Sell-signals
EURNZD- Shorts upon head and shoulders confirmationWe can see we have created a double top, but what also looks like a head an shoulders formation, although it is not the cleanest if we can break this neckline then it will confirm this head and shoulders pattern. However I will only be looking at taking shorts upon a confirmed lower low then on the retracement of a lower high.
GBPJPY- Shorts setting up upon confirmationHere we have GBPJPY on the daily timeframe, a nice breakout of this longer term ascending trendline, creating a lower low, we also have a little correction happening where price is now interacting with the 50 fib level, If we can get a breakout of this short term ascending trendline I would look to short this pair.
Altria Inc- Short OpportunityLong-term opportunity on Altria, parent company of Philip Morris USA (producer of Marlboro cigarettes). Great dividend stock, sustainable because it is covered by operating cash flow. The price is currently touching the above trendline of this downtrend channel. We'll be looking for a breakout of the rising trend to go short.
Always keep in mind it is a game of probabilities!
GBPUSD head and shouldersAfter successfully selling EUR, AUD, GOLD against USD, now it's time for GBP.
Here the formation is extremely clear - head and shoulders. We already have the formation of the right shoulder and we are waiting for the breakthrough.
This break can take the price to 1.2949 and 1.2838.
You can support us by liking and commenting
GBPJPY Long Setup & AnalysisAccording to the latest GBP COT Report, we can see that the Sterling is getting even a stronger upward momentum due to its increasing long size contracts. If we see this trend continuing, we can expect a possible 160.000 attempt, where there will be a second touch with the monthly trendline. We can expect this to happen in the upcoming 2021.
After price got rejected a few months ago near the 125.000 area, we saw strong demand pressure. This pushed price above the 139.000 mark, and now we can expect a move towards 150.000. Then we can see how price reacts and if we see demand pressure kicking in once again, we can prepare ourselves for the 160.000 move.
Right now, there is one possible scenario:
1. Price going towards 141, where it will get caught in our daily supply zone. Then price will fall to the daily demand zone below near 135.500. There we have a triple confirmation – the demand zone itself, the daily blue dotted trendline and the golden 0.618 Fibonacci level. This will give us an opportunity to enter a long trade towards the 147.000-150.000 area.
Happy Trading!
Brent Crude: $44.50 is breaking 🛢TECHNICALS: Morning traders! Brent crude is reaching its highest level since early March on US stimulus hopes and ahead of the EIA oil inventory data. Strong breakout candle forming on the 1-hour chart.
RISK SENTIMENT: Risk-on this morning, supporting higher oil prices.
HOW TO TRADE: Looking for a pullback to previous resistance and trading pullback weakness. Strength in the correction might send oil back into its previous range, so be aware of a possible fake breakout!
EURNZD Long Setup & AnalysisWhen we compare last week’s EUR and NZD COT Report, we can see that the EUR is dominating once again with its long contract positions. This week we saw another huge increase and for the near future we can expect the EUR to hold its strong upward momentum. This may lead the EUR/NZD pair to reach the psychological 2.0000 mark.
For more than 3 years now, price keeps respecting our weekly bottom trendline. It was broken twice, but demand pressure came not long after. This on the other hand lead to multiple attempts to reach the monthly supply zones near 1.80000 and 1.90000. The COVID-19 Pandemic pushed priced over the 1.90000 and it almost reached the 2.0000, but a rejection came right away, and we didn’t see a weekly close above 1.90000.
A few weeks ago, price reached the bottom trendline and it received support once again. From a technical and COT perspective, we have 1 possible scenario:
1. Price moving towards the 1.90000 area, where it aligns perfectly with the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the previous down wave. If we see a strong break above it, a move towards 2.00000 may take place. While price moves towards
the weekly critical zone, a couple of small corrections may happen.
Happy Trading!
AUDJPY Detailed Analysis - Short SetupAccording to this week’s JPY COT report we can see that the Yen is stacking up even more long contract positions. We can expect it to hold a strong position among most of the pairs surely till the end of the month.
AUDJPY has been in an uptrend since the false breakout in March 2020 where it reached the 60.000 mark near the monthly critical area. Now it has passed several critical zones without doing any correction and from a technical perspective it is a good time to do so before moving up towards the 85.000 area.
The following structures give us a clue of how it will happen:
1. A formation of a reverse head and shoulders can be seen on the weekly timeframe.
2. A “M” formation can be seen on the 4H timeframe.
On the 4H timeframe we are in a closed triangle structure which is coming to its end. After the strong close on Friday we can expect a second top in the daily critical area near 76.500. Afterwards the rejection will take place.
Our target will be the 70.000 mark.
Happy Traidng!