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Semiconductor

NVDA Oportunity to Short Post EarningsThere is weakness in the semiconductor market, $NVDA has recently been underperforming peers, ASX:ASX , NASDAQ:INTC , NASDAQ:ATOM . The mayority of ratios are not good either, P/S, P/E, EV/EBITDA are way over Industry Average. Weak cryptocurrency demand of chips Suspension of test drives for driverless vehicles Uncertain macroeconomic environment may jeopardize company growth (80% company sales derived from outside US) Customer concentration: Top two customers accounted for 30% of total accounts receivables Short term we may see a bounce to the 165-180 zone post earnings, where there is an unfilled Gap, price should range for a couple weeks between daily 50 MA and 200 MA.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Paczcz
1
AMD Short setup $29.8 to $26ish. Fib/Horiz resistanceSide note, The magnitude of the bounce the US economy has had since the bottom in DEcember has been insane and unprecidented. I've never seen a bottom not get tested and just fly up vertically. Especially with poor GDP estimates and economic outlook data. I was pretty heavily short back in Feb, so that hurt a bit, but all you can do is learn from your mistakes and keep moving. This is a self explanatory chart again. We're at the 0.786 fib retracement, and we're at a previous point of resistance from September 05 2018 at $29.94. We just went up almost 12% today, and it looks like a good time to pullback a bit in the next week. My stoploss is $31.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by teckno05
1
TER: Similar technical pattern to AMD, moving with momentumTER is one of the few stocks moving with momentum in an indecisive market condition. It is a semiconductor stock that has a similar technical pattern to AMD, with Dark Pool buying intermittently through the bottom formation. The stock recently pushed through strong resistance. With earnings in 3 weeks, this may be the start of a pre-earnings run. Watch the next levels of resistance around 45 and then 50 for profit-taking risk from professional technical traders.
NASDAQ:TER
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Nvidia Bull Consolidates Before Run Continues Prior to trade talk resumes, Nvidia is seen here to be expected to consolidate further before it bulls run. US Recession signals are still being digested by the market as 3 month and 10 year yield curve inversion leads to global equity sell off. US Tech industry is expected to further consolidate as markets anticipate the outcome of trade talk. Trade talks have proven to be unpredictable due to Trump eccentric stance. Trump has been giving positive expectation while actual negotiator Robert has announced "more work to do" previously. Trade war can move both way and markets are not expected to turn optimistic and bullish too early before clear signals by officials.. Ascending triangle is seen forming. Equity broke triangle range due to positive company news "of Mellanox Acquisition and Clearance of Crypto Hardware Inventory". Sentiments retreat will lead to the equity to consolidate further before further run. Strong support line is expected to cushion the consolidation before bull continues. Good luck!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Iapiew
LSCC - Gateway for video LSCC - $1B Mkt Cap, 1.2B Ent Value, no dividend. Profitable earnings all 2018, not prior. Has IP, growth, strong technology future in smart connectivity, video, and SaS, or high value logic devices. Strong recovery from recent drop at 238 Fibretracement and climbing. About to report strongest earnings, albeit $0.08/share, which is up 700% over prior Q1 yr/yr. Dropped 0.69% on Feb 1 vs NASDAQ avg. down 0.25% and Dow up 0.26% (mostly lg cap). 4Q profitable in 2009, 2013-2014 along with 2018. Current PEG ratio is 1.72. Semiconductor is in top 35% of segments currently. Would have been up 41% if bought at recent low of $5.50 area. Lattice Semiconductor Corporation is a United States-based company, which develops semiconductor technologies that it monetizes through products, solutions and licenses. The Company operates through two segments: the core Lattice (Core) business, which includes intellectual property (IP) and semiconductor devices, and Qterics, a discrete software-as-a-service business unit in the Lattice legal entity structure. The Company is a provider of customizable smart connectivity solutions based on its low power field programmable gate array (FPGA), video application specific standard product (ASSP), 60 gigahertz millimeter wave, and IP products to the consumer, communications, industrial, computing and automotive markets across the world. Its products include iCE40 Ultra/UltraLite, iCE40 LP/HX/LM, MachXO3, MachXO2, MachXO, HDMI Transmitters, HDMI Receivers, USB Type-C Port Controllers, Port Processors, Analog to HDMI/MHL Converters, MHL Transmitters, UltraGig 6400 and 802.11ad Chipsets.
NASDAQ:LSCC
by Pokethebear
1
Semiconductor ETF (SMH) - Bubble During all technology bubble manias, the semiconductor industry is the first one to go up. As you can see from the above chart, during the dot.com bubble the semiconductor industry went all the way up, until its grand fall where it lost about 89% of its value. As history repeats itself, in 2018, the semiconductor industry went all the way up and is now showing serious signs of collapse. I use the Stochastic RSI indicator (Stoch RSI) for all my entry and exit positions when I trade the Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF (SOXS) which is an inverse ETF. Safe trading.
SShort
by gvoommen
1
MCHP: Semiconductor Stock Topped, Now Look for Strong SupportMicrochip Technologies stock, in the Semiconductor Industry, has a top that completed in early September, seen best on the weekly chart. This is a common top right now. I see it in many topping stocks. The trading range breaks to the downside, usually on company news. The question now is WHERE will it find sufficient support to commence a bottom? The answer lies within the technical and fundamental support levels. The stock is in a bounce to rebound price action over the past couple of weeks. This is not at a strong support level. The support for MCHP stock for a final low is the highs of 2016. This also coincides nicely with the typical bottoming location based on the percentage of loss from the all-time high. About a 50% loss is where many stocks are currently finding support and where some Dark Pool Buy Zones are beginning. These Buy Zones are at the earliest of stages and are not fully developed yet. This provides 2 important analyses for trading decisions: 1. Where you need to cease selling short entirely. 2. Where you need to start watching for a bottoming Dark Pool Buy Zone formation. When you learn to do this type of analysis during a bear market, particularly a trading range bear, then you will be far ahead of the crowd. Keep in mind that many stocks WILL dig deeply into the highs of the 2016 support levels. The highs are just where you need to stop selling short. It is not necessarily the final, final destination of the stock price before a bottom commences.
NASDAQ:MCHP
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Micron Tech (MU) – Bearish Options Action Earnings TradeOn Friday's Options Action, the crew analyzed the performance of the semiconductor sector. Semis have reached it's dot-com peak while underperforming the technology sector over the past few months. Micron reports earnings next week and recently failed to make a new high while underperforming the tech sector. Coupled with Micron's sell-off after last quarter's earnings beat suggests another move lower on earnings. Expecting MU to trade lower, Michael Khouw suggests buying a July 57.5/50 Put Vertical for a $2.70 Debit. As of Friday's close, this option is trading at $2.42. We've structured this trade in OptionsPlay so you can analyze and view this trade along with the supporting technical chart at your convenience. You can also view the Options Action's video by clicking on the following link: MU Options Action View this OptionsPlay on MU - app.optionsplay.com Cost: $242 Max Reward: $508 Max Risk: $242 POP: 39.75% Breakeven: $55.08 Days to Expiry: 32
NASDAQ:MUShort
by OptionsPlay
NVDA - Time to jump back inA few weeks ago, I published a short-term NVDA play that worked out very well - riding the run-up to earnings, targetting $245 (and failing that, sell it right before market close on earnings day). Profits on at-the-money June calls were 100%+ As expected, they handily beat expectations. The stock price, however, were down the day the next morning. The run-up was just a bit too much, from as low as $210, it ran all the way up to $260 (ATH). Now that the price settled back down just under the $250 mark - a price it was seemingly allergic to for months, it is a good opportunity to go long. I'd recommend calls a few months out, and keep your eye out on the next run-up to earnings.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by dvdgege5
NVDA - play the run up to earningsNvidia has seen massive growth in the past year. They will be announcing Q1 earnings next Thursday (May 10) after close. Expectations are very, very high, and the run up to the earnings call can be explosive, as well. However, with expectations so high, it also becomes more risky to hold a position through earnings (EPS estimate is almost double that of Q1 2017, and that was back when NVDA was trading for about $100). With how volatile this earnings season has been so far and how volatile post-earnings has been for NVDA in the past year, I would expect a big jump on Friday (May 11). The play: Long - close positions before earnings on May 10, or when it hits $245 to lock in profits, whichever comes first. If you love living life dangerously, you can optionally (no pun intended) buy a straddle/strangle that expires the next day and hope that a big price swing happens. Disclaimer: I am long NVDA (June calls)
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by dvdgege5
Six Month Cycle Ending? Take the $250 ProfitsAs strong and loved as the Nvidia name is, it's been caught in a familiar range all year. While everyone wants to boost the price target around $280-300, it's barely been able to crack $250 even during positive sentiment and momentum. The advantages Nvidia has don't need repeating, nor do its merits and prospects. It's an expensive stock and has always traded high because of how "future proof" it's supposed to be. With another earnings call coming, I don't doubt that it will get a large bump prior to, but it will have to give some incredible numbers yet AGAIN and give insane forward guidance in order to try climbing back up in its previously, unstoppable manner. The range its trapped in is similar to one seen before and trend lines indicate that it will probably stay there, even though it climbs up and down relatively quickly. I wouldn't expect Nvidia to be a blowout name this year like it was last year, but it will be stable even with all the volatility seen this year. It will be good to trade on any overall market weakness and its new upper price should be noted a week or so after its next call. I give Nvidia a PT of $260 for the foreseeable future and I'd trade it with that ceiling in mind. Don't be greedy with it and take the gains that have been hit consistently at the $250 level. It will take a very, VERY positive and stable market and crazy numbers to really push Nvidia like it was last year. People are more aware now of what is and isn't realistic, especially with a downgraded crypto market, slow product updates and a volatile self-driving auto atmosphere.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by N3utra
2
Apple: Stable Volatility + Accumulate to $193 PT SpreadDespite the volatility experienced in 2018 so far, Apple has maintained a healthy path along its overall trend lines. Opportunities to accumulate this year have been great and ranges within Fibonacci channels have held strong. Earnings season, WWDC, OLED adoption and other catalysts can help propel stock back up and into a "money zone" that should hold and allow for the stock to be traded by those looking for technical gains. The $180 resistance level has been hit and crossed and should bounce nicely if hit again during a period of market stability/momentum. Price target of $193 falls in line with historical spread of $33. Long AAPL with sustained fundamentals and technicals.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by N3utra