GBP/USD SELL to 1.1130 areaGBP/USD SELL to 1.1130 area My previous post had a stop loss to early, this should satisfy your reluctance to re enter GBP/USD.
Sellsignal
ENTRY SELL - retest breakout 2907 Gold News:
🔆U.S. President Donald Trump has directed officials to develop plans for reciprocal tariffs on nations that tax U.S. imports, though he has not yet formally announced any duties.
Additionally, Trump warned that tariffs on automobiles could take effect as early as April 2, heightening fears of a global trade war and providing support for XAU/USD.
Meanwhile, as U.S. and Russian officials prepare for discussions in Saudi Arabia, Russian forces have intensified their assaults in eastern Ukraine, further increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Comment:
🔆SELL entry price zone, resistance zone 2907, in sideway price zone and accumulation
Analysis:
🔆H1 frame, DOW formation, entry SELL resistance
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell Gold 2907 -2910
❌SL: 2915 | ✅TP: 2900 - 2895– 2890
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
CHFJPY SELL SETUPOANDA:CHFJPY Overall bias is bearish. Price making a retest at the daily AOI. Waiting for entry confirmation to go short on CHFJPY.
Gold price starts to adjust down sharply yet, next week?✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 02/17/2025 - 02/21/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold price dipped below $2,900 on Friday but remains on track for a strong weekly gain of over 0.80% as traders take profits ahead of the weekend. Despite mixed US economic data, the Greenback hit yearly lows, and US Treasury yields tumbled. XAU/USD is currently trading at $2,883, down 1.48% for the day.
US retail sales saw a sharp decline in January, further weakening the dollar. However, gold found support as traders adjusted their positions, benefiting from safe-haven demand. Following the data, investors priced in multiple Fed rate cuts, driving the US 10-year Treasury yield down to 4.472%. Meanwhile, Industrial Production rebounded in January after a weak previous month.
🔥 Identify:
The H4 frame is still in an increasing range, gold prices may soon adjust down more strongly, in the context of waiting for the Trump administration to take actions to impose taxes on other countries in the world.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2908, $2942, $2957
Support : $2831, $2790, $2722
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold continues to maintain sideways below 294x, accumulating⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) continues to climb during Friday’s Asian session, supported by concerns over US President Donald Trump’s tariff plans and a drop in US bond yields.
However, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain its hawkish stance and keep interest rates high could limit further gains for the non-yielding metal. Traders are now focused on the upcoming US Retail Sales data for January, set to be released later in the day.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The uptrend is still going on, however profit-taking selling pressure still exists around 294x, gold will still accumulate around 2900 or more.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2942 - $2944 SL $2949
TP1: $2935
TP2: $2927
TP3: $2920
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2903 - $2905 SL $2898
TP1: $2912
TP2: $2920
TP3: $2930
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold price recovers, BULL and PPI news⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) edges higher during the Asian session on Thursday, extending its rebound from the $2,864 level seen after strong US inflation data. Concerns over a potential global trade war, fueled by President Trump's new tariffs on commodity imports, support demand for the safe-haven metal. Additionally, a slight dip in the US Dollar (USD) further boosts gold's appeal.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
In the uptrend, gold price has recovered to the price zone of 2920, accumulating to find the old ATH of 2944.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2927 - $2929 SL $2932 scalping
TP1: $2923
TP2: $2918
TP3: $2910
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2941 - $2943 SL $2948
TP1: $2935
TP2: $2928
TP3: $2920
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2877 - $2879 SL $2872
TP1: $2885
TP2: $2892
TP3: $2900
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Cardano ADA headed for more volatility!!Looking for current buy sequence to reach 0.85-0.92 by early March timeframe. To be followed by one final sell wave as low as .45 area before continuation back to the highs.
Next buy-side targets will be
TP1 @ 3.00
TP2 @ 7.00
USDJPY - Accumulation move - trendline SELL H1News:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) is stabilizing after reaching new record highs, seeking a clear direction on Tuesday following China’s response to U.S. tariffs announced over the weekend. In retaliation, Beijing applied a 15% tariff on under $5 billion worth of U.S. energy imports, including coal and liquefied natural gas (LNG), along with a 10% levy on American oil and agricultural machinery. Additionally, China plans to launch an antitrust investigation into Google. The markets remain uncertain about the impact of these countermeasures, leading to volatile price movements on Tuesday.
Analysis:
Price is mainly moving sideways in the price range of 155,800 - 153,800, waiting for entry SELL TRENDLINE USDJPY today
Signal :
SELL USDJPY : zone 155.550 - 155.750 SL 156.100
TP: 155.300 - 155.000 - 154.500
Good luck trading everyone
HK50 Short trade - 1:3 Risk to RewardThe HK50 has put in a sell signal now.
1) There is a pattern to sell as seen on the charts
2) H1 divergence present.
3) Previous day's high was rejected.
The best place to short is 21630 so hope to see it reach this level. Else we will skip this trade.
1:5 Risk to reward sell of FTSEWe have been watching the FTSE since morning and will short it now.
1) There is a AB=CD pattern to sell
2) There is strong 161.8 Fib levels from the previous upswing.
3) Previous day high
4) RSI H1 divergence present
The target is 8585 but we will take profit along the way as it is counter trend.
Gold finds ATH price zone above 2880, sideways above 2835⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) increased its gold reserves for the third consecutive month in January, supporting gold prices as China remains the world’s largest gold consumer. Reserves rose to 73.45 million fine troy ounces, up from 73.29 million in December. Economist David Qu from Bloomberg Economics noted that the PBOC is likely to continue diversifying its reserves amid growing geopolitical uncertainty.
Meanwhile, US labor market data released on Friday indicated continued strength, which could delay Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. The US added 143,000 jobs in January, below the expected 170,000, while the unemployment rate edged down to 4.0% from 4.1%. As a result, traders now anticipate only one Fed rate cut this year, potentially boosting the US Dollar and pressuring gold prices.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold accumulates in a good growth price zone, around 2880 and adjusts sideways at the beginning of the week.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2884 - $2886 SL $2891
TP1: $2878
TP2: $2870
TP3: $2860
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2852 - $2854 SL $2849 Scalping
TP1: $2858
TP2: $2863
TP3: $2870
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2831 - $2833 SL $2826
TP1: $2840
TP2: $2850
TP3: $2860
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XRP's downfall in order!BINANCE:XRPUSDT
Ripple's gonna decrease cause of the head and shoulder pattern.
The pattern's has not been completed yet! after the break out happens,the price shall reach the next support which is around 1.3990!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
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ETH: Sell the Pop, Buy the DipOverall Vibe: We're seeing a bit of a mixed bag here. ETH had a nice run-up, but it's starting to look like it might be running out of steam.
The Sell Zone: You've marked a key area around $3,053.38 as a "Sell Zone." This tells me you think there's a good chance we'll see some selling pressure kick in around that level. Smart move to call that out.
Potential Dip: If things play out like you expect, you're anticipating a dip down to around $2,622.10, maybe even lower. That's where your "Buy Zone" comes into play.
Why This Makes Sense: Looking at the chart, I see a few things that support your analysis:
Resistance: The $3,053 area lines up with some previous resistance levels. That's a classic spot for sellers to step in.
Heikin Ashi Candles: These candles smooth out the price action and can make it easier to spot trends. I see some red candles forming, which could signal a shift to the downside.
Keep in Mind:
Market's Gonna Do What It Wants: No chart is 100% accurate. Be ready to adapt if the market throws a curveball.
Risk Management is Key: Always have a plan for how you'll manage your risk if the trade goes against you.
Overall:
Not bad at all! Your analysis is clear and well-reasoned. I like how you've identified key zones and explained your thinking. Keep an eye on those levels and see how it plays out.
Disclaimer: I'm just an AI, so this isn't financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trades.
SCALPING XAU ! resistance 2882 entry SELL today⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield dropped to its lowest level since December 12 this week, driven by expectations of two Fed rate cuts by the end of 2025, further boosting demand for non-yielding gold.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee attributed the recent inflation stagnation to base effects, emphasizing the need to balance overheating risks with economic stability. Meanwhile, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan acknowledged significant inflation progress but noted that the labor market remains too strong to justify imminent rate cuts. However, this did little to strengthen the US Dollar.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Nova still thinks the market today will have a surprise for NF, the market will fall freely, going against the current majority psychology.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2881 - $2883 SL $2888
TP1: $2870
TP2: $2860
TP3: $2850
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
NF - Will the BIG SELL happen or not?⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
China has imposed tariffs on select US goods in response to President Trump’s 10% levy on Chinese imports, escalating trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies and reinforcing demand for safe-haven gold.
On the economic front, the US Department of Labor (DoL) reported that initial jobless claims rose to 219K for the week ending February 1, up from the previous week’s revised 208K. Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration is less concerned about the Federal Reserve’s rate path and is instead focused on lowering 10-year Treasury yields.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The market is too expecting a price increase - big FOMO will have high risks. NF news will shock the market today, BIG SELL will happen
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2851 - $2949 SL $2845 scalping
TP1: $2855
TP2: $2860
TP3: $2865
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2813 - $2811 SL $2806
TP1: $2820
TP2: $2828
TP3: $2835
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Bitcoin’s Incoming Bear Market!🚀 Bitcoin’s Bullish Phase: The Final Push Before the Fall?
Bitcoin is currently in the parabolic uptrend phase of its halving cycle, with price action closely following historical patterns. Since the last halving on April 15, 2024, Bitcoin has mined approximately 42,480 blocks, pushing the market closer to the 70,000-block threshold where the trend historically reverses into a deep bear market.
Based on historical patterns, Bitcoin’s next major bull market peak is expected around 150,000 USD, approximately 70,000 blocks post-halving (projected for August 2025). However, investors must prepare for what follows—a severe bear market fuelled by miner capitulation.
🔥The 70,000-Block Bearish Reversal: Why It Happens Every Cycle
1. The Mining Difficulty Trap & Rising Costs
Bitcoin’s mining difficulty adjusts every 2,016 blocks (~2 weeks) to maintain the 10-minute block interval.
As BTC price surges in the bull market, more miners join the network, driving competition and difficulty higher.
This raises mining costs and squeezes profit margins, making it harder for smaller miners to stay afloat.
✅ Bull Market (~0-70,000 Blocks Post-Halving)
High BTC prices offset increased difficulty, allowing miners to hold rather than sell.
Low sell pressure from miners keeps Bitcoin in an uptrend.
❌ Bear Market (~70,000 Blocks Post-Halving)
After BTC peaks, prices decline but difficulty remains high.
Mining costs remain constant, while block rewards drop.
Weaker miners can’t afford to mine at a loss and are forced to sell their BTC holdings to cover operational expenses.
2. The Snowball Effect: How Miner Capitulation Triggers a Crash
Once inefficient miners begin selling, a chain reaction unfolds:
1️⃣ Bitcoin price starts declining after the cycle peak (~12-18 months post-halving).
2️⃣ Miners struggle to remain profitable due to high difficulty and lower block rewards.
3️⃣ Miners begin offloading BTC to cover expenses, increasing supply in the market.
4️⃣ More BTC supply leads to further price drops, triggering panic selling.
5️⃣ Additional miners shut down operations, selling off reserves, further flooding the market.
6️⃣ Capitulation accelerates, causing a cascading effect similar to leveraged liquidations seen in past bear markets.
🔄 This cycle repeats until enough miners exit, difficulty adjusts downward, and BTC stabilizes.
3. Historical Proof: How Miner Capitulation Has Marked Every Bear Market
Each Bitcoin bear market aligns with major miner capitulation events. Here’s how past cycles have played out:
📌 2012 Halving: Bull top in late 2013, miner capitulation in 2014, BTC fell -80%.
📌 2016 Halving: Bull top in late 2017, miner capitulation in 2018, BTC fell -84%.
📌 2020 Halving: Bull top in late 2021, miner capitulation in 2022, BTC fell -78%.
📌 2024 Halving: Expected bull top in late 2025, miner capitulation likely in 2026?, BTC decline TBD but estimated to be around -60%.
🔹 In all cases, BTC topped ~70,000 blocks after the halving, followed by a deep drawdown driven by miner capitulation.
🔹 The selling pressure from miners perfectly aligns with the start of major market crashes.
4. The Accumulation Phase: What Follows the Crash?
After miners capitulate and difficulty adjusts downward, Bitcoin enters a sideways accumulation phase (~140,000-210,000 blocks post-halving).
Weaker miners have already exited, reducing sell pressure.
Surviving miners adjust to lower rewards and stop mass selling BTC.
Smart money (whales & institutions) begin accumulating at undervalued prices.
The MVRV ratio drops below 1, signalling a market bottom.
Bitcoin stabilizes, setting the stage for the next bull cycle.
This predictable recovery cycle lays the groundwork for Bitcoin’s next exponential rally into the next halving period.
The Bitcoin Bear Market Prediction for 2025-2026
✅ Bitcoin is currently on track to peak near ~$150,000 around 70,000 blocks post-halving (August 2025).
✅ Following this, BTC is expected to enter its bear market, with prices potentially falling to ~$60,000 (by December 2026).
✅ The primary catalyst for this crash will be miner capitulation, just as it has been in every prior cycle.
Final Thoughts
If history repeats, the Bitcoin market is set to follow a sharp parabolic rise to ~$150,000 before undergoing a 70,000-block miner-driven selloff into a multi-month bear market. Investors should be aware of this pattern and plan accordingly.
Sources & Data Validation
The insights presented in this article are based on historical Bitcoin price cycles, on-chain analytics, and mining difficulty trends from various sources, including:
Blockchain Data (Glassnode, CoinMetrics)
Historical BTC Halving Data (Bitcoin Whitepaper, Blockchain Explorers)
Market Analysis Reports (Messari, Arcane Research)
Macroeconomic Influences (Federal Reserve Reports, Global Liquidity Cycles)
Disclaimer: Not an Investment Recommendation
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Bitcoin and cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
BTCUSDT Technical AnalysisSell Bias Explanation
Risky Entry Zone:
Observation: Price entered the "RISKY ENTRY" zone.
Explanation: This area indicates a potential entry point for short trades. Traders should be cautious and ensure they have confirmation before entering, as it is labeled "risky."
Resistance Zone:
Observation: The chart highlights a "RESISTANCE ZONE."
Explanation: This area acts as a barrier for the price to move higher. The presence of a resistance zone suggests that the price may struggle to break above, creating an opportunity for sellers to step in
Price Closed Below the Protected High:
Observation: An annotation states, "PRICE CLOSED BELOW THE PROTECTED HIGH."
Explanation: This indicates that the price failed to break a critical high point, only sweeping and hunting stops suggesting a bearish sentiment. It reinforces the sell bias as buyers are unable to push the price higher.
Liquidity Grab and Break of Structure (BOS):
Observation: "Liquidity grabbed and BOS" is annotated on the chart.
Explanation: This means that liquidity was taken out, and a structural level was broken, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards the bearish side.
Liquidity Grab and Break of Structure (BOS):
Observation: "Liquidity grabbed and BOS" is annotated on the chart.
Explanation: This means that liquidity was taken out, and a structural level was broken, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards the bearish side.
Confirmation Entry Zone:
Observation: The chart highlights a "confirmation entry zone."
Explanation: This area provides additional confirmation for entering short trades. Traders looking for a safer entry can consider entering here once the price confirms the bearish setup.
P.R Area (Secure Position):
Observation: "P.R AREA(Possible rejection area) = secure position" is marked on the chart.
Explanation: This area suggests a point where traders can consider securing their positions, either by taking partial profits or tightening stop losses to minimize risk.
Disclaimer 📢
Remember, trading involves risk. Past successful setups do not guarantee future performance. Always conduct your own analysis and use proper risk management strategies.
DXY Dive Incoming? Watch the Liquidity Zones!From the higher timeframe perspective, DXY is currently hovering within a key monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), marked in red. This zone serves as a critical point of interest and could dictate the next directional bias for the dollar.
Key Observations:
Current FVG Zone:
-Price is consolidating within the monthly FVG. A close below this zone would provide stronger confirmation of a bearish move targeting lower liquidity levels.
Bearish Bias:
-The recent price action indicates weakness as sellside liquidity (SSL) is beginning to show signs of attraction.
-The presence of significant sellside liquidity targets below, including:
-105.411 (Weekly SSL - Sweep)
-103.370 (Weekly SSL - Next Zone)
-100.215 (Major Daily SSL Zone)
Messy Market Conditions:
-Due to fluctuating macroeconomic factors, including USD news events, we may observe temporary rallies or retracements. However, these are likely to form lower highs before continuing the descent.
Confirmation Levels:
-Bearish Confirmation: A daily or weekly close below the monthly FVG would solidify the bearish case, signaling that sellside liquidity at 105.411 and lower levels are likely next.
-Bullish Risk: If the current FVG holds as support and price pushes higher, we could see an attempt to retest higher zones (e.g., 109.535) before resuming downside momentum.
Conclusion:
The expectation is for DXY to drop towards sellside liquidity levels at 105.411, 103.370, and potentially as low as 100.215. However, traders should await a clean confirmation (such as a close below the monthly FVG) to validate the move.
DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade safely amidst potential market volatility!
Let me know if you'd like any refinements!
Energy Policy and USDWTIKey Entry Points:
Ideal Entry: $78 (Sell Position)
The $78 level was an optimal sell entry, primarily due to the declaration of emergency in the energy sector made by the new administration. This policy move is expected to increase energy production significantly. The current administration is heavily investing in the energy sector to mitigate price increases in other sectors, combat inflation, and maintain or reduce it. This macroeconomic context highlights why $78 was a strategic sell zone.
Current Entry Opportunity: $74 (Sell Position)
From a technical analysis perspective, $74 is a notable resistance level. While this level carries more risk compared to $78, it presents a viable sell opportunity due to price inefficiency beginning at this point. Observing the daily chart, we notice an efficient bearish trend with a clear price inefficiency that originated at $74. This inefficiency creates a strong resistance zone, making it a reasonable point for continuation to the downside.
Technical Analysis Across Timeframes:
Daily Chart:
The current bearish trend remains intact. The inefficiency at $74 reinforces the case for selling at this level. While not as secure as the $78 zone, it offers a good probability for a continuation to lower levels.
Weekly Chart:
The market is currently in an impulsive phase. However, no significant support or resistance zones are evident within this timeframe. This lack of structural confirmation increases the risk of entering at this level.
Monthly Chart:
The monthly chart shows a clear rejection from a downward resistance. This reinforces the bearish outlook and aligns with the target at $70.80, which represents a strong support level.
Doge is time to short again Dogecoin made a downward price action pattern in the time frame of two hours and one hour. If it is confirmed, you can enter this transaction after the failure.
For this transaction, Lorge (5/7) is not recommended.
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SCALPING ! GOLD ! Gold sideways - selling pressure pushes price ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
US President Donald Trump directed his administration to implement emergency 25% tariffs on Colombian imports. However, the tariffs were paused after Colombia agreed to fully accept all illegal migrants returned from the US.
On Tuesday, Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on pharmaceutical and computer chip manufacturers, along with upcoming measures targeting aluminum and copper industries, with potential consideration for steel and other sectors.
These actions reignited concerns over Trump's protectionist policies, raising fears of inflation. As a result, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond rebounded from a one-month low, strengthening the US Dollar and pressuring Gold prices.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Price is currently sideways - sellers have more advantage. Wait for SIDEWAY price zone, entry SELL 2745
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2744 - $2746 SL $2749
TP1: $2740
TP2: $2735
TP3: $2730
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
ADA is pullback ADA / 4H
The four-hour Cardano Time has broken down its rising trend line and is pulling it back.
With the upper loss limit of the specified area, the 3× position can be finally opened
