The bears are strong at the end of the year! H1 downtrend⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) dropped over 3% on Monday, wiping out much of last week’s strong rally, which had marked its best performance since March 2023. The decline was driven by Scott Bessent's nomination as US Treasury Secretary and reports suggesting Israel was nearing a ceasefire with Hezbollah in Lebanon, sparking a global risk-on sentiment. This overshadowed slight weakness in the US Dollar and pressured the precious metal.
However, the decline paused near the $2,600 level during the Asian session on Tuesday as renewed safe-haven demand emerged following President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff threats. Even so, expectations of a less dovish Federal Reserve, rising US Treasury yields, and renewed USD strength may limit gold’s recovery. Traders now await the release of the FOMC meeting minutes for further direction.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The combination of many factors causes gold prices to almost certainly continue to decline: Fibo H1, seller liquidity, touching EMA, trendline H1
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2646 - $2648 SL $2651 scalping
TP1: $2640
TP2: $2630
TP3: $2620
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2688 - $2690 SL $2695
TP1: $2675
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2650
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2607 - $2605 SL $2600
TP1: $2615
TP2: $2622
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Selltrade
DOW formation - DOWN trendXAU / USD trend forecast November 26, 2024
Gold prices (XAU/USD) plunged during Monday’s North American session following reports of a ceasefire agreement between Lebanon and Israel, which bolstered demand for riskier assets. Coupled with the announcement of Scott Bessent as the Treasury Secretary in Trump’s administration, this added further pressure on the yellow metal. XAU/USD is currently trading at $2,620, marking a drop of over 3%.
The shift in risk sentiment has been a key factor driving Gold’s decline. The metal has broken below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,664, paving the way for potential further losses.
Gold maintains price range below 2700 after ending short-term recovery - DOW wave 5 bar h1 frame
/// SELL XAU : zone 2649-2652
SL: 2657
TP: 50 - 150 - 300pips (2622)
Safe and profitable trading
Scalping ! Find short-term FIBO retracement pointsSCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) dropped over 1% on Monday, trading in the $2,670 range, as markets reacted positively to the appointment of a steady and experienced figure to succeed Janet Yellen as the next US Treasury Secretary.
President-elect Donald Trump selected hedge fund manager Scott Bessent for the role, set to begin in January 2025. Bessent's reputation for cautious decision-making and his potential to temper some of Trump’s more extreme economic and trade policies appear to have eased market concerns, reducing the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Price decreased at the beginning of the week on Monday - price recovered at 2690 entry FIBO, SELL SCALPING
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2690 - $2692 SL $2696
TP1: $2685
TP2: $2678
TP3: $2670
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
USD/ JPY ! 11/14 ! JPY value will increaseUSDJPY trend forecast November 14, 2024
The Japanese Yen (JPY) remains under selling pressure during the Asian session on Thursday, helping USD/JPY reach the 156.00 level for the first time since July 23, supported by a strong US Dollar (USD). Market sentiment suggests Japan’s political climate may hinder the Bank of Japan (BoJ) from further tightening its policy, which weakens the JPY. Additionally, worries about potential trade tariffs from US President-elect Donald Trump add further pressure on the Yen.
The dollar is benefiting from the new president trump FOMO, but it is cooling down soon.
The Japanese yen also has new moves with the new prime minister, helping the value of the Japanese yen increase further.
/// SELL USD/JPY : zone 156.100 - 156.400
SL: 156.700
TP: 40 - 100 - 200 pips (154.400)
Safe and profitable trading
XAU ! 11/14 ! still a strong decreaseXAU / USD trend forecast November 14, 2024
The US Dollar gained strongly as markets had largely anticipated a 25-basis-point hike by the Federal Reserve at its December meeting. CME FedWatch Tool data shows the odds have increased from 58% to 82%. The DXY index, which measures the Dollar’s strength against major currencies, reached a year-to-date high of 106.52, just above the previous high of 106.51 from April 16, and is currently around 106.49, up 0.50%.
yesterday's sharp drop - continues to make investors believe prices will fall further: 2500
/// SELL XAU : zone 2574-2577
SL: 2580
TP: 50 - 100 - 150pips (2561)
/// SELL XAU : zone 2590-2593
SL: 2598
TP: 50 - 200 - 300pips (2563)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold reduced! The target is aimed at 2514⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) extends its decline for the fifth consecutive session, hitting its lowest level since September 19 near $2,558 during Thursday’s Asian session. Persistent US Dollar (USD) strength, fueled by optimism over President-elect Donald Trump's pro-growth policies and expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) pause in easing, keeps pressure on the non-yielding metal. Elevated US Treasury yields and a strong USD, which reached its highest level since November 2023, further weigh on Gold.
Additionally, Wednesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report signaled slower progress in reducing inflation, suggesting fewer rate cuts in 2024. Coupled with a bullish run in US equity markets, this has driven investors away from Gold. Traders now await the US Producer Price Index (PPI) release for near-term direction, with attention on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech later today.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The H4 price frame shows a strong downtrend, pay attention to the support zone, buyer liquidity here is quite large 2548
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2580 - $2582 SL $2587
TP1: $2565
TP2: $2550
TP3: $2530
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2515 - $2513 SL $2508
TP1: $2525
TP2: $2540
TP3: $2560
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2548 - $2550 SL $2545 scalping
TP1: $2558
TP2: $2564
TP3: $2570
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
11/12 ! XAU ! Bears determined to continue to lower pricesXAU / USD trend forecast November 12, 2024
Gold dropped over 2.5% on Monday as the US Dollar surged to a four-month high. Speculation that a second Trump term might reignite trade tensions is supporting the USD's strength. XAU/USD is now trading at $2,611 after hitting a daily high of $2,686. This decline follows gold's worst weekly performance in more than five months after the election, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) up 0.6% to 105.57.
Gold prices continued to decline on Monday - returning to the 2610 zone. The 2606 support zone could help gold recover and stay above 2600 in the short term.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2654-2657
SL: 2662
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2627)
Safe and profitable trading
bearish cycle - bears dominate !! XAU / USD ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) extended its losses on Monday, dropping over 2% to hit its lowest level since October 10 after its steepest weekly decline in five months. Strong US Dollar (USD) demand, driven by expectations of cautious Federal Reserve (Fed) policies and optimism over President-elect Donald Trump’s growth-focused agenda, pushed US Treasury yields higher and weighed on the non-yielding gold.
However, the decline paused near $2,600 amid concerns that Trump’s protectionist policies could harm the global economy, spurring some safe-haven demand. Any significant rebound remains limited due to the USD's strong bullish momentum. Investors are likely waiting for this week’s US inflation data and key speeches from Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, before making further moves.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price moves in wave 3 according to Elliot, decreasing in price by the end of 2024
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2656 - $2658 SL $2663
TP1: $2648
TP2: $2635
TP3: $2620
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2604 - $2602 SL $2599 scalping
TP1: $2610
TP2: $2620
TP3: $2630
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2575 - $2577 SL $2570
TP1: $2585
TP2: $2593
TP3: $2600
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU ! 11/12 ! Continue the downtrend ! 2580XAU / USD trend forecast November 12, 2024! SCALPING
Gold prices (XAU/USD) continue to decline during the first half of Tuesday's European session, dropping below $2,600 for the first time since September 20. Investors remain focused on the “Trump trade,” which strengthens the US Dollar to a four-month high, adding pressure to gold for the third consecutive day.
Additionally, expectations that Trump’s expansionary policies will drive economic growth and inflation are likely to restrict the Federal Reserve’s need for further easing. This keeps US Treasury yields high, diverting interest away from the non-yielding gold as markets await key speeches from prominent FOMC members.
break support 2610 - gold price continues to fall below 2600. Wait for retest 2610, SELL signal following downtrend
/// SELL XAU : zone 2608-2611 scalping
SL: 2614
TP: 40 - 80 - 150 pips (2596)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold enters a long-term bearish-adjustment cycle⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) adds to last week's heavy losses and remains under some selling pressure for the second successive day on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) holds steady below a four-month peak touched last week in the wake of optimism over Donald Trump's anticipated expansionary policies and turns out to be a key factor undermining the commodity. Furthermore, President-elect Trump has vowed to cut corporate taxes, which remains supportive of the risk-on mood and contributes to driving flows away from the safe-haven precious metal.
Meanwhile, expectations that Trump's policies could spur economic growth and inflation and restrict the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to cut interest rates more aggressively keep the US Treasury bond yields elevated. This, in turn, exerts additional pressure on the non-yielding Gold price, though bets for further Fed rate cuts could offer some support. Traders might also opt to move to the sidelines ahead of this week's release of the latest US consumer inflation figures and speeches by influential FOMC members, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
At the end of the year, there is almost no important news to help gold prices increase in 2024. The adjustment at the end of 2024 will cause gold to decrease.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2685 - $2687 SL $2692
TP1: $2678
TP2: $2665
TP3: $2650
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2666 - $2664 SL $2659
TP1: $2672
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2690
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold continues downtrend - market stability✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 11/11 - 11/15/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices fell on Friday as the US Dollar rebounded, despite a dip in Treasury yields. Traders adjusted their "Trump trade" positions, cautious about tariff uncertainties following Trump’s election win. XAU/USD is down 0.67%, trading at $2,688.
US equities continued to rise, brushing off previous election concerns that had boosted Gold. With political risks easing, the market focus now shifts to Trump's policy plans.
🔥 Identify:
The time when gold is sideways and adjusts down, stabilizing the price in 2024 to a safe zone. In the context that there will be many financial packages to stimulate the global economy in the near future, gold will become less attractive than other financial sectors.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2710, $2756
Support : $2666, $2645, 2606
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold sideway below 2700 - in DOWN trendSCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Traders took profits on recent Trump trades, leading to a pullback in the US Dollar from a four-month high and giving a boost to Gold prices on Thursday. The USD continued to ease after the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, bringing it to a target range of 4.50%-4.75%.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
sideway in a bearish correction - waiting for the 2700 resistance zone to scalp SELL
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2700 - $2702 SL $2705
TP1: $2694
TP2: $2688
TP3: $2680
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Short-term recovery for a stronger downward correction⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) sees new selling pressure during Tuesday’s Asian session, dipping to over a one-week low near $2,725-2,724, though the downside appears limited. The uncertainty around the tight US presidential election and potential escalation of Middle East tensions could keep supporting this safe-haven asset.
Additionally, the unwinding of "Trump trades" and expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut rates further due to a slowing US labor market have pushed US Treasury yields lower. This has prevented the US Dollar from extending its overnight recovery and may continue to limit any significant pullback in Gold prices.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The downward adjustment trend still maintains the H1 and H4 frames. If you want a stronger decrease - a short-term recovery in the downtrend in the price range 2747 - 2761 is more expected. Current selling volume is slowing down due to support zones blocking it
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2748 - $2750 SL $2753 scalping
TP1: $2743
TP2: $2737
TP3: $2730
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2762 - $2764 SL $2769
TP1: $2750
TP2: $2730
TP3: $2717
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2716 - $2714 SL $2709
TP1: $2725
TP2: $2732
TP3: $2740
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Adjustment - gold price drops! Waiting for the new US president⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) remains positive on Monday as US election risks and Middle East tensions continue to support the safe-haven asset. However, stronger demand for the Greenback and rising US bond yields could limit Gold’s gains, as higher yields make non-yielding assets like Gold less appealing.
Investors are focused on Tuesday's US presidential election, with the market’s attention shifting to the Federal Reserve’s rate decision on Thursday. Given the election uncertainty, it’s anticipated that the Fed will opt for a standard 25 basis point rate cut, rather than a larger half-point easing.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price officially decreased - legalized adjustment with the US presidential election. The US economy will have a new breeze - boosting the economy and other investment areas. Gold will wait for the next interest rate information
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2757 - $2759 SL $2762 scalping
TP1: $2750
TP2: $2740
TP3: $2730
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2771 - $2773 SL $2778
TP1: $2765
TP2: $2750
TP3: $2740
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2717 - $2715 SL $2710
TP1: $2725
TP2: $2732
TP3: $2740
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU! 11/1 ! Gold price adjustment - NF newsXAU / USD trend forecast November1, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) regains some ground on Friday, supported by US election uncertainties and Middle East tensions, which boost demand for the safe-haven asset. However, rising US Treasury yields and a stronger US Dollar may limit gains. Traders now await the US October employment report, with key data on Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings. A strong report could reduce expectations for Fed rate cuts, potentially weighing on gold.
Gold price adjusted down - market reduced FOMO. Waiting for NF news to officially return to the price range of 2700 - 2720
/// SELL XAU : zone 2769-2772
SL: 2777
TP: 50 - 200 - 300 pips (2742)
Safe and profitable trading
USDCAD! 10/30 ! Resistance H4 SELL signal USDCAD trend forecast October 30, 2024
The USD/CAD pair continues its upward trend on Tuesday, rising 0.23% to 1.3910, near Monday’s three-month high of 1.3908. The Greenback's strength, coupled with a drop in oil prices, supports this movement. Positive US economic data has fueled expectations for Fed rate cuts in November. September’s JOLTs report was mixed but slightly below forecasts, while August home price indices exceeded expectations, indicating persistent shelter inflation.
Resistance H4 - overbought zone. In the context of the falling dollar, inflation cooling down in the US, causing the USD/XXX currency pairs to adjust down.
/// SELL USDCAD : zone 1.39300 - 1.39500
SL: 1.39800
TP: 60 - 100 - 250 pips (1.37000)
Safe and profitable trading
USD/ JPY ! 10/ 28 ! SELL resistance ! GAP USD/ JPY trend forecast October 28, 2024
The Japanese Yen (JPY) recovers about 50 pips from a three-month low against the USD, though gains are limited amid uncertainty over the Bank of Japan's rate hike plans and the ruling coalition’s recent loss of its parliamentary majority. Additionally, a positive risk sentiment continues to weigh on the safe-haven JPY.
At the beginning of the week, the price created a GAP to increase - need to adjust to fill the GAP. There is a slight resistance zone - in the context of not much important news today.
/// SELL USDJPY : zone 153.250 - 153.550
SL: 153.850
TP: 60 - 100 - 250 pips (151.050)
Safe and profitable trading
XAU ! 10/24 ! Adjustment and price decreaseXAU / USD trend forecast October 24, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to the $2,736-$2,737 range during the European session, recovering some losses from the previous day’s pullback from a record high. Ongoing Middle East conflicts and uncertainty around the upcoming US Presidential election on November 5 boost demand for the safe-haven asset. Additionally, a slight dip in the US Dollar from its near three-month high and falling US Treasury yields further support gold's upward movement.
Gold price continues to be in the long-term uptrend - however, there needs to be adjustments for the market to stabilize and rebalance. Expected price range 2700 - 2680 in the short term
/// SELL XAU : zone 2740-2743
SL: 2748
TP: 50 - 200 - 300 pips (2713)
Safe and profitable trading
NZDUSD: Short Term SellEntry: 0.6080
Stop Loss: 0.6140 (60 pips above entry)
Take Profit: 0.5980 (100 pips below entry, offering a 1.67:1 reward-to-risk ratio)
Reasoning:
The New Zealand dollar is displaying signs of weakness, and with global risk-off sentiment prevailing, NZD/USD may continue to fall towards 0.5980. This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity.
GBPUSD: Short Term SellEntry: 1.3091
Stop Loss: 1.3170 (80 pips above entry)
Take Profit: 1.2970 (120 pips below entry, offering a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio)
Reasoning:
GBP/USD faces increasing downward pressure as the U.K. economy remains fragile, while the U.S. dollar benefits from its relative strength. This trade offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio in light of these macroeconomic factors.
AUDUSD: Short Term SellEntry: 0.6727
Stop Loss: 0.6800 (73 pips above entry)
Take Profit: 0.6600 (127 pips below entry, offering a 1.7:1 reward-to-risk ratio)
Reasoning:
With global risk-off sentiment growing and commodity prices showing signs of weakness, AUD/USD could face further downside pressure. This setup capitalizes on potential bearish momentum, offering a strong risk-to-reward opportunity.
Strong XAU Uptrend! wait ATH 2683⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) pulled back from record highs on Wednesday, dropping to around $2,655 in the European session. A risk-on sentiment and overbought conditions led to profit-taking, while a slight US Dollar uptick added pressure. However, expectations of aggressive Fed policy easing may limit the USD's strength, supporting gold.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and US political uncertainty ahead of the November election also help contain gold's downside. Traders await further clues on the Fed's rate-cut path, with attention on FOMC speeches, including Fed Chair Powell's on Thursday, and the US PCE Price Index on Friday. metal.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Still a strong bullish force reaching the all-time highest ATH of 2670. The fomo from the market may continue throughout this week
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2626 - $2628 SL $2620
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2642
TP3: $2650
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2683 - $2685 SL $2690
TP1: $2670
TP2: $2655
TP3: $2640
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest