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When Relief Rally Coincided with Quad WitchingYM1! The US equity market selloff in Q1 was pretty fierce due to a confluence of reasons. Even the large-cap stocks have entered Oversold territory, as suggested by the RSI on the E-mini Dow future. Since the middle of March, the equity market experienced a typical round of relief rally, coinciding with the Quad Witching, when a large amount of derivatives expiration, order flow, and rebalancing happened. Now the Dow is far away from the Oversold level, and the previous support has become overhead resistance. The decline will likely resume as the Fed is determined to tighten financial conditions to fight inflation. Entry at 34400, stop above 35450. Targets are 32500 and 30000. Disclaimer: The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by inspirante
DWAC Donald Trump vs Elon MuskAfter it took some of the market capitalizations of both Twitter and Facebook: now Trump media is facing a real opponent: Elon Musk. one of the most admired men in the planet. Musk transformed TSLA into a cult, the first meme stock, before meme stocks were cool. And it looks like the only one who can save Twitter too. In which he bought a 9.2% stake, worth $3Bil. In this situation, considering also Trump`s appreciation for Putin and that the US should leave NATO, i think its SPAC won`t get too much sympathy in the near future. In fact, i even expect a retracement to the 23.50 support. and you know that i am not bias when it comes to the stock market. i was the first calling the 150 price target for DWAC (it reached $175): Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
DShort
by TopgOptions
15
Is this the end of the bull market?Hello to everyone, I know these are difficult days for some of you – Bitcoin and many Altcoins are in the edge of a free fall – and you are confused what will happen. Was that a bull trap? Is this the end of the bull market? Last days Ukraine – Russia tensions are boosted by media over and over again. News like energy crisis, financial crisis, even an imminent World War 3 are reproduced all over the world and cause panic and uncertainty to most people. Whales control the Media and manipulate the crowd caused fear or greed. Then whales take advantage of situations and buy or sell respectively. Crisis Brings Opportunity. Uninformed investors give them their coins at the lowest prices. Politics is a very complicated game. Do not bet your hard-earned money on bad news or FOMO. Keep calm and let the market shows you what will happen. Let’s take a look at the charts. Bitcoin is trading in sideways for over a year. The crucial support level for a bearish reversal confirmation is at $28.8k. A decisive breakdown and close below that -in HTF 1M-, will signal the end of the primary trend (bull market) and the start bear market. At the time of writing this report, BTC is traded at $40.4k. Earlier today $39.6k support violated. If this level break, price may reach $35 – 33K very quick. Why? Because below $39.6k there are many stop loss order, novice traders will be panicked and some of them will short sell to cover their losses. We are still above the: short term bullish trendline Crucial support $39.6k Medium term bearish trendline The white rectangles on the chart are the most crucial support/demand areas for Bitcoin. If you’re bullish on Bitcoin place your limit buys near there. There is no guarantee that it will hit $35k or $29k again – before the primary bear market. Risk management – Stay to your plan – Control your emotions. The most important of all. If you can’t manage this situation, take some days off with family and friends. Do not overtrade. If you like my report, like, follow me here & on Twitter.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Rhaonnor
BITCOIN BTC-USD DEATHCROSS SIGNALS BEARS HAVE WON!Major sell off of bitcoin STILL LOOMING..I have also seen multiple death crosses on many other benchmarks. The feds and algorithms on our manipulated and rigged markets is trying really hard to rally and prop of all markets not just cryptocurrencies. These rallies will not hold in my opinion. The BEARS HAVE WON and i am seeing confirmed signals of a permanent bearish reversal that is leading to a possible recession globally. All other major worldwide benchmarks are being affected and suffering equally as well. BITCOIN ACTS MORE LIKE A BENCHMARK THAN A HEDGE. IT SEEMS TO FOLLOW THE SIMILIAR BEHAVIOR IM READING ON OTHER BENCHMARK CHARTS. IT IS NOT A HEDGE ANYMORE AND MORE THAN LIKELY NEVER REALLY WAS. WE HAVE THE TULIP MANIA ALL OVER AGAIN. IT ACTS LIKE THE DOW, NASDAQ OR S&P. Just my theoretical analysis of what i see. Take it with a grain of salt. Thank You, Cryptobuzzanalyst Disclaimer I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) is for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoBuzzAnalyst
Was the ROKU sell-off predictable?I warned you about than since i saw the Double Top Bearish Chart Pattern of ROKU last year: and then the Netflix earnings, thinking ROKU, as a former Netflix project, will be next: Now, after the earnings, i see a retracement to the May 2019 level. Net Sales: $865.3 million vs. $894 million expected Diluted EPS: $0.18 vs. $0.05 expected For 2022 Roku sees adjusted EBITDA similar to 2020 levels of $150 million vs The Street estimates of $535 million in adjusted operating profits.
NASDAQ:ROKUShort
by TopgOptions
1
SHOP Shopify First Price Target Reached On Feb 3rd i was writing this article saying that the price targets after the Feb 16th earnings are $715 and $531: At that time, the price was $929. i know it seemed ridiculous. But today the fist price target was reached and i have closed 50% of my position. The Slowing Growth Outlook was the main catalyst for the selloff: "There is caution around inflation and consumer spend near term, for the full year.”, Shopify officials said, adding: "full year revenue growth will be lower than the 57% increase in 2021." My price target for this year is $531. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:SHOPShort
by TopgOptions
1
TWLO the next PTON ???Twilio lets companies converse with customers through text messages. The company expects to be profitable on a non-GAAP basis in 2023. But it already has a mk cap of $36.02Bil + 19% in the pre-market, it`s a 42.84 Mk cap for a non profitable company. How further the growth thesis go if Royal Bank of Canada has a Price target of $400 for it??? Even though it is trending now, in my opinion Twilio will be the next Peloton because of its ack of profitability. My price target is $130. Q4 loss of $291.4 million quarterly loss of $0.20 per share VS a loss of $0.21 Zacks Consensus Estimate VS earnings of $0.04 per share a year ago. Fourth-quarter revenue increased to $842.7 million VS analysts’ average estimate of $768.6 million. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:TWLO
by TopgOptions
4