SEDG Solaredge - More losses ahead?Solaredge Chart Analysis
The stock is in a clear downtrend since February
with a Significant resistance level at around $32.11
The Minor support seems at around $17.12
Increased volume during price drops indicates strong selling pressure and
Prices below the EMA are clues for bearish momentum
Key Points for a Trade
Entry: Consider waiting for a break below support or a pullback at resistance.
Stop-Loss: Set slightly above recent swing high ($24) to manage risk.
In case of pullback look for Stops at around $32.90
Trend continuation: Be cautious at EMA crossover or strong volume spikes, which could indicate a trend reversal.
Additional Clues:
Todays Put Option Volume increased 1,4 times of what was expected indicating bearish flow
SEDG
TAN - Invesco Solar ETFSimply go long, it's the future! If the USA doesn't want to increase this ETF by 20 or 30 or 40%, the world will end up on its last legs! NVDA won't save the planet!
ENPH
Enphase Energy, Inc. 10.11%
FSLR
First Solar, Inc. 8.64%
NXT
Nextracker Inc. 7.68%
RUN
Sunrun Inc. 7.10%
3800.HK
GCL Technology Holdings Limited 5.01%
0968.HK
Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited 4.45%
ECV.DE
Encavis AG 4.18%
HASI
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. 3.71%
SEDG
SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. 3.47%
NEOEN.PA
Neoen S.A. 3.35%
SEDG forming double bottomsReasons for bullish bias:
- Price is at strong support
- Price formed double bottoms on weekly
- Entry at neckline breakout for further confirmation
- Strong bullish divergence
Entry Level(Buy stop): 106.25
Stop Loss Level: 58.17
Take Profit Level 1: 154.33
Take Profit Level 2: Open
SolarEdge to Reduce 16% of Workforce SolarEdge ( NASDAQ:SEDG ), a prominent player in the renewable energy sector, finds itself grappling with significant challenges as it navigates through turbulent market conditions. Despite its innovative solutions and prior successes, the company's recent performance has been overshadowed by a slew of setbacks, including a stark downturn in revenues and a daunting inventory backlog.
Earnings Report
The company unveiled a bleak outlook for the first quarter of 2024. With revenues projected to range between $175 million to $215 million, substantially lower than analysts' expectations of $406 million, SolarEdge's ( NASDAQ:SEDG ) stock took a nosedive, plummeting as much as 23% in extended trading. This downward spiral comes on the heels of a challenging period marked by persistently high-interest rates and sluggish demand in the residential solar market.
CEO Zvi Lando attributed the company's woes to a confluence of factors, including adverse market dynamics and an inventory glut resulting from a sudden downturn in demand. SolarEdge ( NASDAQ:SEDG ), known for its expertise in manufacturing inverters crucial for converting solar power into electricity, found itself saddled with excess inventory amidst weakening sales. Lando highlighted the struggles faced in both European and U.S. markets, with the latter expected to remain subdued until interest rates witness a significant decline.
To address the looming inventory backlog and mitigate the impact of dwindling revenues, SolarEdge ( NASDAQ:SEDG ) announced sweeping measures aimed at cost reduction and operational streamlining. This includes a substantial workforce reduction of 16%, closure of select manufacturing sites, and strategic exits from certain business segments. While these measures are aimed at bolstering the company's resilience in the face of adversity, the road ahead remains fraught with uncertainties.
Looking ahead, CEO Zvi Lando expressed cautious optimism regarding the potential rebound of the European residential solar market in the first quarter, followed by gradual improvement thereafter. However, the timeline for clearing the inventory backlog extends well into 2024, underscoring the prolonged challenges confronting SolarEdge ( NASDAQ:SEDG ). Amidst intensifying competition and a rapidly evolving regulatory landscape, the company finds itself at a critical juncture, requiring swift and decisive actions to regain its footing in the market.
Conclusion:
SolarEdge's ( NASDAQ:SEDG ) recent travails serve as a stark reminder of the inherent volatility and challenges pervasive in the renewable energy sector. As the company charts its course through choppy waters, stakeholders remain vigilant, awaiting signs of a potential turnaround. The path ahead may be fraught with obstacles, but with prudent management and strategic initiatives, SolarEdge ( NASDAQ:SEDG ) retains the potential to emerge stronger and more resilient in the long run.
SolarEdge Faces Turbulent Times Amidst Layoffs and Revenue FallSolarEdge ( NASDAQ:SEDG ), once a stalwart in the renewable energy sector, finds itself at a crossroads as it announces a massive layoff plan, cutting 900 jobs – a move that underscores the harsh realities of a sharp decline in revenue. The company, which had witnessed an 80% drop in valuation, is grappling with unforeseen challenges, including postponed orders, cancellations, and a challenging macro environment for renewable energy companies.
The Downward Spiral:
SolarEdge's descent from grace has been rapid, marked by a series of setbacks that have eroded its market value. The company, a former member of the S&P 500 until just two months ago, now faces a four-and-a-half-year low in its stock prices since September 2019. The current market valuation of $3.9 billion is a far cry from its peak at $20 billion in mid-2022, when it stood as the largest Israeli company on Wall Street.
Revenue Fall and Analyst Surprises:
The heart of SolarEdge's predicament lies in its financial downturn. The company revealed that its revenues for the fourth quarter of 2023 are expected to be a staggering 55% lower than the already diminished figures from the third quarter. Analysts, caught off guard by the severity of the decline, had predicted a drop in revenue but not to such an extent. The third-quarter revenues of $725 million were themselves 27% lower than the second-quarter revenues of $991 million.
Factors Behind the Freefall:
SolarEdge attributes the sharp decline in revenue to a myriad of factors, including the postponement of orders and cancellations from customers and distributors in Europe. The company is also contending with increased inventory, a challenging macro environment for renewable energy companies, and the impact of changes in tax incentives in the U.S. and Europe. The rise in interest rates, making financing projects more expensive, has further strained the industry's sensitivity to cost increases in the renewable energy sector.
BlackRock's Contrarian Move:
Despite SolarEdge's woes, investment giant BlackRock has taken a contrarian stance, increasing its stake in the company over recent months. According to a report filed with the U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC), BlackRock held a 15.8% stake in SolarEdge at the end of 2023, up from 9% in its previous report in April 2023. This move raises questions about BlackRock's confidence in SolarEdge's ability to weather the storm and bounce back from its current challenges.
Conclusion:
As SolarEdge ( NASDAQ:SEDG ) navigates through these turbulent times, the layoffs and revenue plunge serve as a stark reminder of the volatility inherent in the renewable energy sector. The company's ability to adapt to changing market conditions, address internal challenges, and regain investor confidence will determine its future trajectory. In a landscape where renewable energy companies face multifaceted challenges, SolarEdge's journey unfolds as a cautionary tale and an opportunity for introspection within the industry.
The Invesco Solar Etf TAN based on the Global Solar Energy IndexThe Invesco Solar ETF is based on the MAC Global Solar Energy Index (Index). The Index is comprised of companies in the solar energy industry.
Wall Street investors have only short-sold the future of the planet! They have shorted all the players that could be a solution to climate change (personal opinion).
With the upcoming U.S. presidential elections, I expect that new financial promises will be put forward, and this ETF will regain strength.
TAN etf, ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT $1.32B
ICLN etf, ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT$2.54B
TAN: Enphase, First Solar, SolarEdge, Sunrun, GCL Tech, Xinyi, Hannon Armstrong, Array, ...
ICLN: First Solar, Vestas, Enphase, China Yangtze, Orste, EDP Portugal, SolarEdge, Suzlon, ...
Solaredge Multi-Timeframe AnalysisHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
♻️ SEDG ✅Trade in the canalSolarEdge Technologies
Symbol NASDAQ:SEDG
Market Cap 11.70B
Short Float 3.18%
Target Price 330.50
P/E 78.03
Trading idea
Swing trade with 3 points of profit collection.
#1 - Target Price = 260$
#2 - Target Price = 290$
#3 - Target Price = 330$
Simple trade, long inside the channel.
As we see it has reached its support zone.
Change of direction points.
This is not a recommendation to buy or sell, just a trading idea.
Not an investment advisor.
Have Fun.
TAN big break outbig down trend break on TAN ( solar etf). retesting the break out now intraday. solar can really be the leader of next run when ever we get that. solar names like ENPH SEDG are 7-8% away from ATH's. extra ordinary relative strength.
TAN is already up 15% in 2 days, so might be over heated in short term but long run looks really good.
Solar Energy descending-triangle BreakoutSolar energy ETF is currently breaking out of a descending triangle.
There are multiple resistance levels to take into account. However, a measured move from the current break of the triangle, is taking us to $113 approximately, which is my mid-term target.
MACD has been uptrending while the price has been downtrending, the divergence is bullish signal for this breakout to hold.
The MACD histogram has also been positive for the divergence period.
Volume still needs to improve.
Right on the edgeSedg has had a great run and has been recently testing the top end of the range. Range highs and lows are always potential phase transition points. We will either see a reversal back into the range or a further breakout. Given the stocks recent big move and the overall sentiment in the solar space I am less confident about the breakout but I am still on the sidelines for now waiting for a more definitive close in either direction.
TAN Don't BurnWe're taking profits in the Solar ETF ticker TAN following a rapid run from an Extreme Turn BUY on Dec 16. Aggressive traders might look at initiating a tactical short on the Extreme Turn SELL signal that triggered our exit. The two largest components of TAN are SEDG and ENPH that both have charts that not surprisingly look the same as TAN and are both into areas of resistance.
The Extreme Turn hybrid indicator identifies potential turning points that can lead to quick countertrend moves.