Gold price starts to adjust down sharply yet, next week?✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 02/17/2025 - 02/21/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold price dipped below $2,900 on Friday but remains on track for a strong weekly gain of over 0.80% as traders take profits ahead of the weekend. Despite mixed US economic data, the Greenback hit yearly lows, and US Treasury yields tumbled. XAU/USD is currently trading at $2,883, down 1.48% for the day.
US retail sales saw a sharp decline in January, further weakening the dollar. However, gold found support as traders adjusted their positions, benefiting from safe-haven demand. Following the data, investors priced in multiple Fed rate cuts, driving the US 10-year Treasury yield down to 4.472%. Meanwhile, Industrial Production rebounded in January after a weak previous month.
🔥 Identify:
The H4 frame is still in an increasing range, gold prices may soon adjust down more strongly, in the context of waiting for the Trump administration to take actions to impose taxes on other countries in the world.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2908, $2942, $2957
Support : $2831, $2790, $2722
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Sellzone
Gold continues to maintain sideways below 294x, accumulating⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) continues to climb during Friday’s Asian session, supported by concerns over US President Donald Trump’s tariff plans and a drop in US bond yields.
However, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain its hawkish stance and keep interest rates high could limit further gains for the non-yielding metal. Traders are now focused on the upcoming US Retail Sales data for January, set to be released later in the day.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The uptrend is still going on, however profit-taking selling pressure still exists around 294x, gold will still accumulate around 2900 or more.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2942 - $2944 SL $2949
TP1: $2935
TP2: $2927
TP3: $2920
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2903 - $2905 SL $2898
TP1: $2912
TP2: $2920
TP3: $2930
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold price recovers, BULL and PPI news⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) edges higher during the Asian session on Thursday, extending its rebound from the $2,864 level seen after strong US inflation data. Concerns over a potential global trade war, fueled by President Trump's new tariffs on commodity imports, support demand for the safe-haven metal. Additionally, a slight dip in the US Dollar (USD) further boosts gold's appeal.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
In the uptrend, gold price has recovered to the price zone of 2920, accumulating to find the old ATH of 2944.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2927 - $2929 SL $2932 scalping
TP1: $2923
TP2: $2918
TP3: $2910
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2941 - $2943 SL $2948
TP1: $2935
TP2: $2928
TP3: $2920
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2877 - $2879 SL $2872
TP1: $2885
TP2: $2892
TP3: $2900
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
PLTR -- more volatility forecasted into MarchExpecting quick progression to 118$ level as final buy-side wave near term.
Looking for renewed significant selling action from that level to retrace price back to pre-earnings levels near 80-85$
Possibility exists (imho) that we fully retrace back to 63-64$ levels by April timeframe, depending on sentiment as we head into next FOMC meeting in mid-March.
After that, my cycles analysis indicates we will continue higher toward 120...Therefore, I will be planning on taking profits on put option contracts once underlying share price reaches below 85$, and will plan on scaling into long equity positions on discounts between 64-85$ for the projected subsequent buy wave to 120+
SCALPING XAU ! resistance 2882 entry SELL today⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield dropped to its lowest level since December 12 this week, driven by expectations of two Fed rate cuts by the end of 2025, further boosting demand for non-yielding gold.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee attributed the recent inflation stagnation to base effects, emphasizing the need to balance overheating risks with economic stability. Meanwhile, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan acknowledged significant inflation progress but noted that the labor market remains too strong to justify imminent rate cuts. However, this did little to strengthen the US Dollar.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Nova still thinks the market today will have a surprise for NF, the market will fall freely, going against the current majority psychology.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2881 - $2883 SL $2888
TP1: $2870
TP2: $2860
TP3: $2850
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
NOW: Bearish Signs – Harmonic Pattern Hints DeclineServiceNow (NOW): Bearish Setup Ahead of Earnings
ServiceNow (NOW) is showing signs of potential bearish movement as it nears its earnings announcement on January 29.
Bearish Divergence: Notable on both the daily and weekly charts, suggesting weakening momentum.
Double Tops Formation: A reversal pattern indicating potential selling pressure.
AB=CD Harmonic Pattern: The bearish harmonic pattern has completed, signaling a possible correction.
Key Levels to Watch:
A closing below $999 would indicate a break of structure, potentially targeting the rising trendline support.
If you’re holding positions, consider off-loading some shares at current levels and re-evaluating after the earnings announcement.
Stay vigilant and monitor price action closely. Happy trading!
Gold falls on inauguration day of TRUMP⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Last week's softer-than-expected US inflation data could support Gold prices by fueling speculation of more than one rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Traders are now looking ahead to President-elect Trump's inauguration on Monday for insights into the executive orders he plans to issue. "Uncertainty surrounding the policies President Trump will implement has been one of the factors supporting Gold," noted David Meger, Director of Metals Trading at High Ridge Futures.
Moreover, ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the Russia-Ukraine conflict continue to drive safe-haven demand for Gold. According to The Guardian, the Russian military captured two additional settlements in eastern Ukraine's Donetsk region on Saturday, marking the latest progress in its westward advance.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold short term down around 2700 area, sideways and waiting for new economic policies of the trump administration
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2678 - $2676 SL $2671
TP1: $2685
TP2: $2693
TP3: $2700
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2716 - $2718 SL $2723
TP1: $2710
TP2: $2700
TP3: $2690
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold SIDEWAY and correction down next week✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 01/20/2025 - 01/24/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices dipped late in the North American session but are still on track to end the week with gains of over 0.40%, as markets anticipate the inauguration of US President-elect Donald Trump. Currently trading at $2,701, down 0.44%, the yellow metal remains a preferred choice for investors amid political uncertainty.
Geopolitical tensions and US political developments continue to influence Gold’s performance. Despite steady mid-term US Treasury yields, Gold buyers were unable to drive prices higher for additional gains before the weekend.
🔥 Identify:
Gold hits large-frame resistance 2724, weakens and corrects short-term decline. Market awaits new economic policies of President Trump
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2724, $2748
Support : $2662, $2633
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
EUR/USD Analysis - Short Opportunity
The EUR/USD pair has reached a weak high near 1.0598, suggesting potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. Key levels and patterns indicate a possible short setup:
Change of Character (ChoCH): Signs of a shift in market structure to the downside, as seen in recent rejections.
Bearish Order Block: Price is testing a supply zone, aligning with a short-term bearish bias.
Liquidity Zones: The area near 1.0547 and 1.0530 offers targets for a potential downward move, as these zones may attract price action.
Risk Zone: Stop-loss placement above the weak high around 1.0598 to protect against unexpected bullish continuation.
Plan: Consider shorting at current levels or on a slight pullback, targeting the lower zones (1.0547, 1.0530). Ensure tight risk management to navigate potential volatility.
Let me know if you have any questions!
The bears are strong at the end of the year! H1 downtrend⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) dropped over 3% on Monday, wiping out much of last week’s strong rally, which had marked its best performance since March 2023. The decline was driven by Scott Bessent's nomination as US Treasury Secretary and reports suggesting Israel was nearing a ceasefire with Hezbollah in Lebanon, sparking a global risk-on sentiment. This overshadowed slight weakness in the US Dollar and pressured the precious metal.
However, the decline paused near the $2,600 level during the Asian session on Tuesday as renewed safe-haven demand emerged following President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff threats. Even so, expectations of a less dovish Federal Reserve, rising US Treasury yields, and renewed USD strength may limit gold’s recovery. Traders now await the release of the FOMC meeting minutes for further direction.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The combination of many factors causes gold prices to almost certainly continue to decline: Fibo H1, seller liquidity, touching EMA, trendline H1
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2646 - $2648 SL $2651 scalping
TP1: $2640
TP2: $2630
TP3: $2620
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2688 - $2690 SL $2695
TP1: $2675
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2650
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2607 - $2605 SL $2600
TP1: $2615
TP2: $2622
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold sideways below 2700 price zone ! Scalping XAU / USD trend forecast November 25, 2024 ! SCALPING
Gold prices (XAU/USD) remain under significant selling pressure during the early European session on Monday, though they manage to stay above the $2,650 mark and hold support at the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart. The nomination of Scott Bessent as US Treasury Secretary has removed a key source of uncertainty for the markets. Additionally, reports suggesting that Israel is nearing a ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah in Lebanon have bolstered investor confidence, reducing demand for the safe-haven yellow metal.
Monday gold price is under a lot of selling pressure below $2700, sideways and accumulating below this price range
/// SELL XAU : zone 2685-2688
SL: 2691
TP: 40 - 80 - 150 pips (2673)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold continues to rise - waiting for a correction⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices continued to rise for the fourth consecutive day, approaching the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) as heightened tensions in the Russia-Ukraine conflict increased demand for the safe-haven metal. XAU/USD is trading at $2,672, near weekly highs, with a gain of over 0.80%.
Concerns escalated after reports suggested Russia had launched an Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) on Ukraine. However, a Western official cited by Reuters clarified that no ICBM was used on Thursday.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
H1 frame is still a very stable price increase - aiming for above 2700 area, waiting for corrective reaction
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2706 - $2708 SL $2713
TP1: $2695
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2660
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2640 - $2642 SL $2635
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2670
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU ! Nov 21 ! waiting for resistance 2674XAU / USD trend forecast November 21, 2024
Gold prices (XAU/USD) hold onto their upward momentum as the European session approaches, currently hovering near the $2,660 mark, a one-and-a-half-week high reached earlier this Thursday. This marks the fourth consecutive day of gains, driven by heightened geopolitical risks arising from the escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict, which supports demand for the safe-haven metal. Additionally, a slight weakening of the US Dollar (USD) provides further support for the commodity.
The price increase continues - gold price recovers strongly. Waiting for reaction at resistance levels: 2674 - 2682 - 2710. The price increase continues - gold price recovers strongly. Waiting for reaction at resistance levels: 2674 - 2682 - 2710. World military tension will ease from next year with more peaceful policies of President Trump.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2672-2675
SL: 2680
TP: 50 - 150 - 300pips (2645)
Safe and profitable trading
No NEWS, Opportunity for gold to continue to recoverSCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) remain steady during the early European session, hovering near $2,620, slightly below Tuesday’s one-week high. Persistent geopolitical tensions, including the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict and unrest in the Middle East, continue to fuel safe-haven demand for the precious metal for a second consecutive day. However, expectations of a less aggressive rate-cutting approach by the Federal Reserve (Fed) limit further gains for the non-yielding Gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Small frame, gold buying pressure is still large, positive recovery, price will still move within the range of 2600 - 2644
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2603 - $2601 SL $2598
TP1: $2610
TP2: $2618
TP3: $2625
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
USD/ JPY ! 11/14 ! JPY value will increaseUSDJPY trend forecast November 14, 2024
The Japanese Yen (JPY) remains under selling pressure during the Asian session on Thursday, helping USD/JPY reach the 156.00 level for the first time since July 23, supported by a strong US Dollar (USD). Market sentiment suggests Japan’s political climate may hinder the Bank of Japan (BoJ) from further tightening its policy, which weakens the JPY. Additionally, worries about potential trade tariffs from US President-elect Donald Trump add further pressure on the Yen.
The dollar is benefiting from the new president trump FOMO, but it is cooling down soon.
The Japanese yen also has new moves with the new prime minister, helping the value of the Japanese yen increase further.
/// SELL USD/JPY : zone 156.100 - 156.400
SL: 156.700
TP: 40 - 100 - 200 pips (154.400)
Safe and profitable trading
Continue downtrend - target 2506 coming soon✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 11/18 - 11/22/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices fell for the sixth consecutive day, heading for a weekly loss of over 4%—the steepest since September 2023. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's mildly "hawkish" remarks strengthened the US Dollar, reducing demand for gold. As of now, XAU/USD trades at $2,564, down 0.17%.
On Thursday, Powell stated that the Fed is not in a hurry to cut interest rates, citing a resilient economy, a robust labor market, and inflation still above the 2% target.
🔥 Identify:
The decline in gold will continue as money is being drawn to other opportunistic financial sectors, the decline could be prolonged, sending gold prices to 2500 or 2400.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2590, $2610, 2645
Support : $2539, $2504
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold maintains a strong downtrendSCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The CME Group's FedWatch Tool shows the likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the next FOMC meeting has surged to over 80%, up from under 60% on Tuesday. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan remarked that while significant progress has been made in lowering inflation, the central bank should move forward carefully.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
After breaking the D frame support zone (2550), the downtrend will continue, waiting for the SELL SCALPING TEST 2550 zone.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2549 - $2551 SL $2554
TP1: $2544
TP2: $2538
TP3: $2530
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU ! 11/11 ! XAU sideway , wait retest 2681XAU / USD trend forecast November 11, 2024! SCALPING
Gold prices saw their sharpest weekly drop in over five months as the US Dollar strengthened broadly and US Treasury yields surged after Donald Trump's presidential win. The "Trump trade" momentum keeps supporting the Greenback, adding pressure to gold prices for the second day on Monday, with equity markets maintaining a positive outlook.
Gold is still sideways around the price range of 2664 - 2675, waiting for a break and entering orders following the trend. Waiting for the retest range of 2681 to set up a SELL signal.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2681-2684 scalping
SL: 2687
TP: 40 - 80 - 150 pips (2669)
Safe and profitable trading
GBP/USD ! 11/7 ! sideway price zone - resistance signal SELLGBP/USD trend forecast November 7, 2024
The GBP/USD pair finds support during the Asian session on Thursday, moving up from its mid-August low near the 1.2830 area touched the day before. Spot prices now aim to sustain momentum above the 1.2900 level as focus turns to significant central bank events.
The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to announce a rate cut today, its second this year, in response to slowing inflation. However, expectations that UK Finance Minister Rachel Reeves' upcoming budget could boost inflation, potentially slowing future BoE rate cuts, help support the British Pound. A slight dip in the US Dollar also contributes to GBP/USD gains.
Against the backdrop of a rising dollar - GBP is not much changed. sideways and slightly down
/// SELL GBP/USD : zone 1.29520 - 1.29720
SL: 1.30100
TP: 60 - 120 - 250 pips (1.27220)
Safe and profitable trading
XAU! 11/6! Gold price down - soon to $2700XAU / USD trend forecast November 6, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to build on Tuesday's rebound from the $2,725-2,724 region, hovering between small gains and losses in Wednesday's Asian session. Rising demand for the US Dollar, fueled by exit polls showing Donald Trump leading in key swing states, poses a challenge for gold. Additionally, a strong rise in US Treasury yields and a risk-on market mood put further pressure on the non-yielding metal. However, expectations of heightened volatility around the US election results prevent traders from taking strong bearish positions, which should help contain any significant downside for gold.
After clearing the liquidity of the 2748-2750 price range, the gold price is still moving in the 2730-2745 price range. The election results will create a positive and optimistic financial market. The gold price cools down - drops to 2700
/// SELL XAU : zone 2742-2745
SL: 2750
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2715)
Safe and profitable trading
EURUSD risky shortEURUSD is consolidating around 50% area near weekly high on the daily chart.
In the hourly chart we get a pivot off the SMC premium area and price has came back up but failed to break through the order block and has rejected it followed by a bearish candle.
Our indication is EURUSD will potentially fall to 1.0861
Due to high impact news we will just watch how it play instead of taking the trade.
USD/ JPY ! 10/ 28 ! SELL resistance ! GAP USD/ JPY trend forecast October 28, 2024
The Japanese Yen (JPY) recovers about 50 pips from a three-month low against the USD, though gains are limited amid uncertainty over the Bank of Japan's rate hike plans and the ruling coalition’s recent loss of its parliamentary majority. Additionally, a positive risk sentiment continues to weigh on the safe-haven JPY.
At the beginning of the week, the price created a GAP to increase - need to adjust to fill the GAP. There is a slight resistance zone - in the context of not much important news today.
/// SELL USDJPY : zone 153.250 - 153.550
SL: 153.850
TP: 60 - 100 - 250 pips (151.050)
Safe and profitable trading