Bears return - pushing prices down at the end of the week⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) hovers near its all-time high after hitting a new peak in early European trading on Thursday. The surge follows US President Donald Trump's comments suggesting a potential trade deal with China. At the same time, geopolitical tensions rise as Trump claims Ukraine initiated the war with Russia and hints at repayment for US financial aid.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's January meeting minutes had little market impact, with only a few FOMC members favoring steady rates. Expectations for a possible rate cut in June remain intact.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price moves within the H1 trend line in the Asian session at the end of the week, selling pressure creates market liquidity, pay attention to important support zones: 2919, 2906
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2919 - $2921 SL $2916 scalping
TP1: $2924
TP2: $2928
TP3: $2935
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2905 - $2907 SL $2900
TP1: $2915
TP2: $2922
TP3: $2930
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Sellsetup
GBP/JPY SELL IDEA (R:R=5.9)Placed a sell order for G/J at 190.695. We have a beautiful X CRAB that just formed on the 30 minute chart.
Trade with proper risk management please since we have news announcements coming out at 4:30 AM EST today.
GBP-Flash Manufacturing PMI
GBP-Flash Services PMI
Stop Loss: 191.285
Take Profit: 187.200
Happy Trading!
Attempt to find ATH again for the 3rd time - gold price down⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
US real yields, which move inversely to gold prices, rose 4.5 basis points to 2.086%, putting pressure on bullion.
Fed Governor Christopher Waller expects President Donald Trump's new trade restrictions to have only a minor effect on prices. Meanwhile, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker reiterated his support for steady interest rates, noting that inflation remains high and persistent.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold returns to ATH 294x zone, 3rd attempt to create ATH but will continue to decrease, need more tax news in the near future
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2942 - $2944 SL $2949
TP1: $2935
TP2: $2920
TP3: $2910
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2901 - $2899 SL $2894
TP1: $2906
TP2: $2915
TP3: $2925
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
ENTRY SELL - retest breakout 2907 Gold News:
🔆U.S. President Donald Trump has directed officials to develop plans for reciprocal tariffs on nations that tax U.S. imports, though he has not yet formally announced any duties.
Additionally, Trump warned that tariffs on automobiles could take effect as early as April 2, heightening fears of a global trade war and providing support for XAU/USD.
Meanwhile, as U.S. and Russian officials prepare for discussions in Saudi Arabia, Russian forces have intensified their assaults in eastern Ukraine, further increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Comment:
🔆SELL entry price zone, resistance zone 2907, in sideway price zone and accumulation
Analysis:
🔆H1 frame, DOW formation, entry SELL resistance
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell Gold 2907 -2910
❌SL: 2915 | ✅TP: 2900 - 2895– 2890
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Gold price starts to adjust down sharply yet, next week?✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 02/17/2025 - 02/21/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold price dipped below $2,900 on Friday but remains on track for a strong weekly gain of over 0.80% as traders take profits ahead of the weekend. Despite mixed US economic data, the Greenback hit yearly lows, and US Treasury yields tumbled. XAU/USD is currently trading at $2,883, down 1.48% for the day.
US retail sales saw a sharp decline in January, further weakening the dollar. However, gold found support as traders adjusted their positions, benefiting from safe-haven demand. Following the data, investors priced in multiple Fed rate cuts, driving the US 10-year Treasury yield down to 4.472%. Meanwhile, Industrial Production rebounded in January after a weak previous month.
🔥 Identify:
The H4 frame is still in an increasing range, gold prices may soon adjust down more strongly, in the context of waiting for the Trump administration to take actions to impose taxes on other countries in the world.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2908, $2942, $2957
Support : $2831, $2790, $2722
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold continues to maintain sideways below 294x, accumulating⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) continues to climb during Friday’s Asian session, supported by concerns over US President Donald Trump’s tariff plans and a drop in US bond yields.
However, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain its hawkish stance and keep interest rates high could limit further gains for the non-yielding metal. Traders are now focused on the upcoming US Retail Sales data for January, set to be released later in the day.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The uptrend is still going on, however profit-taking selling pressure still exists around 294x, gold will still accumulate around 2900 or more.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2942 - $2944 SL $2949
TP1: $2935
TP2: $2927
TP3: $2920
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2903 - $2905 SL $2898
TP1: $2912
TP2: $2920
TP3: $2930
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold price recovers, BULL and PPI news⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) edges higher during the Asian session on Thursday, extending its rebound from the $2,864 level seen after strong US inflation data. Concerns over a potential global trade war, fueled by President Trump's new tariffs on commodity imports, support demand for the safe-haven metal. Additionally, a slight dip in the US Dollar (USD) further boosts gold's appeal.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
In the uptrend, gold price has recovered to the price zone of 2920, accumulating to find the old ATH of 2944.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2927 - $2929 SL $2932 scalping
TP1: $2923
TP2: $2918
TP3: $2910
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2941 - $2943 SL $2948
TP1: $2935
TP2: $2928
TP3: $2920
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2877 - $2879 SL $2872
TP1: $2885
TP2: $2892
TP3: $2900
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
USDJPY - Accumulation move - trendline SELL H1News:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) is stabilizing after reaching new record highs, seeking a clear direction on Tuesday following China’s response to U.S. tariffs announced over the weekend. In retaliation, Beijing applied a 15% tariff on under $5 billion worth of U.S. energy imports, including coal and liquefied natural gas (LNG), along with a 10% levy on American oil and agricultural machinery. Additionally, China plans to launch an antitrust investigation into Google. The markets remain uncertain about the impact of these countermeasures, leading to volatile price movements on Tuesday.
Analysis:
Price is mainly moving sideways in the price range of 155,800 - 153,800, waiting for entry SELL TRENDLINE USDJPY today
Signal :
SELL USDJPY : zone 155.550 - 155.750 SL 156.100
TP: 155.300 - 155.000 - 154.500
Good luck trading everyone
Eur/Joy sell setup UsdJpy gave confluence to this. I'll be looking to go short from 159.788 you can wait for H4 rejection of the zone before looking for sell opportunities or you go aggressive, it depends on the kinda trader you are.
Taking the 159.5 as Inducement my point of interest looks valid and I'll be anticipating what price would do at that level.
Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴
UsdJpy Sell idea I'm looking for short opportunity at 154.085 which is the H4 point of interest. Though that zone also aligns with daily key-level.
Previous week was bearish, breaking the 152.026 monthly level. So I'll be looking to short to that monthly level hoping this week close bearish as well.
Gold finds ATH price zone above 2880, sideways above 2835⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) increased its gold reserves for the third consecutive month in January, supporting gold prices as China remains the world’s largest gold consumer. Reserves rose to 73.45 million fine troy ounces, up from 73.29 million in December. Economist David Qu from Bloomberg Economics noted that the PBOC is likely to continue diversifying its reserves amid growing geopolitical uncertainty.
Meanwhile, US labor market data released on Friday indicated continued strength, which could delay Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. The US added 143,000 jobs in January, below the expected 170,000, while the unemployment rate edged down to 4.0% from 4.1%. As a result, traders now anticipate only one Fed rate cut this year, potentially boosting the US Dollar and pressuring gold prices.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold accumulates in a good growth price zone, around 2880 and adjusts sideways at the beginning of the week.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2884 - $2886 SL $2891
TP1: $2878
TP2: $2870
TP3: $2860
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2852 - $2854 SL $2849 Scalping
TP1: $2858
TP2: $2863
TP3: $2870
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2831 - $2833 SL $2826
TP1: $2840
TP2: $2850
TP3: $2860
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
PLTR -- more volatility forecasted into MarchExpecting quick progression to 118$ level as final buy-side wave near term.
Looking for renewed significant selling action from that level to retrace price back to pre-earnings levels near 80-85$
Possibility exists (imho) that we fully retrace back to 63-64$ levels by April timeframe, depending on sentiment as we head into next FOMC meeting in mid-March.
After that, my cycles analysis indicates we will continue higher toward 120...Therefore, I will be planning on taking profits on put option contracts once underlying share price reaches below 85$, and will plan on scaling into long equity positions on discounts between 64-85$ for the projected subsequent buy wave to 120+
SCALPING XAU ! resistance 2882 entry SELL today⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield dropped to its lowest level since December 12 this week, driven by expectations of two Fed rate cuts by the end of 2025, further boosting demand for non-yielding gold.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee attributed the recent inflation stagnation to base effects, emphasizing the need to balance overheating risks with economic stability. Meanwhile, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan acknowledged significant inflation progress but noted that the labor market remains too strong to justify imminent rate cuts. However, this did little to strengthen the US Dollar.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Nova still thinks the market today will have a surprise for NF, the market will fall freely, going against the current majority psychology.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2881 - $2883 SL $2888
TP1: $2870
TP2: $2860
TP3: $2850
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
NF - Will the BIG SELL happen or not?⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
China has imposed tariffs on select US goods in response to President Trump’s 10% levy on Chinese imports, escalating trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies and reinforcing demand for safe-haven gold.
On the economic front, the US Department of Labor (DoL) reported that initial jobless claims rose to 219K for the week ending February 1, up from the previous week’s revised 208K. Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration is less concerned about the Federal Reserve’s rate path and is instead focused on lowering 10-year Treasury yields.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The market is too expecting a price increase - big FOMO will have high risks. NF news will shock the market today, BIG SELL will happen
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2851 - $2949 SL $2845 scalping
TP1: $2855
TP2: $2860
TP3: $2865
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2813 - $2811 SL $2806
TP1: $2820
TP2: $2828
TP3: $2835
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
EURUSD Short Term AnalysisNews:
EUR/USD fell significantly to 1.0250 during the Asian and European sessions as Trump’s tariff war on imports from Canada, Mexico and China kept the US dollar steady and weighed on the pair.
Analysis:
On the daily chart, the bearish trend remains dominant with consecutive lower highs, indicating continued selling pressure. However, the downside momentum is showing signs of slowing down, which could lead to a short-term bullish correction. The key resistance level combined with Fibonacci to watch is the 1.0320 – 1.0350 zone, where fresh selling pressure could emerge if the price fails to break.
When trading the EUR/USD pair, it is necessary to closely monitor economic reports from both the EU and the US, especially the interest rate decisions of the ECB and the Fed, as well as the tariff policies of both sides
In summary:
The short-term trend of EUR/USD is bearish due to the US tariff policy causing the strength of the dollar to increase, but there may be an upward correction. However, the ECB is also preparing cautious measures to avoid depreciating the EUR against the USD. The long-term forecast is that the EUR will still rise due to the policy of reducing interest rates to promote strong growth of the EU economy
GBP/JPY: Bearish Setup to Expect Levels
From the recent price action on the GBP/JPY 1H chart, the pair has shown signs of exhaustion after a corrective pullback into key Fibonacci retracement levels. The latest upswing appears to have found resistance around the 0.786 Fibonacci level (near 191.60–192.00), which suggests limited upside momentum.
- Bearish Momentum: The RSI is rolling over from overbought conditions on lower time frames, hinting that sellers are stepping back in.
- Fibonacci Confluence: The identified Expect Level 1 (~190.29) and Expect Level 2 (~189.73) coincide with Fibonacci extension targets—an indication that these levels could see a reaction or bounce.
- Price Structure: The broader trend on the 1H chart remains to the downside, with lower highs forming since the pair topped earlier in the week. A retest of the 0.786 fib area has fueled sellers to push price lower again.
Expectation
- A potential breakdown toward 190.29 (Expect Level 1) is likely if the current corrective bounce fails below 192.00.
- Further bearish follow-through could drive price down to 189.73 (Expect Level 2), aligning with Fibonacci extensions and support levels.
Energy Policy and USDWTIKey Entry Points:
Ideal Entry: $78 (Sell Position)
The $78 level was an optimal sell entry, primarily due to the declaration of emergency in the energy sector made by the new administration. This policy move is expected to increase energy production significantly. The current administration is heavily investing in the energy sector to mitigate price increases in other sectors, combat inflation, and maintain or reduce it. This macroeconomic context highlights why $78 was a strategic sell zone.
Current Entry Opportunity: $74 (Sell Position)
From a technical analysis perspective, $74 is a notable resistance level. While this level carries more risk compared to $78, it presents a viable sell opportunity due to price inefficiency beginning at this point. Observing the daily chart, we notice an efficient bearish trend with a clear price inefficiency that originated at $74. This inefficiency creates a strong resistance zone, making it a reasonable point for continuation to the downside.
Technical Analysis Across Timeframes:
Daily Chart:
The current bearish trend remains intact. The inefficiency at $74 reinforces the case for selling at this level. While not as secure as the $78 zone, it offers a good probability for a continuation to lower levels.
Weekly Chart:
The market is currently in an impulsive phase. However, no significant support or resistance zones are evident within this timeframe. This lack of structural confirmation increases the risk of entering at this level.
Monthly Chart:
The monthly chart shows a clear rejection from a downward resistance. This reinforces the bearish outlook and aligns with the target at $70.80, which represents a strong support level.
GOLD DUMP ... POSSIBILITY OR NAH?Hello everyone, hope you're all having a wonderful day !
Price is currently heading to a block of orders just around 70 and that's why M5 was used to sharpen entries for a tighter Stop... kindly use proper risk management if you're comfortable using a stop of 20 pips !
Happy new year everyone !
AUD/USD Sell-Off Continues! More Pain Ahead? The AUD/USD pair is showing clear signs of bearish continuation as price respects a higher timeframe Fair Value Gap (FVG), rejecting attempts to push higher. Additionally, high-impact news against the Australian Dollar has accelerated downside momentum, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Key Observations:
✅ HTF FVG Respect – Price reacted strongly to the daily FVG, showing a rejection pattern.
✅ Bearish Momentum – Fundamentals align with technicals, pushing AUD lower.
✅ Sell-Side Liquidity Target – Eyes on 0.61305 as a major liquidity grab zone.
Trade Outlook:
Expect further downside movement, but watch for potential retracements into the FVG before continuation lower. If price remains below 0.62703, the probability of a deeper sell-off increases.
DYOR and manage risk accordingly! 📉🔥
SCALPING ! GOLD ! Gold sideways - selling pressure pushes price ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
US President Donald Trump directed his administration to implement emergency 25% tariffs on Colombian imports. However, the tariffs were paused after Colombia agreed to fully accept all illegal migrants returned from the US.
On Tuesday, Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on pharmaceutical and computer chip manufacturers, along with upcoming measures targeting aluminum and copper industries, with potential consideration for steel and other sectors.
These actions reignited concerns over Trump's protectionist policies, raising fears of inflation. As a result, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond rebounded from a one-month low, strengthening the US Dollar and pressuring Gold prices.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Price is currently sideways - sellers have more advantage. Wait for SIDEWAY price zone, entry SELL 2745
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2744 - $2746 SL $2749
TP1: $2740
TP2: $2735
TP3: $2730
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GBP/USD SELL IDEA (R:R=9.9)Selling GBP/USD now. A wonderful BAT formation just formed on 4 hour chart. Already forming lower highs and lower lows on smaller timeframes.
Stop Loss is: 125.332
1st Target: 1.23830
2nd Target: 1.23416
3rd Target: 1.22990
4th Target: 1.21600
Hope everyone is able to take advantage of this analysis! :)