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Buy and hold these sectors to outperform the S&PThey say it's really hard to beat the S&P 500. I really don't think so. This chart doesn't show the performance of the semiconductor sector. It shows the *difference* between the semiconductor sector's performance and the performance of the S&P 500. This sector has consistently outperformed, even this year, when the sector faced major headwinds from flagging demand and the China trade war. With trade talks in the works and AI research booming, there's no end in sight to the semiconductor boom. Another sector that has blown away the S&P 500 is the software sector. Again, AI is booming, and the software sector is principally responsible for developing it. Plus, as we become more and more dependent on technology, this sector is responsible for creating the interfaces between ourselves and our devices. I anticipate no end to this sector's outperformance. Another long-time winner against the S&P is the aerospace sector. With an increasingly interconnected world, air travel should continue to be important. There's some possibility here that the industry will be disrupted by ground/sea transport alternatives like the hyperloop, but that's just a pipe dream at the moment. Aerial supremacy also remains central to modern warfare, and should remain so for the foreseeable future. And then there's the final frontier: space travel. The private sector has taken an increasing interest in launching satellites and spaceships, and the space travel boom should continue to grow unless it runs up against the Kessler Syndrome. Worthy of honorable mention is the healthcare sector. In my opinion, this sector has outperformed mostly due to a kind of inefficiency bubble. If the sector became notably more efficient-- either by cutting out middlemen and administrators or by implementing a more transparent pricing system-- it could experience a significant contraction. In some ways that's already happening, with the advent of teledocs and discount health clinics. There also remains a lot of political risk here. Republicans want to repeal more of the ACA, which could shrink the insurance market, and Democrats want to impose price controls and abolish private insurance altogether. P.S. To see how any equity's performance compares to the S&P 500, put "/SPY" after the ticker.
NASDAQ:SOXXEducation
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
4
Equities' Last Push 7-31-18Friends, as you can see from the linked ideas I have been able to use fib levels to good effect when predicting where price will go. Let's use them once more! As we can see, the Nasdaq (as well as several other indices including the all-important Russell 2000) have been bouncing off respective fib levels. Russell once again seems to say GO. This time, however, I expect limited upside. It appears the markets are in a larger-scale consolidation. They may be rolling over or, as the case may be, gathering strength for new highs. I'm sure the exact move will depend somewhat on the news. I conservatively target the boundary of the consolidation for trade completion. The Nasdaq in particular has been hard-hit due to poor numbers from tech names, and may be due for a rally. A trade is Nasdaq at this level is a 1:4 / risk:reward.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Ian_Carsen
1
CELG Q1 2018 Earnings on 5/4 - Are Traders Rotating In or Out?What a tumultuous market. Celgene reports earnings on 5/4. Earnings play aside, are traders and investors rotating into or out of pharmaceuticals? The market doesn't know what to do with itself right now. With a Fed meeting taking place over the next couple days, Caterpillar's CFO claiming we've seen a "high water mark" with Q1 earnings, rate concerns, trade concerns, and historic geopolitical uncertainty (especially regarding Iran's nuclear program), some traders claim we've already seen April and May's strongly anticipated earnings rally. If that's true, 1. what a squishy rally, and 2. where do we go from here? Thanks in advance for lending me your attention! Pharmaceuticals are a wild card among the classical winners (usually, financials, materials, and energy) and losers (REITs, utilities, etc.) in a late-cycle rotation. It can be argued a lot of Wall Street cash has sought the arguably greener pastures of cryptocurrencies. But could we see prices move upward along the right side of the chart in pharmaceutical companies? CELG reports earnings on 5/4. Celgene took a dive on 4/30 on troubling news about a drug in its development pipeline. Did that drop make Celgene a bargain buy? CELG's drop on bad news has put it at technical support. The uncertainty of its earnings report and the market overall has it arguably priced cheap. Is Celgene a cheap buy in this market with a possible earnings surprise on 5/4 and upside potential with a rotation into pharma? Please like, follow, and share, and maybe we can have fun and do great things together. Thanks again! See it on the site: holsturr.com/category/markets/charts/ ** For speculative and research purposes only - good luck! **
CLong
by holsturr
Steel is looking AMAZING right now!!!!!Hey Guys, Gonna make this very quick. Steel is looking ridiculous right now. It broke out of its logarithmic resistance (extremely hard thing to do, took around 8 years), is at a daily resistance right now of around 51.60, and has fantastic potential to jump up to 57.00-58.00 MINIMUM, 76.00 being Aggressive. That doesn't even include the new tariff Trump put in place! I don't prefer to invest in ETF's, so I've found some very specific steel or steel-related value stocks who have grown with the same correlation as the ETF but at a faster Rate of Change. I posted about one recently, VALE, so feel free to check that one out. There are still a couple of gems I've found that I haven't posted about, so see if you can go find them on your own!! Always try to diversify portfolio's anyway but not in some random, bullshit way. Try to find sectors or stocks with high growth potential and diversify among a couple of them! Steel is a great diversification from Technology so if you have a Nasdaq heavy portfolio, feel free to add some steel to it! I wouldn't invest yet though, if we break 52 with good volume though, 57 should be achievable in no time and the 5-Day MA should begin to slope upward. Remember though, do not, and I mean ever, for anybody, follow their advice blindly. I'm not licensed in any way shape or form, just interested to share my ideas with y'all and start a discussion, so make sure to do your own DD! Any questions, leave them down below!
AMEX:SLXLong
by croganm
2
Retail ripping back higher XRTWe've seen a massive rip in retail with XRP in the last couple days. Finally breaking out of this 6 month long Head and Shoulders bottoming pattern. Breaking out over that neckine of 42 was the buy signal. Overall, retail is still in a down trend, and that downward trendline from 2015 highs is our target as well as where we should face profit taking and resistance. It is also coincidentally the 200% measured move of the head and shoulders pattern. Those technical levels always work out despite what the nay sayers may tell you. THE TRADE: Long over 42 (head and shoulders neck line) Target 45 (measured mvoe of head and shoulders) Stop under 42 We want to be buying the dips on this rip until we reach our target.
AMEX:XRTLong
by BerlinTrader591
How much will overbought Materials Sector Fall? XLBThe Materials Sector SPDR Fund has been in a bull trend since the end of the financial crisis. The trend has narrowed but remains upright since December 2016. The fund has been in a more specific trend channel since February and has created firm support and resistance levels. The fund is currently at that resistance level. Below I have laid out the reasons and levels to which the fund may dip will it continue its overall bull trend. When we take a look at technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 64.9868. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. Currently the RSI is below overbought levels, however, the RSI has developed a resistance point of its own. The RSI has been reaching lower highs since December 2016 and is once again at this key resistance point. If the RSI begins to retreat, the fund should follow suit. The true strength index (TSI) is currently 4.4168. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. Like the RSI, the TSI has created relative resistance since December. This indicator is about to hit that threshold. Failure to substantially break above this resistance, the fund should drop in the near-term. The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.1174 and the negative is at 0.7410. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. These indicators have been in a relatively tight trend since mid-February. When the positive VI was last at its current level, the fund tapered down which ultimately led to a drop to the fund's support line (dotted pinkish-purple on the chart). The stochastic oscillator K value is 92.2124 and D value is 87.3198. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The stochastic currently overbought, but the D value has not overtaken the K value, meaning the fund could produce gains for a few more days before ultimately turning downward. The last three times the fund hit its resistance, it did manage to drop down to its support level in less than 12 days. The first drop was in January over 9 trading days and it resulted in a 3.62% decline. March saw a 3.41% decline over then following 6 trading days while April had a 2.91% drop over 11 days. These timeframes and declines could be blueprints for the current bounce off of the resistance level. Considering the RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction favors a move to the downside. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the fund could drop at least 2% over the next 23 trading days if not sooner.
AMEX:XLBShort
by StockSignaler
Hershey's CoCo Sector Report - January 28, 2017Materials and Finance both started the week flat, moved up for a couple days, then remained steady on Friday while the US and World markets were down. If the US and World indexes are up next week I expect much from these two! Real Estate and Consumer Staples (Non-Cyclical) were the clear Sector losers taking back all the gains they made early in the week to finish weak. Materials had over 60 stocks > 5% for the week... compare that with Real Estate that had only 9! Good trading! Brian Hershey ***************************** Check out my "Hershey's CoCo World" indicator, available now for your US stock and sector evaluations. "CoCo World" helps to answer the following question: Is this stock moving alone or with the US and world markets? No stock is an island, so it's important to see what everyone else is doing. Useful across all time frames, small and packed with info!
AMEX:XLB
by bnh
1
Hershey's CoCo Bear Sector Report - January 23, 2017Finance and Industrial looking BEAR lately! Going down more than the market since mid December, 5-6% more to drop until next support levels from late November. ******************** Hershey's CoCo Indicator details: Very Bull = Blue Arrow = Sector and Market prices are up, Sector price up more Bull = Green Arrow = Sector and Market prices are up, Market price up more Bear = Red Arrow = Sector and Market prices are down, Market price down more Very Bear = Black Arrow = Sector and Market prices are down, Sector price down more Neutral = No Arrow = Both movements equal Arrow Length = Strength (the longer the arrow the bigger the difference) Green Background = Bull = Above zero Moving Average of all arrow values Red Background = Bear = Below zero Moving Average of all arrow values To review, the Blacks and Blues are the HEAVIEST pressure... the LONGER the STRONGER!
AMEX:XLIShort
by bnh
Hershey's CoCo Bull Sector Report - January 23, 2017I got Real Estate and Utilities mid-term bull... beating the market in daily upward price movement since mid November. Real Estate still has 12%+ until it hits next big resistance from last August. Utilities have 8%. ******************** Hershey's CoCo Indicator details: Very Bull = Blue Arrow = Sector and Market prices are up, Sector price up more Bull = Green Arrow = Sector and Market prices are up, Market price up more Bear = Red Arrow = Sector and Market prices are down, Market price down more Very Bear = Black Arrow = Sector and Market prices are down, Sector price down more Neutral = No Arrow = Both movements equal Arrow Length = Strength (the longer the arrow the bigger the difference) Green Background = Bull = Above zero Moving Average of all arrow values Red Background = Bear = Below zero Moving Average of all arrow values To review, the Blacks and Blues are the HEAVIEST pressure... the LONGER the STRONGER!
AMEX:XLULong
by bnh
JP Morgan remains strong - outperforming SP500The underlying bullish trend remains intact, as prices post new highs. Momentum studies are already overstretched, however, but downside risks are likely to remain limited as monthly studies remain strong and investors maintain a buy-into-dips strategy. JP Morgan is also outperforming the SP500, and as a proxy for the broader based US Financials Sector, asset managers are likely to maintain an overweight stance in this sector.
NYSE:JPM
by Michael_Macdonald-XATSUK
MASSIVE TOP - EQUITY RESIDENTIAL SECTOR - SHORT#EQR - MASSIVE DOUBLE TOP ON THE MONTHLY (SEE CHART BELOW) ILLUSTRATED VOLUME LOOKS TO CONFIRM EXPECTING FALLS OF AROUND 21-24% SEEING NEW 52WEEK LOWS THE EQUITY RESIDENTIAL SECTOR LOOKS TO BE COMING DOWN WITH NET OPERATING INCOME FOR THE FULL YEAR EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN 4.5% AND 5.5% DOWN FROM ITS PRIOR VIEW OF 5-6%.THE COMPANY IS NOT MEETING ITS PRIOR GUIDANCE ON NEW LEASES WITH PROBLEM REGIONS BEING IDENTIFIED AS NEW YORK AND SAN FRANSISCO. ACTUAL CAUSE OF THE SHORTFALL IS THAT EQR HAS BEEN FACING AN INCREASE OF SUPPLY TO COMPETE AGAINST THOSE MARKETS. THIS COULD BE A SIGN OF MORE TROUBLE TO COME FOR EQUITY RESIDENTIAL WITH MANY OF ITS STOCKS PUSHING THE MARKET DOWN FURTHER.
NYSE:EQRShort
by wolfstreetswinger
6