SOX Semiconductors Daily chart updateJust took out prior swing high (point B). Headed for target (D) of 3041.85.
SOX has successfully reversed downtrend channel, sits above Ichimoku cloud, and will aim toward Gann confluence at 3105 (red Line).
Semiconductors
SOXL Watching for Bounce at Resistance On the 15M chart, SOXL and price are approaching the resistance zone at 13- 14.5 While it is possible that resistance could break,
the pattern of the past two months is that it will not. Accordingly, instead, I will watch for a reversal bounce off resistance
for a swing trade short to the downside targeting the point of control line ( dark green ) inside the green support zone as the final
target with the anchored VWAP ( black line now at 9.25 with the first target being the VWAP ( black line ) and the second target
one standard deviation below VWAP ( light green line ); Overall taking off one-third of the position at each target and
expecting 30% overall over about two weeks. An alternative is put options with 4 weeks expiration at $14.00 and another
is to take a long trade on the inverse ETF SOXS.
SOXL and Semsis should fly longtermFake breakdown of a trendline from 2012, largest capitulation volume selling in Oct. Everything just looks extremely bullish for semis longterm to me.
SOXS play. SMH Short Look at this respect!! SMH tagging long term trend line and pulling back. Also a perfect double bottom on SOXS.
semiconductors slipping above marketrainbow, slope and range adaptive averages show we are coming off top of range and headed for a retest of slow moving average. this lays out the targets, and im hoping to stay on top of that region.
Frontkn Simple Chart AnalysisFrontkn - Rst 3.3 & 3.47 Supp 2.95
Is just a matter of time to have this big rounding bottom to be complete. Let's see
How to view the guidance via chart ( Refer back to pin message guidance if to trade )
Red Line = Support
Blue Line = Resistance
Light Blue = bullish/bearish pattern
Arrow = Double/Trip top/bottom
Red Chip = $$
Green Chip = XX
Greatec Simple Chart AnalysisHow to view the guidance via chart ( Refer back to pin message guidance if to trade )
Red Line = Support
Blue Line = Resistance
Light Blue = bullish/bearish pattern
Arrow = Double/Trip top/bottom
Red Chip = $$
Green Chip = XX
NAS100 Simple Chart Analysis Nas100 - Rst 12180 Supp 10674
During a year period of downtrend, we notice that 10674 is the only area being strongly supported with trip bottom pattern. If this area does not broke, i do believe market wave will continue to move towards a big rounding bottom back to highest rst 16590 area.
The risk to fail this recovery pattern will be the rise of CPI data. That's the only concern.
My 2023 Pick For US Counter as below
META
TQQQ
NETFLIX
AMD
BA
rising wedge semiconductor longshort semiconductors are on the verge of breaking down, and basically if we stay over 12.20 soxl im aiming for daily gap close, or near 12.86 . if we break this ascending tightening range to the downside and more or less double top 4hr resisting from top of envelope, around 12.30s or lower, im looking toward 15 minutes demand zone in low 11s maybe 11.30. short squeeze in semiconductors, or failed bull breakout. even if longs win, im selling rallies on the daily by buying soxs on dips to weekly lows, or new weekly lows (keeping in mind the s&p can still resist from 4000 or slightly higher/nvda can sell off $160, 162.5, 165).
A Technical Analysis on Micron Technology I did a week ago This was an idea I did more than a week ago about Micron Technology .
So far so good. I think after that textbook double bottom we are in for testing the high and see whether it will act as a resistance or are we going for the 60-70$ level.
The fundamentals look okay, the company is heavily investing in R&D, so the outlook for 2023 is bright.
I would love to hear your thoughts. What do you think about the trade?
VOLUME FLOW: SEMI'S ($SMH) AGAINST THE BROADER MARKET ($SPY)VOLUME FLOW INDEX:
Both $SPY (broader market) and $SMH (semi-conductor industry) are currently in a neutral trend as measured by their 13 Day EMA envelope (top box). Both are also residing in similar places within their longer term downward trends. It is only when we take a look at volume as measured by the Volume Flow Index (VFI) that we can uncover some relative differences that could prove meaningful in the near term.
Volume has yet to breach zero line (white horizontal histogram) to the upside in broader market ($SPY, see left lower box).
Volume has breached the zero line in the semi-conductor sector($SMH, see lower right box), as illustrated by the yellow vertical line. This would indicate good 'force' behind the recent semi-conductor rally as measured by 'volume follow through' which I would consider a measure of 'conviction'.
This could be indicative of a near term preference for the semi's amidst an overall run to defensives in the broader market OR it could just be that semi's are a little bit stickier than the rest of 'growth' and still have some downside wood to chop. Given the semi's association with 'Growth' this divergent volume trend seemed counter-intuitive to the prevailing narrative so I thought I would share.
(Not financial advice)
Inari Simple Chart AnalysisInari - Rst 2.8 area. Supp 2.6 area.
Red chip appearing. Worth to monitor if klse tech can come back.
LEDS | Oversold Bounce Incoming | LONGSemiLEDs Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells light emitting diode (LED) chips, LED components, and LED modules and systems in the United States, Taiwan, the Netherlands, Germany, Japan, Ireland, and internationally. The company also sells enhanced vertical, LED product series in blue, white, green, and UV; LED chips to packagers or distributors; and lighting products primarily to original design manufacturers of lighting products and the end-users of lighting devices, as well as packages and sells its LED chips into LED components to distributors. Its products are used for general lighting applications, including commercial, industrial, and residential lighting; and specialty industrial applications, such as ultraviolet or UV, curing of polymers, LED light therapy in medical/cosmetic applications, counterfeit detection, germicidal and viricidal devices LED lighting for horticulture applications, architectural lighting, and entertainment lighting. SemiLEDs Corporation was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Chunan, Taiwan.
PRSO | The Perfect Bullish Setup | LONGPeraso Inc. operates as a fabless semiconductor company, develops, markets, and sells semiconductor devices and modules. It focuses on development of millimeter wavelength (mmWave) for the 60 gigahertz, spectrum, and for 5G cellular networks. The company's products include mmWave ICs, including baseband IC, various mmWave radio frequency, integrated circuits, as well as associated antenna technology; and mmWave modules. It also provides accelerator engine products, comprising bandwidth engine for high-performance applications where throughput is critical; and programmable hyperspeed engine to allow user-defined functions or algorithms. In addition, the company offers quad partition rate which allows for parallel accesses to multiple partitions of the memory simultaneously. Its mmWave products enable various applications, such as 5G with low latency and high reliability, multi-gigabit, mmWave links over 25 kilometers, as well as consumer applications, such as wireless video streaming, and untethered augmented reality and virtual reality. The company also licenses intellectual property, as well as offers non-recurring engineering services. It markets its products through direct sales personnel, as well as sells representatives and distributors. The company was formerly knowns as MoSys, Inc. and changed its name to Peraso Inc. in December 2021. Peraso Inc. was incorporated in 1991 and is based in San Jose, California.
last stand 2023semiconductors, tech, and the market could make a technical bull case for itself. im not ruling out the shot at a big comeback in 2023. if we turn a sellsided equillibrium to a breakout this is what a weekly reverse head and sgoulders could look like.
this is what is tanking tech, and the marketits really plain that this chart is not bullish. the last time we retraced over half a bounce we fell to the lows and made new lows. that means new lows for the broader market. i see an upside of 4% and a downside of 11%. i like selling any rip on large cap semiconductors by buying soxs.
$ON Analysis, Key levels, and Targets $ON Analysis, Key levels, and Targets
ON is my Semi company…. I like this company. I can elaborate further in the next few days but I’m getting my list together…. This is on it, always. I like AMD as well but between the two I’d pick ON…
And if y’all know how to read my charts you know where I’m looking…
DIA trading within CPI Range from June!Dow Jones is still trading withing the range of the past few days which also places it within the range it was in back when we had a major decline following a disappointing CPI report back in the beginning of June. This puts the market in a position that could see a potential breakout in either direction. Can we possibly see economic data that propels the Dow higher out of the top of the range or will the trend of negative data to end the year continue forcing the market out of the lower end.
Manufacturing data released today suggest that the economy is continuing to slow, and we have recently seen forward earnings projections for giants such as Tesla ($TSLA) and Apple ($AAPL) be reduced. This is consistent with a muted rally we are seeing here for the Dow to start off the week and a 1% down day for the Nasdaq. I stand by my previous statement here to start off the week. I would be looking for short positions, with potential long positions to hedge going into 2023. However, we still are trading within this range and have no indication yet as to which way the wind will blow for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. There are some other signs that point to the potential outcome such as a weakening semiconductor industry ($SMH) and transportation index ($DJT) still trading below its 8 day average.
this thing is about to smash the market into little tiny piecesarent we all glad we reinvested early in semiconductors? i sure am. the short semiconductor etf is going completely insane. expect that to continue. if you look at the 5 minute you can see we are poised for breakout. we will probably go outside upper envelope, swing back to value area low before moving higher. i dont see anything thats going to stop the total collapse of the semiconductor industry as we know it, do you?
i just like this stock todaysupertrend is saying the longs are here to take a chunk out, and semiconductors are in bounce mode along with all of tech. still bearish on broader market weekly.
SMH (Semi's) Technical Support + Gap Fill + .618 Fib At $195.This is an intriguing swing trade bounce level if it hits within the next few trading days. To have 3 factors at one price level is rare and ups the probabilities of a bounce. Not a long term level, just a technical bounce level.
Note: This is not financial advice.
Nas100 Simple Chart AnalysisNasdaq - Try to monitor a possible rebound play on US tech sector. It should happen within this week.
Semiconductors trying to reclaim 5-week sideways rangeKeep an eye on the semis here as they try and reclaim the lows of this 5 week sideways range. They didn't break down as hard as the major indices and the open gap from November is still very much in tact.
Overall, we're seeing some relative strength out of this higher beta group.
