$BTC - To Long after breaking short of sell side Liquidity *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. I'm Sorry but you won't convince me that Bitcoin knows it has created a triangle and that it knows how to react from that? It does and will remembers price levels, that's it. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward attacking where there is Liquidity (Equal Highs, Equasl Lows, phantom Trendlines etc.) and Balance (Fair Value Gaps, Liquidity Voids.) That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas.
Bitcoin created a short term low within a 4 hour fair value gap yesterday. Was suspicious that it would break lower, fill the GAP and turn bullish, whi it has somewhat done already but there is time to stuill jump in as it is at a low point, but we didn't make a lower low overall. Exit Strategy would be a short-term fair value gap discount.
NOTE: as a smart money technical analysis, My chay, lsart is full of boxes and rays, I apologize if I do not have any of them properly marked but the boxes usually represent an imbalance on a larger time frame (4 hour , Daily) that price is attracted toward filling. It has currently filled the 4 hour fair value gap which is another reason I believe it will long from here. Plus it's Sunday, last day of the week the weekly candle will be finishing up it's formation which I believe the price has cam close enough to the bullish order block on the weekly that we should see bullishness, However there is a possibility that it drops into the price range of the body of that last red weekly candle below current price (38,400 - 37,700)
Sellsideliquidity
(NZD/USD) Potential Long Term Move Down V2An alternative situation - we have a very well-respected Trendline that has a high chance of getting manipulated. The green area marked above also has a lot of orders laying above so we could see those highs get taken out as well as mitigate a bit more of that Orderblock
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(From my previous post)
This is a Daily Timeframe perspective.
The Market has just tested a strong Bearish Ordeblockwhich is supposed to hold the market down. We also made a deceleration, going from a bullish market which is now a bearish market.
The black lines that are drawn on the chart, is Sell Side Liquidity which are attractive targets where the majority of Orders lay in the market,
The yellow areas are imbalances, where the market has moved too fast, creating inefficiency, so the market should fill a lot of these yellow areas. Another attractive area which the market wants to mitigate.
The blue area marked up all the way down is a bullish Orderblock, which could be a potential reaction point.
I don't know how far the market will drop, but I do expect a lot of these areas to get filled.
(NZD/USD) Potential Long Term Move Down V1This is a Daily Timeframe perspective.
The Market has just tested a strong Bearish Ordeblockwhich is supposed to hold the market down. We also made a deceleration, going from a bullish market which is now a bearish market.
The black lines that are drawn on the chart, is Sell Side Liquidity which are attractive targets where the majority of Orders lay in the market,
The yellow areas are imbalances, where the market has moved too fast, creating inefficiency, so the market should fill a lot of these yellow areas. Another attractive area which the market wants to mitigate.
The blue area marked up all the way down is a bullish Orderblock, which could be a potential reaction point.
I don't know how far the market will drop, but I do expect a lot of these areas to get filled.
USDJPY Short Opportunity, 1:5 and 1:15 availableGood morning ladies & gents,
On the D1, H4, H1, M15 chart, the orderflow is bearish. Coupled alongside the equal lows present at "Objective 1" and we've got a super high probability setup taking place.
When price pulls back to this area, I'll be interested in looking for an opportunity short with a stop at the designated area.
Should price trade through this, there's another entry opportunity @ 108.800 with a stop above 108.860 (6 pips)
Let's see what happens.
Always remember to trade what you see, not what you think.
Be rigid in your rules but flexible with your expectations.
Good luck!
- AmplaFX