now Until I see a clear reversal in stocks and crypto backend.
BTC/SPX fakeout ?!What a suprise ? We are possibly faking out a risk-on focus on the markets and we could see a downfall back to the descedning triangle - resulting in a bearish breakout afterwards.
Not bullish until orange line is broken.
DXY updated - I'm the DXY whispererJust kidding. Or Am I?
A picture is worth more than a 1000 words so I leave you with my chart - Nothing has changed - I expect a HTF consolidation withing a bullish flag/descending wedge - and more up in 2022/2023
LTF is bullish until reached top of wedge/flag.
Cheers!
SPX Euphoric, but noI'm not believing this run up, All is built up on rumours of a pivot that hasn't been even announced officially. Speculation at it's best, but it's gonna cost a lot of blood on the market.
SPX had a good run, but a 75bps hike is coming and it's not gonna end well. Also SPX deviated from US100 - expecting a recalibration to happen.
This week is going to be interesting.
VIX - Sentiment's unchangedVIX has been replicating 2008's sentiment 1:1. And has now retested the bottom - Ofcourse it can still consolidate or visit some local new lows but overall the idea is to keep this range - and go for the final blow.
Bearist for stocks.
BTC HTF FractalsSo what is your guess, what comes next?
Fractals from multiple timeframes found along BTC charts.
Final fall ahead before major bounce.
BTC/US100 swingingCrypto against Nasdaq - Swinging it's way down. Expecting to have hit a ceiling now - and bounce towards the downside - this type of curve channels tend to break to the downside.
BTC - Short.That is what I am expecting and am trading right now - Expecting a bounce down to new lows - The fractal is just a representation of what's expected although I don't see it going that low - $14k area seems in the reach ( will judge that when we get there) - further lows will be left for 2023.
Cheers!
BTC / SPX - hesitationCrypto has been hesitating lately - should it break out or not - consolidation has now lead into a breakout to the upside - But this doesn't convince me - I expect this breakout to be a fakeout that will drop very soon, If we cross the orange line, we will head towards the upper red line, but I personally won't trade that.
DXY - just taking a breakFinally taking a break, but it won't dip as low as 95-97 as many expect. Consolidation withing the descending wedge and up we go for more !
SPX - no surprises so farIT has pushed higher due to euphoria and expected FED pivot - which shouldn't happen actually. Therefore a fomo rally to be taken profits on. - expecting the price to go back to the white trajectory.
VIX - Look look !Well.. actually nothing to see here. All goes 100% as expected and expecting a bounce up from the circled area. Additionally I have underlined TrendExhaustion and RSi as they are showing signs of exhaustion - Bearish for stocks !!!
XAUUSD - anyone into gold ? Cool fractal right ? Well, this is it - for those who like fractals - matches almost perfectly all price movements - keep monitoring it !
