Applied Materials Inc. Technical and Fundamental Aspects.Applied Materials, Inc. is an American corporation that supplies equipment, services and software for the manufacture of semiconductor (integrated circuit) chips for electronics, flat panel displays for computers, smartphones, televisions, and solar products.
The company also supplies equipment to produce coatings for flexible electronics, packaging and other applications.
U.S. chip stocks rise on Thursday, January 16th, after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co NYSE:TSM , the world's largest contract chipmaker, reported record quarterly profit today.
In technical terms, Applied Materials stock was not among hyped and scorching-hot Trump-a-Rally assets in November, 2024.
However the most important thing is that in December, 2024 AMAT stocks has been supported by 100-week SMA and now is forming breakthrough of descending top/ flat bottom technical figure, trying to print the biggest over past twelve months 4-weeks upside swing.
In fundamental terms, Applied Materials NASDAQ:AMAT is presently being traded at a Forward P/E ratio of 22.12. This signifies a discount in comparison to the average Forward P/E of more than 25 for Semiconductors industry peers.
Another Semiconductors industry peers are being trading as follow - a Forward P/E ratio for Nvidia Corp NASDAQ:NVDA is presently 53.30; for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing NYSE:TSM is 34.92; for Broadcom Inc NASDAQ:AVGO is 191.80; for Asml Holding NV NASDAQ:ASML is 40.08; and for Advanced Micro Devices Inc NASDAQ:AMD is 106.63.
The main technical graph for Applied Materials Inc. NASDAQ:AMAT indicates on a forming breakthrough of descending top/ flat bottom technical figure.
The nearest upside target is considered by our team as a 6-month highs near $ 215 a share, and the far target is considered as a Double Top technical figure around $ 250 a share, that can be achieved over next 6 months.
Semiconductors
$NVDA Buy now when everyone is in fear! Easy Rally to $165 !!Based on recent analyses and expert forecasts, NVIDIA's stock price (NVDA) is anticipated to perform robustly in the first quarter of 2025. Analysts have set a target price around $170 if the stock can convincingly surpass the $145 mark.
Reason to BUY NASDAQ:NVDA
Strong Demand for AI: NVIDIA's GPUs play a critical role in training complex AI models. The rising demand for AI technologies, particularly from major tech companies, is boosting the need for NVIDIA's specialized chips.
Data Center Growth: NVIDIA's data center revenue has been experiencing significant growth. This segment now accounts for a substantial portion of their total revenue, and ongoing investments in data centers by cloud service providers are expected to further drive demand.
New Product Launches: NVIDIA is preparing to increase shipments of its new H200 GPU, which boasts greater efficiency and power compared to its predecessor. This could attract more customers and boost sales.
Positive Market Sentiment: Analysts maintain a bullish outlook on NVIDIA's stock, with some predicting further price increases due to sustained demand and strong financial performance.
AI Monetization: Companies such as Microsoft and Meta are seeing increased monetization from AI applications, potentially leading to higher spending on NVIDIA's products.
BUY NOW NASDAQ:NVDA !!
Fear & Greed Index: 39 (FEAR)
Green Days: 13/30 (43%)
RSI as of 01/13/2025
200-Day SMA: $119.35
50-day SMA: $139.86
Volatility: 3.12%
I also anticipate a dramatic increase due to the following events:
CPI 01/15/2025
Trump Administration 01/20/2025
FOMC Meeting: 01/29/2025
Broadcom - This Chart Tells Us Everything!Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) is retesting massive resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For roughly a decade, Broadcom has been trading in a quite obvious rising channel pattern, perfectly rejecting the lower support trendline back in the end of 2022. After the recent rally of more than +200%, it is quite likely that we will now see a substantial move lower from here.
Levels to watch: $250, $150
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Amd - It Comes Down To This Support!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is retesting massive support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For more than three years, we have been seeing a quite volatile consolidation phase on Amd. Looking at recent price history though, Amd just came back to retest a massive horizontal support level and if we see bulls taking over, a rally of +100% is very possible.
Levels to watch: $120, $240
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Potential key reversal top detected for WBTLevel of interest: Prior support/resistance levels in the past of $3.04 (09-Aug-2022) and $3.75 (12-Dec-2022) (key support/resistance areas to observe).
Await signals for entry such as DMI/ADX and/or RSI swing to the bearish direction, and observe market reaction to support/resistance area at $3.04 to confirm.
Stop loss for the trade involving ASX:WBT (and indication that this trade is an absolute 'no-go') is any trade above the high of the signal day of 2nd January (i.e.: any trade above $3.80).
NVTS TRADE UPDATE - Massive upside potential...STILL!NASDAQ:NVTS UPDATE 💾
The H5 Trade is still intact...for now. We are at an inflection point in the markets and although I believe we get a big bounce higher soon nothing is concrete.
If we do get a bounce and what I believe will be a blow off top in this bull market then this name base on the setup will do very well to start blasting through these profit targets.
- H5 indicator is green
- At volume shelf
- Higher low
- Already successfully retested falling wedge breakout area.
- Broke out of downtrend
-Volume gap to fill
-WCB is formed and thriving
When companies break out and successfully retest it is common for them to consolidate above the breakout area to create new support before continuing higher
Don't make buy/ sell decisions based solely off price action, have a strategy and follow it so you don't get burned up in the massive swings...especially on volatile stocks. This name has given me 70% gains off the initial breakout and after we loaded back up off the retest.
Not exiting this name unless my strategy indicates a correction or crash in the markets is upon us or my strategy tells me to exit this name (Red H5 Indicator/ Break of support on WCB).
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Nvidia - Shocking Everybody Again In 2025!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) will rally another +40% in 2025:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For most people, it seems absolutely counterintuitive to witness another parabolic blow off rally on Nvidia and that's exactly why we will see such moves during 2025. Market structure just supports this outlook since Nvidia is still overall bullish and has some room towards the upside.
Levels to watch: $200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
AMD: Ready to Break Out – Confluence Supports and Bullish PatterI’ve already written a weekly analysis on NASDAQ:AMD , which you should read before this one, as it explains the broader technical and fundamental support in the bigger picture.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, we can see the more granular movement of the stock over the last few months. The fact that we held the trendline, which has been in place since 2023, is a good sign that overarching algorithms still have an interest in the stock. The trendline also corresponds to a so-called "confluence support," where multiple support levels overlap.
1. Trendline
Trendlines alone are not reliable price action structures, as they are often broken during consolidations without affecting the overall trend. However, since this trendline is older, has been tested multiple times, and now coincides with other support levels, it serves as one of several building blocks.
2. Fibonacci Retracement
We hit the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (horizontal yellow line) exactly and bounced upward from there. The 61.8% Fib is always a good reversal point during pronounced consolidations, as we’ve seen here. AMD has been consolidating since March 2024, over nine months now.
3. Horizontal Support
In addition to the Fibonacci retracement, the price range between $117 and $121 was already a support area. This zone has been a support and resistance level since September 2021 and has consistently prompted strong price reactions.
4. Descending Wedge
The current leg down is forming a descending wedge, which breaks upward in more than two-thirds of cases, making it a bullish pattern. The target for a breakout is typically the highest point of the wedge, which currently means a target around $170. However, a conservative trader always plans more cautiously, so we’ve combined our target with the last gap close.
5. Gaps
While not a proper support level, the still-open daily gaps at $137 and $158 act as magnets for higher prices. These gaps lie along the path upward and make good spots to place take-profit levels.
Fundamental Reasons
AMD's Position: With the launch of the MI300 series, AMD has taken a significant step toward competing with NVIDIA in the AI GPU market. These chips are optimized for high-performance computing and generative AI.
Potential: In Q3 2024, AMD generated $1.5 billion in revenue from the data center segment, a 42% year-over-year growth. This growth is expected to accelerate further in 2025 due to AI applications.
Market share: AMD has consistently gained market share from Intel in the CPU market, especially in the server segment. According to Mercury Research, AMD’s server CPU market share rose from 23.4% in Q3 2023 to 26.5% in Q3 2024.
Forecast : With the planned launch of Zen 5 processors in H2 2025, AMD is expected to gain even more market share, driven by improved performance and energy efficiency.
EV Market: Additionally, the electric vehicle market, after weaker years in 2023 and 2024, is expected to regain momentum. This will significantly impact the semiconductor market as a whole.
AMD to $200 (61%) – Strong Support ends ConsolidationNASDAQ:AMD weekly charts looks very good. The trendline from March 2023 is intact and we also touched the 61.8 fibonacci from the complete move (starting in October 2023). The descending wedge could be broken to the upside today, which would be a bullish sign for a stronger move towards $200. All in all, many semiconductor stocks are currently on supports or are fundamentally more attractive than they were months ago.
Fundamentally NVIDIA still dominates the AI datacenter market with a market share of over 90%. But Advanced Micro Devices is improving its hardware and software offerings. The recently released MI325X and the upcoming MI350 series could give AMD more market share with faster release cycles. First signs show significant customer interest. In addition, AMD has a more stable revenue stream from other products like CPUs and non-AI datacenters. Given the high prices of NVIDIAs products the market itself should have a deeper interest in more competition.
Target Zones
$135
$160
$200
Support Zones
$117-$120
NVDA – Buy the Dip for a Short BounceOur last NASDAQ:NVDA trade went very well. Within a few weeks we made more than 15% re-testing the ATH and generating a new one. Directly after hitting the ATH we saw a sell on good news event during the CES and the presentation of the “Home AI PC”. The perfect time to buy was yesterday minutes before markets closed. The price formed a falling wedge with a RSI divergence. Nevertheless, buying today could still give results. Target is the ATH again and invalidation point is a close below our $140 support.
Target Zones
$154
Support Zones
$140
AMD for STRONG buyWhy Buy AMD Stock?
Market Leadership in Semiconductor Industry
AMD is a globally recognized leader in the semiconductor industry, producing high-performance CPUs, GPUs, and adaptive computing technologies. Its innovative products cater to a wide range of markets, including gaming, data centers, artificial intelligence (AI), and embedded systems.
Strong Financial Performance
AMD has consistently demonstrated robust financial growth, driven by strong product demand, strategic acquisitions, and efficient cost management. Its competitive product lineup continues to drive revenue growth and profitability.
Growing Market Opportunities
The increasing adoption of AI, machine learning, cloud computing, and 5G technology creates a substantial growth opportunity for AMD's advanced processors and GPUs. The company is well-positioned to capture market share in these rapidly growing sectors.
Innovation and Product Pipeline
AMD’s commitment to innovation is evident in its cutting-edge product releases, such as the Ryzen series CPUs, Radeon GPUs, and EPYC processors. These products provide industry-leading performance and efficiency, making them highly sought-after in the technology market.
Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions
AMD’s acquisition of Xilinx and strategic partnerships with industry leaders like Microsoft, Sony, and Amazon strengthen its product portfolio and expand its reach into new markets like
JUST BUY AND HOLD.
$NVTS Ready to Soar! 200% UPSIDECHARTURDAY - NASDAQ:NVTS
ALL SYSTEMS GO!
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Broke out and successfully retested falling wedge and downtrend
-Volume shelf with GAP
-Weekly Hammer candle
-Williams CB thriving
A break over recent highs is VERY BULLISH!
🎯$6🎯$7.62 🎯$11
Not financial advice
Micron Technology - The perfect chart!NASDAQ:MU is one of these stocks, which just respects every level, cycle and structure.
If I would give each chart an individual rating, the chart of Micron Technology would be 10 out of 10. Micron Technology is actually respecting every structure level and providing textbook trading opportunities. If we get a retest of the previous all time high, which is now turned support and perfectly lining up with the support of the rising channel, I will certainly look for longs.
Levels to watch: $90
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
NVTS - 50% already, 300% more to go! Massive 2025 StockNASDAQ:NVTS 💾
A top 5 trade for me right now!
We are up a massive 50%+ since we called this name out for a breakout retest then move higher. We got exactly that friends. It's a massive move but what if I told you that this move pales in comparison to the overall 300%+ move I see coming over 2025! Buckle up this is going to be a wild ride friends.
Weekly Analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Broke out of downtrend & falling wedge in which we hit our first profit target and now we successfully retested the breakout and bounce higher! I bought more shares/ options this past week.
-Sitting on a volume shelf with a lot of room to run!
-Williams CB has created support and formed!
🔜🎯$4.65🎯$6🎯$7.62🎯$11.17🎯$12.29
⏲️Before May2026
Not financial advice.
$AMD: The AI Challenger Closing 2024 Strong
Introduction
AMD’s 2024 journey has been marked by strong performance in AI and gaming, backed by solid product launches and strategic moves.
📈 As the year ends, AMD’s MI300 series has crossed $5 billion in data center GPU revenue, setting the stage for further growth in 2025.
💡 But is this momentum enough to solidify AMD as a long-term investment opportunity? Let’s explore. 🔍
Key Insights
1. Financial Highlights 💵
Stock Price: $119.21 (+0.28% today).
P/E Ratio: 45, showcasing high growth expectations.
Revenue Growth: +18% YoY in Q3, driven by data centers and gaming. 🎮
Note: While AMD’s valuation appears stretched compared to historical norms, its forward-looking growth potential justifies a deeper look. 👀
2. AI Market Expansion 🤖
MI300 Series Success: AMD’s data center GPU revenue surpassed $5 billion in 2024, boosted by adoption across cloud providers and enterprises. ☁️
Future Pipeline: The MI325X is set to launch in late 2024, and the MI350 series is planned for 2025. These products aim to strengthen AMD’s position in AI computing.
Analysis:
The global AI market, projected to reach $1 trillion by 2030 🌍, presents immense growth opportunities. AMD’s investment in AI-focused products and partnerships positions it well to capture a meaningful share of this expanding market. 🚀
3. Gaming and Esports Stability 🎮
Revenue: Gaming contributed $1.5 billion in Q3 (+4% YoY).
Growth Drivers: Ryzen CPUs and Radeon GPUs remain popular for gaming rigs, while console upgrades and esports continue to fuel demand.
Takeaway: Gaming remains a consistent revenue stream for AMD, complementing its more volatile AI and data center segments. 💻
4. Competitive Positioning ⚔️
Against Nvidia: AMD’s MI300 series competes in performance and adoption but remains a challenger to Nvidia’s dominance.
Against Intel: AMD continues to outpace Intel in CPU performance and market share growth, reinforcing its reputation as a reliable competitor. 🏆
5. Undervaluation Potential 📊
AMD trades below key moving averages, suggesting a potential opportunity for long-term investors.
Forward P/E could drop to 30 if 2025 earnings grow as projected, aligning with value-focused investment strategies. 📉➡️📈
What’s Next? 🔮
With 2024 closing on a strong note, AMD’s focus shifts to executing its 2025 product launches and capitalizing on AI market growth. Whether you see AMD as undervalued or overvalued depends on your confidence in its ability to sustain this momentum. 🧠
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a professional before making investment decisions. 📢
$AMD GAP FILL 138 & 160A stock gap occurs when there's a significant jump in a stock's price after market closure, typically driven by some news. When this gap is filled, it indicates that the stock's price has reverted to its pre-gap, or "normal," level. This common occurrence happens as the price stabilizes after the initial rush of buying and trading sparked by the news subsides.
Exhaustion gaps are usually the most likely to be filled because they indicate the end of a price trend.
BUY NOW
According to 30 Wall Street analysts who provided 12-month price targets for Advanced Micro Devices over the past three months, the average price target is $182.18. The high forecast is $220.00, and the low forecast is $145.00. This average price target indicates a 46.14% change from the last price of $124.60 (as of 12/23/2024)
NASDAQ:AMD 's growing presence in the markets for central processing units (CPUs) and graphics processing units (GPUs) is poised to drive significant stock gains. We foresee a robust outlook for the semiconductor specialist's Epyc CPUs in the server and data center segment, as well as strong performance from the company's M1350 and M1400 GPUs.
+ NASDAQ:AMD net profit YoY grew by 777.88% which is 633.31% above its peer average
+ NASDAQ:AMD revenue has grown by 17.57% YoY from Q3 2023 to Q3 2024
+ NYSE:MD EPS is forecasted to grow by 41.26% YoY from Q4 2023 to Q4 2024
+ NASDAQ:AMD has a lower debt to equity ratio (3.02%) compared to its peer average (33.87%)
+ NASDAQ:AMD 's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 40.07% to 3.02% over the past 5 year
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor (AOSL) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor NASDAQ:AOSL is a leading innovator in power semiconductors, offering a diversified product portfolio that includes Power MOSFETs, Silicon Carbide (SiC) devices, IGBTs, and power management ICs. The company’s focus on high-performance, energy-efficient solutions positions it at the forefront of several transformative industries.
Key Catalysts for Growth
Sectoral Demand Tailwinds:
AOSL is benefiting from rising demand in key sectors such as automotive, consumer electronics, and industrial applications.
These markets are poised for long-term growth, driven by trends like electrification and automation.
Expansion into High-Growth Areas:
Electric Vehicles (EVs): AOSL’s expansion into the EV ecosystem, including advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), enhances its exposure to the rapidly growing EV market.
Sustainability Focus: Products aligned with energy-efficient power management address global sustainability priorities, solidifying AOSL's competitive positioning.
Innovative Portfolio Diversification:
AOSL’s broad product portfolio minimizes risks tied to any single category and ensures resilience amid market fluctuations.
The company’s investments in Silicon Carbide (SiC) technology bolster its competitive edge in applications requiring high power efficiency.
Profitability and Margins:
AOSL’s focus on energy-efficient designs supports higher margins while aligning with industry trends for lower power consumption and cost efficiency.
Investment Outlook
Bullish Case:
We remain bullish on AOSL above the $36.00-$37.00 range, as the company capitalizes on its technological leadership and industry tailwinds.
Upside Potential:
Our upside target for AOSL is $69.00-$71.00, reflecting confidence in its growth trajectory, driven by its strategic focus on EVs, ADAS, and energy-efficient innovations.
🚀 AOSL—Powering the Future of Electronics with Sustainable Energy Solutions. #Semiconductors #EnergyEfficiency #TechLeadership
NVTS - The next Explosive Small Cap?! 300% UpsideCharturday #2: NASDAQ:NVTS 💾
A top 5 trade for me right now!
Weekly Analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Broke out of downtrend & falling wedge in which we hit our first profit target and now retesting the breakout. I bought more shares/ options this past week.
-Sitting on a volume shelf with a lot of room to run!
-Williams CB still forming, if we continue our bounce into this week we will have a form Williams CB
🔜🎯$4.65🎯$6🎯$7.62🎯$11.17🎯$12.29
⏲️Before May2026
Not financial advice.