Bitcoin Wait for a good longThe bullish case is strong, but proper risk management is essential if you're looking to go long. The current market is heavily overleveraged with long positions, causing sharp wicks and rejections, typical of a bull run.
I plan to wait and open a position at $60,750, keeping in mind that the price could drop further to $57,700, where I also plan to enter. However, don’t sleep on that level—it might be the last opportunity to open a long at a good price!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
Sellsideliquidity
WTI USOUSD Short day tradingBearish Arguments
VANTAGE:USOUSD
Previous Month Low (PML) is holding strong.
Previous Week Low (PWL) remains unbroken.
Previous Day Low (PDL) is respected.
Daily Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) is acting as resistance.
Monthly Bearish FVG is also being respected.
4H Bearish FVG is holding.
4H Swing High is capping price action.
4H Swing Low is holding as a short-term support, but may break down soon.
Trade Management
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2
Stop-Loss (SL): Placed near the 4H FVG to protect against upward moves.
Take-Profit (TP): Targeting the swing low (SSL). Although price could extend lower, securing profits in this zone ensures gains in case of a rebound.
Risk: 3%
XRP Wait for the HUGE opportunity🔻 Tough week for $XRP. The price has been a rollercoaster 🎢, leaving investors exhausted.
💡 Opportunity: The next time the market picks up momentum, we could see a major breakout. I'm looking to go long in the marked zone.
⚠️ Advice: Don't rush in expecting a bounce. Save liquidity and stay patient until the right opportunity comes. Patience pays 💰.
BINANCE:XRPUSDT
ARB/USDT 15m / D BB & FVG / ELLIOT / LIQUIDATIONS / FIBOAccording to higher timeframes, the market sentiment is bullish. We are moving within an ascending channel with the potential to rise to 0.7416. To increase the probability of this outcome, the price needs to establish itself above the ascending channel.
Locally, within the range of the daily breaker block (D BB) and the daily imbalance (D FVG), three potential entry points are visible:
1. Liquidity grab (Sellside liquidity)
2. 0.5 Fibo
3. 0.618 Fibo / bottom of the ascending channel
4. The target is the local high, which is at the midline of the channel.
Locally, based on the EFIATR oscillator, volume, and liquidation levels, there is a likelihood of growth. According to Elliott Wave theory, a 5-wave pattern and an ABC correction in the 4th wave are visible, which further increases the probability of upward movement.
BTCUSD: The Rally Is Just Beginning, Probability Confirms6M: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
3M: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
1M: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
2W: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
1W: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
3D: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
1D: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
If you have any questions, need further clarification, or would like to share your own insights, feel free to leave a comment below!
The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you may lose some or all of your investment. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
58.55% Probability of USOIL Bullish Continuation This Week!Based on a mechanical top-down structural analysis from higher to lower timeframes, there's a strong probability (58.55%) of a bullish continuation in USOIL this week.
This analysis, combined with hourly timeframe probabilities , suggests a favorable outlook for price movement.
Follow me with the detailed top-down analyses linked below to see the key factors contributing to this bullish projection on FX:USOIL
12M:
6M:
3M:
1M:
2W:
1H:
2H - Entry:
Take a look at these analyses to see the details behind this trade idea.
If you have any questions or want to discuss further, feel free to ask.
Let's make this a great trading week!
TSLA: Short-term Probability Analysis | 57.35% Reversal!Short-term analysis of NASDAQ:TSLA indicates that the price is most likely to head to trade above +$200 in the coming days/weeks.
Breaking down the reason behind the current setup and why we should be expecting new mid-term highs:
Feel free to share your thoughts or any feedback you have on the analysis.
Also, if you're interested in analyzing the probabilities directly on your charts make sure to check out the Free Public Indicator that I've published recently!
ETHUSD: Bouncing back to ATH | 66.67% Probability!COINBASE:ETHUSD has been getting a lot of attention in the crypto world lately.
It recently went through a big drop in price (-25%) , but now it's showing signs that it might be bouncing back and heading bullish again.
Here's what you need to know:
ETH's price dropped a lot over the past 2-3 months, and it's been consolidating since then. According to my Free Probability Indicator , there's a good chance that ETH's price could hit a new high. Around 66% chance on the 3D chart and 62% on the daily chart which is a pretty high number!
This drop in price could actually be a good thing because it's created a big opportunity to buy ETH at a lower price. Right now, it's about 38% cheaper than its highest price ever.
If you're thinking about trading ETH, here's what you should consider:
Entry:
Wait for clear signs that the price is going up again, like breaking through certain price levels or seeing strong positive movements on the daily chart.
Once you're confident the trend is changing, you could think about buying ETH.
I'm currently looking at 4H Equilibrium to get position
Exit:
To protect yourself from losses, you might want to set a "trailing stop-loss." This means if the price starts dropping again after you buy, your sell order will automatically trigger to limit secure your running profits.
Risk Management:
Make sure you're not risking more money than you can afford to lose.
Only invest what you're comfortable with, and consider how much you're willing to lose if things don't go as planned.
This isn't any financial advice. It's just some insights to help you make informed decisions.
Always do your own research before investing in anything.
SOLUSD: Snapping Back to $210 | 70.70% Probability!BINANCE:SOLUSD has been drawing a lot of attention in the crypto space in the past few days due to its integration with NASDAQ:PYPL
Let's have a technical analysis breakdown:
BINANCE:SOLUSD According to my Free Probability Indicator , There's a 70.00% chance it could climb back over $210 and beyond, which is pretty much encouraging!
If you're thinking about trading LINK, here's what you should consider:
Entry:
Wait for clear signs that the price is going up again.
Once you're confident the trend is changing, consider buying LINK.
I'm currently looking at the 8H Equilibrium to get positioned.
Exit:
To protect yourself from drawdowns, consider setting a "trailing stop-loss." This will automatically trigger a sell order if the price starts dropping again after you buy, securing your running profits.
Risk Management:
Ensure you're not risking more money than you can afford to lose.
Only invest what you're comfortable with and consider how much you're willing to lose if things don't go as planned.
This isn't financial advice, just some insights to help you make informed decisions. Always do your own research before investing in anything.
LINKUSD: Rallying Back to $20 | 72.73% Confidence!COINBASE:LINKUSD has been drawing a lot of attention in the crypto space in the past few days. It experienced a significant drop in price (-47%), but now it's starting to show signs of a potential rebound and might be heading bullish again.
Here's the breakdown:
COINBASE:LINKUSD price took a major hit over the past 2-3 months and has been consolidating since. According to my Free Probability Indicator , There's a 72.73% chance it could climb back over $20, which is pretty much encouraging!
This price drop might actually be beneficial as it presents a great opportunity to buy LINK at a lower price.
If you're thinking about trading LINK, here's what you should consider:
Entry:
Wait for clear signs that the price is going up again, like huge up-move candle showing strong positive movements on the daily chart.
Once you're confident the trend is changing, consider buying LINK.
I'm currently looking at the 4H Equilibrium to get positioned.
Exit:
To protect yourself from drawdowns, consider setting a "trailing stop-loss." This will automatically trigger a sell order if the price starts dropping again after you buy, securing your running profits.
Risk Management:
Ensure you're not risking more money than you can afford to lose.
Only invest what you're comfortable with and consider how much you're willing to lose if things don't go as planned.
This isn't financial advice, just some insights to help you make informed decisions. Always do your own research before investing in anything.
BTCUSD: The Game of Probabilities | New ATH? 65.28% Chance!Medium-term analysis of COINBASE:BTCUSD indicates that the price is poised to surge towards new all-time highs, with a probability of 65.28%!
Let's get into the underlying reasons for this:
1. The current status on the "1D" timeframe is "Active," indicating that the price has already reached and touched the 50% equilibrium level on the current timeframe.
2. Since the price has reached the equilibrium level of the daily timeframe, our focus now shifts to determining which liquidity side presents higher probabilities compared to the other.
3. In this scenario, the 1D/BSL (Buyside liquidity) indicates a 65.28% probability of the price reaching the 73835.57 level again.
More details:
Feel free to share your thoughts or any feedback you have on the analysis.
Also, if you're interested in analyzing the probabilities directly on your charts make sure to check out the Free Public Indicator that I've published recently!
TRADING FOUNDATION: WHY DOES PRICE MOVE (PART 1 - LIQUIDITY)WHY DOES PRICE MOVE IN THE FOREX MARKET?
A simple answer to this question is... price moves for 2 major reasons
To take liquidity
To fill imbalances or price inefficiencies
I will break this into two parts and discuss Liquidity first.
What is Liquidity in Forex Trading?
Liquidity is the presence of orders at specific prices in the market, ensuring that transactions can take place without disruptions. When traders talk about liquidity, they are usually referring to the resting orders in the market. These orders can be absorbed or targeted by banks and financial institutions (BFIs) to influence the patterns of price movement. Liquidity can be found throughout the market, although certain areas may have higher levels than others. The good news is that it is indeed possible to learn how to identify and recognize liquidity patterns.
Liquidity comprises a variety of orders that gather in the market, including limit orders, stop loss orders, and stop limit orders. These orders come into play when prices reach specific levels of supply or demand in the market. Understanding liquidity is essential in comprehending how prices move.
Why do you need to understand Liquidity?
Liquidity is crucial for predicting price movements. Analyzing liquidity, along with market structure, supply and demand, and order flow, provides insights into potential price directions. It's important to consider liquidity alongside trend analysis and supply and demand to understand market conditions effectively. Highly liquid markets can be manipulated by large banks or institutions, leading to liquidity shortages, price slippage, and poor trade execution. Recognizing liquidity pools during slow sideways price movements is key.
What are the main types of Liquidity in Forex trading?
1. Buy-side liquidity (see chart for example)
Buy-side liquidity refers to the accumulation of orders above a range or high, including buy-stop limits and stop losses placed by sellers and breakout traders. Banks and financial institutions (BFIs) may target these orders to fuel temporary or sustained bullish price movements.
Buy-side liquidity can be divided into 3
a. Relatively equal highs liquidity
b. Previous high liquidity
c. Trendline liquidity
a. Relatively equal highs: This is when the price fails to break a level within a minimum of two tries. When this happens, there is a high tendency that orders will be above that level i.e. stop-losses or buy-stop orders. Due to this, large institutions will target that level to liquidate their orders or fill new orders. see the example below.
b. Previous high: A previous high is the top of a level or range from which a retracement in price started. Every high in the market holds liquidity. Usually not as appealing at the relatively equal highs. see the example below.
c. Trendline: This liquidity setup is usually as appealing as the relatively equal highs as it provides enough liquidity in the market to liquidate orders of large funds or fill in more orders. Anytime you notice a buy-side trendline liquidity building up, expect that price will move radically fast towards it. see example below
2. Sell-side liquidity (see chart for example)
Sell-side liquidity refers to the collection of orders situated below a range or low, including sell-stop limits and stop losses placed by buyers and breakout traders. Banks and financial institutions (BFIs) can target these orders to generate temporary or sustained bearish price movements. Similar to buy-side liquidity, sell-side liquidity serves a crucial role in the market dynamics.
Sell-side liquidity can be divided into 3
a. Relatively equal lows liquidity
b. Previous low liquidity
c. Trendline liquidity
a. Relatively equal lows: This is when the price fails to break a level within a minimum of two tries. When this happens, there is a high tendency that orders will be below that level i.e. stop-losses or sell-stop orders. Due to this, large institutions will target that level to liquidate their orders or fill new orders. see the example below.
b. Previous low: A previous low is simply put at the top of a level or range from which a retracement in price started. Every low in the market holds liquidity. Usually not as appealing at the relatively equal lows. see the example below.
c. Trendline: This liquidity setup is usually as appealing as the relatively equal lows as it provides enough liquidity in the market to liquidate orders of large funds or fill in more orders. Anytime you notice a sell-side trendline liquidity building up, expect that price will move radically fast towards it. see example below
Note : This does not mean you should just trade based on where you see liquidity, you should also do a proper multi-timeframe analysis, and if your narrative aligns with where liquidity is resting, there is a higher chance for it to go there.
I will make a post on the Part 2 - Imbalances.
Ensure to follow so you see what it is and how to make good use of it.
Cheers,
Jabari
LINK/USDT Long Trade Setup ⬆️Hello Everyone 🙋🏽♂️
RSI +Demand zone + Sellside liquidity
🟠 EP 14.225
🔴 SL 13.806
🟢 TP1 14.679⚠️( Close 33% of the trade and Set the SL on EP )⚠️
🟢 TP2 15.071⚠️ ( Close 33% of the trade )⚠️
🟢 TP3 15.516🔥 ( Final result)🔥
We are not responsible of any losses for anyone, our trades are profitable more for long terms and we take losses as everyone,
manage your lot size as well and your SL and TP and my opinion is 0.01 lot for each 500 $.
Don't forget to hit the like bottom and write a comment to support us.
Follow us for more 🙋🏻♂️
Best Regard / EMA Trading .
Disclaimer:
----------------
It's not a financial advise, As everyone we take losses sometime but for long term trading we are profitable traders, so manage your account well with SL and TP and your lot size to keep your account safe and stay in the market
XAU Weekly - BearishThis Week we Say OANDA:XAUUSD was Super Bullish, But is It?
gold has Engineered Liquidity up and Down, I believe its going up to Hit Retail Stop loss and then Revert to go Down .
I have noted Levels that I am interested in Chart
Another Confirmation : If you Check #Gold Seasonality, Normally OANDA:XAUUSD is Bearish in October and November !
Disclaimer : this is Just Technical Analysis, You Should never use this information for real Trading, Do your own Research.
Sincerely,
Sobhan JTN
FET Sell-Side Liquidty PUMPS UP🤖💹Fetch.ai (FET) is navigating the complex world of cryptocurrency with an intriguing strategy that involves tapping into hidden liquidity, setting the stage for potential growth. 🤖💹
Understanding Buy Side and Sell Side Liquidity
In the world of trading, understanding the dynamics of liquidity is paramount. Two crucial components in this ecosystem are "buy side liquidity" and "sell side liquidity." Let's delve into these concepts:
Buy Side Liquidity: This refers to the willingness of traders and investors to buy a particular asset at a specified price. It represents the demand for the asset.
Sell Side Liquidity: On the other hand, sell side liquidity represents the supply of an asset that market participants are willing to sell at a certain price.
Fetch.ai's Unique Approach
Fetch.ai (FET) has adopted a distinctive approach to utilizing liquidity. It focuses on "sell side liquidity," which means it strategically leverages the supply side of the market to drive its price upwards. This method often involves executing a "sweep of the low."
Sweeping the Low: A Bullish Strategy
When Fetch.ai "sweeps the low," it means that the project is actively targeting available sell side liquidity by making purchases at opportune moments when the price is at lower levels. This strategy creates an upward push, which can lead to increased demand and a subsequent price surge.
Trading Strategy: Capitalizing on Fetch.ai's Tactics
For traders and investors, understanding Fetch.ai's unique liquidity strategy is essential. Keeping an eye on its activity around "sell side liquidity" can provide valuable insights for potential trading opportunities.
Conclusion: Fetch.ai's Unconventional Path to Success
By strategically embracing sell side liquidity, Fetch.ai is rewriting the playbook on how cryptocurrencies can harness market dynamics to their advantage. With its unconventional approach and potential for growth, FET is one to watch closely in the dynamic world of crypto.
🤖 Innovative Strategies | 📊 Liquidity Dynamics | 🚀 Cryptocurrency Trading | 💡 Market Insights
❗See related ideas below❗
Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. 💚🚀💚
ETHUSDT more dump or huge pump?Hi dear community members, my lovely and loyal followers, I hope you are fine and making good trades.
I haven't published analyses for 2 months coz I expected both #ETH to dump 1650-1700$ as I mentioned in my tweets/ which you can check on my previous publications.
BTW I warned about this dump back on June 24th when BTC price was 31500 and ETHER was 1940$ almost at the top/ but I didn't expect that ETH will go below 1650$ and hit my worst case scenario zone which I mentioned with RED-GREEN box.
I'm looking at daily timeframe and as you see ETH cleared/swept all SSL and felt all imbalances below 1810$, even it took out previous major swing low/EQL/ below 1625$ and hit daily bullish OB/FVG/BPR. If we measure the recent move from 2031 to 1492 it is 100% projection of previous move from 2146 to 1625$.
I'm sure ETH bottomed on August 18th at 1492$ and after some types of consolidation between 1500-1800$, which will last about 2-4 weeks, ETH will start its major impulse move towards 2500$ even higher. I marked upcoming move with pink line.
I also mentioned the most critical level on the chart /white line-1367$/, which has to be respected by bulls in the worst case to provide upcoming bullish movement otherwise game is over for bulls. Also as soon as ETH reclaims 1878$ level, game is over for bears and it will pump towards 2500$ even higher.
You can check my previous publication for BTC analaysis and upcoming movement
If you like my ideas, don't forget to like, comment, share, retweet and follow please. I will appreciate a lot.
Will BTC continue its dump or it'll surprise everyoneHi dear community members, my lovely and loyal followers, I hope you are fine and make good trades.
I haven't published analyses for 2 months coz I expected #BTC to dump towards 26.5-27K as I mentioned in my tweets/ which you can check on my previous publications.
BTW I warned about this dump back on June 24th when BTC price was 31500/ almost at the top/ but I didn't expect that BTC will go below 26K in any case we haven't seen daily candle close below it)).
Now I'm looking at daily timeframe and as you see BTC cleared/swept all SSL and felt all imbalances below 28.5K, even it took out previous major swing low/EQL/ below 24.7K and hit daily bullish OB. If we measure the recent move from 31,850 to 24.7K it is below 100% projection of previous move from 31059 to 24.7K.
I'm sure BTC bottomed on August 18th at 24.5K and after some types of consolidation between 25-28K, which will last about 2-4 weeks, BTC will start its major impulse move towards 37-38K even higher. I marked upcoming move with pink line.
I also mentioned the most critical level on the chart /RED zone/, which has to be respected by bulls in the worst case to provide upcoming bullish movement otherwise game is over for bulls.
Market Makers Buy And Sell ModelThe market Makers' Buy and Sell Model is a strategy that reveals the market maker algorithm model for price delivery.
Basically, there are 3 things market makers' algorithms do with price in every trading session, day, week, and month
Those 3 things are; Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution.
AMD:
A: Accumulation
M: Manipulation
D: Distribution
1. Accumulation: They accumulate liquidity through the delivery of a ranging market.
The purpose of delivering a ranging market is to induce both buyers and sellers to enter the market thinking that price will go in their direction.
How to Identify a Ranging Market: You know price is in a ranging market when you see obvious relative equal highs and lows price range.
In a ranging market, price swing points have relatively equal highs and lows, that is, the price is neither delivering a higher high nor a higher low.
2. Manipulation: After accumulating both buy and sell orders, they then manipulate the market to further induce another set of traders which are breakout traders.
But, that particular manipulation move is not their intended direction for the day. They only use it to gather liquidity, Which will then lead them to the next action which is to move and distribute prices in their real direction for the day.
Usually, when price breaks out of a ranging market, the break-out is a manipulation to further induce a new set of traders to enter the market, further proving liquidity for market makers' real intended direction.
3. Distribution: After manipulating the price to a particular direction different from their plan, they then distribute the price to their original intended direction.
e.g to buy, they will first sell the market and then buy at the discount price level.
You know a price distribution through clean candles that left imbalances behind and then break market structure away from the previous manipulation move structure high or low to form a new structure.
Example of Market Makers Buy and Sell Model as described on the chart.
AMD:
A: Accumulation
M: Manipulation
D: Distribution
Accumulation: Price range for some time, accumulating liquidity on both sides of long and shorts.
Manipulation: Price broke the high of the accumulation to take out Buyside liquidity and then create a new higher high and higher low. But it's a manipulation move.
Distribution: Price moves away from the FVG leading to a shift in market structure, plus a short pullback, follow by a massive move to the downside to take out sell-side liquidity below.
Entry: Your entry should be inside the FVG created by price before the shift in market structure, you can set a limit order inside the fvg and place your stop loss at the high of the swing high created prior to the fvg and shift in market structure.
The same thing applies to a bullish market.
Basically, Marker makers push prices higher so they can sell the market at a premium, while they sell the market to lower prices so they can buy that market at very discount prices
This strategy can be used in any time frame and all markets including forex, crypto, stocks, future etc.
Follow me for more updates.
Feel free to ask me any questions in the comment.