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NF - Will the BIG SELL happen or not?⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: China has imposed tariffs on select US goods in response to President Trump’s 10% levy on Chinese imports, escalating trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies and reinforcing demand for safe-haven gold. On the economic front, the US Department of Labor (DoL) reported that initial jobless claims rose to 219K for the week ending February 1, up from the previous week’s revised 208K. Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration is less concerned about the Federal Reserve’s rate path and is instead focused on lowering 10-year Treasury yields. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: The market is too expecting a price increase - big FOMO will have high risks. NF news will shock the market today, BIG SELL will happen ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2851 - $2949 SL $2845 scalping TP1: $2855 TP2: $2860 TP3: $2865 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2813 - $2811 SL $2806 TP1: $2820 TP2: $2828 TP3: $2835 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
4
Bitcoin’s Incoming Bear Market!🚀 Bitcoin’s Bullish Phase: The Final Push Before the Fall? Bitcoin is currently in the parabolic uptrend phase of its halving cycle, with price action closely following historical patterns. Since the last halving on April 15, 2024, Bitcoin has mined approximately 42,480 blocks, pushing the market closer to the 70,000-block threshold where the trend historically reverses into a deep bear market. Based on historical patterns, Bitcoin’s next major bull market peak is expected around 150,000 USD, approximately 70,000 blocks post-halving (projected for August 2025). However, investors must prepare for what follows—a severe bear market fuelled by miner capitulation. 🔥The 70,000-Block Bearish Reversal: Why It Happens Every Cycle 1. The Mining Difficulty Trap & Rising Costs Bitcoin’s mining difficulty adjusts every 2,016 blocks (~2 weeks) to maintain the 10-minute block interval. As BTC price surges in the bull market, more miners join the network, driving competition and difficulty higher. This raises mining costs and squeezes profit margins, making it harder for smaller miners to stay afloat. ✅ Bull Market (~0-70,000 Blocks Post-Halving) High BTC prices offset increased difficulty, allowing miners to hold rather than sell. Low sell pressure from miners keeps Bitcoin in an uptrend. ❌ Bear Market (~70,000 Blocks Post-Halving) After BTC peaks, prices decline but difficulty remains high. Mining costs remain constant, while block rewards drop. Weaker miners can’t afford to mine at a loss and are forced to sell their BTC holdings to cover operational expenses. 2. The Snowball Effect: How Miner Capitulation Triggers a Crash Once inefficient miners begin selling, a chain reaction unfolds: 1️⃣ Bitcoin price starts declining after the cycle peak (~12-18 months post-halving). 2️⃣ Miners struggle to remain profitable due to high difficulty and lower block rewards. 3️⃣ Miners begin offloading BTC to cover expenses, increasing supply in the market. 4️⃣ More BTC supply leads to further price drops, triggering panic selling. 5️⃣ Additional miners shut down operations, selling off reserves, further flooding the market. 6️⃣ Capitulation accelerates, causing a cascading effect similar to leveraged liquidations seen in past bear markets. 🔄 This cycle repeats until enough miners exit, difficulty adjusts downward, and BTC stabilizes. 3. Historical Proof: How Miner Capitulation Has Marked Every Bear Market Each Bitcoin bear market aligns with major miner capitulation events. Here’s how past cycles have played out: 📌 2012 Halving: Bull top in late 2013, miner capitulation in 2014, BTC fell -80%. 📌 2016 Halving: Bull top in late 2017, miner capitulation in 2018, BTC fell -84%. 📌 2020 Halving: Bull top in late 2021, miner capitulation in 2022, BTC fell -78%. 📌 2024 Halving: Expected bull top in late 2025, miner capitulation likely in 2026?, BTC decline TBD but estimated to be around -60%. 🔹 In all cases, BTC topped ~70,000 blocks after the halving, followed by a deep drawdown driven by miner capitulation. 🔹 The selling pressure from miners perfectly aligns with the start of major market crashes. 4. The Accumulation Phase: What Follows the Crash? After miners capitulate and difficulty adjusts downward, Bitcoin enters a sideways accumulation phase (~140,000-210,000 blocks post-halving). Weaker miners have already exited, reducing sell pressure. Surviving miners adjust to lower rewards and stop mass selling BTC. Smart money (whales & institutions) begin accumulating at undervalued prices. The MVRV ratio drops below 1, signalling a market bottom. Bitcoin stabilizes, setting the stage for the next bull cycle. This predictable recovery cycle lays the groundwork for Bitcoin’s next exponential rally into the next halving period. The Bitcoin Bear Market Prediction for 2025-2026 ✅ Bitcoin is currently on track to peak near ~$150,000 around 70,000 blocks post-halving (August 2025). ✅ Following this, BTC is expected to enter its bear market, with prices potentially falling to ~$60,000 (by December 2026). ✅ The primary catalyst for this crash will be miner capitulation, just as it has been in every prior cycle. Final Thoughts If history repeats, the Bitcoin market is set to follow a sharp parabolic rise to ~$150,000 before undergoing a 70,000-block miner-driven selloff into a multi-month bear market. Investors should be aware of this pattern and plan accordingly. Sources & Data Validation The insights presented in this article are based on historical Bitcoin price cycles, on-chain analytics, and mining difficulty trends from various sources, including: Blockchain Data (Glassnode, CoinMetrics) Historical BTC Halving Data (Bitcoin Whitepaper, Blockchain Explorers) Market Analysis Reports (Messari, Arcane Research) Macroeconomic Influences (Federal Reserve Reports, Global Liquidity Cycles) Disclaimer: Not an Investment Recommendation This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Bitcoin and cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Theperfectionist
10
BTCUSDT Technical AnalysisSell Bias Explanation Risky Entry Zone: Observation: Price entered the "RISKY ENTRY" zone. Explanation: This area indicates a potential entry point for short trades. Traders should be cautious and ensure they have confirmation before entering, as it is labeled "risky." Resistance Zone: Observation: The chart highlights a "RESISTANCE ZONE." Explanation: This area acts as a barrier for the price to move higher. The presence of a resistance zone suggests that the price may struggle to break above, creating an opportunity for sellers to step in Price Closed Below the Protected High: Observation: An annotation states, "PRICE CLOSED BELOW THE PROTECTED HIGH." Explanation: This indicates that the price failed to break a critical high point, only sweeping and hunting stops suggesting a bearish sentiment. It reinforces the sell bias as buyers are unable to push the price higher. Liquidity Grab and Break of Structure (BOS): Observation: "Liquidity grabbed and BOS" is annotated on the chart. Explanation: This means that liquidity was taken out, and a structural level was broken, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards the bearish side. Liquidity Grab and Break of Structure (BOS): Observation: "Liquidity grabbed and BOS" is annotated on the chart. Explanation: This means that liquidity was taken out, and a structural level was broken, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards the bearish side. Confirmation Entry Zone: Observation: The chart highlights a "confirmation entry zone." Explanation: This area provides additional confirmation for entering short trades. Traders looking for a safer entry can consider entering here once the price confirms the bearish setup. P.R Area (Secure Position): Observation: "P.R AREA(Possible rejection area) = secure position" is marked on the chart. Explanation: This area suggests a point where traders can consider securing their positions, either by taking partial profits or tightening stop losses to minimize risk. Disclaimer 📢 Remember, trading involves risk. Past successful setups do not guarantee future performance. Always conduct your own analysis and use proper risk management strategies.
Short
by BFUFX_MARKETS
1
DXY Dive Incoming? Watch the Liquidity Zones!From the higher timeframe perspective, DXY is currently hovering within a key monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), marked in red. This zone serves as a critical point of interest and could dictate the next directional bias for the dollar. Key Observations: Current FVG Zone: -Price is consolidating within the monthly FVG. A close below this zone would provide stronger confirmation of a bearish move targeting lower liquidity levels. Bearish Bias: -The recent price action indicates weakness as sellside liquidity (SSL) is beginning to show signs of attraction. -The presence of significant sellside liquidity targets below, including: -105.411 (Weekly SSL - Sweep) -103.370 (Weekly SSL - Next Zone) -100.215 (Major Daily SSL Zone) Messy Market Conditions: -Due to fluctuating macroeconomic factors, including USD news events, we may observe temporary rallies or retracements. However, these are likely to form lower highs before continuing the descent. Confirmation Levels: -Bearish Confirmation: A daily or weekly close below the monthly FVG would solidify the bearish case, signaling that sellside liquidity at 105.411 and lower levels are likely next. -Bullish Risk: If the current FVG holds as support and price pushes higher, we could see an attempt to retest higher zones (e.g., 109.535) before resuming downside momentum. Conclusion: The expectation is for DXY to drop towards sellside liquidity levels at 105.411, 103.370, and potentially as low as 100.215. However, traders should await a clean confirmation (such as a close below the monthly FVG) to validate the move. DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade safely amidst potential market volatility! Let me know if you'd like any refinements!
TVC:DXYShort
by INSIDER_INTEL
Energy Policy and USDWTIKey Entry Points: Ideal Entry: $78 (Sell Position) The $78 level was an optimal sell entry, primarily due to the declaration of emergency in the energy sector made by the new administration. This policy move is expected to increase energy production significantly. The current administration is heavily investing in the energy sector to mitigate price increases in other sectors, combat inflation, and maintain or reduce it. This macroeconomic context highlights why $78 was a strategic sell zone. Current Entry Opportunity: $74 (Sell Position) From a technical analysis perspective, $74 is a notable resistance level. While this level carries more risk compared to $78, it presents a viable sell opportunity due to price inefficiency beginning at this point. Observing the daily chart, we notice an efficient bearish trend with a clear price inefficiency that originated at $74. This inefficiency creates a strong resistance zone, making it a reasonable point for continuation to the downside. Technical Analysis Across Timeframes: Daily Chart: The current bearish trend remains intact. The inefficiency at $74 reinforces the case for selling at this level. While not as secure as the $78 zone, it offers a good probability for a continuation to lower levels. Weekly Chart: The market is currently in an impulsive phase. However, no significant support or resistance zones are evident within this timeframe. This lack of structural confirmation increases the risk of entering at this level. Monthly Chart: The monthly chart shows a clear rejection from a downward resistance. This reinforces the bearish outlook and aligns with the target at $70.80, which represents a strong support level.
FX_IDC:USDWTIShort
by Wiiso
SCALPING ! GOLD ! Gold sideways - selling pressure pushes price ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: US President Donald Trump directed his administration to implement emergency 25% tariffs on Colombian imports. However, the tariffs were paused after Colombia agreed to fully accept all illegal migrants returned from the US. On Tuesday, Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on pharmaceutical and computer chip manufacturers, along with upcoming measures targeting aluminum and copper industries, with potential consideration for steel and other sectors. These actions reignited concerns over Trump's protectionist policies, raising fears of inflation. As a result, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond rebounded from a one-month low, strengthening the US Dollar and pressuring Gold prices. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Price is currently sideways - sellers have more advantage. Wait for SIDEWAY price zone, entry SELL 2745 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2744 - $2746 SL $2749 TP1: $2740 TP2: $2735 TP3: $2730 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
Gold falls on inauguration day of TRUMP⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Last week's softer-than-expected US inflation data could support Gold prices by fueling speculation of more than one rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Traders are now looking ahead to President-elect Trump's inauguration on Monday for insights into the executive orders he plans to issue. "Uncertainty surrounding the policies President Trump will implement has been one of the factors supporting Gold," noted David Meger, Director of Metals Trading at High Ridge Futures. Moreover, ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the Russia-Ukraine conflict continue to drive safe-haven demand for Gold. According to The Guardian, the Russian military captured two additional settlements in eastern Ukraine's Donetsk region on Saturday, marking the latest progress in its westward advance. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold short term down around 2700 area, sideways and waiting for new economic policies of the trump administration ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2678 - $2676 SL $2671 TP1: $2685 TP2: $2693 TP3: $2700 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2716 - $2718 SL $2723 TP1: $2710 TP2: $2700 TP3: $2690 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
EURUSD - Potential Short from Resistance ZoneThe EURUSD pair is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating a continuation of bearish momentum. The price has recently bounced from the lower boundary of the channel and is now approaching a key resistance zone , aligning with the channel's upper boundary. If the price rejects this resistance zone, it could signal a resumption of the downtrend. Confirmation of bearish momentum, such as rejection patterns, bearish engulfing candles, or long upper wicks, would strengthen the likelihood of a downward move. In this scenario, the next target for sellers would be the 1.02029 level. A break below this support could extend the bearish trend further toward lower levels. Traders should closely monitor price action near the resistance zone for signs of rejection or a potential breakout.
Short
by TrendDiva
3
Gold SIDEWAY and correction down next week✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 01/20/2025 - 01/24/2025 🔥 World situation: Gold prices dipped late in the North American session but are still on track to end the week with gains of over 0.40%, as markets anticipate the inauguration of US President-elect Donald Trump. Currently trading at $2,701, down 0.44%, the yellow metal remains a preferred choice for investors amid political uncertainty. Geopolitical tensions and US political developments continue to influence Gold’s performance. Despite steady mid-term US Treasury yields, Gold buyers were unable to drive prices higher for additional gains before the weekend. 🔥 Identify: Gold hits large-frame resistance 2724, weakens and corrects short-term decline. Market awaits new economic policies of President Trump 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $2724, $2748 Support : $2662, $2633 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Major Price Movement Incoming for MSTR!Signalist has detected a precise pattern in NASDAQ:MSTR trading activity, signaling that a substantial price movement is imminent. This isn’t a random fluctuation—it’s a carefully analyzed precursor to a significant market event. 📅 What to Expect: ⌛ Timeline: Anticipate a major move within the next 1 to 4 upcoming 3-hour candles. 📈 Monitor the Charts: Keep an eye on MSTR’s price action over the next few candles. Prepare Your Strategy: Whether you’re bullish or bearish, have your trading plan ready to capitalize on the move.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by SIGNALIST_indicator
Correction Warning for Gold - Back Below 2700⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending January 10 increased to 217K, up from 201K the prior week and falling short of the 210K forecast. Recent inflation data and comments from Fed Governor Waller weighed on the US Dollar, as traders grew optimistic about an earlier rate cut. Waller suggested a rate reduction could be considered in the March meeting, noting that inflation is nearing the Fed's 2% target. Meanwhile, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee expressed confidence in the labor market's stabilization during an interview with The Wall Street Journal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold has completed its recovery to 2724, and the large sellers in this area will push the price back below 2700 before consolidating and rising again. This is consistent with the market awaiting the inauguration of President TRUMP. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2688 - $2686 SL $2681 TP1: $2695 TP2: $2702 TP3: $2710 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2723 - $2725 SL $2728 Scalping TP1: $2718 TP2: $2713 TP3: $2705 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2732 - $2734 SL $2739 TP1: $2725 TP2: $2710 TP3: $2700 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Buying power is weakening - resistance 2724 good for SELLComment: 📌 The recent inflation data and comments from Fed official Waller put pressure on the US dollar, as traders grow increasingly confident that the US Central Bank might cut rates sooner rather than later. Waller did not dismiss the possibility of a rate cut at the March meeting, highlighting that inflation "is approaching our 2% target." Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, a voting member in 2025, expressed optimism that the labor market is stabilizing, as reported by The Wall Street Journal. Market participants are now pricing in nearly equal odds of the Fed implementing two rate cuts by the end of 2025, with the first reduction expected as early as June. XAU Trend: January 17 📌 Gold is reacting downward at the H4 2724 resistance zone, buying force is becoming weaker. Opportunity for sellers to push the price back to 2705, creating more liquidity for the market Signal:📌 SELL XAU 2723-2726 SL: 2731 | TP: 2715 - 2708 - 2700 Thank you for reading my comment: "FM"
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FM-ForexMastermind
3