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$AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI POTENTIAL (1/7) Q4 2024 Revenue landed between $7.65B–$7.7B, beating estimates (~$7.53B). That’s a year-over-year jump fueled by Data Center sales skyrocketing +69% to $3.9B—now over half of AMD’s total revenue! Let’s dive in. 🚀 (2/7) – EARNINGS BEAT • Q4 2024 EPS: ~$1.09 (a hair above consensus $1.08–$1.09) • Operating cash flow up +240% YoY—huge liquidity boost 💰 • Despite the beats, stock dipped -2% post-earnings—profit-taking or a sign of sky-high expectations? 🤔 (3/7) – GUIDANCE & MOMENTUM • Q1 2025 sales guidance: $7.1B (~above $7.0B estimates) • Indicates continued growth, with AMD’s pivot to AI & data center paying off 💡 • Investors weigh: Are expectations now too lofty? (4/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON • AMD’s data center surge outpaces Intel in growth & profitability • Trails NVIDIA in AI infrastructure domination, but could be undervalued if the market’s underestimating AMD’s AI diversification potential ⚙️ • Future gains might hinge on capturing more hyperscaler demand 🔗 (5/7) – RISK FACTORS • NVIDIA: Still the top AI chip supplier—AMD must fight for share • Semiconductors are cyclical: macro downturn = potential demand drop 📉 • TSMC reliance → supply chain or geopolitical hiccups • The -2% stock drop post-earnings suggests the bar is set high (6/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: Data Center revenue up 69% → half of total rev 🌐 Diversified portfolio, not just PC chips Strong cash flow fueling R&D Weaknesses: Lags NVIDIA in AI adoption Post-earnings stock dip hints at market skepticism Opportunities: AI expansions beyond GPU domination Partnerships / acquisitions → deeper AI capabilities 🤖 Emerging markets (auto, IoT, etc.) for chip technology Threats: Fierce competition (NVIDIA, Intel) Economic slowdowns Regulatory or supply chain bumps ⚠️ (7/7) – Is AMD a prime AI contender or overshadowed by NVIDIA? 1️⃣ Bullish—Data center momentum will fuel AI growth 🚀 2️⃣ Neutral—Solid performance, but needs bigger AI share 🤔 3️⃣ Bearish—NVIDIA leads, AMD can’t catch up 🐻 Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by DCAChampion
1
INTEL ($INTC) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?INTEL ( NASDAQ:INTC ) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION? (1/9) Q4 2024 revenue beat forecasts at $14.3B (vs. $13.8B est.), up 7% from Q3 but still -7% YoY—highlighting Intel’s ups and downs. Looking ahead? Q1 2025 guidance points to $11.7-$12.7B in revenue and break-even EPS, hinting continued headwinds. Let’s dive in! 🔎 (2/9) – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT • Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.13 (beat by $0.01), down sharply from $0.54 a year ago • GAAP earnings hurt by $15.9B in impairment + $2.8B restructuring charges • Gross margin set to drop from 42.1% to 36% next quarter—Ouch! (3/9) – SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL EVENTS • Exploring AI chip partnership w/ TSMC: Could bolster Intel’s AI presence • Targeting SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:10B in cost cuts by 2025, citing big strides in Q3 2024 • Foundry services sees $4.5B revenue in Q4, improved operating loss due to EUV wafer mix—positive sign ⚙️ (4/9) – CONTEXT & CHALLENGES • 2024 free cash flow: - $15.1B (vs. +$21.4B in 2020)—hurts liquidity 💸 • Declining YoY revenue + margin pressure reflect stiff competition & big CapEx • Intel pivoting to AI & foundry services, but near-term growth remains sluggish (5/9) – SECTOR COMPARISON • Forward P/E ~16, trailing P/E ~72.50 = low profitability vs. AMD/NVIDIA’s sky-high multiples • P/B ~1.06, P/S ~1.5-2 → Intel looks “cheap” compared to peers (e.g., NVIDIA P/S ~20+!) • Stock’s -51.67% over the last year, underperforming the semiconductor sector (+96.5%) 😬 (6/9) – UNDERVALUATION OR VALUE TRAP? • Analysts’ intrinsic value: ~$19.37-$31.27 vs. current ~$20.97 → near fair value or slightly undervalued 🤔 • But big risks: negative cash flow, competitive drubbing from AMD/NVIDIA, repeated delays… • The market’s discount might be warranted given Intel’s execution hurdles (7/9) – KEY RISKS • Competitive Pressures: AMD & NVIDIA dominating AI/data center 💻 • Execution Delays: Roadmap slips for Panther Lake (2H 2025) & Clearwater Forest (2026) • Financial Strain: High CapEx, negative FCF, suspended dividend in 2024 🚧 • Macro & Geopolitics: Trade tensions (esp. in China) + economic headwinds (8/9) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: Established brand, PC/server CPU leader Foundry expansion, AI PC push Cost cuts boosting operational efficiency Weaknesses: Market share losses, negative FCF Delays in product launches, high CapEx Complex design + manufacturing model Opportunities: AI & foundry growth via TSMC tie-ups Government support (CHIPS Act) Undervaluation if turnaround succeeds Threats: Fierce competition ( NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:NVDA ) Regulatory & trade risks (China) Rapid AI market evolution leaving Intel behind (9/9) Is Intel the next big turnaround story or a sinking ship? 1️⃣ Massive comeback—AI + foundry = unstoppable! 2️⃣ Meh—They’ll recover somewhat, but not lead the pack 3️⃣ Doom—Delays, negative FCF, stiff competition… pass Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by DCAChampion
Fundamental Weakness Meets Technical Strength, AMD at a Turning?Hello readers, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) posted strong Q4 earnings, with a 24% year-over-year revenue increase to $7.66 billion, slightly surpassing estimates. Adjusted EPS came in at $1.09, just above expectations. However, the data center segment underperformed, bringing in $3.86 billion a 69% YoY increase but below the $4.1 billion analysts had anticipated. Additionally, CEO Lisa Su cautioned that data center sales may decline by 7% in the next quarter. This guidance, combined with the revenue miss, led to an 8.2% pre-market drop in AMD’s stock price. Technical Perspective The price has finally arrived at the first key area of interest. This level has been anticipated for some time, and the fundamental reaction has now drawn the price close to the marked zone. For those considering this as a potential investment, I can provide a small but valuable confirmation: from a technical standpoint, this is not a mistake to take, as this area holds the potential to generate strong liquidity for further growth. Key criteria: 1. Strong horizontal price zone around the $100 2. The round number itself $100 3. The trendline since 2018 4. Channel projection 5. Equal waves from the top For a more in-depth technical analysis, visit my Substack channel - content is now available for English readers. Simply go to my profile and click on "Website." Regards, Vaido Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider risk management before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by VaidoVeek
NASDAQ-NXPI: Is the Market on the Verge of a Reversal?A Critical Juncture: What’s Next for NASDAQ-NXPI? The semiconductor sector has been riding a wave of volatility, and NASDAQ-NXPI is no exception. The stock currently trades at $208.55, reflecting a 29.56% decline from its all-time high of $296.08 recorded in mid-2024. With a downward deviation of nearly 30%, the market is now questioning whether this is a buying opportunity or the precursor to another leg down. Technicals reveal a battle between bulls and bears. The 50-day moving average sits at $212.72, hovering just above the current price, indicating a near-term resistance zone. Meanwhile, RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 39.35 suggests the stock is creeping into oversold territory, yet not signaling a definitive reversal. Furthermore, sell volumes have surged, forming multiple bearish candle patterns, reinforcing the short-term downside risk. Adding to the complexity, macroeconomic pressures, including a strong U.S. dollar and shifting interest rate expectations, have kept buyers cautious. But with powerful support levels at $206.34 and $198.82, is this a crucial inflection point? The Big Question: Reversal or Continuation? With a resistance ceiling at $211.02, the next move could define NXPI’s short-term fate. A break above this level could trigger a bullish surge, but failure to hold above $206.34 may invite another wave of selling. Will buyers step in at this critical moment, or are we in for another leg downward? The answer may shape the next major move in NXPI. Stay alert. NASDAQ-NXPI Roadmap: Tracking the Market’s Footsteps January 14 – Buy Volumes Max (Confirmed Bullish Signal) The first major signal of a buy-side push emerged on January 14, with an increased buy volume pattern at $208.88. The price closed higher at $210.53, setting the stage for a continuation. The key takeaway? Buyers were stepping in, and the momentum was shifting. January 15 – Sell Volumes Max (Bearish Reversal Signal Fails) Just a day later, sell-side pressure increased, marking a potential reversal with a closing price of $213.49. However, instead of following through, the market did not sustain the downward movement, negating this sell signal. The previous buy volume pattern held firm, proving bulls were still in control. January 17 – VSA Buy Pattern 3 (Confirmed Bullish Trend) The market locked in another bullish confirmation as the VSA manipulation buy pattern formed at $214.45, closing higher at $214.61. With strong buying activity in place, the stock continued its ascent, respecting the trendline and validating the prior bullish signals. January 21 – Sell Volumes Max (Bearish Confirmation) The first true bearish confirmation materialized as the price turned south, closing at $214.78 after opening at $215.26. This drop signaled a shift in sentiment and tested the conviction of the bulls. With further confirmation needed, all eyes turned to the next move. January 22 – Sell Volumes (Bearish Momentum Builds) With a lower close at $215.98, sellers began solidifying control. The sequence of declining closes and increased sell volumes confirmed the downtrend was gaining steam. January 23 – Buy Volumes Take Over (Reversal in Motion) Just as the bears looked ready to dominate, buyers stepped back in, driving the close to $219.89. This strong shift nullified the previous bearish sequence and set the stage for a fresh upward move. January 24 – Buy Volumes Max (Confirmed Bullish) Momentum followed through with a close at $213.44, reinforcing that buying interest was sustained. The roadmap now pointed to another attempt to test higher resistance levels. January 27 – Increased Buy Volumes (Final Bullish Confirmation) The price surged to $215.2, cementing the overall bullish bias established throughout the roadmap. The earlier bearish dips proved to be shakeouts, and those who stayed in line with the buy-side confirmations saw the real move unfold in their favor. This roadmap clearly showcases how bullish and bearish patterns played out, giving traders and investors a structured way to read the market’s evolution. Will the next setup follow the same rhythm, or is a fresh shakeout coming? Stay alert. Technical & Price Action Analysis Support Levels: 206.34 – local buyer zone; if broken, expect further downside 198.82 – critical level for bulls; a break here could trigger a move to 192 192.375 – last potential hold for buyers; below this, free fall territory Resistance Levels: 211.02 – immediate resistance; needs a solid breakout for upside continuation 222.00 – key level to watch; if bulls take control, momentum could accelerate 234.955 – major resistance; breakout here would shift the structure bullish Powerful Support Levels: 224.26 – a strong demand zone; if lost, could flip into heavy resistance Powerful Resistance Levels: 200.00 – psychological barrier; flipping above this would be a strong bullish sign 175.00 – long-term level; failure to reclaim may keep sellers in control 149.90 – structural pivot; reclaiming this zone would confirm trend reversal If any of these levels fail to hold, they will act as new resistance zones, and the price will likely revisit them before making the next move. Watch for fakeouts and liquidity grabs before committing to a trade. 🚨 Trading Strategies Based on Rays Concept of Rays My proprietary analysis method is built on Fibonacci-based rays, dynamically adjusting to market movement. These rays create predictive zones where price interactions suggest either continuation or reversal. Importantly, entry positions are taken only after price interacts with a ray and initiates movement. Each move extends from one ray to the next, setting up structured trade targets. Dynamic Factors in Play Moving Averages: MA50 at $212.72, MA100 at $214.16, and MA200 at $212.76 serve as dynamic resistance/support levels. Their intersection with key rays amplifies probability zones. VSA Rays: These pre-defined market structures align with volume-driven price shifts, making them highly reactive points for execution. Optimistic Scenario (Bullish Continuation) Entry: Break and close above $211.02 after ray interaction. First Target: $222.00 – Key resistance; first profit zone. Second Target: $234.955 – Breakout continuation level. Third Target: $247.67 – Long-term bullish extension. Pessimistic Scenario (Bearish Breakdown) Entry: Rejection from $211.02 or breakdown below $206.34. First Target: $198.82 – Major support test. Second Target: $192.375 – Strong demand zone. Third Target: $175.00 – Structural breakdown zone. Trade Opportunities Based on Rays Momentum Breakout Trade: Long on a break above $211.02, targeting $222.00. Reversal Trade: Short after a rejection from $211.02, aiming for $206.34. Pullback Entry: Buy from $206.34 if it holds as support, riding to $211.02. Breakdown Trade: Short if $206.34 fails, targeting $198.82 first. Range Scalping: Buying dips at $206.34, selling resistance at $211.02 until a breakout. These setups provide both aggressive and conservative trading approaches. Every trade moves from ray to ray, setting up the next logical price step. What’s Next? Let’s Discuss! Trading is all about understanding key levels and making decisions at the right moment—that’s exactly what my ray-based strategy helps with. If this breakdown made sense to you, drop a comment with your thoughts or questions—I always reply! Don’t forget to hit Boost and save this idea so you can check back later and see how price moves along my levels. Tracking the market in real-time is the best way to sharpen your trading edge! By the way, all the rays and levels are automatically mapped by my private indicator. If you’re interested in using it, send me a direct message—I’ll explain how it works. Looking for custom analysis on another asset? I can do that too! Some ideas I share publicly, others—privately on request. If there’s a ticker you want mapped out, Boost this post and let me know in the comments! And if you find my insights valuable, make sure to follow me here on TradingView—this is where all my best work gets posted first. Let’s trade smart! 🚀
NASDAQ:NXPIShort
by brandlabelden
NVDA Long After Nearly 20% DeclineNASDAQ:NVDA got hit hard by the huge sell-off today and because of the DeepSeek release. The Chinese GPT alternative claims to be better or at least as good as GPT using way less and way older NVDA GPUs. If true, this could create a lot of stress on the CapEx of big US tech companies because the managers will ask their employees why they needed to buy all of those expensive GPUs if they are not necessary at all. That would lead to shrinking sales at NVDA. So far, so bad. But, we should not forget that misinformation is always a thing when talking about Chinese companies and claims. I also don't think that the result of such a claim would be that tech companies lower their CapEx and start doing less. Instead they will use this to understand how DeepSeek works and how they can be better than their Chinese counterpart using way more powerful GPUs. So, this huge sell-off could trigger a bounce from this confluence support. We perfectly hit the upward trend and a support level at $118. So, be brave and test the water. Target Zones $131 $140 Support Zones $118
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by LGNDRY-Capital
3
NVIDIA's Technical Outlook After the Market CrashYesterday, the market experienced a sell-off that pushed most stocks into the red. One of the key stocks in the spotlight was NVIDIA (NVDA). From a technical perspective, NVDA had been drifting between the $130 and $150 range for the past three months without establishing a clear direction. During this time, the stock made several attempts to break above the $150 level, but all efforts failed – investors simply weren’t ready to pay such a high price. Yesterday, the stock finally found a direction: not above $150, but instead below $130. Slightly lower price levels have now taken over. Current Technical Outlook At the moment, the stock is once again trapped between two levels – $130 as resistance and $100 as support. Currently, the price sits in what I’d describe as "no-man’s land," and for me, the optimal buy zone would be in the range of $90–$107.5. If the price doesn’t reach this area (pre-market is already up 5%) and instead rebounds back above $130, we can react there, in what I’d consider a safer zone. For now, it’s best to let things settle. Opening positions at this stage might be risky; ultimately, it’s about balancing risks with your strategy. Personally, I always aim for the best possible prices or the safest scenario. For me, the lower zone between $90 and $107.5 offers the best potential value. Second Scenario Another approach is to wait for the price to break back above the current resistance level of $130 and secure a strong weekly close above it. This would signal that the price has moved into a potentially safer zone, suggesting that market panic may have ended well for NVDA holders. This scenario also allows us to take advantage of further potential growth. Sector Stocks of Interest Here are a few stocks from this sector that caught my attention and might also be of interest to you: Broadcom (AVGO) ASML Holding (ASML) Marvell Technology (MRVL) Strongest levels below the current price. All the best, Vaido
NASDAQ:NVDA
by VaidoVeek
ON Semi is fundamentally undervalued and ready for a reversalTechnical View NASDAQ:ON ON bounce off from a bigger support area from 2022 at around $53 building an ascending triangle. We have a gap above our current price (which can function as a magnet for the stock price). A smaller resistance at $60 might be our first target and the bigger resistance at $77 could be our final target resulting in 36% ROI. The trade would be invalidated below $50. Since this is a bigger swing trade, I would not put my SL to close to the current stock price. If you’re interested why this is a mid- to long-term swing trade read the fundamental information below. Support Zones $50-53 Target Zones $60 $77 Fundamental View ON Semiconductor concluded the third quarter of 2024 with revenue amounting to $1,762 million, reflecting a 2% increase from the second quarter but a -19.2% year-over-year decline. Nevertheless, the revenue for the quarter exceeded the consensus estimate by 0.70%. The most significant revenue losses were observed in the industrial end-market, with figures reaching $439.90 million compared to the average estimate of $464.97 million, marking a -28.6% decrease. The gross margin experienced a 2% improvement, now constituting 45.4% of total revenue. Looking ahead, the acquisition of GlobalFoundries’ New York plant is anticipated to enhance the company's chip production capabilities. This facility is expected to maintain consistent production costs while simultaneously increasing production efficiency, in anticipation of a future rise in demand. The stock has decreased by 11.26% on a year-to-date basis, with a reported trailing twelve months (TTM) earnings per share (EPS) of $4.03. Management has reported having over $1 billion in free cash flow and plans, according to Barron’s, to utilize half of each quarter’s cash flow to repurchase shares under onsemi’s Share Repurchase Program. The reduction in investments will contribute to increasing free cash flow margins, thereby reinforcing OnSemi’s objective of returning 50% of free cash flow to investors. This, combined with a projected slight improvement in sales growth and profitability, is expected to elevate EPS to $7.11 by 2027. Currently, the company's valuation appears reasonable, trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.49, which is lower than 90% of the time over the past five years and significantly beneath the S&P 500 P/E ratio as well as the industry median P/E of 25.4. Based on analysts' projections for EPS and maintaining a steady P/E ratio, the company is anticipated to reach a price of $95.91 within the next two years. While this scenario may seem overly optimistic, it is evident that the market is currently undervaluing the stock, especially when compared to its main competitors, such as Texas Instruments and Analog Devices. Since EV is a superior trend I don’t think Trumps political decision will have an impact. In addition, “Vice President” Musk has a, let’s say, not so little interest in selling more EVs.
NASDAQ:ONLong
by LGNDRY-Capital
1
Amd - It Comes Down To This Support!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is retesting massive support: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For more than three years, we have been seeing a quite volatile consolidation phase on Amd. Looking at recent price history though, Amd just came back to retest a massive horizontal support level and if we see bulls taking over, a rally of +100% is very possible. Levels to watch: $120, $240 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by basictradingtv
28
Applied Materials Inc. Technical and Fundamental Aspects.Applied Materials, Inc. is an American corporation that supplies equipment, services and software for the manufacture of semiconductor (integrated circuit) chips for electronics, flat panel displays for computers, smartphones, televisions, and solar products. The company also supplies equipment to produce coatings for flexible electronics, packaging and other applications. U.S. chip stocks rise on Thursday, January 16th, after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co NYSE:TSM , the world's largest contract chipmaker, reported record quarterly profit today. In technical terms, Applied Materials stock was not among hyped and scorching-hot Trump-a-Rally assets in November, 2024. However the most important thing is that in December, 2024 AMAT stocks has been supported by 100-week SMA and now is forming breakthrough of descending top/ flat bottom technical figure, trying to print the biggest over past twelve months 4-weeks upside swing. In fundamental terms, Applied Materials NASDAQ:AMAT is presently being traded at a Forward P/E ratio of 22.12. This signifies a discount in comparison to the average Forward P/E of more than 25 for Semiconductors industry peers. Another Semiconductors industry peers are being trading as follow - a Forward P/E ratio for Nvidia Corp NASDAQ:NVDA is presently 53.30; for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing NYSE:TSM is 34.92; for Broadcom Inc NASDAQ:AVGO is 191.80; for Asml Holding NV NASDAQ:ASML is 40.08; and for Advanced Micro Devices Inc NASDAQ:AMD is 106.63. The main technical graph for Applied Materials Inc. NASDAQ:AMAT indicates on a forming breakthrough of descending top/ flat bottom technical figure. The nearest upside target is considered by our team as a 6-month highs near $ 215 a share, and the far target is considered as a Double Top technical figure around $ 250 a share, that can be achieved over next 6 months.
NASDAQ:AMATLong
by PandorraResearch
$NVDA Buy now when everyone is in fear! Easy Rally to $165 !!Based on recent analyses and expert forecasts, NVIDIA's stock price (NVDA) is anticipated to perform robustly in the first quarter of 2025. Analysts have set a target price around $170 if the stock can convincingly surpass the $145 mark. Reason to BUY NASDAQ:NVDA Strong Demand for AI: NVIDIA's GPUs play a critical role in training complex AI models. The rising demand for AI technologies, particularly from major tech companies, is boosting the need for NVIDIA's specialized chips. Data Center Growth: NVIDIA's data center revenue has been experiencing significant growth. This segment now accounts for a substantial portion of their total revenue, and ongoing investments in data centers by cloud service providers are expected to further drive demand. New Product Launches: NVIDIA is preparing to increase shipments of its new H200 GPU, which boasts greater efficiency and power compared to its predecessor. This could attract more customers and boost sales. Positive Market Sentiment: Analysts maintain a bullish outlook on NVIDIA's stock, with some predicting further price increases due to sustained demand and strong financial performance. AI Monetization: Companies such as Microsoft and Meta are seeing increased monetization from AI applications, potentially leading to higher spending on NVIDIA's products. BUY NOW NASDAQ:NVDA !! Fear & Greed Index: 39 (FEAR) Green Days: 13/30 (43%) RSI as of 01/13/2025 200-Day SMA: $119.35 50-day SMA: $139.86 Volatility: 3.12% I also anticipate a dramatic increase due to the following events: CPI 01/15/2025 Trump Administration 01/20/2025 FOMC Meeting: 01/29/2025
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by sej4974
5
Broadcom - This Chart Tells Us Everything!Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) is retesting massive resistance: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For roughly a decade, Broadcom has been trading in a quite obvious rising channel pattern, perfectly rejecting the lower support trendline back in the end of 2022. After the recent rally of more than +200%, it is quite likely that we will now see a substantial move lower from here. Levels to watch: $250, $150 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AVGOShort
by basictradingtv
6