Semiconductors
Is Qualcomm a durable tech stock?Hi everyone,
Today we will talk about NASDAQ:QCOM , a semicunductor manufacturing company.
As we saw almost all tech stocks selling off from late November through to 2022, NASDAQ:QCOM managed to stay up there quite nicely.
The question to ask now: Is it lagging?
Will [ symbol="NASDAQ:QCOM"]NASDAQ:QCOM follow broad tech market and proceed to a major correction?
Or will it continue grinding higher?
Inasmuch as semdiconductor industry is carrying world's supply chain on its shoulders, I still think we could see a correction in the stock.
We've got a looming danger of Fed's interest rate hike somewhere in March-June this year.
I cannot believe any risk asset such as tech stock would stand still when it happens.
Putting macro stuff aside for a moment, we can see a similar pattern in the past of the stock price, where ATHs were reached, touching a rising trend resistence, which led to a rapid 26% correction and 260 days consolidation in the lower range.
I strongly believe that the conditions are ripe for the same scenario to repeat.
I will buy the stock after new consolidation pattern is established, preferrably near 150 level.
Please let me know if you found my macro rant useful and if you would like to see similar content in the future.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise
🤩MU Micron Technology, Inc. Technology | Semiconductors |🤩😱Multi Year breakout worth a watch NASDAQ:MU
Micron Technology, Inc. is an American producer of computer memory and computer data storage including dynamic random-access memory, flash memory, and USB flash drives. It is headquartered in Boise, Idaho. Its consumer products are marketed under the brands Crucial and Ballistix.
1/9/22 TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company ( NYSE:TSM )
Sector: Electronic Technology (Semiconductors)
Market Capitalization: 593.364B
Current Price: $123.50
Breakout price: $128.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $125.00-$120.25
Price Target: $134.50-$136.00 (1st), $142.00-$144.00 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 66-70d (1st), 118-122d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $TSM 3/18/22 130c, $TSM 5/20/22 140c
Trade price as of publish date: $5.30/contract, $4.90/contract
TSM broke out but retracted belowTSM the largest chip producer just broke out from their resistance point and retracted below this point during Friday's session. Due to the shortages of 2021 those stocks are poised in my opinion for a great 2022, another point is that its not a US company and will not be affected as much as the US based companies with all of the inflation and FED announcement that are going to take place this year. I have opened a small long position as I believe the stock will push to the upside next week but I would like to know if there is something I am missing. (no financial advise just looking for feedback)
QCOM - Qualcomm Inc.Bought position into break of pivot from the previous earnings-gap run. This is the fourth attempt to breakout from this pivot. Stop loss below the low of the day.
Bigger picture, the stock is breaking out from a large base to new all-time highs and remains one of the leaders in the market. It has big growth numbers and is in one of the strongest areas of the market.
Applied Materials Is Fighting HigherTechnology stocks have struggled this week as interest rates rise. However, the selling has mostly targeted classic “growth stocks” like high-multiple software makers. Some of the more cyclical hardware/equipment names have fared better -- including Applied Materials.
AMAT more than doubled between November 2020 and April 2021. It spent the next half a year consolidating those gains. Prices tested and held their 200-day simple moving average (SMA) in October, followed by a new breakout in early November.
Notice how the stock then came down to test the old highs around $145. Buyers quickly stepped in, turning old resistance into new support.
Next, AMAT has made higher lows along its rising 50-day SMA and is now back above its 21-day exponential moving average (EMA).
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IntelI like historical pattern of this company. This an opinion based on an article I've just read but it seems as if the semiconductor issue is simmering down a bit relative to how unsure this issue was late last year. We also see a bunch of car companies having increased deliveries as well. Although Intel isn't the end all, be all within this sector, I can see at least a retracement of about 45% of the previous high seeing how price has reached this point up to 5 times since 2018's May. Let's see what happens! They also have enough cashflow to compensate for a hike in interest rates.
Semicondoctuctors are the "Transports of the 21st century"Bespoke Research firm says "Prior to the digital revolution that began in the 1990s, the Dow Transports were viewed as a “leading” indicator for the broader stock market. In the digital age, there’s hardly an industry group that doesn’t rely on semiconductors in one way or another. A modern car can easily have more than 3,000 chips. We view the semiconductor group as the “Transports of the 21st century,” making the price action for semis important to monitor."
I agree and will be monitoring the SMH/SPY
looking for entry points on $AMDAMD still has a long runway until INTC starts to crank out chips from the 2 fabs in Arizona. Looks like there is a little bit more give in AMD but it could result in better entry points.
RSI looks like it could fall more before it truly becomes oversold on the daily.
MACD curling up for a potential cross.
Long NVDA HereBeautiful consolidation is occurring here with $NVDA after the Fed clarified tapering decisions today.
Nice bounce off the 0.618 Fib level with RSI curling back up as well after hitting lows on the daily timeframe. It appears to be a great entry if NVDA can clear the 0.786 Fib level next.
Just my personal opinion, not investment advice!