Can Efficiency Topple AI's Titans?Google has strategically entered the next phase of the AI hardware competition with Ironwood, its seventh-generation Tensor Processing Unit (TPU). Moving beyond general-purpose AI acceleration, Google specifically engineered Ironwood for inference – the critical task of running trained AI models at scale. This deliberate focus signals a Major bet on the "age of inference," where the cost and efficiency of deploying AI, rather than just training it, become dominant factors for enterprise adoption and profitability, positioning Google directly against incumbents NVIDIA and Intel.
Ironwood delivers substantial advancements in both raw computing power and, critically, energy efficiency. Its most potent competitive feature may be its enhanced performance-per-watt, boasting impressive teraflops and significantly increased memory bandwidth compared to its predecessor. Google claims nearly double the efficiency of its previous generation, addressing the crucial operational challenges of power consumption and cost in large-scale AI deployments. This efficiency drive, coupled with Google's decade-long vertical integration in designing its TPUs, creates a tightly optimized hardware-software stack potentially offering significant advantages in total cost of ownership.
By concentrating on inference efficiency and leveraging its integrated ecosystem, encompassing networking, storage, and software like the Pathways runtime, Google aims to carve out a significant share of the AI accelerator market. Ironwood is presented not merely as a chip, but as the engine for Google's advanced models like Gemini and the foundation for a future of complex, multi-agent AI systems. This comprehensive strategy directly challenges the established dominance of NVIDIA and the growing AI aspirations of Intel, suggesting the battle for AI infrastructure leadership is intensifying around the economics of deployment.
Semiconductors
NVIDIA (NVDA): Oversold or Start of a Larger Correction?Overview & Market Context
NVIDIA just saw a major sell-off, dropping around 7% in a single session and slicing below key support levels. This abrupt move has raised questions: Is NVDA oversold enough for a bounce, or are we at the onset of a broader bearish trend? High trading volume suggests significant institutional distribution, so caution is warranted for both bulls and bears.
1. Price Action & Volume
* NVDA closed near the $94.31 mark after the sharp decline.
* Volume spiked (~532M), confirming that large players have been active—often a sign of heightened volatility and potential trend changes.
2. Moving Averages
* The 200-day SMA sits near $127.07, which NVDA fell below decisively. Historically, losing the 200-day often signals a medium-term bearish bias, making it a key level to watch on any rebound attempts.
3. RSI & Momentum
* The RSI on the daily timeframe is hovering around the high-20s, indicating oversold conditions. While this can lead to a short-term bounce, oversold can remain oversold if negative momentum persists.
Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Resistance:
* $96–$100 Range: Minor overhead supply; if price rallies here, watch to see if it rolls over again.
* $105–$110: This region aligns with prior support-turned-resistance. A strong push above $110 would challenge the bearish thesis.
Primary Support Targets
* $90 (Psychological Marker): Could be the first zone for a pause or bounce.
* $82.89 (“Half 1 Short” from algorithmic levels): A logical next stop if the sell-off continues.
* $76 Area: Deep support from earlier consolidation zones; if selling intensifies, the stock may reach these levels.
Potential Trade Setups
1. Bearish Continuation (Short)
Entry:
* On a weak bounce into the $96–$100 zone, or
* A breakdown below $94 on strong volume.
Stop Loss:
* Conservative approach: Above $105–$110, where a bullish reversal could invalidate the short setup.
Profit Targets:
* $90 (near-term psychological level),
* $82.89 (algorithmic short target),
* $76 (longer-term support).
2. Contrarian Bounce (Long)
* Entry: Around $90 or upon a clear intraday reversal signal (e.g., a bullish engulfing candle on strong volume).
* Stop Loss: Below $88 to reduce risk of a deeper flush.
* Profit Targets:
* $96–$100 (short-term push),
* Extended target near $105–$110 if momentum sharply reverses.
Thought Process & Strategy
* The extreme volume and steep decline reflect a high-conviction move. Usually, when you see volume spikes on a breakdown, it suggests institutional selling, meaning rallies may be met with further supply.
* However, the oversold reading (RSI in the high-20s) hints that a bounce might come soon—though it could be short-lived unless macro or fundamental conditions shift.
* Clearly defining both bullish and bearish scenarios—along with exact stop-loss levels—removes emotion and helps avoid “decision paralysis.” Trading is about probabilities, not certainties.
Final Notes
* Risk Management: Always size positions so that a single trade does not jeopardize your account.
* Emotional Control: These levels are algorithmically defined, aiming to reduce subjective bias. Watch how price reacts at each support/resistance zone.
* Stay Vigilant: With elevated volatility, rapid intraday swings are possible. Monitor real-time price action for confirmation.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Perform your own due diligence, and trade responsibly.
Amd - The One And Only Setup For 2025!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) shifts to a very bullish market:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Perfectly following previous cycles, Amd corrected about -60% over the past couple of months. However now we are seeing some first bullish signs at a major confluence of support. If we actually also witness bullish confirmation, an incredible rally of about +200% could follow.
Levels to watch: $100, $300
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$SMH: First the generals then the index NASDAQ:SMH with closing @ 180 $ on 04 April 2025 is equivalent to drawdown we saw during COVID crash. During the covid crash the semiconductor ETF lost 37% and this tariff crash we also saw 36% drawdown. If this tariff war on goes then we might see some more weakness. With this drawdown the NASDAQ:SMH is below its 200 Day SMA. ‘Nothing good happens below 200 Day SMA’ and the ETF is below the upward sloping channel. The RSI is also touching the lows the lows we saw during the COVID time reaching the oversold mark of 30.
This weakness can be attributed to heavy weights like NASDAQ:NVDA and NASDAQ:AVGO which have been down more than 40% form their ATH. But the question remains will the drawdown stop here or there is some more pain. But we should not forget the 3-day rule in the markets. Where the sell off peaks off in the 3rd Day. 07 April will be the 3rd Day after the tariff selloff.
Should we call the bottom here? Unless we think that there will be a recession then these are good levels to buy. But if the tariff negotiations go on for longer period, then there will be chop around for a longer period and instead of a V shaped recovery we might see a U-shaped recovery in SMH.
Verdict: Accumulate some NASDAQ:SMH here and go extra-long @ 170-180 $
$SOXL $SOXX BOTTOMED (ASCENDING TRIANGLE)An ascending triangle is a bullish breakout pattern that occurs when the price breaks through the upper horizontal trendline with increasing volume. The upper trendline is horizontal, showing nearly identical highs that create a resistance level. Meanwhile, the lower trendline slopes upward, indicating higher lows as buyers gradually increase their bids. Eventually, buyers become impatient and push the price above the resistance level, triggering further buying and resuming the uptrend. The upper trendline, which previously acted as resistance, then becomes a support level.
Semiconductors NASDAQ:SOXX are crucial to the United States for several reasons:
Technological Backbone: Semiconductors power essential technologies like smartphones, computers, cars, and medical devices. They are integral to almost everything with an on/off switch. The semiconductor industry aka NASDAQ:SOXX significantly contributes to the U.S. economy. It supports millions of jobs and drives innovation in various sectors, including artificial intelligence, biotechnology, and clean energy.
Semiconductors are vital for national security. They are used in military systems, aircraft, weapons, and the electric grid, making them critical for defense and infrastructure. Maintaining a strong semiconductor industry helps the U.S. stay competitive globally so BUY AMEX:SOXL , $SOXX. The CHIPS and Science Act, for example, aims to revitalize the U.S. semiconductor industry, create jobs, and support American innovation. Strengthening the domestic semiconductor supply chain reduces dependency on foreign sources, enhancing the resilience and security of supply chains.
BUY NOW AND HOLD
Finally happened. Semi’s getting creamed. Semiconductors and all the trappings are finally falling. The bubble has popped for the near term at least.
LONG 3 days ago
AMEX:SOXS is saving my portfolio🙏🏼👍
I’m using a 30 min chart with 10,50,200 sma’s. When the S&P drops below the 50 sma its time to short.
NASDAQ:NVDA was range bound and had dropped below 50sma. Time to short. But NASDAQ:NVDA was leading the way to a reset for all the other Semi underlings.
AMEX:SOXS the answer!!!!
NVDA NVIDIA Price Target by Year-EndNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) remains a dominant force in the AI and semiconductor markets, with its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio currently at 19.37—a reasonable valuation considering its growth trajectory and market position.
NVIDIA’s leadership in the AI sector, particularly through its cutting-edge GPUs, has driven strong demand from data centers, cloud providers, and AI developers. The company’s recent product launches, including the Hopper and Blackwell architectures, have further solidified its competitive edge.
Despite recent market volatility, NVIDIA's consistent revenue growth and expanding profit margins support the bullish case. The current P/E of 19.37 reflects a balanced risk-reward profile, suggesting that the stock is not overvalued despite its impressive performance.
A price target of $145 by year-end reflects approximately 15% upside from current levels, driven by sustained AI demand and growing market penetration. Investors should watch for quarterly earnings reports and updates on AI chip demand, as these will likely act as key catalysts for upward momentum.
AMD Advanced Micro Devices Price TargetAdvanced Micro Devices (AMD) has positioned itself as a major player in the semiconductor industry, capitalizing on growing demand for high-performance computing, artificial intelligence (AI), and data center solutions. As of now, AMD’s forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 17.12, indicating that the stock is trading at a reasonable valuation compared to its growth potential.
AMD has benefited from the increasing adoption of AI-driven solutions, particularly through its MI300 series of AI accelerators, which have gained traction among major cloud service providers. The company’s expansion into the data center market has also been a key growth driver, with strong sales in EPYC processors contributing to revenue growth.
Furthermore, AMD's strategic acquisition of Xilinx has strengthened its position in the FPGA (Field-Programmable Gate Array) market, enhancing its ability to offer diversified and high-margin products. This, combined with improving margins and consistent product innovation, positions AMD for steady financial performance in the coming quarters.
Given AMD’s solid fundamentals, growing market share in AI and data centers, and attractive valuation at a 17.12 forward P/E, a price target of $125 by the end of the year appears achievable. This would represent approximately 15% upside from current levels, driven by continued revenue growth and expanding profit margins.
Potential key reversal top detected for WBTLevel of interest: Prior support/resistance levels in the past of $3.04 (09-Aug-2022) and $3.75 (12-Dec-2022) (key support/resistance areas to observe).
Await signals for entry such as DMI/ADX and/or RSI swing to the bearish direction, and observe market reaction to support/resistance area at $3.04 to confirm.
Stop loss for the trade involving ASX:WBT (and indication that this trade is an absolute 'no-go') is any trade above the high of the signal day of 2nd January (i.e.: any trade above $3.80).
Nvidia Just Under Major SupportNvidia seems to have been pulled down by the Dow just like Apple as both are just under major support. I'm sorry for my previous Nvidia chart that drew support near 140, I recognize where I screwed up, but this chart should be good. Fortunately actual 117 support wasn't that far below and my NVDA isn't too in the red.
NVDA has the lowest revenue multiple in years right now. I know it's well off it's long term trend line, but it's growth rate is unlike anything it's ever been so expecting a steeper trend line to appear makes a lot of sense. Eventually I would imagine we'll get back to that trend line, but not anytime soon.
The Dow hitting major support should finally lift NVDA and the others that have been dragged down like AAPL and AMZN.
Good luck!
Is Apple's Empire Built on Sand?Apple Inc., a tech titan valued at over $2 trillion, has built its empire on innovation and ruthless efficiency. Yet, beneath this dominance lies a startling vulnerability: an overreliance on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) for its cutting-edge chips. This dependence on a single supplier in a geopolitically sensitive region exposes Apple to profound risks. While Apple’s strategy has fueled its meteoric rise, it has also concentrated its fate in one precarious basket—Taiwan. As the world watches, the question looms: what happens if that basket breaks?
Taiwan’s uncertain future under China’s shadow amplifies these risks. If China moves to annex Taiwan, TSMC’s operations could halt overnight, crippling Apple’s ability to produce its devices. Apple’s failure to diversify its supplier base left its trillion-dollar empire on a fragile foundation. Meanwhile, TSMC’s attempts to hedge by opening U.S. factories introduce new complications. If Taiwan falls, the U.S. could seize these assets, potentially handing them to competitors like Intel. This raises unsettling questions: Who truly controls the future of these factories? And what becomes of TSMC’s investments if they fuel a rival’s ascent?
Apple’s predicament is a microcosm of a global tech industry tethered to concentrated semiconductor production. Efforts to shift manufacturing to India or Vietnam pale against China’s scale, while U.S. regulatory scrutiny—like the Department of Justice’s probe into Apple’s market dominance—adds further pressure. The U.S. CHIPS Act seeks to revive domestic manufacturing, but Apple’s grip on TSMC muddies the path forward. The stakes are clear: resilience must now trump efficiency, or the entire ecosystem risks collapse.
As Apple stands at this crossroads, the question echoes: Can it forge a more adaptable future, or will its empire crumble under the weight of its design? The answer may not only redefine Apple but also reshape the global balance of tech and power. What would it mean for us all if the chips—both literal and figurative—stopped falling into place?
$AVGO: Broadcom – AI Chip Powerhouse or Tariff Tightrope?(1/9)
Good morning, crew! ☀️ NASDAQ:AVGO : Broadcom – AI Chip Powerhouse or Tariff Tightrope?
With NASDAQ:AVGO at $194.94 after a Q1 earnings slam dunk, is this semiconductor star riding the AI wave to glory or teetering on trade war woes? Let’s unpack the circuits! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 194.94 as of Mar 10, 2025 💰
• Q1 2025: Revenue $14.92B (up 23% YoY), EPS $1.60 📏
• Movement: Up 10% post-earnings Mar 6, +8.6% Mar 7 🌟
It’s buzzing like a chip factory on overdrive! ⚡
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: ~$93.5B (151.62M shares) 🏆
• Operations: AI chips, software solutions ⏰
• Trend: 42% of 2024 revenue from software, per web data 🎯
A heavyweight in the AI silicon ring! 🌐
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Earnings: Q1 beat with $14.92B, Q2 forecast tops estimates 🔄
• AI Boom: Custom chips fuel hyperscaler demand 🌍
• Sentiment: Shares rallied, per Mar 6-7 posts 📋
Thriving, wired for the future! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚠️
• Tariffs: Trade uncertainties loom, per web reports 🔍
• Competition: Nvidia, Marvell in the race 📉
• Valuation: Premium pricing raises eyebrows ❄️
High stakes, but risks are on the radar! 🕵️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Q1 Win: $14.92B revenue, EPS $1.60 beat 🥇
• AI Edge: 77% AI revenue growth in Q1 📊
• Forecast: Q2 sales outlook shines 🔧
Powered up for the AI era! 🔋
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Tariff risks, high valuation 📉
• Opportunities: 18% earnings growth projected 📈
Can it outrun trade clouds and soar? 🤔
(8/9) – 📢Broadcom at $194.94, AI chips sizzling—your vibe? 🗳️
• Bullish: $220+ by June, AI rules 🐂
• Neutral: Stable, tariffs balance ⚖️
• Bearish: $170 slide, risks bite 🐻
Drop your pick below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
Broadcom’s $14.92B Q1 haul screams AI strength 📈, but tariff shadows hover 🌫️. Volatility’s our sidekick—dips are DCA dynamite 💰. Snap ‘em up, ride the surge! Goldmine or gamble?
$NVDA to $130, then a crucial decision.Sure, NASDAQ:NVDA is in a downtrend, but the $114 bottom has been confirmed, which should lead to $130. After reaching $130, we'll see if the king is back.
A double bottom pattern is a classic technical analysis formation indicating a significant trend change and momentum reversal from a previous downtrend. It involves a security or index dropping, rebounding, dropping again to a similar level, and then rebounding once more (potentially starting a new uptrend). This pattern resembles the letter "W." The twice-touched low is now seen as a crucial support level. As long as these two lows hold, there is new potential for an upside.
BUY $130 NOW and enjoy the ride
Monolithic Power | MPWR | Long at $580.00Monolithic Power $NASDAQ:MPWR. If the semiconductor market continues to get attention in connection with AI, there may be a bounce here near $580.00 as NASDAQ:MPWR enters my historical simple moving average area. However, a further dip into the high $400s wouldn't surprise me (tax harvesting season is in session) and doesn't change the thesis as long as the overall trend continues to stay positive. While NASDAQ:MPWR is a strong company with growth predictions on the horizon, it has a 65x P/E, 46x price-to-cash flow, lots of insider selling, and some near-term concern if the economy shows weakness. From a technical analysis perspective, though, it's in an area of opportunity as long as semis stay a "hot" investment. Thus, at $580.00, NASDAQ:MPWR is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $690.00
Target #2 = $745.00
Target #3 = $825.00
Target #4 = $908.00
TSMC: AI Chip Titan – Still the King or Facing New Challengers?Good morning, everyone! ☀️ TSMC: AI Chip Titan – Still the King or Facing New Challengers?
(1/9)
TSMC’s riding the AI wave with record Q4 2024 profits, but with U.S.-China curbs and fab delays, is this semiconductor king untouchable or at a crossroads? Let’s unpack it! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Q4 2024: Net income up 57% to $11.4B, revenue climbed 39% 💰
• Full Year 2024: Revenue hit $87.1B, up 34% from 2023 📏
• Sector Trend: AI chip demand soaring, per Reuters 🌟
It’s a powerhouse, driven by tech’s hunger! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Share: Over 60% of global foundry market 🏆
• Clients: Apple, Nvidia, AMD—big names rely on ‘em ⏰
• Trend: Expanding fabs in U.S., Japan, Germany 🎯
Firm, holding the throne but not without battles! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Q4 Earnings: Record $11.4B profit, per Jan 16 Reuters 🔄
• Expansion: Arizona fab faces delays, full ops by 2027? 🌍
• Market Reaction: Shares up 81% in 2024, still strong 📋
Adapting, with global eyes on its moves! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Geopolitics: U.S.-China export curbs hit demand 🔍
• Costs: U.S. fab chips 50% pricier than Taiwan 📉
• Talent: Lack of skilled U.S. workers slows growth ❄️
Tough, but risks loom large! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Profit Surge: 57% net income jump in Q4 2024 🥇
• Tech Lead: 5nm mass production, 3nm in R&D 📊
• Client Base: Powers Apple, Nvidia, more 🔧
Got silicon in the tank! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: High U.S. fab costs, talent gaps 📉
• Opportunities: AI chip demand, new fabs in Japan, EU 📈
Can it keep the lead amid global shifts? 🤔
(8/9) – 📢TSMC’s Q4 profit up 57%, AI booming, your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: Still the king, long-term winner 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, but risks weigh ⚖️
• Bearish: Curbs and costs slow growth 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
TSMC’s record profits signal AI dominance 📈, but U.S.-China curbs and fab delays add caution 🌿. Volatility’s our friend—dips are DCA gold 💰. Grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust?
NVDA expected to remain volatile near term before bullish move!!Expecting to see sellers resume control at 135-136 levels near term, to take price back to 118-120$ gap fill target for liquidity purposes.
After that, looking for price advancement to 158-165 buy-side target levels for final high on weekly buy cycle.
Applied Materials | AMAT | Long at $169.75Republican Ashley Moody recently dropped $200k-$500k on Applied Materials $NASDAQ:AMAT. The semiconductor boom may not be over...
Price-to-earnings: 21.68x (great in comparison to others...)
Debt-to-equity: 0.34x (low)
Cash flow: $10.4 billion (FY2024)
Insiders awarded options recently
Unless NASDAQ:NVDA brings the market down, NASDAQ:AMAT is in a personal buy zone at $169.75. While the price may dip in the near-term to the $140s, bullish until the semi boom dies...
Targets:
$195.00
$215.00
$240.00
$AMD trying to breakout on the daily!NASDAQ:AMD being bought heavily by institutions for past 3 days straight. It’s looking like it wants to breakout on the daily. There could be added excitement for NASDAQ:NVDA earnings coming up in the semi-conductor space. I have been accumulating NASDAQ:AMD April 17 115Calls @ 7.00
*Not financial advice
DCA Play $SOXL | TARGET 1 REACHEDPrice action moved with good momentum and maintained volume for the trading day.
The original call is good to go:
T2 @ $32.70 to gap fill if momentum is persists (poor spelling when analyzing at 3am - but you get the gist)
I expect a minor pull back before gap fill; depending on price action, may or may not add to position.
A gap up would be signal to close all profits, with a +10% PnL.
gg
Intel: "So the last shall be first..."As the Holy Bilble says in Matthew 20:16, "So the last shall be first, and the first last: for many be called, but few chosen."
We agree. After our analysis, one stock comes into focus: INTEL - a long-term buy candidate. Investment horizon: 5-10 years, the right time to get in could be now.
This is not a buy recommendation, just an exchange of ideas. You have to use your own analysis and your own head and make your own decisions.
$AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI POTENTIAL
(1/7)
Q4 2024 Revenue landed between $7.65B–$7.7B, beating estimates (~$7.53B). That’s a year-over-year jump fueled by Data Center sales skyrocketing +69% to $3.9B—now over half of AMD’s total revenue! Let’s dive in. 🚀
(2/7) – EARNINGS BEAT
• Q4 2024 EPS: ~$1.09 (a hair above consensus $1.08–$1.09)
• Operating cash flow up +240% YoY—huge liquidity boost 💰
• Despite the beats, stock dipped -2% post-earnings—profit-taking or a sign of sky-high expectations? 🤔
(3/7) – GUIDANCE & MOMENTUM
• Q1 2025 sales guidance: $7.1B (~above $7.0B estimates)
• Indicates continued growth, with AMD’s pivot to AI & data center paying off 💡
• Investors weigh: Are expectations now too lofty?
(4/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• AMD’s data center surge outpaces Intel in growth & profitability
• Trails NVIDIA in AI infrastructure domination, but could be undervalued if the market’s underestimating AMD’s AI diversification potential ⚙️
• Future gains might hinge on capturing more hyperscaler demand 🔗
(5/7) – RISK FACTORS
• NVIDIA: Still the top AI chip supplier—AMD must fight for share
• Semiconductors are cyclical: macro downturn = potential demand drop 📉
• TSMC reliance → supply chain or geopolitical hiccups
• The -2% stock drop post-earnings suggests the bar is set high
(6/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Data Center revenue up 69% → half of total rev 🌐
Diversified portfolio, not just PC chips
Strong cash flow fueling R&D
Weaknesses:
Lags NVIDIA in AI adoption
Post-earnings stock dip hints at market skepticism
Opportunities:
AI expansions beyond GPU domination
Partnerships / acquisitions → deeper AI capabilities 🤖
Emerging markets (auto, IoT, etc.) for chip technology
Threats:
Fierce competition (NVIDIA, Intel)
Economic slowdowns
Regulatory or supply chain bumps ⚠️
(7/7) – Is AMD a prime AI contender or overshadowed by NVIDIA?
1️⃣ Bullish—Data center momentum will fuel AI growth 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid performance, but needs bigger AI share 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—NVIDIA leads, AMD can’t catch up 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇