SHORT ON NAS100Nas has been failing to break highs.
Highs continue to get Lower coming from a major resistance area.
Telsa, Amazon and others facing back lash for many political reasons. (negative)
I will be selling nas before unemployment news today that expect more people to be unemployed. (negative)
News could set this trade on Fire to the downside.
Selling
SHORT META Ahead of Earnings Report Based on Insider Selling"Meta Platforms Insider Sold Shares Worth $22,132,922"
Mark Zuckerberg, 10% Owner, Director, Chair of Board and Chief Executive Officer, on January 15, 2025, sold 35,921 shares in [eta Platforms. Following the Form 4 filing with the SEC, Zuckerberg has control over a total of 353,696 shares of the company, with 353,696 controlled indirectly.
Jennifer Newstead, Chief Legal Officer of Meta Platforms sold 905 shares of Class A Common Stock on January 14, 2025, at a price of $604.54 per share, totaling $547,108. Following the transaction, Newstead directly owns 31,105 shares of Meta Platforms.
Jennifer Newstead, Chief Legal Officer of Meta Platforms, sold 905 shares of Class A Common Stock on January 21, 2025, at a price of $618.0 per share, totaling $559,290. Following the transaction, Newstead directly owns 30,200 shares of Meta Platforms.
The sales were conducted under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan adopted on November 30, 2023.
Olivan Javier, Chief Operating Officer of Meta Platforms, sold 413 shares of Class A Common Stock on January 21, 2025, at a price of $618.0 per share, totaling $255,234. Following the transaction, Javier directly owns 16,275 shares and indirectly owns 95,287 shares through various entities.
The sale was conducted under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan adopted on August 30, 2023.
Breakout Signals via Asymmetrical AveragingSpecial Application of Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change Indicator
INDICATOR AVERAGES BULLISH AND BEARISH VOLATILITY SEPARATELY THROUGH THEIR NATIVE PAST CANDLE COUNT. NOT PERIODICALLY!
Asymmetrical averaging is a versatile technique that involves assigning different lengths for independent averaging of opposite market forces. This adaptability uncovers high-probability breakout signals by establishing a threshold that filters out irrelevant fluctuations.
Below, I illustrated 2 practical examples of the method applied to bullish and bearish breakout scenarios:
Bullish Breakout Example:
Set the bullish averaging to 30 and the bearish averaging to 1000.
If the bullish average consistently surpasses the bearish threshold, it indicates robust buying momentum and a potential breakout to the upside.
The extreme bearish average establishes a consistent baseline, filtering out short-term fluctuations and focusing on significant upward momentum to deliver reliable bullish breakout signals.
Bearish Breakout Example:
Set the bearish averaging to 30 and the bullish averaging to 1000.
If the bearish average rises above the bullish threshold, it signals growing selling pressure and a potential breakout to the downside.
The extreme bullish average provides a steady reference point, eliminating minor fluctuations and isolating significant downward momentum for dependable bearish breakout signals.
LINK TO THE INDICATOR:
Raw VS Percentage Volatility FormatA Quantitative Comparison of "Buying & Selling Pressure" and "Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change"
In market analysis, the choice of averaging method can profoundly influence the insights derived. The "Buying & Selling Pressure " and "Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change" indicators demonstrate the unique strengths of fixed-period and candle-count-based averaging approaches.
Key Differences Between Fixed-Period and Candle-Count Averaging
Fixed-Period Averaging in BSP:
➡︎ In "Buying & Selling Pressure", candle metrics are averaged over a defined period (e.g., 14 bars).
➡︎ This provides rapid insights into market sentiment changes, making it ideal for tracking incentive shifts and volatility in real time.
➡︎ However, because this method includes all candles in the averaging window, it may reflect short-term fluctuations, offering less stability compared to candle-count-based methods.
Candle-Count Averaging in ABBPC:
➡︎ "Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change"uses a predefined count of bullish or bearish candles for averaging percentage changes.
➡︎ This produces stable and reliable values, which are less sensitive to noise and better suited for risk and reward assessment.
➡︎ The focus on specific candle states ensures that only relevant market behaviors contribute to the averages.
Using Percentage Change for Risk Definition
One of the greatest strengths of the "Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change" indicator is its ability to assist in risk and reward calculations with much more market related figures instead of raw values of volatility:
Defining Risk
The average percentage change of bearish candles can serve as a dynamic stop-loss level.
For example, if the average bearish percentage change over the last 10 candles is 2%, a trader can set a stop-loss at 2% below their entry to account for typical market behavior.
Quantifying Reward:
The average bullish percentage change helps identify realistic profit targets.
If the average bullish percentage change over the last 10 candles is 3%, a trader can set a target at 3% above their entry to maintain a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Dynamic Adjustments:
As the market evolves, these average percentage changes update, allowing traders to adjust their risk and reward levels in real time for better precision.
Quantitative Advantages of Percentage Change Averaging
Normalization Across Price Levels:
Percentage changes enable consistent comparison across assets with vastly different price ranges.
Enhanced Stability for Risk Assessment:
Candle-count averaging smooths out noise, offering a reliable basis for setting risk parameters like stop-losses and profit targets.
Improved Predictability:
By isolating specific candle behaviors, percentage-based metrics provide clearer signals for trend-following or mean-reversion strategies.
Advantages of BSP’s Fixed-Period Averaging
Despite being less stable, "Buying & Selling Pressure " excels in areas requiring speed and adaptability:
Fast Incentive Tracking:
Period-based averaging adapts quickly to changing market conditions, providing timely insights into shifts in buying or selling pressure.
Broad Volatility Capture:
BSP includes all candles in the defined period, capturing overall market dynamics, including sudden spikes or reversals.
Real-Time Decision Making:
Its responsiveness makes it highly suitable for momentum or breakout trading strategies.
Bottomline:
Use "Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change" for stable, consistent data ideal for risk assessment, particularly when defining dynamic stop-loss levels or profit targets based on average percentage changes.
Use "Buying & Selling Pressure " for its speed and adaptability in tracking real-time shifts in market incentives and capturing volatility.
GBPJPY H8 - Short SignalGBPJPY H8
We have a nice setup here yet again, with our crosshairs on that 193 handle for GBPJPY. Last weeks price movement on Friday was wild, to say the least, over the eastern session we took off 100's of points, before closing the day down towards 190 price. 600 points from top to bottom we saw, from the likes of ***JPY, this was very impressive!
With the exception of the fakeout to the upside, albeit it headline driven, we have now seen a subsequent correction, which takes us back towards that 193.000 handle, a confluence zone and an area we could look to sell.
Stops would be around 50 points at 193.500 covering recent highs, and take profit targets would be every 100 points.
KEY KeyCorp Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the KEY KeyCorp options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $14 strike price Puts with
2023-6-16 expiration date for about
$0.27 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Gradual Gold meltXAUUSD analysis:
Gold has broken the descending trend-line that was connecting the bodies of the candles on the 4H this was (also acting as a resistance) line holding price.
Another descending trend line has been issued this time wick to wick to see if we have a fighting chance on the 4H but if this one will not hold we might see price approach the next major resistance area @ 2401.93.
GRPN, THE LITTLE COUPON APP THAT COULD (EARNINGS CHART)Can it keep going? Technically, yes. I see numbers up to $40.
However, I'm posting this because I see this idea as far more likely to occur is some form.
It looks like a potential top is about to occur.
At these levels, with momentum, a drop could take price as low as $4. If not lower, down to $2.
It's hard to be bullish on this stock with a chart like this.
In other words, I'm saying, I don't know if there is more upside, and if there is, I'm okay with missing it because I'd rather not be wrong and ultimately lose money on the downside.
Mostly a question of risk vs reward.
I would ultimately be bearish overall.
I think the pink zone might see a top and I think we could see trends break all the way down to the blue zone.
Current pattern is highlighted.
XAUUSD SELLING OPPURTUNITY 💯Discover an enticing Selling opportunity in GOLD as it undergoes a critical retest of a key resistance area. With market analysis, technical indicators, and price action as your allies, evaluate the potential downside move. Stay vigilant and informed to capitalize on this precious metal's market dynamics.
XAUUSD 90% CONFIRM ANALYSISDiscover an enticing Selling opportunity in GOLD as it undergoes a critical retest of a key resistance area. With market analysis, technical indicators, and price action as your allies, evaluate the potential downside move. Stay vigilant and informed to capitalize on this precious metal's market dynamics.
Gold melting a little?In the final days in December gold's strength has started to weaken. Wednesday December 27th 2023 is the last high we saw gold peaking around 2088.41. A massive and consistent downtrend has come right after that with a clear formulated structure with lower-low's and lower-high's. Monday January 08th 2024 is when we saw a pull-back and momentum revitalize it's self with going stabilizing itself seeing more stride with it's price trying to gain value back to the upside. Yesterday Tuesday January 9th 2024 during New York session it's seemly lost it's momentum but we can see that Monday's New York session has made clean traffic with price to the upside which in turn will be great for pin pointing where gold will go.
*** KEY ANALYSIS ***
I'm looking for GOLD to break and CLOSE under 2023.83 on a 30M time frame. This will confirm more of a downtrend considering the clean traffic and move up from Monday New York session that had alot of volume
-- Close under my zone at 2023.83
Target 120 pts on candle break and close.
Stops: anywhere above opposite side of the zone at 2027.43