Amd - The One And Only Setup For 2025!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) shifts to a very bullish market:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Perfectly following previous cycles, Amd corrected about -60% over the past couple of months. However now we are seeing some first bullish signs at a major confluence of support. If we actually also witness bullish confirmation, an incredible rally of about +200% could follow.
Levels to watch: $100, $300
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Semiconductors
Potential key reversal top detected for WBTLevel of interest: Prior support/resistance levels in the past of $3.04 (09-Aug-2022) and $3.75 (12-Dec-2022) (key support/resistance areas to observe).
Await signals for entry such as DMI/ADX and/or RSI swing to the bearish direction, and observe market reaction to support/resistance area at $3.04 to confirm.
Stop loss for the trade involving ASX:WBT (and indication that this trade is an absolute 'no-go') is any trade above the high of the signal day of 2nd January (i.e.: any trade above $3.80).
Nvidia Just Under Major SupportNvidia seems to have been pulled down by the Dow just like Apple as both are just under major support. I'm sorry for my previous Nvidia chart that drew support near 140, I recognize where I screwed up, but this chart should be good. Fortunately actual 117 support wasn't that far below and my NVDA isn't too in the red.
NVDA has the lowest revenue multiple in years right now. I know it's well off it's long term trend line, but it's growth rate is unlike anything it's ever been so expecting a steeper trend line to appear makes a lot of sense. Eventually I would imagine we'll get back to that trend line, but not anytime soon.
The Dow hitting major support should finally lift NVDA and the others that have been dragged down like AAPL and AMZN.
Good luck!
Is Apple's Empire Built on Sand?Apple Inc., a tech titan valued at over $2 trillion, has built its empire on innovation and ruthless efficiency. Yet, beneath this dominance lies a startling vulnerability: an overreliance on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) for its cutting-edge chips. This dependence on a single supplier in a geopolitically sensitive region exposes Apple to profound risks. While Apple’s strategy has fueled its meteoric rise, it has also concentrated its fate in one precarious basket—Taiwan. As the world watches, the question looms: what happens if that basket breaks?
Taiwan’s uncertain future under China’s shadow amplifies these risks. If China moves to annex Taiwan, TSMC’s operations could halt overnight, crippling Apple’s ability to produce its devices. Apple’s failure to diversify its supplier base left its trillion-dollar empire on a fragile foundation. Meanwhile, TSMC’s attempts to hedge by opening U.S. factories introduce new complications. If Taiwan falls, the U.S. could seize these assets, potentially handing them to competitors like Intel. This raises unsettling questions: Who truly controls the future of these factories? And what becomes of TSMC’s investments if they fuel a rival’s ascent?
Apple’s predicament is a microcosm of a global tech industry tethered to concentrated semiconductor production. Efforts to shift manufacturing to India or Vietnam pale against China’s scale, while U.S. regulatory scrutiny—like the Department of Justice’s probe into Apple’s market dominance—adds further pressure. The U.S. CHIPS Act seeks to revive domestic manufacturing, but Apple’s grip on TSMC muddies the path forward. The stakes are clear: resilience must now trump efficiency, or the entire ecosystem risks collapse.
As Apple stands at this crossroads, the question echoes: Can it forge a more adaptable future, or will its empire crumble under the weight of its design? The answer may not only redefine Apple but also reshape the global balance of tech and power. What would it mean for us all if the chips—both literal and figurative—stopped falling into place?
$AVGO: Broadcom – AI Chip Powerhouse or Tariff Tightrope?(1/9)
Good morning, crew! ☀️ NASDAQ:AVGO : Broadcom – AI Chip Powerhouse or Tariff Tightrope?
With NASDAQ:AVGO at $194.94 after a Q1 earnings slam dunk, is this semiconductor star riding the AI wave to glory or teetering on trade war woes? Let’s unpack the circuits! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 194.94 as of Mar 10, 2025 💰
• Q1 2025: Revenue $14.92B (up 23% YoY), EPS $1.60 📏
• Movement: Up 10% post-earnings Mar 6, +8.6% Mar 7 🌟
It’s buzzing like a chip factory on overdrive! ⚡
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: ~$93.5B (151.62M shares) 🏆
• Operations: AI chips, software solutions ⏰
• Trend: 42% of 2024 revenue from software, per web data 🎯
A heavyweight in the AI silicon ring! 🌐
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Earnings: Q1 beat with $14.92B, Q2 forecast tops estimates 🔄
• AI Boom: Custom chips fuel hyperscaler demand 🌍
• Sentiment: Shares rallied, per Mar 6-7 posts 📋
Thriving, wired for the future! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚠️
• Tariffs: Trade uncertainties loom, per web reports 🔍
• Competition: Nvidia, Marvell in the race 📉
• Valuation: Premium pricing raises eyebrows ❄️
High stakes, but risks are on the radar! 🕵️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Q1 Win: $14.92B revenue, EPS $1.60 beat 🥇
• AI Edge: 77% AI revenue growth in Q1 📊
• Forecast: Q2 sales outlook shines 🔧
Powered up for the AI era! 🔋
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Tariff risks, high valuation 📉
• Opportunities: 18% earnings growth projected 📈
Can it outrun trade clouds and soar? 🤔
(8/9) – 📢Broadcom at $194.94, AI chips sizzling—your vibe? 🗳️
• Bullish: $220+ by June, AI rules 🐂
• Neutral: Stable, tariffs balance ⚖️
• Bearish: $170 slide, risks bite 🐻
Drop your pick below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
Broadcom’s $14.92B Q1 haul screams AI strength 📈, but tariff shadows hover 🌫️. Volatility’s our sidekick—dips are DCA dynamite 💰. Snap ‘em up, ride the surge! Goldmine or gamble?
$NVDA to $130, then a crucial decision.Sure, NASDAQ:NVDA is in a downtrend, but the $114 bottom has been confirmed, which should lead to $130. After reaching $130, we'll see if the king is back.
A double bottom pattern is a classic technical analysis formation indicating a significant trend change and momentum reversal from a previous downtrend. It involves a security or index dropping, rebounding, dropping again to a similar level, and then rebounding once more (potentially starting a new uptrend). This pattern resembles the letter "W." The twice-touched low is now seen as a crucial support level. As long as these two lows hold, there is new potential for an upside.
BUY $130 NOW and enjoy the ride
Monolithic Power | MPWR | Long at $580.00Monolithic Power $NASDAQ:MPWR. If the semiconductor market continues to get attention in connection with AI, there may be a bounce here near $580.00 as NASDAQ:MPWR enters my historical simple moving average area. However, a further dip into the high $400s wouldn't surprise me (tax harvesting season is in session) and doesn't change the thesis as long as the overall trend continues to stay positive. While NASDAQ:MPWR is a strong company with growth predictions on the horizon, it has a 65x P/E, 46x price-to-cash flow, lots of insider selling, and some near-term concern if the economy shows weakness. From a technical analysis perspective, though, it's in an area of opportunity as long as semis stay a "hot" investment. Thus, at $580.00, NASDAQ:MPWR is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $690.00
Target #2 = $745.00
Target #3 = $825.00
Target #4 = $908.00
TSMC: AI Chip Titan – Still the King or Facing New Challengers?Good morning, everyone! ☀️ TSMC: AI Chip Titan – Still the King or Facing New Challengers?
(1/9)
TSMC’s riding the AI wave with record Q4 2024 profits, but with U.S.-China curbs and fab delays, is this semiconductor king untouchable or at a crossroads? Let’s unpack it! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Q4 2024: Net income up 57% to $11.4B, revenue climbed 39% 💰
• Full Year 2024: Revenue hit $87.1B, up 34% from 2023 📏
• Sector Trend: AI chip demand soaring, per Reuters 🌟
It’s a powerhouse, driven by tech’s hunger! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Share: Over 60% of global foundry market 🏆
• Clients: Apple, Nvidia, AMD—big names rely on ‘em ⏰
• Trend: Expanding fabs in U.S., Japan, Germany 🎯
Firm, holding the throne but not without battles! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Q4 Earnings: Record $11.4B profit, per Jan 16 Reuters 🔄
• Expansion: Arizona fab faces delays, full ops by 2027? 🌍
• Market Reaction: Shares up 81% in 2024, still strong 📋
Adapting, with global eyes on its moves! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Geopolitics: U.S.-China export curbs hit demand 🔍
• Costs: U.S. fab chips 50% pricier than Taiwan 📉
• Talent: Lack of skilled U.S. workers slows growth ❄️
Tough, but risks loom large! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Profit Surge: 57% net income jump in Q4 2024 🥇
• Tech Lead: 5nm mass production, 3nm in R&D 📊
• Client Base: Powers Apple, Nvidia, more 🔧
Got silicon in the tank! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: High U.S. fab costs, talent gaps 📉
• Opportunities: AI chip demand, new fabs in Japan, EU 📈
Can it keep the lead amid global shifts? 🤔
(8/9) – 📢TSMC’s Q4 profit up 57%, AI booming, your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: Still the king, long-term winner 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, but risks weigh ⚖️
• Bearish: Curbs and costs slow growth 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
TSMC’s record profits signal AI dominance 📈, but U.S.-China curbs and fab delays add caution 🌿. Volatility’s our friend—dips are DCA gold 💰. Grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust?
NVDA expected to remain volatile near term before bullish move!!Expecting to see sellers resume control at 135-136 levels near term, to take price back to 118-120$ gap fill target for liquidity purposes.
After that, looking for price advancement to 158-165 buy-side target levels for final high on weekly buy cycle.
Applied Materials | AMAT | Long at $169.75Republican Ashley Moody recently dropped $200k-$500k on Applied Materials $NASDAQ:AMAT. The semiconductor boom may not be over...
Price-to-earnings: 21.68x (great in comparison to others...)
Debt-to-equity: 0.34x (low)
Cash flow: $10.4 billion (FY2024)
Insiders awarded options recently
Unless NASDAQ:NVDA brings the market down, NASDAQ:AMAT is in a personal buy zone at $169.75. While the price may dip in the near-term to the $140s, bullish until the semi boom dies...
Targets:
$195.00
$215.00
$240.00
$AMD trying to breakout on the daily!NASDAQ:AMD being bought heavily by institutions for past 3 days straight. It’s looking like it wants to breakout on the daily. There could be added excitement for NASDAQ:NVDA earnings coming up in the semi-conductor space. I have been accumulating NASDAQ:AMD April 17 115Calls @ 7.00
*Not financial advice
DCA Play $SOXL | TARGET 1 REACHEDPrice action moved with good momentum and maintained volume for the trading day.
The original call is good to go:
T2 @ $32.70 to gap fill if momentum is persists (poor spelling when analyzing at 3am - but you get the gist)
I expect a minor pull back before gap fill; depending on price action, may or may not add to position.
A gap up would be signal to close all profits, with a +10% PnL.
gg
Intel: "So the last shall be first..."As the Holy Bilble says in Matthew 20:16, "So the last shall be first, and the first last: for many be called, but few chosen."
We agree. After our analysis, one stock comes into focus: INTEL - a long-term buy candidate. Investment horizon: 5-10 years, the right time to get in could be now.
This is not a buy recommendation, just an exchange of ideas. You have to use your own analysis and your own head and make your own decisions.
$AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI POTENTIAL
(1/7)
Q4 2024 Revenue landed between $7.65B–$7.7B, beating estimates (~$7.53B). That’s a year-over-year jump fueled by Data Center sales skyrocketing +69% to $3.9B—now over half of AMD’s total revenue! Let’s dive in. 🚀
(2/7) – EARNINGS BEAT
• Q4 2024 EPS: ~$1.09 (a hair above consensus $1.08–$1.09)
• Operating cash flow up +240% YoY—huge liquidity boost 💰
• Despite the beats, stock dipped -2% post-earnings—profit-taking or a sign of sky-high expectations? 🤔
(3/7) – GUIDANCE & MOMENTUM
• Q1 2025 sales guidance: $7.1B (~above $7.0B estimates)
• Indicates continued growth, with AMD’s pivot to AI & data center paying off 💡
• Investors weigh: Are expectations now too lofty?
(4/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• AMD’s data center surge outpaces Intel in growth & profitability
• Trails NVIDIA in AI infrastructure domination, but could be undervalued if the market’s underestimating AMD’s AI diversification potential ⚙️
• Future gains might hinge on capturing more hyperscaler demand 🔗
(5/7) – RISK FACTORS
• NVIDIA: Still the top AI chip supplier—AMD must fight for share
• Semiconductors are cyclical: macro downturn = potential demand drop 📉
• TSMC reliance → supply chain or geopolitical hiccups
• The -2% stock drop post-earnings suggests the bar is set high
(6/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Data Center revenue up 69% → half of total rev 🌐
Diversified portfolio, not just PC chips
Strong cash flow fueling R&D
Weaknesses:
Lags NVIDIA in AI adoption
Post-earnings stock dip hints at market skepticism
Opportunities:
AI expansions beyond GPU domination
Partnerships / acquisitions → deeper AI capabilities 🤖
Emerging markets (auto, IoT, etc.) for chip technology
Threats:
Fierce competition (NVIDIA, Intel)
Economic slowdowns
Regulatory or supply chain bumps ⚠️
(7/7) – Is AMD a prime AI contender or overshadowed by NVIDIA?
1️⃣ Bullish—Data center momentum will fuel AI growth 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid performance, but needs bigger AI share 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—NVIDIA leads, AMD can’t catch up 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
INTEL ($INTC) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?INTEL ( NASDAQ:INTC ) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?
(1/9)
Q4 2024 revenue beat forecasts at $14.3B (vs. $13.8B est.), up 7% from Q3 but still -7% YoY—highlighting Intel’s ups and downs. Looking ahead? Q1 2025 guidance points to $11.7-$12.7B in revenue and break-even EPS, hinting continued headwinds. Let’s dive in! 🔎
(2/9) – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.13 (beat by $0.01), down sharply from $0.54 a year ago
• GAAP earnings hurt by $15.9B in impairment + $2.8B restructuring charges
• Gross margin set to drop from 42.1% to 36% next quarter—Ouch!
(3/9) – SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL EVENTS
• Exploring AI chip partnership w/ TSMC: Could bolster Intel’s AI presence
• Targeting SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:10B in cost cuts by 2025, citing big strides in Q3 2024
• Foundry services sees $4.5B revenue in Q4, improved operating loss due to EUV wafer mix—positive sign ⚙️
(4/9) – CONTEXT & CHALLENGES
• 2024 free cash flow: - $15.1B (vs. +$21.4B in 2020)—hurts liquidity 💸
• Declining YoY revenue + margin pressure reflect stiff competition & big CapEx
• Intel pivoting to AI & foundry services, but near-term growth remains sluggish
(5/9) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• Forward P/E ~16, trailing P/E ~72.50 = low profitability vs. AMD/NVIDIA’s sky-high multiples
• P/B ~1.06, P/S ~1.5-2 → Intel looks “cheap” compared to peers (e.g., NVIDIA P/S ~20+!)
• Stock’s -51.67% over the last year, underperforming the semiconductor sector (+96.5%) 😬
(6/9) – UNDERVALUATION OR VALUE TRAP?
• Analysts’ intrinsic value: ~$19.37-$31.27 vs. current ~$20.97 → near fair value or slightly undervalued 🤔
• But big risks: negative cash flow, competitive drubbing from AMD/NVIDIA, repeated delays…
• The market’s discount might be warranted given Intel’s execution hurdles
(7/9) – KEY RISKS
• Competitive Pressures: AMD & NVIDIA dominating AI/data center 💻
• Execution Delays: Roadmap slips for Panther Lake (2H 2025) & Clearwater Forest (2026)
• Financial Strain: High CapEx, negative FCF, suspended dividend in 2024 🚧
• Macro & Geopolitics: Trade tensions (esp. in China) + economic headwinds
(8/9) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Established brand, PC/server CPU leader
Foundry expansion, AI PC push
Cost cuts boosting operational efficiency
Weaknesses:
Market share losses, negative FCF
Delays in product launches, high CapEx
Complex design + manufacturing model
Opportunities:
AI & foundry growth via TSMC tie-ups
Government support (CHIPS Act)
Undervaluation if turnaround succeeds
Threats:
Fierce competition ( NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:NVDA )
Regulatory & trade risks (China)
Rapid AI market evolution leaving Intel behind
(9/9) Is Intel the next big turnaround story or a sinking ship?
1️⃣ Massive comeback—AI + foundry = unstoppable!
2️⃣ Meh—They’ll recover somewhat, but not lead the pack
3️⃣ Doom—Delays, negative FCF, stiff competition… pass
Vote below! 🗳️👇
NVDA LONG WIZARD PREMIUM IDEA 100% SURE
My idea has proven to be 100% successful: the short trade resulted in a precise profit, and the long trade on Nvidia was executed flawlessly, based on the surgical support line I had drawn—despite all the initial criticism. Now, the stock has bounced exactly where I predicted, and the long position is already up 25%. Now, we go in strong!
AMD: A Once-in-a-Lifetime Opportunity!**🔥 AMD: A Once-in-a-Lifetime Opportunity!**
In pre-market, AMD briefly touched **$125** following earnings. You all know how this works—sooner or later, the algos will bring it back to that level. No hesitation, I’m **quadrupling my bet—going in MASSIVELY!** 🚀💰
Fundamental Weakness Meets Technical Strength, AMD at a Turning?Hello readers,
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) posted strong Q4 earnings, with a 24% year-over-year revenue increase to $7.66 billion, slightly surpassing estimates. Adjusted EPS came in at $1.09, just above expectations.
However, the data center segment underperformed, bringing in $3.86 billion a 69% YoY increase but below the $4.1 billion analysts had anticipated. Additionally, CEO Lisa Su cautioned that data center sales may decline by 7% in the next quarter. This guidance, combined with the revenue miss, led to an 8.2% pre-market drop in AMD’s stock price.
Technical Perspective
The price has finally arrived at the first key area of interest. This level has been anticipated for some time, and the fundamental reaction has now drawn the price close to the marked zone.
For those considering this as a potential investment, I can provide a small but valuable confirmation: from a technical standpoint, this is not a mistake to take, as this area holds the potential to generate strong liquidity for further growth.
Key criteria:
1. Strong horizontal price zone around the $100
2. The round number itself $100
3. The trendline since 2018
4. Channel projection
5. Equal waves from the top
For a more in-depth technical analysis, visit my Substack channel - content is now available for English readers. Simply go to my profile and click on "Website."
Regards,
Vaido
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider risk management before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ-NXPI: Is the Market on the Verge of a Reversal?A Critical Juncture: What’s Next for NASDAQ-NXPI?
The semiconductor sector has been riding a wave of volatility, and NASDAQ-NXPI is no exception. The stock currently trades at $208.55, reflecting a 29.56% decline from its all-time high of $296.08 recorded in mid-2024. With a downward deviation of nearly 30%, the market is now questioning whether this is a buying opportunity or the precursor to another leg down.
Technicals reveal a battle between bulls and bears. The 50-day moving average sits at $212.72, hovering just above the current price, indicating a near-term resistance zone. Meanwhile, RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 39.35 suggests the stock is creeping into oversold territory, yet not signaling a definitive reversal. Furthermore, sell volumes have surged, forming multiple bearish candle patterns, reinforcing the short-term downside risk.
Adding to the complexity, macroeconomic pressures, including a strong U.S. dollar and shifting interest rate expectations, have kept buyers cautious. But with powerful support levels at $206.34 and $198.82, is this a crucial inflection point?
The Big Question: Reversal or Continuation?
With a resistance ceiling at $211.02, the next move could define NXPI’s short-term fate. A break above this level could trigger a bullish surge, but failure to hold above $206.34 may invite another wave of selling.
Will buyers step in at this critical moment, or are we in for another leg downward? The answer may shape the next major move in NXPI. Stay alert.
NASDAQ-NXPI Roadmap: Tracking the Market’s Footsteps
January 14 – Buy Volumes Max (Confirmed Bullish Signal)
The first major signal of a buy-side push emerged on January 14, with an increased buy volume pattern at $208.88. The price closed higher at $210.53, setting the stage for a continuation. The key takeaway? Buyers were stepping in, and the momentum was shifting.
January 15 – Sell Volumes Max (Bearish Reversal Signal Fails)
Just a day later, sell-side pressure increased, marking a potential reversal with a closing price of $213.49. However, instead of following through, the market did not sustain the downward movement, negating this sell signal. The previous buy volume pattern held firm, proving bulls were still in control.
January 17 – VSA Buy Pattern 3 (Confirmed Bullish Trend)
The market locked in another bullish confirmation as the VSA manipulation buy pattern formed at $214.45, closing higher at $214.61. With strong buying activity in place, the stock continued its ascent, respecting the trendline and validating the prior bullish signals.
January 21 – Sell Volumes Max (Bearish Confirmation)
The first true bearish confirmation materialized as the price turned south, closing at $214.78 after opening at $215.26. This drop signaled a shift in sentiment and tested the conviction of the bulls. With further confirmation needed, all eyes turned to the next move.
January 22 – Sell Volumes (Bearish Momentum Builds)
With a lower close at $215.98, sellers began solidifying control. The sequence of declining closes and increased sell volumes confirmed the downtrend was gaining steam.
January 23 – Buy Volumes Take Over (Reversal in Motion)
Just as the bears looked ready to dominate, buyers stepped back in, driving the close to $219.89. This strong shift nullified the previous bearish sequence and set the stage for a fresh upward move.
January 24 – Buy Volumes Max (Confirmed Bullish)
Momentum followed through with a close at $213.44, reinforcing that buying interest was sustained. The roadmap now pointed to another attempt to test higher resistance levels.
January 27 – Increased Buy Volumes (Final Bullish Confirmation)
The price surged to $215.2, cementing the overall bullish bias established throughout the roadmap. The earlier bearish dips proved to be shakeouts, and those who stayed in line with the buy-side confirmations saw the real move unfold in their favor.
This roadmap clearly showcases how bullish and bearish patterns played out, giving traders and investors a structured way to read the market’s evolution. Will the next setup follow the same rhythm, or is a fresh shakeout coming? Stay alert.
Technical & Price Action Analysis
Support Levels:
206.34 – local buyer zone; if broken, expect further downside
198.82 – critical level for bulls; a break here could trigger a move to 192
192.375 – last potential hold for buyers; below this, free fall territory
Resistance Levels:
211.02 – immediate resistance; needs a solid breakout for upside continuation
222.00 – key level to watch; if bulls take control, momentum could accelerate
234.955 – major resistance; breakout here would shift the structure bullish
Powerful Support Levels:
224.26 – a strong demand zone; if lost, could flip into heavy resistance
Powerful Resistance Levels:
200.00 – psychological barrier; flipping above this would be a strong bullish sign
175.00 – long-term level; failure to reclaim may keep sellers in control
149.90 – structural pivot; reclaiming this zone would confirm trend reversal
If any of these levels fail to hold, they will act as new resistance zones, and the price will likely revisit them before making the next move. Watch for fakeouts and liquidity grabs before committing to a trade. 🚨
Trading Strategies Based on Rays
Concept of Rays
My proprietary analysis method is built on Fibonacci-based rays, dynamically adjusting to market movement. These rays create predictive zones where price interactions suggest either continuation or reversal. Importantly, entry positions are taken only after price interacts with a ray and initiates movement. Each move extends from one ray to the next, setting up structured trade targets.
Dynamic Factors in Play
Moving Averages: MA50 at $212.72, MA100 at $214.16, and MA200 at $212.76 serve as dynamic resistance/support levels. Their intersection with key rays amplifies probability zones.
VSA Rays: These pre-defined market structures align with volume-driven price shifts, making them highly reactive points for execution.
Optimistic Scenario (Bullish Continuation)
Entry: Break and close above $211.02 after ray interaction.
First Target: $222.00 – Key resistance; first profit zone.
Second Target: $234.955 – Breakout continuation level.
Third Target: $247.67 – Long-term bullish extension.
Pessimistic Scenario (Bearish Breakdown)
Entry: Rejection from $211.02 or breakdown below $206.34.
First Target: $198.82 – Major support test.
Second Target: $192.375 – Strong demand zone.
Third Target: $175.00 – Structural breakdown zone.
Trade Opportunities Based on Rays
Momentum Breakout Trade: Long on a break above $211.02, targeting $222.00.
Reversal Trade: Short after a rejection from $211.02, aiming for $206.34.
Pullback Entry: Buy from $206.34 if it holds as support, riding to $211.02.
Breakdown Trade: Short if $206.34 fails, targeting $198.82 first.
Range Scalping: Buying dips at $206.34, selling resistance at $211.02 until a breakout.
These setups provide both aggressive and conservative trading approaches. Every trade moves from ray to ray, setting up the next logical price step.
What’s Next? Let’s Discuss!
Trading is all about understanding key levels and making decisions at the right moment—that’s exactly what my ray-based strategy helps with. If this breakdown made sense to you, drop a comment with your thoughts or questions—I always reply!
Don’t forget to hit Boost and save this idea so you can check back later and see how price moves along my levels. Tracking the market in real-time is the best way to sharpen your trading edge!
By the way, all the rays and levels are automatically mapped by my private indicator. If you’re interested in using it, send me a direct message—I’ll explain how it works.
Looking for custom analysis on another asset? I can do that too! Some ideas I share publicly, others—privately on request. If there’s a ticker you want mapped out, Boost this post and let me know in the comments!
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NVDA Long After Nearly 20% DeclineNASDAQ:NVDA got hit hard by the huge sell-off today and because of the DeepSeek release. The Chinese GPT alternative claims to be better or at least as good as GPT using way less and way older NVDA GPUs. If true, this could create a lot of stress on the CapEx of big US tech companies because the managers will ask their employees why they needed to buy all of those expensive GPUs if they are not necessary at all. That would lead to shrinking sales at NVDA. So far, so bad.
But, we should not forget that misinformation is always a thing when talking about Chinese companies and claims. I also don't think that the result of such a claim would be that tech companies lower their CapEx and start doing less. Instead they will use this to understand how DeepSeek works and how they can be better than their Chinese counterpart using way more powerful GPUs. So, this huge sell-off could trigger a bounce from this confluence support. We perfectly hit the upward trend and a support level at $118. So, be brave and test the water.
Target Zones
$131
$140
Support Zones
$118