The 30mn time frame is offering potential winning trades BTCHello traders,
Since BTC reached the 71580 level which was a weekly major level, price started consolidating and being rejected showing a high probability of a pullback towards the 1H 70927 level. If this is the case and price breaks the 70927, wait for a retest and then go short toward the next 1H level of 70297 and then do the same thing if price breaks it downward.
The other senario is that if price bounces back from 70927 and can't break it, we might see a rejection from area toward the weekly level 71580. If price breaks that level, wait for a pullback and then go long and look for the next weekly level 73907.
Good luck
Sellsignal
XAU ! 10/28 ! sideway move in trendlineXAU / USD trend forecast October 28, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) starts the new week with a slight bearish gap, unable to sustain Friday’s gains near $2,750. Persistent USD strength, supported by rising US Treasury yields and expectations of smaller Fed rate cuts, puts pressure on the metal. A positive risk sentiment also adds to the downward pull.
However, safe-haven demand from Middle East tensions and US election uncertainty limits further downside for gold. Traders may remain cautious and hold off on strong bearish positions ahead of key US data this week, including Q3 GDP, the PCE Price Index, and the Nonfarm Payrolls report.
On Monday, gold price moved sideways within 2 trendlines, waiting for NF news fluctuations this week.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2743-2746
SL: 2751
TP: 50 - 200 - 300 pips (2716)
Safe and profitable trading
USD/ JPY ! 10/ 28 ! SELL resistance ! GAP USD/ JPY trend forecast October 28, 2024
The Japanese Yen (JPY) recovers about 50 pips from a three-month low against the USD, though gains are limited amid uncertainty over the Bank of Japan's rate hike plans and the ruling coalition’s recent loss of its parliamentary majority. Additionally, a positive risk sentiment continues to weigh on the safe-haven JPY.
At the beginning of the week, the price created a GAP to increase - need to adjust to fill the GAP. There is a slight resistance zone - in the context of not much important news today.
/// SELL USDJPY : zone 153.250 - 153.550
SL: 153.850
TP: 60 - 100 - 250 pips (151.050)
Safe and profitable trading
GOLD will soon retest a key resistance level of 2748 - 2753#XAUUSD (Update)...!!
Resistance Ahead |Short
GOLD will soon retest a key resistance level of 2748 - 2753, So I think that the price will make a pullback And go down to retest the demand level below at 2730...!!
#XAUUSD Sell Limit 2748 - 2753,
Tp1 2740
Tp2 2730
SL 2760 & Use Proper Money Management Good Luck Guy's
Use at your own risk
Continue short-term correction 2709 ! XAU⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) dipped during the Asian session on Friday, reversing part of the previous day's gains but staying within the week's trading range. With less than two weeks to the November 5 US presidential election, polls indicate a close race, adding political uncertainty. Combined with tensions in the Middle East, this uncertainty supports demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
However, the impact is tempered by renewed US Dollar (USD) strength, driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will take a cautious approach to easing policy. Recent US economic data has shown resilience, reducing the likelihood of a large rate cut in November, which supports the USD and pressures gold prices.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
H1 frame continues to adjust slightly downward - expected price range 2709 - 2680 for seller liquidity
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2750 - $2752 SL $2758
TP1: $2740
TP2: $2730
TP3: $2720
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2709 - $2711 SL $2704
TP1: $2718
TP2: $2730
TP3: $2740
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
10/25 ! USD JPY ! touch trend set up SELL USD/ JPY trend forecast October 25, 2024
The Japanese Yen (JPY) failed to build on Thursday’s recovery and faced renewed selling pressure during Friday's Asian session. Japan's business activity data for October showed a contraction in both manufacturing and services sectors. Additionally, a drop in Tokyo’s core inflation below the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) 2% target lowered expectations for further rate hikes in 2024, weighing on the JPY.
A positive market sentiment and US Dollar (USD) buying also supported the USD/JPY pair around the mid-151.00s. However, verbal intervention by Japanese authorities helped limit further JPY losses. Traders now await US economic data for short-term direction amid political uncertainty before Japan’s general election on Sunday.
H1 frame shows the price zone is adjusting - touching the trendline, continuing to adjust down
/// SELL USDJPY : zone 151.850 - 152.050
SL: 152.500
TP: 50 - 100 - 250 pips (149.550)
Safe and profitable trading
XAU ! 10/24 ! Adjustment and price decreaseXAU / USD trend forecast October 24, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to the $2,736-$2,737 range during the European session, recovering some losses from the previous day’s pullback from a record high. Ongoing Middle East conflicts and uncertainty around the upcoming US Presidential election on November 5 boost demand for the safe-haven asset. Additionally, a slight dip in the US Dollar from its near three-month high and falling US Treasury yields further support gold's upward movement.
Gold price continues to be in the long-term uptrend - however, there needs to be adjustments for the market to stabilize and rebalance. Expected price range 2700 - 2680 in the short term
/// SELL XAU : zone 2740-2743
SL: 2748
TP: 50 - 200 - 300 pips (2713)
Safe and profitable trading
Bearish pattern - XAU correction ! 2700⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices are recovering part of Wednesday’s decline from the record high of $2,759 early Thursday. The rebound is supported by a pause in the US Dollar's rise, as US Treasury bond yields stabilize ahead of the preliminary S&P Global US PMI data.
Gold is now awaiting the US PMI data for further direction. The slight pullback in the USD and yields is likely due to improving market sentiment in Asia after Wall Street's tech sell-off. US equity futures are also recovering, helped by Tesla Inc.’s positive earnings report, which provided some relief to investors.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
A HEAD AND SHOULDERS model is forming, long-term H2 frame RSI bearish divergence. Expect gold's correction to approach 2700 - 2680
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2763 - $2765 SL $2770
TP1: $2755
TP2: $2747
TP3: $2740
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2739 - $2741 SL $2744 scalping
TP1: $2735
TP2: $2730
TP3: $2720
Note the support zone: 2680
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2701 - $2703 SL $2696
TP1: $2710
TP2: $2718
TP3: $2725
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSDHere is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential short opportunity.
As per our last mind, we were waiting for signs of exhaustion on XAUUSD . We have also broken the structure and our KL (Key Level) 2737 .
In detail,
As price on XAUUSD has broken our KL (Key Level) that’s sitting at 2737 , it has also broken the upside structure . We are entering at the break of our KL at 2737.811 with SL sitting at 2749.285 as it would invalidate the trade idea and continue the bullish movement creating new highs. Our TP (Take Profit) is sitting at the previous ATH (All Time High) 2685 .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2737.811
- SL: 2749.285
- TP: 2685.800
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD price is showing exhaustion.
- XAUUSD broke our KL (Key Level).
- The bullish structure has been broken.
- Breaking above our SL would result in more upside.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Is it time to Sell USDCAD? Interest Rate aheadThe USDCAD pair has been trending upwards steadily since 24 September, achieving a notable gain of 3.22% without any significant retracement. It is now approaching a key resistance level of 1.3880, the most significant resistance region since 2022.
USDCAD overbought?
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicated a reading of 75.53 on 21 October, suggesting a potential overbought condition for USDCAD. The RSI is a widely used indicator in technical analysis, employed to identify possible overbought or oversold scenarios.
Classic Bearish Divergence on H4:
On the 4-hour chart, USDCAD has formed a classic bearish divergence, signalling the potential influx of selling pressure. A classic bearish divergence occurs when the price makes higher highs while the RSI fails to keep pace, forming lower highs.
This is a powerful bearish reversal pattern, particularly relevant following a significant upward movement, as is the case with USDCAD at this time.
Technical Analysis Summary:
From a technical analysis standpoint, we have identified several key factors:
1. A directional upward movement, accumulating 3.22% in USDCAD.
2. The RSI indicates signs of buyer exhaustion on the H4 chart.
3. The presence of a classic bearish divergence on the H4 chart.
These elements collectively support the notion that USDCAD may be in an overbought situation, potentially creating selling opportunities.
Sell trigger with 9-period Moving Average
Recent price action has remained above the 9-period moving average, indicating a slight uptrend in the short term.
However, if the price crosses below the SMA9 on the H4 chart, this could act as a sell trigger, leading to a potential decline towards the 1.3690 region within a few days.
Impact of CAD Interest Rate Decisions:
The Bank of Canada is currently adopting a more dovish stance, gradually lowering interest rates as inflation moves closer to control. This has been evidenced in recent meetings, with a consistent 0.25% cut implemented at each meeting. The next interest rate decision is scheduled for 23 October, with the market anticipating a potential 0.50% cut. However, given that the last three meetings resulted in 0.25% reductions, a 0.50% cut appears unlikely at this stage. If the interest rate cut is smaller than expected, the CAD may appreciate in the short term, which could further contribute to a decline in USD/CAD.
Monitoring Key Developments
In summary, as USDCAD approaches a critical resistance level amid signs of overbought conditions, traders should monitor these technical indicators and market sentiments closely. With potential selling opportunities pending and the influence of interest rate decisions looming, it will be crucial to stay alert to market developments moving forward.
Disclaimer:
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
BITCOIN Takes A Dump!As previously stated. Are Buy above the level $60,000 has led to the major resistance of $68,000-$69,000. I believe will will have a major rejection leading to a plummeting fall towards $65,000 and below $60,000. Any break through $59,000-$56,000 could lead to a triggering fall towards $48,000. If bitcoin reacts negatively with the $48,000 support, this could consequently put us at a liquidation area of around $42,000-$38,500
This is just a prediction, please be safe trading. Good luck!
Sold 1/2 Bitcoin. Raised Stops.Even though we did not reach my 1:2 rrr target, nor did my sell signal fire off, I am choosing to take 1/2 of my Bitcoin profit here, raise my stops, and hold the remainder of the position. I should’ve done this at 68k, but wanted to see how this market would handle the top of our channel.
All along the big resistance target I have discussed has been 68k. I still believe we could break through it, however, the chart is beginning to disagree. Inside of my descending channel (which is bullish long-term) we have this ascending wedge pattern beginning to form (this is bearish). If correct and it plays out, it would take us all the way down to 48k. Sound significant? Yeah, that’s ‘cuz it is!
You’ve heard me discuss 48k many times in the past. It is the neckline of a larger inverse head and shoulders pattern seen on the weekly chart below. We wicked down once in an attempt to kiss and retest. But that may not have been enough tongue action for these bears?
Mark this wedge out on your charts and watch it closely. It is significant. And if it breaks? To 48k we’ll go.
SIDEWAY gold! 2627 - 2660 competitive price range⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) pulled back from a one-week high on Monday, ending a two-day winning streak as the US Dollar (USD) strengthened. Investors no longer expect a significant rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed) in November, keeping US Treasury yields high and attracting investment away from the non-yielding gold.
Additionally, disappointment over China's fiscal stimulus and weak inflation data over the weekend further dampened investor confidence, weighing on gold prices. However, ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East helped gold find support above the $2,640 level during Tuesday's Asian session, limiting further losses.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The psychology of waiting for November interest rates was clearly shown this week. There is not much news announced, Gold price is sideways in the price range 2627 - 2660
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2636 - $2634 SL $2631 scalping
TP1: $2642
TP2: $2650
TP3: $2655
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2629 - $2627 SL $2622
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2642
TP3: $2650
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2660 - $2662 SL $2667
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
10/15 ! XAU continue SIDEWAY over $2640XAU / USD trend forecast October 15, 2024
Gold prices pulled back after reaching a daily high of $2,666 on Monday, as China’s stimulus measures failed to lift markets and the US Dollar continued to strengthen. XAU/USD is trading around $2,650, down 0.26%.
Weekend data showed China’s economy facing deflationary pressures, jeopardizing its 5% GDP target. In response, Finance Minister Lan Foan stated that the government will maintain stimulus efforts, support the property market, and increase state bank capital to stimulate the economy.
No important economic news this week - sideways time. Gold accumulates waiting for information on interest rates in November 2024
/// SELL XAU : zone 2659-2662
SL: 2667
TP: 50 - 100 - 200 pips (2642)
Safe and profitable trading
CAD/JPY October Setup: Bearish Divergence Confirmed with TDI
CAD/JPY October Market Structure and Trading Analysis
In the month of October, the CAD/JPY pair is exhibiting a classic open high-low-close structure, indicating a potential sell setup. This bearish outlook has now been confirmed with a TDI (Traders Dynamic Index) cross, signaling the appropriate time to consider sell entries.
Key Technical Highlights:
1. Bearish Divergence: A significant bearish divergence has been present since July 19, 2024, continuing to the current market price. This divergence suggests weakening bullish momentum and a likely shift towards a downward trend.
2. Open High Structure on Daily Timeframe: The daily chart for October reflects an open high structure, which is a strong indication of a bearish trend for the remainder of the month.
3. Overbought Conditions: Following a bullish breakout that began on October 1, 2024, the market had reached overbought levels, creating a favorable scenario for a reversal.
4. Confirmed Bearish TDI Cross: As of October 10, a bearish TDI cross has occurred, confirming the presence of sellers in the market. This cross is a key technical indicator, signaling that sell positions are now supported by market conditions.
**Take Profit Targets:**
- **Take Profit 1:** 107.250
- **Take Profit 2:** 106.500
Trading Recommendations:
Even though we have the confirmation from the TDI cross, it is essential to remain cautious and ensure that valid signals continue to align with the overall market conditions. Always apply risk management strategies to safeguard your capital while trading.
If this analysis has been useful, please feel free to like, comment, and follow for more updates. I’ll be sure to follow back. Best of luck with your trades!
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Gold recovers - touch TREND H2 - SELL NOWXAU / USD trend forecast October 11, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) pulls back slightly from a three-day high, trading around $2,640 in early European trading on Friday, though still up over 0.40%. A rise in US jobless claims indicated labor market weakness, allowing the Federal Reserve to continue cutting rates. This led to a slight drop in US Treasury yields and a softer risk tone, helping gold gain for a second day.
However, stronger-than-expected US inflation data reduced the chances of another large Fed rate cut in November, supporting the US Dollar and limiting gold's gains. Traders now await the US PPI, Michigan Consumer Sentiment, and Fedspeak for further direction.
Gold recovered - broke the downtrend H1. However, the larger frame H2 - H4 still shows that the correction is still continuing. While the market psychology is worried that there will be no further interest rate cut in November.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2652-2655
SL: 2660
TP: 50 - 100 - 300 pips (2625)
Safe and profitable trading
XAU down! correction 10/10/2024XAU / USD trend forecast October 10, 2024
Gold continued its decline for the sixth straight day after the Federal Reserve (Fed) released its September Meeting Minutes. The Minutes revealed that most FOMC members supported a 50-basis-point cut, though XAU/USD remains near $2,610, down 0.37%.
While some officials preferred a 25 bps cut, all agreed on lowering rates. Most participants saw inflation risks decreasing, while concerns about the labor market increased.
H1 frame shows Gold price correction - amid news of China stopping gold purchases continuing to impact further bullish momentum. Price continues to correct below 2600
/// SELL XAU : zone 2623-2626
SL: 2631
TP: 50 - 100 - 300 pips (2596)
Safe and profitable trading
CPI ! Opportunity for gold price to fall below 2600⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) edged higher during the Asian session on Thursday, ending a six-day losing streak that brought it to a nearly three-week low. The US Dollar (USD) is in a consolidation phase as traders await the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release. This repositioning has provided some support to gold.
However, a significant rally in gold seems unlikely due to reduced expectations for aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), as highlighted by the September FOMC meeting minutes. Elevated US Treasury yields may continue to limit gains, requiring strong buying to signal the end of gold's recent corrective decline from its all-time high.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The long-term framework H1, H4 shows that sellers prevail - the downward correction will continue towards below $2600
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2583 - $2585 SL $2578
TP1: $2590
TP2: $2600
TP3: $2610
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2649 - $2651 SL $2656
TP1: $2644
TP2: $2638
TP3: $2630
Pay attention to the trendline resistance area H1: 2633
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
EUR/JPY October Market Outlook: Bearish Setup with Key Sell Sign
EUR/JPY October Market Structure and Trading Insights
The monthly structure for EUR/JPY in October shows an open high-low-close pattern, which is indicative of a potential sell setup. However, we are currently waiting for confirmation in the form of a TDI (Traders Dynamic Index) cross, which will signal when to enter sell positions.
Key Points to Note:
1. Bearish Divergence: From August 16, 2024, through the current market high, we observe a clear bearish divergence. This is often a precursor to downward movement and strengthens the case for a sell setup.
2. Daily Timeframe Open High Structure: The daily chart for October reflects an open-high structure, reinforcing the bearish outlook for the month.
3. Overbought Market Conditions: Since the bullish breakout on October 1, 2024, the price has been in an overbought zone. This suggests that a reversal is likely as the market corrects from these elevated levels.
4. Double Top ('M') Pattern: There is a visible double top pattern, also known as an 'M' pattern, on the daily chart. The second leg of this 'M' pattern looks particularly strong, further signaling a potential bearish move.
5. TDI Cross as Confirmation: A bearish TDI cross will serve as a confirmation of the presence of sellers. This signal is essential to validate the entry for sell trades.
Take Profit Levels:
- Take Profit 1: 161.600
- Take Profit 2: 160.500
Trading Advice:
It is important to exercise patience and wait for valid confirmation signals, such as the TDI cross, before entering any trades. Always approach the market with caution, utilizing sound risk management strategies to safeguard your capital.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, commenting, and following for future updates. I will gladly return the follow. Best of luck with your trades!
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