Selloff
Club Moon is opening its doors?Looks like the bulls managed to skate by the bouncers at the 2017Q2 lower support trendline. Then the market rallied at the news of Goldman-backed startup Circle buying Poloniex . To my horror, I watched my shorts die a terrible death as the stampede of bulls rushed the market north $500USD in less than 30 minutes!
The BTC Yazuka didn't just open the doors, they gave the bulls a free pass to Club Moon! Or, did they? Looking at the limit orders on CEXIO exchange, I see a major sell wall at $11.4K with well over 500BTC waiting for the harvest. Are the bulls simply here to fatten up before the bears feast on their tasty steaks? Time will tell!
Of course, that sell-wall could easily evaporate or move the goal-posts north. But at this moment, that looks like the next barrier. The buyers appear far and few in between compared to such a sell off.
If the bulls manage escape the bear's teeth at the $11.4k sell-wall, then we could see enough rocket fuel to jet past the 61.8% fib onwards to just below $13K.
Good luck trading!
<<< For entertainment purposes only, this does NOT constitute financial advice. I'm not responsible for your losses and profits. Nor am I your investment advisor. >>>
AMZN continuing to crash into the next week.Amazon.com shares are just overvalued and overbought at this moment. After the crash it will gain momentum again. Amazon continuing to go down tomorrow, will rise slightly in the next trading session, but will fall to 1200 by Tue. Continue to check VIX and Nasdaq Composite, there are better stocks out there.
AMZN is still going down.... :-(Amazon continues to dip, and stock market corrections continue to dip, VIX is back up and AMZN is not taking a good reaction.
AMZN Long term >1m NEWS:
www.bloomberg.com
www.bloomberg.com
I do see it going up right after the market selloff, so watch out for that either tomorrow (FRI, FEB 9) or next week.
BTC going DOWN over the bubble, selloff, Mar UncertainThe BTC Bubble is going down, so ETH will see a takeover. the up and down triangle curve pattern is crude, 3 tiny selloffs each "bounce" so expect to see BTC to up slightly then back down. Rebound torward 1 week, then another selloff. Futures are extremely risky, will ETH win? Is BTC overbought? More on that tomorrow at 8:30 AM PST.
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US Stock Market Biggest Point Decline In History. Whats Next!The Dow Jones Had Its Biggest Point Decline In History Today After A 2.5% Decline On Friday. (See Additional Charts At Bottom Of Description)
The Dow was down 1,600 points (6%) at one point of the day but ultimately closed down 1,175 points, down 4.5 percent on the day and roughly 10% from all time highs! The US Stock Market is now negative for the year after surrendering all of 2018’s gains in less than 1 week. Today we saw a global equities market sell off with the exception of a few major indices. We also saw some very suspicious and significant movement in the Bond market.. At the Dows lowest point of the day, it was down over 6% bringing it within 1% of a market shutdown. For those of you who don’t know, I will explain simply and quickly- If the market falls 7% in any single day, a protective circuit breaker will be trigger and shut down the US stock market to prevent panic selling!
Ironically, right as the Dow approached a 7% decline we saw a massive wave of buying that temporarily cut the dow losses in half- pushing the market from 1,600 points down to 800 points down in minutes! I have been doing this for a long time and I have never seen so many investors try to catch a falling knife like that! This was abnormal and definitely caused by a 3rd party trying to stop the rapid decline. This ultimately did not work and the markets sold off again.. After the closing bell at 4:00pm we saw a further sell of in after hours trading.. Today was a very significant day and a huge sign of how the year 2018 may end.
Now that we have covered todays action in the financial markets- I know many people are wondering what will happen from here. Although nothing is a guarantee, I have a couple theories on what we may see next.. My experience tells me that this type of sell of will not just end and would normally continue in a REAL market however there is also the scenario that the big boys were “running stops” otherwise known as “shaking out the weak hands". The objective behind running stops is to push the markets down hard and fast causing people to sell out of fear and others to sell their investment due to stop loss orders they have placed to protect the risk of losing more than a certain amount of their investment. This method of running stops is a serious money maker for Wall St!
After they shake the weak hands out, the market continues higher leaving the people who sold out of fear, or got their stop loss order triggered kicking themselves! Please research this term to get a full understanding of what this means if you are not sure. With that said, I would not be betting on that scenario just yet! In this game you must be patient and never jump the gun. There will always be an opportunity to make money and it is more likely to occur with patience and unemotional judgement. After seeing what we saw today, we can only expect a further decline. Until that changes we must side with the sell off. Its not everyday that action like this happens in the financial markets- In fact it is very rare in this day and age and definitely something you should not underestimate!
On a brighter note TradersNsights had the best trading day of the year so far and we hope others were able to do the same. This type of volatility can produce amazing trading opportunities for a professional trader when capitalized on correctly!
I hope everyone made out ok and if you have any questions, please feel free to ask! Stay patient, unbiased, and manage risk. Lets see how tomorrow plays out.
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SRUN - Silver Run is Running DownStock had sudden momentum push up, and seems to have been let go for a "return to sender" move.
Risky trade here with wide stop to account for shorts who intend to cover.
Need to stay in if the trade happens to work out.
Stop at 10.65
Target at 9.98
Craziest chart of the day....The market that has been wildly bullish was ripe for at least a small correction and this chart says we got the party started. Don't jump on the bandwagon just yet of "this is it, the big crash is here!" Corrections happen and moreover some of the best trading days are just 1 to 2 days after the worst. This could offer a great opportunity for buying dips, be ready.
CAD/JPY Short SetupFundamentals:
- NAFTA Negotiations uncertain, any signal at termination would cause loonie to sell-off
- JPY tight inverse correlation to global stock market, therefore a sell-off in markets would benefit this positioning
Technicals:
- Clean break of uptrend
- 100 Day MA crossover
- Ichimoku transition line crossing baseline
Comparing BTCUSD sell-offs and what to expect now.Chart says it all.
I'm looking for a capitulation style sell-off that could reach about $8,000.
Look at the sell-offs from 2500-1800 and from 3500-2800.
EMA 850 looks like a very strong bounce line but we can dip slightly below it.
The one thing I'm worried about is the lack of real support since we pushed through 7k very fast.
Let's see what happens.
Don't invest what you cannot afford to lose.
Don't over-leverage.
BTC looks bad short-termBTC broke out of its resistance, but then swiftly broke through several layers of support, as you can see in my previous analysis here:
This is my prediction of how the future movements will be.
I expect 11.8k support to hold, with perhaps a long spring to 11k. If that support does hold, it will recover all the way to 16.2k.
EURUSD Gap-Filling Rally (Long)Actually there are no clear theme/sentiment today (no fresh news on Eurozone side i.e German Coalition, Monetary Policy worries or confidence, anything on QE?, anything on inflation, U.S Tax Reform mania have faded.. what now?) so I go back to the "bigger picture" right now :
1. Eurozone is in economic growth (bullish for EUR)
2. They tapered the QE and thats an outlook for future tightening (mildly bullish for EUR)
3. Market have fully priced in for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rate in December, so they yet to see fresh news on will the Fed raise further rates in 2018. At the time being, dollar is "neutral" today (mildly bearish for USD)
Technically, weekend gaps always gets filled eventually. Technical USD selling could push EURUSD into the weekend gap.
Top forming for BTC?BTC is about to complete a H&S pattern. However, what gives rise to an even more bearish outlook in terms of a potential sell-off, is that a drop from the lower high could surpass the prior low and support of 8000. If this happens, and especially if also the lower orange support line is crossed, I'm expecting a significantly deep sell-off.
However, I'm unqualified to give any financial advice - which this is not - and this is just my own opinion :)